Finance
Financial Experts’ 2025 Predictions for Inflation Under Trump
Every President has a major impact on inflation. Policies around government spending, taxation, and trade relations influence the prices of goods and services. President-elect Donald Trump will return to the White House in January, and it’s good to know how his next term can impact prices.
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Here’s what financial experts have to say about what to expect under Trump’s administration.
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Although Trump’s second term hasn’t started yet, the president-elect has hinted at several changes he intends to make. Arron Bennett, founder and CEO at Bennett Financials, outlines the key policies that consumers should keep in mind.
“Key Trump policies that could influence inflation include his tax policies and trade strategies. By keeping or expanding the TCJA [Tax Cuts and Jobs Act], Trump could continue to support both businesses and middle-class families by ensuring they retain more of their income, reducing inflationary pressure. If more people have discretionary spending power, the broader economy could stabilize, potentially hedging against inflation.”
Bennett also suggests keeping an eye on tariffs.
“However, tariffs play a dual role. While they may incentivize bringing jobs back to the U.S. and support American manufacturing, they could also raise costs for goods, increasing inflation. The potential increase in domestic production costs due to tariffs might translate into higher consumer prices, particularly if China’s prices rise in response to U.S. tariffs.”
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The upcoming Department of Government Efficiency aims to remove unnecessary parts of the government, similar to how Elon Musk laid off more than 80% of Twitter employees when he took over. Bennett views the new program as a hedge against inflation.
“The Department of Government Efficiency could also play a role by cutting bureaucratic red tape, potentially reducing government spending and improving overall fiscal health, which could help counter inflationary pressures. Trump’s approach seems to hedge his bets–while policies like tariffs could increase costs, tax cuts and government efficiency measures could help balance these effects.”
Bennett mentioned that tariffs can lead to higher inflation, but Trump has some hedges in place to minimize inflation’s growth rate. Financial experts, like Ben Johnston, agree that Trump’s policies will increase inflation in the short run.
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Hong Kong to boost tech and finance services integration amid AI boom: Paul Chan
Hong Kong’s finance chief has pledged to further integrate financial services with technology innovation to foster a thriving ecosystem, following a surge in investor interest in artificial intelligence-related stocks during the first trading day of the year.
Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po on Sunday also emphasised Hong Kong’s role as an international capital market in fuelling the growth of frontier mainland Chinese tech firms with the city’s funding and liquidity.
“We welcome these enterprises to list and raise capital in Hong Kong and also encourage them to settle in the city to establish research and development (R&D) centres, transform their research outcomes, and set up advanced manufacturing facilities,” Chan said on his weekly blog.
“We support them in establishing regional or international headquarters in Hong Kong to reach international markets and strategically expand across Southeast Asia and the globe.”
The Hang Seng Index kicked off 2026 with a bang, surging over 700 points – a 2.8 per cent jump that marked its strongest opening since 2013.
Innovation and technology giants spearheaded the rally, with the Hang Seng Tech Index soaring 4 per cent as investor appetite for AI-related stocks reached a fever pitch.
Finance
Financial resolutions for the New Year to help you make the most of your money
It’s the time of year where optimism is running high. We don’t need to be the person we were last year, we can be a shiny new version of ourselves, who is good with money and on track in every corner of our finances. Sadly, our positive outlook doesn’t always last, but with 63% of people making financial resolutions this year, it’s a chance to turn things around.
The key is to make the right resolutions, so here are a few tips to help you make the most of your money in 2026.
The problems that you know about already will spring to mind first.
Research by Hargreaves Lansdown revealed that renters, for example, are the most likely to say they want to spend less – and 23% of them said this was one of their resolutions for 2026. We know rental incomes are more stretched than any others, and on average they have £39 left at the end of the month, so it’s easy to see why they want to cut back.
However, they also struggle in all sorts of areas of their finances. So, for example, fewer than a third are on track with their pension. However, only 11% of them say they want to boost their pension this year.
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It shows that your first resolution should always be to get a better picture of your overall finances – including using a pensions calculator to see whether you’re on track for retirement.
It’s only when you have a full picture that you can see what you need to prioritise.
Drawing up a budget is boring, and it may not feel like you’re achieving anything, but, like digging the foundations of a building, if you want to build something robust you can’t skip this step.
Make a list of everything coming in and everything you’re spending. Your current account app and the apps of the companies you pay bills to will have the details you need, and a budgeting app makes it easy to plug all the details in.
From there, consider where you can cut back to free up a chunk of money every month to fund your resolutions.
Younger people, aged 18-34, are particularly likely to fall into this trap. The research showed that 40% wanted to save more, 22% to get on top of their finances, 21% to spend less, 19% to pay more into investments, 19% to start investing, 15% to pay off debts and 14% to put more into their pension.
Given that at the start of your career, money tends to be tighter anyway, there’s a real risk that by trying to do so much, you might fall short on all fronts.
It helps to set yourself one realistic goal at a time.
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