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Bajaj Finance shares fall as Q1 earnings miss estimates, here’s what brokerages say

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Bajaj Finance shares fall as Q1 earnings miss estimates, here’s what brokerages say

Shares of Bajaj Finance fell over 2% in early deals on Wednesday after the NBFC reported its Q1 earnings. Net profit in the June 2024 quarter climbed 14% rose to Rs 3,912 crore in Q1 against Rs 3,437 crore in the June 2023 quarter. Revenue for the quarter stood at Rs 16,098 crore in Q1 against Rs 12,497 crore in the June 2023 quarter. 

The stock slipped 2.55% to Rs 6560 on Wednesday. Market cap of Bajaj Finance slipped to Rs 4.08 lakh crore. Total 0.40 lakh shares of the firm changed hands amounting to a turnover of Rs 26.23 crore on BSE.

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Bajaj Finance’s relative strength index (RSI) stands at 35.4 which signals the stock is neither oversold nor overbought. A level below 30 is defined as oversold while a value above 70 is considered overbought. Bajaj Finance stock has a one-year beta of 0.9, indicating low volatility during the period

Motilal Oswal has maintained its neutral stance post Q1 earnings. It assigned a price target of Rs 7,500 , up 11% against the previous close.

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“We cut our FY26 PAT estimate by 3% to factor in higher steady-state normalized credit costs. We estimate a CAGR of 27%/24% in AUM/PAT over FY24-FY26 and expect Bajaj Finance to deliver RoA/RoE of 4.2%/22% in FY26. Despite a healthy PAT CAGR of 24% over FY24-FY26E and RoA/RoE of 4.2%/22% in FY26E, we see limited upside catalysts. Consequently, we maintain our Neutral rating on the stock with a price target of Rs 7,500 (premised on 4.2x FY26E BVPS),” said the brokerage.

Global brokerage firm Jefferies retained its ‘Buy’ rating on Bajaj Finance but trimmed its price target to Rs 7,780 from Rs 9,260 earlier. Jefferies said profit missed street expectations. A sharper rise in credit costs, climbing to 2.3% of average AUM (adjusted for the utilisation of reserves) was a major drawback.

Citi also cut its price target on Bajaj Finance to Rs 8,275 but retained its ‘Buy’ rating on the stock.

Bajaj Finance’s core earnings missed expectations as NIMs fell 23 basis points as against 30-40 bps guided for the first half. Additionally, the credit cost was elevated at 2%, compared to 1.75-1.85% guidance, said Citi. 

Meanwhile, total expenses climbed to Rs 10,839.48 crore in the last quarter against Rs 7951 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. 

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Assets under management (AUMs) climbed 31% to Rs 3.54 lakh crore in Q1 compared to Rs 2.70 lakh crore in Q1 of FY24. 

New loans booked climbed 10% to 1.09 crore against 0.94 crore in the June 2023 quarter. 

The company resumed sanction and disbursal of loans under ‘eCOM’ and ‘lnsta EMI Card’ and issuance of EMI cards after the RBI removed the restrictions on these businesses on 2 May 2024.

Customer franchise stood at 88.11 million as of 30 June 2024 as cornpared to 72.98 million as of 30 June 2023, a growth of 21 %. The company’s customer franchise grew 4.47 million in Q1 FY25.

Net interest income increased by 25% in Q1 FY25 to Rs 8,365 crore from Rs 6,717 crore in Q1 FY24. 

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Gross NPAs and Net NPAs as of June 30, 2024 stood at 0.86% and 0.38% respectively as against 0:87% and 0.31 % as of June 30, 2023. The company has provisioning coverage ratio of 56% on stage 3 assets. 

Disclaimer: Business Today provides stock market news for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers are encouraged to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Paramount ally RedBird says using Middle East money to help buy Warner Bros. could be a good idea

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Paramount ally RedBird says using Middle East money to help buy Warner Bros. could be a good idea

  • Last year, Paramount said it would use $24 billion in funding from Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, and Qatar to help buy WBD.
  • Now that Paramount has won that deal, it won’t say whether that’s still the plan.
  • A key Paramount backer suggests that Gulf money would be a good thing for this deal.

We still don’t know if Paramount intends to use billions of dollars from Gulf states like Saudi Arabia to help it buy Warner Bros. Discovery.

But if Paramount does end up doing that, it wouldn’t be a bad thing, says a key Paramount backer.

That update comes via Gerry Cardinale, who heads up RedBird Capital Partners, the private equity company that helped finance Larry and David Ellison’s acquisition of Paramount last year and is doing the same with their WBD deal now.

In a podcast with Puck’s Matt Belloni published Wednesday night, Cardinale wouldn’t comment directly on Paramount’s previously disclosed plans to use $24 billion from sovereign wealth funds controlled by Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, and Qatar to help buy WBD.

Instead, he reiterated Paramount’s current messaging on the deal’s financing: The $47 billion in equity Paramount will use to buy WBD will be “backstopped” by the Ellison family and RedBird — meaning they are ultimately on the hook to pay up. The rest of the $81 billion deal will be financed with debt.

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Cardinale also acknowledged what Paramount has disclosed in its current disclosure documents: It intends to sell portions of that $47 billion commitment to other investors: “We haven’t syndicated anything at this time,” he said. “We do expect to syndicate with strategic, domestic, and foreign investors. But at the end of the day, that alchemy shouldn’t matter because it’ll be done in the right way.”

And when asked about concerns about Middle Eastern countries owning part of a media conglomerate that includes assets like CNN, Cardinale suggested that could be a plus.

“I think we want to be a global company,” he said. “You look at what’s going on right now geopolitically. What’s going on right now geopolitically out of the Middle East wouldn’t be, the positives of that would not be happening without some of those sovereigns that you’re referring to.”

He continued:

“The world is changing. We can stick our head in the sand and pretend it’s not, or we can embrace globalization and the derivative benefits both geopolitically and otherwise that come from that. Content generation coming out of Hollywood is one of America’s greatest exports.
I firmly embrace the global nature and orientation that we bring to this from a capital standpoint, from a footprint standpoint, etc. At the end of the day, I do understand some of the concerns that you’ve raised, but that will work itself out between signing and closing because at the end of the day, worst-case scenario, Ellison and RedBird are 100% of this thing.”

All of which suggests to me that Paramount still intends to use money from Gulf-based sovereign wealth funds to buy WBD.

What I don’t understand is why the company won’t say that out loud. Does that mean it’s still negotiating with potential investors? Or that it’s reticent to disclose outside investors, for whatever reason, until it has to? A Paramount rep declined to comment.

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Crypto bill hits new impasse, raising doubts over its future

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Crypto bill hits new impasse, raising doubts over its future
Talks on landmark crypto legislation have hit a new impasse after banks said they could not back a compromise pushed by the White House, a development that cast doubt on whether the bill will pass this year and sparked criticism from President Donald Trump ​who accused lenders of trying to undermine it.
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Stamford Finance Students Wow Judges, Take Home Trophy in Regional CFA Competition – UConn Today

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Stamford Finance Students Wow Judges, Take Home Trophy in Regional CFA Competition – UConn Today

A tenacious team of finance majors, who sacrificed most of their winter break to prepare for the CFA Institute Research Challenge, took first place in that regional competition last week.

Students Hunter Baillargeon, Dylan Fischetto, Richard Opper, Philip Ochocinski and Rushit Chauhan were tasked with researching and analyzing a major utility company, and then producing a 10-page report about whether to buy, hold, or sell its stock. They chose to sell.

One of the CFA judges said both the team’s report and presentation were among the best he had seen in many years.

“As a team, we were thrilled our hard work paid off and our many hours of work allowed us to achieve what we did,’’ Baillargeon said. “What we accomplished couldn’t have been done without working with such a cohesive and collective unit.’’

“From a technical perspective, I realize how valuable true analysis is and the importance of looking where others don’t for a differentiated approach,’’ Baillargeon said.

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The first round of competition featured 24 college teams from the Stamford-Hartford-Providence region. The Stamford team, composed of seniors all of whom all participate in UConn’s Student Managed Fund program, received its first-place award Feb. 26 in a ceremony in Hartford. The team will advance to the East Coast competition later this month.

Stamford Finance Program is Robust

“The Stamford team’s advancement in this competition reflects not only the students’ exceptional talent and work ethic, but also the rigor and applied focus of the UConn finance curriculum,’’ said professor Yiming Qian, head of the Finance Department.

“Our Stamford campus hosts approximately 200 financial management majors. The Stamford program is a vital part of the School and continues to demonstrate outstanding strength,” she said.

Professors Steve Wilson and Jeff Bianchi, who combined have 75 years of experience in the investment industry, were the team’s advisers and were supported by academic director Katherine Pancak.

Wilson said the task of analyzing a utility is particularly complex because of the company’s structure and the regulatory environment in which it operates.

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“I believe the Stamford team stood out because of the depth of their research, and willingness to take a bold stand, including the decision to ‘go out on a limb’ and recommend selling the stock,’’ he said. “They didn’t ‘play it safe.’’’

“This clean-sweep was a true team effort. They were tireless throughout, and sleepless too often, but they never wavered from their desire to always dig deeper and uncover any information that would strengthen our investment case,’’ he said. “What a phenomenal job they did!’’

Competition in Hong Kong Is Ultimate Goal

The Stamford team will compete against Loyola, Canisius, Sacred Heart; Seton Hall, Villanova, St. Michaels, Western New England, University of Maine, Fordham and Penn State next. In total, some 8,000 students are expected to participate in various competitions worldwide, culminating in a championship round in Hong Kong in May.

Wilson said the financial industry is always welcoming of new talent. And when one of the judges told him that the Stamford team produced some of the best work that he’d seen in years, Wilson felt tremendous pride for the students.

“Finance is an open playing field. In investments, the best idea wins,’’ he said.

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Baillargeon said he will always appreciate the whole team’s dedication.

“What I’ll remember most is the help of our advisers and our cohesive, close-knit team where everyone pulled their weight,’’ Baillargeon said. “We put in long hours, did a tremendous amount of research, and collaborated well together. I hope when I enter the workforce I get to work with a team as committed as this one is.’’

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