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JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon downplays Fed rate cuts: 'It's a minor thing'

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JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon downplays Fed rate cuts: 'It's a minor thing'

JPMorgan Chase CEO (JPM) Jamie Dimon is one big Wall Street figure who isn’t that concerned about what the Federal Reserve does at the end of its policy meeting Wednesday.

Whether the central bank cuts its benchmark rate by a smaller 25 basis points or a bigger 50 basis points, “it’s not going to be earth-shattering,” the boss of the biggest US bank said Tuesday at a conference hosted by Georgetown University’s Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy. “It doesn’t mean that much.”

When the Fed lowers or raises rates, he added, “it’s a minor thing,” explaining that “underneath that, there’s a real economy.”

UNITED STATES - DECEMBER 6: Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, testifies during the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing titled

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images) (Tom Williams via Getty Images)

Dimon, though, did say he supports the Fed’s easing of monetary policy and the central bank’s chairman, Jerome Powell.

“I think they need to do it,” he said. “And I think that Jay Powell does do a great job.”

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Dimon has been warning for some time that the US economy could be more vulnerable than some market observers think, having voiced concerns about a potential stagflationary environment where inflation remains elevated and some rates surge to 7% as the labor market weakens.

“I am not sure if the world is prepared for 7%,” he said at a conference in India a year ago.

As recently as August, he said he was still “a little bit skeptical” that the inflation rate would fall back to the Fed’s 2% target. He also said then that the odds of a recession still happening were better than the chance of a no recession.

The coming rate cuts, however, will have an effect on the bank.

Last week, JPMorgan COO Daniel Pinto alarmed investors when he said that the consensus view among analysts that the bank would earn $94 billion in 2025 was “a bit too optimistic” due partly to the effect of falling rates.

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FILE PHOTO: A view of the exterior of the JP Morgan Chase & Co. corporate headquarters in New York City May 20, 2015.  REUTERS/Mike Segar/FilesFILE PHOTO: A view of the exterior of the JP Morgan Chase & Co. corporate headquarters in New York City May 20, 2015.  REUTERS/Mike Segar/Files

A view of the exterior of the JPMorgan corporate headquarters. REUTERS/Mike Segar/Files (Reuters / Reuters)

While admitting the bank’s financial projections for next year weren’t complete, Pinto said JPMorgan was guiding for expenses to run higher in light of inflation and some other investments while its biggest profit driver, net interest income, looked to be lower due to falling rates.

Net interest income measures the difference between what banks earn on their assets (loans and securities) and pay out on their deposits.

Read more: What a Fed rate cut would mean for bank accounts, CDs, loans, and credit cards

JPMorgan’s stock fell the most intraday since 2020 following Pinto’s comments. It was also down slightly on Wednesday.

Year to date, the stock is still up over 20%.

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While speaking Tuesday, Dimon also did not hold back when blasting bank regulators over a new set of capital rules designed to protect lenders against future losses, even after a top Fed official last week scaled back a new version of those rules.

Big banks like JPMorgan and Bank of America (BAC) would now have to increase their capital levels by 9% in aggregate. That is down by half from the original plan from more than a year ago, which set the capital increase to around 19% for those institutions.

“It’s been going for 10 years. I would have got it done in six months. I find it unbelievable,” Dimon said.

Banking regulators testify before a Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing in the wake of recent bank failures, on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., May 18, 2023. REUTERS/Evelyn HocksteinBanking regulators testify before a Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing in the wake of recent bank failures, on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., May 18, 2023. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein

Banking regulators testify before a Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing in the wake of recent bank failures, on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., May 18, 2023. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein (REUTERS / Reuters)

But big banks are still waiting until the Fed releases the full proposal, which is expected to feature hundreds of pages of revisions to the original 1,000-page document along with a quantitative impact assessment.

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“I don’t care about relief. I want the work to be done properly. That’s it, an honest assessment, and even after that, I’d say 10% more capital would be fine with me,” Dimon added.

Read more about the long-awaited Fed interest rate cut:

David Hollerith is a senior reporter for Yahoo Finance covering banking, crypto, and other areas in finance.

Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices.

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Investors eye PCE, Costco shares under pressure: Yahoo Finance

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JPMorgan stock falls on warning, GameStop earnings on tap: Yahoo Finance

Wall Street is digesting this morning’s release of the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. Meanwhile, Costco (COST) shares are under pressure following the wholesale retail giant’s latest quarterly results. Despite recent increases in membership fees, the company fell short of sales expectations. Yahoo Finance’s trending tickers include BlackBerry Limited (BB), SuperMicro Computer (SMCI), and Coinbase (COIN).

Key guests include:
9:05 a.m. ET : Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Managing Director and Economist
9:30 a.m. ET Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones Senior Investment Strategist
10:15 a.m. ET Rich Lesser, BCG Global Chair
10:45 a.m. ET Stuart Kaiser, Citi Head of U.S. Equity Trading Strategy
11:30 a.m. ET Ed Hallen, Klaviyo Chief Product Officer & Co-Founder

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Biodiversity still a low consideration in international finance: Report

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Biodiversity still a low consideration in international finance: Report

Biodiversity-related projects have seen an increase in international funding in recent years, but remain a low priority compared to other development initiatives, according to a new report from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

The report found total official development finance (ODF) for such projects grew from $7.3 billion in 2015 to $15.4 billion in 2022. That’s still less than what the nearly 200 governments that signed the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) in December 2022 agreed would be needed to halt biodiversity loss: at least $20 billion annually by 2025, and $30 billion annually by 2030.

Government funding made up the bulk of the ODF for biodiversity-related projects in the OECD report, which is welcome news, Campaign for Nature (CfN), a U.S.-based advocacy group, said in a statement.

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“We welcome the increase in international biodiversity finance reported in 2022 but that good news is tempered by a range of concerns,” Mark Opel, finance lead at CfN, told Mongabay.

One concern, CfN notes, is that funding specifically for biodiversity as a principal objective declined from $4.6 billion in 2015 to $3.8 billion in 2022. CfN reviewed hundreds of projects from 2022, which formed the source for the OECD’s report, and found that many either had vague descriptions or focused on other policies like agriculture but were counted toward protecting or restoring nature.

“We need to see more emphasis on funding with a primary focus on biodiversity,” Opel said. “So-called ‘principal’ funding that has biodiversity as its primary goal continues to be down since its 2015 peak. Increases in this type of funding are essential to meet the goals of the GBF … These goals cannot be met through funding with biodiversity as only a ‘significant’ goal that mainstreams biodiversity into projects with other primary goals like humanitarian aid or agriculture.”

The report also found that funding for biodiversity-related activities represent just 2-7% of the total ODF portfolio.

“It is concerning that biodiversity considerations still represent a relatively low share of the total official development assistance,” Markus Knigge, executive director of Germany-based nonprofit foundation Blue Action Fund, told Mongabay. He added it was also problematic that most funding came via loans, which have to be repaid, rather than grants, which are often more appropriate for conservation finance.

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CfN says grants are preferable to loans because they don’t add to the debt burden of low-income recipient countries.

At the same time, development funding from major donors such as Germany, France, EU institutions, the U.S. and Japan have been cut in recent years.

“We have seen minimal announcements of new international biodiversity finance since [the GBF signing],” Opel said. “We estimate that only the equivalent of $162 million annually has been pledged since [then], which doesn’t come close to filling the $4.6 billion gap between the $15.4 billion in 2022 and the $20 billion commitment in 2025.”

Banner image: Javan lutung by Rhett A. Butler/Mongabay.

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30-year mortgage rate hits 2-year low

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30-year mortgage rate hits 2-year low

The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was nearly unchanged this week but reached its lowest level in two years.

Thirty-year mortgage rates averaged 6.08% as of Thursday, down from 6.09% a week earlier, according to Freddie Mac data.

Average 15-year mortgage rates rose one basis point to 5.16%.

As mortgage rates hover around 6%, potential buyers are tiptoeing back into the market, and some homeowners who bought when interest rates topped 7% are weighing refinancing. Mortgage applications jumped to the highest level in more than two years last week, driven largely by refinancing volumes.

“Given the downward trajectory of rates, refinance activity continues to pick up, creating opportunities for many homeowners to trim their monthly mortgage payment,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a statement. “Meanwhile, many looking to purchase a home are playing the waiting game to see if rates decrease further as additional economic data is released over the next several weeks.”

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Thirty-year mortgage rates have dropped more than a percentage point since May.

Read more: Mortgage and refinance rates today, September 26, 2024: Rates finally decrease

The Pending Home Sales Index, a measure of housing contract activity, rose 0.6% to 70.6 in August, improving slightly from July’s record-low reading, according to the National Association of Realtors. A level of 100 is equal to the amount of contract activity seen in 2001.

“Buyers are finally getting more comfortable with the rate,” said Selma Hepp, chief economist at real estate data provider CoreLogic. “I don’t think that’s going to mean a big boost for home sales this year given how low they’ve been so far, but still, it’s a little bit of improvement.”

Claire Boston is a senior reporter for Yahoo Finance covering housing, mortgages, and home insurance.

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