Connect with us

Entertainment

Who will win, how many will watch and more revealing Oscars stats

Published

on

The movies and those that make the movies (actors, actresses, producers, administrators, and so on.) are artists of the best caliber. The Oscar present, nevertheless, is essentially about statistics. From who wins to who watches, statistics inform us the story of the Academy Awards.

So what are these statistics telling us in regards to the Oscars this 12 months, and what have they informed us in regards to the latest historical past of the Oscars? Let’s discuss it.

The Massive 5 classes are greatest actor, greatest actress, greatest director, greatest screenplay (authentic or tailored) and, in fact, greatest image. Three movies have gained all Massive 5, and the final to do it was “Silence of the Lambs” in 1991. No movie this 12 months is eligible to drag it off.
Nonetheless, based mostly on the implied chances of the betting markets, listed below are who will almost definitely win the Oscars in these classes.

Greatest actor: Will Smith is a transparent favourite with north of an 80% probability of profitable for his function in “King Richard.” Benedict Cumberbatch is absolutely the one considerably believable nominee with a bit of bit greater than a ten% probability of profitable for his function in “The Energy of the Canine.”

Greatest actress: In contrast to in greatest actor, there are a selection of believable winners. Jessica Chastain has a couple of 60% probability of profitable for her function in “The Eyes of Tammy Faye.” She’s adopted by Nicole Kidman (“Being the Ricardos”) with simply south of a 20% probability of profitable, and Olivia Colman (“The Misplaced Daughters”) and Kristen Stewart (“Spencer”) with a couple of 10% probability of taking house the Oscar.

Greatest director: It might be fairly shocking if Jane Campion does not win right here for “The Energy of the Canine.” She has a couple of 90% probability of taking house the Oscar. If anybody scores a significant upset, it is going to be Steven Spielberg (“West Facet Story”) or Kenneth Branagh (“Belfast”), although each have lower than 5% probability.

Advertisement

Greatest authentic screenplay and greatest tailored screenplay: Truthfully, I do not know who’s going to win in both of those classes. “Licorice Pizza” and “Belfast” every have a couple of 40% probability in the very best authentic screenplay class (with “Do not Look Up” at about 15%). “CODA” is considerably forward (a bit of north of fifty% probability) of “The Energy of the Canine” (a bit of south of 40%) in the very best tailored screenplay race.

Greatest image: This can be a two movie race. It’s totally seemingly both “The Energy of the Canine” (a bit of greater than a 50% probability of profitable) or “CODA” (rather less than a 40%) who will take house the large prize this 12 months.

No, actually, which film goes to win greatest image

The most effective methods to know who’s going to win in every class is to have a look at which movies and actors have achieved greatest in different award exhibits thus far this 12 months. Some award exhibits do a greater job of predicting the Oscars than others.

I, myself, do not construct fashions to assist us know who’s going to win Oscars, however I do know someone who does. Walter Hickey, who runs the Numlock Information publication and award season complement. So I requested him in regards to the awards main as much as the Oscars and why this 12 months’s greatest image race is troublesome to name.

Hickey famous to me that “it is by no means been more durable to get a great understanding of the Oscar race from precursors given [how fast the Academy has expanded its membership. Still,] the Producers Guild has the very best observe report among the many precursors.”

The Producers Guild has referred to as seven of the final 10 greatest image winners, with three of these within the final 5 years. This favors “CODA,” which is definitely a slight underdog within the betting markets. Hickey identified to me, although, that “The Energy of the Canine” gained plenty of different huge time awards, reminiscent of BAFTA, the Critics Alternative Awards, Administrators Guild and the Golden Globe for greatest drama movie.

Advertisement

Put one other approach, Hickey informed me “it’ll come down proper to the end.”

One different nugget from Hickey, Chastain did win the Display screen Actors Guild Award for greatest actress (making her the favourite). The “normally ridiculously predictive” BAFTA awards, nevertheless, did not really nominate any of the Oscar nominees on this class.

The Oscars have gotten extra various, although not all the time in the way in which you might suppose

Director of photography Ari Wegner, and director and producer Jane Campion on the set of 'The Power of the Dog.'
One of many huge costs in opposition to the Oscars and different award exhibits is that the winners are typically White and sometimes males.

I requested Hickey about this, who confirmed me that the statistics backed this up. As an illustration, there had been solely seven Black ladies nominated for greatest actress earlier than 2009. Since that time, there have been an equal variety of Black ladies (seven) nominated within the class.

This 12 months there are not any Black ladies nominated for greatest actress, however Smith, as talked about, is a heavy favourite in the very best actor class.
We additionally see that Campion may be very more likely to win greatest director. She’s simply the eighth girl to be nominated within the class, and she or he’d be simply the third to win it. Final 12 months, Chloe Zhao was the second.

So it does appear the awards have gotten extra various, although, to cite Hickey, it’s “a matter of perspective” whether or not the movie trade and the Oscars have rectified the dearth of variety sufficient.

A technique by which the Academy is clearly making an attempt to make amends for its previous is by opening up its membership. Hickey informed me “by my reckoning, greater than half of the present Academy has been admitted since 2011, and the group will seemingly settle in at round 10,000 members in some unspecified time in the future within the subsequent a number of years, up from a gradual state of round 6,000 members.”

Advertisement
A lot of this development has been internationally. Per Hickey, “of the 819 people invited to affix in 2020, the Academy boasted 49% had been worldwide members from some 68 international locations that are not America.” This implies whereas we’re seeing extra “African Individuals… Asian Individuals [and Hispanic Americans]”, we’re actually seeing extra “Africans, Asian[s]… [and Central] and South Individuals.

There in all probability aren’t going to be that many individuals watching

On the prime, I stated that not as many individuals watch the Oscars as they used to. About 10 million individuals tuned into final 12 months’s present. That is frankly stunning to anybody who has any recollections of the Oscars being a type of occasions that the entire household watched.

As just lately as 2014, over 40 million individuals watched the Oscars. That had trended downward to 30 million for the present in 2019, however the coronavirus pandemic appeared to speed up the decline additional.

Now, to be clear, tv exhibits usually have seen their viewership drop. The highest-rated non-sports sequence had its viewership dip by 10 million from 2014 to final season, although clearly the Oscars plummeting scores are one thing extra distinctive.
The query is will there be a rebound with life principally returning to regular after the pandemic? We have already seen sports activities have a rebound after the pandemic, and my examination of a number of the polling suggests viewership is likely to be nearer to twenty million.
A lot of that 20 million will in all probability be Democrats. They’ve lengthy been twice as more likely to watch the Oscars as Republicans.
I am unsure ABC (the community airing the Oscars) is worrying an excessive amount of about viewership. The community is getting round $2 million per 30-second commercial, which is best than final 12 months.

We’ll must see if these advertisers get their cash’s price.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Movie Reviews

‘A Family Affair’ Review: Nicole Kidman and Zac Efron in a Netflix Rom-Com That Charms Despite Missteps

Published

on

‘A Family Affair’ Review: Nicole Kidman and Zac Efron in a Netflix Rom-Com That Charms Despite Missteps

Throughout A Family Affair, daughter Zara (Joey King) and mom Brooke (Nicole Kidman) argue over just what kind of a man Chris Cole (Zac Efron) is. To Zara, he’s a self-absorbed movie star boss who oscillates between unreasonable demands and threats of firing. For Brooke, he’s an attentive lover, the first man to reawaken her to the possibility of romance since the death of Zara’s father, Charlie.

Neither of them are exactly wrong — Chris, like anyone, contains multitudes. Where the Richard LaGravenese-directed A Family Affair struggles, however, is in convincing us he might be both at once. Part showbiz send-up and part earnest romantic drama, the film lurches awkwardly between its two modes without settling on a single cohesive tone. Fortunately, both halves are also blessed with the same quality that allows Chris to embody both Zara’s idea of him and Brooke’s: enough charm to make you come away smiling, even as you shake your head at its missteps.

A Family Affair

The Bottom Line

Efron delights in an uneven but enjoyable romance.

Advertisement

Release Date: Friday, June 28 (Netflix)
Cast: Nicole Kidman, Zac Efron, Joey King, Liza Koshy, Kathy Bates, Sherry Cola
Director: Richard Lagravenese
Screenwriter: Carrie Solomon

Rated PG-13,
1 hour 51 minutes

The first Chris we meet is the obnoxious one. Onscreen, he’s the Marvel-style hero of a terrible-sounding franchise called Icarus Rush; offscreen, he’s a vain man-child pitching hissy fits at Zara. He calls her at odd hours to send her looking for protein powder, and makes her assemble gift baskets for his dogs with her own money. He runs through girlfriends like tissues, then sends her to pick up his stuff from their houses. He strings her along with the promise of an assistant producer credit, but continually insists she’s not “ready” to do much more than pick up his dry cleaning. None of these gags are especially fresh — Chris is simply every spoiled Hollywood stereotype rolled into one. But screenwriter Carrie Solomon comes at them with the wry fondness of an insider who knows just how ridiculous her industry can be.

They’re further elevated by Efron, who was last seen in the weepie The Iron Claw but reminds us here that he’s an even better comic talent than a dramatic one. His crackerjack timing turns decent jokes into laugh-out-loud hilarious ones, and his puppyish sweetness keeps Chris endearing at his worst. His (platonic) dynamic with King positively crackles with both exasperation and begrudging affection. At one point, Chris scoffs that it’s “derogatory” for her to call him a celebrity because he’s a movie star, damnit. The moment plays as a joke, but it also contains a kernel of truth. Like The Fall Guy, A Family Affair serves as a testament to the power of movie-star charisma while simultaneously poking fun at it.

Advertisement

All this Hollywood satire is merely set-up for the real plot of A Family Affair, which kicks in once Chris invites himself over to the home Zara shares with her mother. While waiting for her to show, he and Brooke get to talking over tequila shots. The next thing either of them know, Brooke is ripping open the very t-shirt that Chris, only the day before, had screamed at Zara for not treating more gently.

At first, the hook-up is played for laughs. Chris remains his ditzy self, wooing Brooke from lines with his own movies. (“This time I mean it,” he insists when she teasingly calls him out on it.) Zara is so startled to find her mother in bed with her employer that she goes full slapstick, choking on a grape and knocking herself unconscious. Fumbling to explain, Brooke accidentally invokes the same excuse Zara gave her for getting a forbidden eyebrow piercing as a teen: “It made sense at the time when the guy was putting it in.”

But A Family Affair takes on a more sincere and sentimental tone as the hook-up evolves into something deeper. Kidman and Efron share a decently sweet chemistry that’s nothing like the tawdry dynamic they flaunted in The Paperboy. Chris gets vulnerable about his childhood tragedies and the loneliness of fame. She confesses it’s been years since she felt desired, and allows herself the luxury of “going a little crazy” for the first time since she can remember. Although there are moments when the film goes big with expensive dinners and private studio tours and an adorably quirky third-act gesture, the relationship is generally pitched as a slow-burn love affair, not an impassioned fling.

In fact, A Family Affair barely leans into the fairy tale of dating a rich and sexy A-lister. In contrast to The Idea of You, with which it shares a superficially similar premise, the film is largely unconcerned with the specific perks or challenges of dating while famous. Brooke is unfamiliar with Chris’ career, and she does not need him to whisk her away on vacations or bring her to fancy galas; she’s done well enough already to have her own cliffside mansion and closet full of designer dresses. Though Chris can’t so much as go for a grocery run without getting swarmed, the couple do not discuss what it might mean to go public with their relationship — and they never have to, since it somehow never happens. The biggest threat to their connection is Zara’s disapproval, not the gap in age and social standing.

The fantasies that the movie does tap into are more mundane, and almost more poignant for it. One is of being a female writer whose talent attracts, rather than intimidates, an eligible suitor. Brooke recounts how fellow writer Charlie seemed to resent her success; Chris, on the other hand, goes out of his way to find her writing, and even memorizes her best bits by heart. The other is of being a mother whose child finally appreciates her sacrifices. All three lead characters could be accused of making short-sighted or self-serving choices. But it’s Brooke the movie portrays as a saint who’s earned whatever happiness she can get, and Zara who’s made to apologize for being selfish.

Advertisement

Parallels are drawn between Brooke lovingly tending to Zara’s every need through a difficult childhood and Zara catering to Chris’ now. I’d point out that those situations are not remotely the same, and in fact have no business being in the same conversation — just as A Family Affair‘s Hollywood material and its drama feel at times like they’ve come from two completely different films. But the lines are delivered with such heartfelt tenderness that for a moment, you might be moved in spite of yourself.

Continue Reading

Entertainment

'We have faith in our federal partners': Graceland fraud case takes another turn

Published

on

'We have faith in our federal partners': Graceland fraud case takes another turn

The bizarre fraud case investigating an attempt to sell Elvis Presley’s historic Graceland mansion is being kicked up the chain to federal law enforcement.

The investigation is taking a turn more than a month after a judge blocked a foreclosure sale of the property, Amy Lannom Wilhite, communications director for Tennessee Attorney General Jonathan Skrmetti, told CNN Wednesday.

“The Tennessee Attorney General’s Office looked into the Graceland matter, and it quickly became apparent that this was a matter best suited for federal law enforcement,” Lannom Wilhite said. “We have faith in our federal partners and know they will handle this appropriately.”

Actor Riley Keough, who inherited the estate from her mother, the late Lisa Marie Presley, sued an investment and lending company in May after it announced an auction of Graceland.

In her lawsuit, Keough said Naussany Investments & Private Lending LLC alleged that Presley had obtained a $3.8-million loan and “gave a deed of trust encumbering Graceland as security.” Keough denied that Lisa Marie, who died last January at 54, had any involvement with Naussany Investments.

Advertisement

Keough asked a Tennessee judge to block the sale and declare Naussany Investments’ deed of trust fraudulent. She also expressed doubt that Naussany Investments was a “real entity.”

Hours after Chancellor JoeDae Jenkins issued a temporary injunction blocking the sale on May 22, a purported representative for Naussany Investments submitted a statement that said the company would drop its claims on Graceland, the Associated Press reported.

Days later, a self-proclaimed identity thief based in Nigeria sent an email to the New York Times claiming responsibility for the ordeal. The correspondence, which was sent in reply to questions about the case, came from an email address related to Naussany Investments & Private Lending LLC that is listed in court documents.

“We figure out how to steal,” the thief wrote to the New York Times. “That’s what we do.”

The thief said they belonged to a criminal network that targets the dead and elderly, particularly those from Florida and California, according to the outlet.

Advertisement

But there may yet be another twist to the story. NBC News reported two weeks ago that the so-called Nigerian scammer might be a Missouri grandmother with a criminal history of fraud.

The outlet identified the woman as Lisa Holden, though she may have gone by other names in the past. Holden, the outlet reported, had used the last name Naussany to leave negative reviews for businesses.

NBC interviewed people who knew Holden, including Rasheed Jeremy Carballo. Carballo said Holden had confided in him details about the foreclosure scheme and that, after being interviewed by NBC News, he told the FBI everything he knew.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Movie Reviews

Do We Remember The Colleyville Saga? – Film Review – NewsBlaze News

Published

on

Do We Remember The Colleyville Saga? – Film Review – NewsBlaze News

It is clear that the slogan ‘Never Again’ – meaning that never again will humanity repeat the events that led to the Holocaust and the Holocaust that ensued – has failed. Colleyville is another one of those “never again” events that has slipped under the radar of most people.

The again viciously took place on October 7, 2023 when Jews were slaughtered wholesale in Israel.

The attacks on Jews in the United States and elsewhere occur way too often as if they are acceptable, normalized, a routine.

Colleyville poster

I did not remember the Colleyville hostage case. I therefore sat at the movie theater expecting a fiction story film. But no, “Colleyville,” by Award-Winning filmmaker Dani Mankin of Hey Jude Productions, (https://www.heyjudeproductions.com/), is an exceptional non-fiction, documentary reality check, that relives the January 15, 2022 hostage situation.

The “Colleyville” intense drama, premiered in North America by the Los Angeles Jewish Film Festival (LAJFF), Hilary Helstein, Executive Director, took place at Congregation Beth Israel synagogue, in Colleyville, a small town near the Dallas-Fort-Worth metropolitan area. It tells the horror story of a small Jewish congregation’s hours-long hostage ordeal.

Advertisement
Hilary Helstein, Executive Director Los Angeles Jewish Film Festival (LAJFF) opens the screening evening-Photo Nurit Greenger
Hilary Helstein, Executive Director Los Angeles Jewish Film Festival (LAJFF) opens the screening evening-Photo Nurit Greenger

The main hostages “characters” are Rabbi Charlie Cytron-Walker, Jeffrey R Cohen, Shane Woodward and Larry Schwartz.

The hostages’ situation maker is Malik Faisal Akram, a 44-year-old British-Pakistani, armed with a pistol who threatened to have two bombs ready to blow up. He took the four men hostage inside the synagogue to where they arrived that morning for the Shabbat Morning Prayer.

These four innocent men of faith went through hours of traumatic and of unpredictable outcome event; they were held hostage for 11-hour inside their house of faith in an intense standoff, and the film “Colleyville” is highlighting well their resilience and composed courage demeanor.

“Colleyville,” featuring never-before-seen footage, is giving the viewer an unprecedented detailing look at this gripping real-life drama that captivated the attention of the White House, the Prime Minister of Israel office and the world at large.

During Q&A, director Dani Mankin on stage to the left; on screen top right: Rabbi Charlie Cytron-Walker; left: Jeffrey R Cohen; bottom: Shane Woodward -photo Nurit Greenger
During Q&A, director Dani Mankin on stage to the left; on screen top right: Rabbi Charlie Cytron-Walker; left: Jeffrey R Cohen; bottom: Shane Woodward -photo Nurit Greenger

Too Many Reminders

After the October 7, 2023 gruesome Hamas terrorist attack on innocent Israelis “Colleyville,” has a much deeper and wider meaning that is calling on the world to focus on and pay attention to.

The Colleyville hostage ordeal which took place in 2022 has wider implications. In a small way it is now mirroring not only the horrors of October 7 in Israel but also the June 23, 2023 pogrom that took place in Los Angeles. In this also hours-long hate-filled event against Jews, Hamas-supporters appeared in the Pico Jewish neighborhood and ambushed the entrance to Adas Torah synagogues where they applied violence against Jews who wanted to enter their house of prayer.

Advertisement

Though the Colleyville terror saga had a better ending, with the terrorist dead and the four hostages rescued unharmed, this is not the way other such events may end.

Colleyville in the movie theatre.
Colleyville in the movie theatre.

Composed, Loving Characters

The composed and loving nature of the characters, even adding some humor while fearing for their life, which they interjected during hard times, acted well in their favor.

A scene from the film - screenshot
A scene from the film – screenshot

“I love death more than you love life” the perpetrator Malik Faisal Akram kept on shouting throughout his hostage-taking act. This is a slogan often heard from terrorists, mainly Muslims, who are after Jewish blood.

Former Israel Prime Minister late Golda Meir once said: “When peace comes we will perhaps in time be able to forgive the Arabs for killing our sons, but it will be harder for us to forgive them for having forced us to kill their sons. Peace will come when the Arabs will love their children more than they hate us.”

For Jews life is very sacred. For Jews life and saving life is a higher power command. When Jew-haters, the likes of Malik Faisal Akram, will love life more than they hate Jews, this equation will hopefully tilt towards a positive change.

Colleyville Release is Timely

With the rise of antisemitism and hatred directed at Jews the movie “Colleyville” is timely, its story that really happened must be re-told.

The documentary “Colleyville” is its director Dani Mankin’s important and impactful work. As a viewer, I am feel it is also both impactful and enjoyable for the audience, reflecting past, present and future other such event possibilities.

Advertisement
Jeffrey Abrams, Director of ADL'S Los Angeles Regional Office addressed the audience-Photo Nurit Greenger
Jeffrey Abrams, Director of ADL’S Los Angeles Regional Office addressed the audience-Photo Nurit Greenger

Be Alert, Be Ready, Be Active

At the premier showcasing of “Colleyville” Jeffrey Abrams, Director of ADL’s (Anti-Defamation League International Jewish non-governmental organization) Los Angeles Regional Office addressed the audience with one message: be alert, be ready and be active. Sitting on the sofa will not make you safer.

The testament is that Jews are being targeted.

There is no “post Never Again”; it is here again. It is now almost standard to threaten and attack Jews, take Jews hostage and go as far as to kill Jews.

After 2022 Colleyville, Texas, after October 7, 2023 in Israel after June 2024 in Los Angeles, California, where are the Jewish communities, where is America heading?

The poisonous epithets and slogans yelled on US streets, campuses and elsewhere will not remain just words. They will morph into actions the likes of what took place in the Colleyville synagogue and worse.

The world must now take Never Again to a significantly higher level.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Trending