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The NBA can tinker with the All-Star Game all it wants, but there’s only one fix

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The NBA can tinker with the All-Star Game all it wants, but there’s only one fix

Since the NBA is considering altering the format of the All-Star Game, I have some ideas.

USA vs. The World has more juice than ever, from an NBA perspective. Think about the starting lineup the Americans would have to face: Nikola Jokić at center, Luka Dončić and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in the backcourt, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Victor Wembanyama as the forwards. USA’s starting five ain’t a joke: Anthony Davis at center, LeBron James and Kevin Durant at forward, Stephen Curry and Anthony Edwards in the backcourt.

Or how about the old heads vs. the next generation? The under-30s against the gray beards. Or, make the dividing line the 2014 draft — halfway between LeBron’s draft and the last one. Turn it into a full-on NBA culture war. Gen Z vs. the Millennials. Make fans pick a side and divide San Francisco’s Chase Center, this season’s host arena, in half.

Oh, wait. Just thought of an even better alteration. The idea to end all ideas, sure to make the All-Star Game spectacular. It’s so clear a solution, it’s hard to believe no one in the NBA hasn’t already thought of it. So sure a fix is this, it might actually sound like a crazy idea.

PLAY HARD.

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If not 100 percent, then 75. If not for the whole game, for a half. Even for just the final quarter.

Boom. Problem solved.

Any format changes are but Scotch Tape. Any concocted gimmicks are covering up the real issue like lacquering barbecue sauce on dry beef. The one thing everyone wants is to see the best players earnestly compete against each other.

Figure out what it takes to make that happen and do that. Because no one really wants to see defense powered by apathy and deep 3-pointers hoisted without regard. Otherwise, Washington Wizards games on League Pass would be a party.

The lure of the All-Star Game isn’t simply to see the best players. It’s to witness them face each other. There aren’t any real stakes. So the lone draw is the rare occasion to see opposing teams loaded with superstars go at each other.

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The All-Star Game once was the only place to see this collection of stars together. To see what type of personality they had and how they interacted with each other. It was the chance to see some of the new stars you heard about but didn’t get to watch usually.


Just seeing the stars on the court together isn’t enough in the modern era to make the NBA All-Star Game compelling. (Kevin Mazur / Getty Images)

But in the modern era, we see all of them all of the time. The way social media has reconfigured the landscape and the access to games through cable and streaming already gave them high visibility. And now they’re all pushing podcasts like aunties peddling Mary Kay in the ’90s. The sheer novelty of their presence has been diminished, the pageantry of the annual showcase undermined.

Undoubtedly, the mere gathering of such stars will always be a spectacle. You just don’t get the 10 best players of any era together outside of the All-Star Game, at least not in their prime. But such only increased the demand for a dramatic end to the weekend. The one way to secure it is to find a solution that prompts true competition.

We know they get after it. We know they’ll go hard. All it took was a trip to Las Vegas, some nail polish on the court and a $500,000 purse to make the NBA Cup real.

It’s a little more complicated than players ratcheting up their intensity. It’s not just on the players.

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The league would have to make some sacrifices. Part of the issue the players face is the demand for their time during the weekend. The obligations seem to grow and will continue to do so as the league’s partners grow.

That’s the league’s money, so it must be done. But if it damages the product by limiting the potential of the All-Star Game, it’s worth reining in some of the demands.

go-deeper

GO DEEPER

How can the NBA fix the All-Star Game? Our writers share their ideas

As I’ve been told, the players’ preparation is so dramatically different at All-Star. The practices aren’t real, much more like the open-to-the-public practices teams do for their fans. The intrusiveness of the spectacle compromises pregame regimens.

If taking on the Utah Jazz requires full preparation, taking on the best in the league is worthy of it too. If the potential for injury in an exhibition game is a concern, it’s for sure heightened by inadequate prep time. Especially for an All-Star roster replete with players over a decade in.

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The NBA can do things to free them up. Give them space for a real practice, one without TV cameras and fans interrupting with cheers.

Clear their schedules for Sunday. Make it all about the game. Even do the eight-hour introductions on Saturday or make the videos on Sunday. An AI-generated hologram of Donovan Mitchell standing on the stage not only works but also fits the Silicon Valley vibes of an All-Star Game in San Francisco. Meanwhile, the players can warm up in the practice facility.

Prioritize the game by making sure they have no excuses not to go hard.

Everything else concocted in the name of entertainment value is rooted in this same principle. From the Elam Ending to the players’ draft themselves to money for chosen charities. It is all designed with the same aim — to manufacture a competitive spirit. To incentivize intensity. To put some juice into the showcase.

Allen Iversen

Allen Iverson led a 21-point comeback in the 2001 NBA All-Star Game, leading the East to an improbable win over Kobe Bryant and the West. (Andy Hayt / NBAE via Getty Images)

Who could ever forget the 2001 All-Star Game? The Eastern Conference squad, led by Allen Iverson, rallied from a 21-point fourth-quarter deficit to stun the West. It was the most riveting display for a generation. Maybe ever. A comeback for the ages.

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It didn’t require some contrived format. They weren’t worried about getting embarrassed or being criticized. They weren’t deterred by the possibility of injury and the jeopardy it could bring. They weren’t obsessed with numbers and recognition.

Yet, they provided an All-Star Game moment for the ages. In the final eight minutes, they lived up to the moment, honored their grand reputations and treated the NBA audience in such a way we still remember. And they did it by doing the one magic solution.

They played hard.

(Top photo: Brian Sevald / NBAE via Getty Images)

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2025 Pro Bowl Games rosters: Jayden Daniels, Sam Darnold headline first-time participants

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2025 Pro Bowl Games rosters: Jayden Daniels, Sam Darnold headline first-time participants

Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels, Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold and Las Vegas Raiders tight end Brock Bowers headline the list of first timers for the 2025 Pro Bowl Games, which the league announced Thursday.

The Baltimore Ravens lead all teams with nine Pro Bowl selections, while the Detroit Lions (seven players), Minnesota Vikings (six), Philadelphia Eagles (six), Dallas Cowboys (five) and Kansas City Chiefs (five) each placing at least five players on the roster.

The four teams without anyone making the Pro Bowl’s initial roster are the New York Jets, Miami Dolphins, New Orleans Saints and Tennessee Titans.

While he hasn’t participated in the Pro Bowl since 2021, as the Chiefs have won the last two Super Bowls, Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes wasn’t selected for the first time in his seven years as a starter.

This year’s Pro Bowl Games will be held in Orlando, Fla., with the skills challenges occurring over two days at separate locations. The first part of the skills competition will happen in the Nicholson Fieldhouse on UCF’s campus on Jan. 30 and air at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The second part of the event, including the flag football game, will be at Camping World Stadium on Feb. 2. It will air on ESPN and ABC at 3 p.m. ET.

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The NFL added a trivia element to this year’s skills competitions, which include traditional games of dodgeball and tug-of-war. “Passing the test” will have each quarterback answer five trivia questions about other Pro Bowlers from the 2024 season. Correct answers will give passers more time to attempt to hit targets.

Peyton and Eli Manning will coach the AFC and NFC teams again. The NFC defeated the AFC for the second straight year of the Pro Bowl Games in 2024.

Here’s a look at each conference’s initial rosters:

AFC

Offense

*Starter

Quarterback

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  • Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills*
  • Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals
  • Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

Running back

  • Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens*
  • Joe Mixon, Houston Texans
  • Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts

Fullback

  • Patrick Ricard, Baltimore Ravens*

Wide receiver

  • Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals*
  • Jerry Jeudy, Cleveland Browns*
  • Nico Collins, Houston Texans
  • Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens

Tight end

  • Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders*
  • Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs

Offensive tackle

  • Dion Dawkins, Buffalo Bills*
  • Laremy Tunsil, Houston Texans*
  • Rashawn Slater, Los Angeles Chargers

Offensive guard

  • Quenton Nelson, Indianapolis Colts*
  • Joe Thuney, Kansas City Chiefs*
  • Trey Smith, Kansas City Chiefs

Center

  • Creed Humphrey, Kansas City Chiefs*
  • Tyler Linderbaum, Baltimore Ravens

Defense

Defensive end

  • Myles Garrett, Cleveland Browns*
  • Trey Hendrickson, Cincinnati Bengals*
  • Maxx Crosby, Las Vegas Raiders

Interior linemen

  • Cameron Heyward, Pittsburgh Steelers*
  • Chris Jones, Kansas City Chiefs*
  • Nnamdi Madubuike, Baltimore Ravens

Outside linebacker

  • Nik Bonitto, Denver Broncos*
  • T.J. Watt, Pittsburgh Steelers*
  • Khalil Mack, Los Angeles Chargers

Inside/middle linebacker

  • Roquan Smith, Baltimore Ravens*
  • Zaire Franklin, Indianapolis Colts

Cornerback

  • Derek Stingley Jr., Houston Texans*
  • Patrick Surtain II, Denver Broncos*
  • Marlon Humphrey, Baltimore Ravens
  • Denzel Ward, Cleveland Browns

Free safety

  • Minkah Fitzpatrick, Pittsburgh Steelers*

Strong safety

  • Kyle Hamilton, Baltimore Ravens*
  • Derwin James, Los Angeles Chargers

Special teams

Long snapper

  • Ross Matiscik, Jacksonville Jaguars*

Punter

  • Logan Cooke, Jacksonville Jaguars*

Kicker

  • Chris Boswell, Pittsburgh Steelers*

Return specialist

  • Marvin Mims Jr., Denver Broncos*

Special teamer

  • Brenden Schooler, New England Patriots*

NFC

Offense

Quarterback

  • Jared Goff, Detroit Lions*
  • Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders
  • Sam Darnold, Minnesota Vikings

Running back

  • Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles*
  • Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions
  • Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers

Fullback

  • Kyle Juszczyk, San Francisco 49ers

Wide receiver

  • Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings*
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions*
  • CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys
  • Terry McLaurin, Washington Commanders

Tight end

  • George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers*
  • Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals

Offensive tackle

  • Lane Johnson, Philadelphia Eagles*
  • Penei Sewell, Detroit Lions*
  • Tristan Wirfs, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Offensive guard

  • Landon Dickerson, Philadelphia Eagles*
  • Tyler Smith, Dallas Cowboys*
  • Chris Lindstrom, Atlanta Falcons

Center

  • Frank Ragnow, Detroit Lions*
  • Cam Jurgens, Philadelphia Eagles

Defense

Defensive end

  • Nick Bosa, San Francisco 49ers*
  • Micah Parsons, Dallas Cowboys*
  • Rashan Gary, Green Bay Packers

Interior linemen

  • Jalen Carter, Philadelphia Eagles*
  • Dexter Lawrence, New York Giants*
  • Vita Vea, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Outside linebacker

  • Jonathan Greenard, Minnesota Vikings*
  • Andrew Van Ginkel, Minnesota Vikings*
  • Jared Verse, Los Angeles Rams

Inside/middle linebacker

  • Fred Warner, San Francisco 49ers*
  • Zack Baun, Philadelphia Eagles

Cornerback

  • Jaylon Johnson, Chicago Bears*
  • Byron Murphy, Minnesota Vikings*
  • Jaycee Horn, Carolina Panthers
  • Devon Witherspoon, Seattle Seahawks

Free safety

  • Xavier McKinney, Green Bay Packers*

Strong safety

  • Budda Baker, Arizona Cardinals*
  • Brian Branch, Detroit Lions

Special teams

Long snapper

  • Andrew DePaola, Minnesota Vikings*

Punter

Kicker

  • Brandon Aubrey, Dallas Cowboys*

Return specialist

  • KaVontae Turpin, Dallas Cowboys*

Special teamer

  • KhaDarel Hodge, Atlanta Falcons*

Required reading

(Photo of Jayden Daniels: Lee Coleman / Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

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The secret behind Xander Schauffele’s career year? ‘I was actually feeling ready to win’

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The secret behind Xander Schauffele’s career year? ‘I was actually feeling ready to win’

Steter Tropfen höhlt den Stein. The German proverb, roughly translated into English, means: Steady dripping caves the stone. It appears in other languages and literary forms, but this iteration stuck with Xander Schauffele as a boy.

It’s the one Schauffele’s father, Stefan, reiterated until it seeped into his vocabulary. From the onset of Schauffele’s relationship with golf, motivational allegories and philosophical adages were fed into his psyche. That’s how his father thinks and speaks. It became how the son thinks and speaks, how Schauffele constructed the mind and game that won two major championships in one summer.

Schauffele’s rise was slow and incremental, steadied by the omnipresent hand of his father, who doubled as his swing coach from pre-junior golf to the PGA Tour.

The nature of Schauffele’s climb was exactly what critics pointed to as the potential downfall of his career. If you were taught to lurk, could you win? If you were bred to embrace being an underdog, would it sting always being in the top 10 but never lifting the trophy?

Schauffele didn’t want to say it then, but he’ll admit it now. Those questions reverberated in his mind as the close calls stacked up, as the PGA Tour wins came but he became a supporting actor in the majors: Always on the leaderboard, never on top of it.

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Then he did it. Twice. In 2024, Schauffele shut down a festering, years-long narrative: He won the PGA and Open Championships, and suddenly went from being the best-not-to-win one to a player two trophies away from a career grand slam.

It was always in his subconscious, but he had to remember. There was supposed to be a process — a steady drip. The question was whether he would persist, and whether he’d believe.

“Maybe there was more self-belief this year than ever. And maybe it took me time to get to that point,” Schauffele says. “Everyone’s supposed to believe in themselves, everyone’s supposed to imagine themselves winning. I think until you truly do that and it’s actually a genuine thing, you won’t really see it through. You can say those words, but for me, I was actually feeling ready to win.”

This counts as revelatory for Schauffele, an admission of something other than resolute strength for a 31-year-old who walks the course with a confident swagger. Unwavering consistency was always what Schauffele intended to be his ticket to the top, and it showed in the progression of his game. If you judge it by advanced statistics, he was already the most consistent player in golf. But in 2024 he made bogey or worse on only 9.4 percent of his holes — setting a new PGA Tour record, eclipsing Tiger Woods’ all-time 2000 season.

“I grew this year, but for the most part I’ve been sort of preparing myself my entire life for those moments,” Schauffele says.

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Stefan could see what was coming before Schauffele. A year ago, celebrating Christmas in San Diego, the father/coach sat down with the son/protege for a one-on-one conversation. End-of-year transitions always feel pivotal to Stefan. Time to take accountability. To craft purpose.

He looked at Schauffele, days before the pair would travel to Hawaii for the 2024 opening tournament, and came forward with a proclamation: “The team is ready for you to win a major.”

Then he stepped away, becoming just dad.


For this next stage of life, Stefan decided to move as far away as possible from his younger son, which is why he finds himself pausing mid-sentence at the sight of a pod of whales breaching in the Pacific Ocean.

Standing on a plot of farmland in Kauai, Hawaii, Stefan is working on building a family compound. The “Ogre,” as he’s known on the PGA Tour, always sporting a fedora, black shades and a linen polo, timed his expedition intentionally.

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For a year and a half, Stefan lived in a 20-foot shipping container with no electricity, hot water or bathroom, away from his wife and Xander’s mother, Ping-Yi, for months at a time. He recently moved onto a second piece of property that includes a real house, so she can visit more often, and a warehouse, so tradesmen can come in and out from Hawaii’s mainland to assist the project.

Stefan is preparing the land to grow tuberous roots, like taro, araimo and satoimo. He’ll plant avocado trees for an oil supply. Everything will be ready for the Schauffeles in two to three years, perfect timing for their grandchildren to play with the animals. Yes, there will be livestock — Shetland ponies and miniature highland cows. Xander and his older brother, Nico, aren’t allowed to see it until it’s done.


Stefan Schauffele, left, held dual roles in Xander’s life: Father and coach. That changed in 2024. (Andrew Redington / Getty Images)

There’s a vision. There’s a process. It began with the decision to step away from being Xander’s coach, a departure he wished had happened sooner. He knew the time would come, when he could no longer serve his son’s needs in his expertise. The question of how to make the transition was harder.

Which is why as Xander lifted his first major championship trophy, Stefan was closer to Tokyo than Louisville, Ky., resigned to watch the moment on television from one of Hawaii’s farthest outlying islands.

“I cannot explain to you how close (Xander and I) are,” he says. “It is stupid. I had to literally do what I’m doing right now in order to create separation.”

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An accomplished decathlete in his prime, Stefan cultivated his son’s competitive drive the only way he knew. “He basically treated me as a young pro from a really young age,” Xander says.

The father viewed golf as a multidisciplinary game, just like his 10-event sport. Stefan took so much pride in his will to win, he used unusual tactics in an effort to bring it out of his son — ones he knew shouldn’t be implemented in most parent-child relationships.

“I had to find ways for Xander to openly oppose me and fight with me, not physically, but oppose me strongly. I worked hard on that, sometimes with unfair methods: I would cheat in ping pong until he got so upset that he started standing up to me at a pretty young age,” Stefan says.

A bond of mutual respect led to persistence becoming part of Xander’s nature. That was the precursor to the father and son’s on-course relationship and to Xander’s trek to the top.

As a boy, Stefan asked his son if he wanted to be like Fred Couples or Tiger Woods. Play the game by feel or study its intricacies? Xander chose the latter. He wanted to know everything about the mechanics of his swing. Stefan would explain the concepts to him, but he had to prove the basis of his knowledge with evidence. Xander acted with the kind of stubbornness that Stefan felt was necessary. In turn, Xander listened to his father’s philosophies about demeanor and body language. It all connected back to a central principle.

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If you are playing alone — Stefan would ask his son — on a golf course in the middle of a forest, and you miss a three-foot putt, are you going to throw a tantrum? “The answer is no. When you do it on TV, it’s all fake. It’s all an act. We cut out all of the acting and the fakeness,” Schauffele said.

“Golf is a long career,” he continued. “You can almost guarantee that anybody that is pretentious will eventually suffer some kind of defeat by his own ego.”


Xander Schauffele’s PGA Championship win made even the stoic Schauffele smile. (Ross Kinnaird / Getty Images)

The same themes were hammered into Xander’s mind through college golf, the Web.com Tour and the PGA Tour.

At the qualifier for the 2017 U.S. Open, a PGA Tour rookie Schauffele was paired with Steve Stricker, the latter vying for a spot in the national championship in his home state, Wisconsin’s Erin Hills. He watched as the 50-year-old put together a string of birdies in the latter half of the 36-hole day, turning a slow start into a highlight reel. It was the perfect microcosm of the old German proverb. Stefan’s lurk-in-the-shadows strategy had come to life. Schauffele was just finally seeing it for himself.

Schauffele qualified for that U.S. Open too, resulting in a tie for fifth place in his first major start. Three weeks later, he won his first PGA Tour event.

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“Stricker didn’t panic when things weren’t going his way. He stayed the course, and all of sudden rattled off eight or nine birdies and he was leading the tournament. Where did that come from? For me, my career doesn’t feel too dissimilar from that sort of mentality,” Schauffele says.


Schauffele was never “the guy.” He’s one of 16 players to win The Open and another major in one year, and he still isn’t. When his peers were asked to name the PGA Tour Player of the Year, 91 percent said Scottie Scheffler.

A phenomenal year by anyone’s standards has somehow still left him steeped in a shadow, cast by the potentially generational talent, Scheffler.

But Schauffele’s game wasn’t designed for him to be “the guy.” Persistence means evolution. And evolution isn’t always flashy.

When Schauffele seemed to be stuck as the player always hanging around the top five on a leaderboard, he could have stopped there. Instead, he continued to push, as he has always been taught to do.

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Sometimes that push — the art of never being satisfied — requires tough decisions. At the end of 2023, the Schauffeles hired Chris Como, a leading professional golf instructor, to the inner circle that from the outside looked like it could never be cracked. A personal trainer, David Sundberg, and a physiotherapist, Marnus Marais, came on board too. Stefan backed away. He retreated, literally, into the jungle.

In 2024, Schauffele’s new team and improved process helped him gain 10 yards off the tee, meaning shorter iron shots, more birdies, and in turn, the big wins. But really, Schauffele could keep things rolling until that epiphany. That’s what got him there.

“When you’re so close, it’s such a finite thing. You’re trying to improve by a quarter of a shot in a certain part of your game,” Schauffele says. “It doesn’t seem like much on paper, but it could do the world of difference over the course of a year.”

Schauffele’s missing self-belief was found in his process.

“I think mentally, dealing with everything that led up to this year — failing and failing and having everyone say you’re potentially one of the best to have never won a major, at least in this modern era, all those things finally were just kind of put to rest,” Schauffele says.

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Now he’s entering new territory. The Schauffeles evaluate progress with a year-over-year eye. Since first emerging on tour in 2017, Schauffele has rarely regressed in the official world golf rankings. He’s essentially maintained or improved his position, steadily. But now he’s No. 2.

Heading into The Sentry, the opening event of the 2025 PGA Tour season at Kapalua, Hawaii, this week as the second-best player in the world, Schauffele has an opportunity. Eighty-four weeks into a world No. 1 streak that has put Scheffler on a seemingly unreachable peak, he is out with an injured hand. Stefan will be lingering close to his son in Hawaii, taking a break from his Kauai camp to temporarily fill in as Schauffele’s manager. But as intended, the relationship is different. Schauffele is playing the best golf of his life. He’s in control.

“It’s crazy. I’m super fired up to go practice. I’m super fired up to go see my trainer. I’m super fired up to get to Hawaii,” Schauffele says. “I think it’s my eighth or ninth year on tour. And I’m still feeling that way.”

If there was ever a time to carry on, it’s now. Schauffele is ready for it. He is ready to keep caving the stone.

(Illustration: Dan Goldfarb / The Athletic; Photos: Ben Jared / PGA Tour, Tom Shaw / R&A via Getty Images)

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You read it here first: 22 predictions for the 2025 men’s golf season

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You read it here first: 22 predictions for the 2025 men’s golf season

The PGA Tour season begins Thursday at The Sentry in Hawaii, with many of the top players in the world — but not an injured Scottie Scheffler — playing the obscenely hilly Plantation Course at Kapalua. So let’s have some fun. Here’s what will happen in golf in 2025.

Jon Rahm wins a major: There’s a middle ground between “Yeah, Rahm didn’t emotionally handle the criticism from his LIV departure well,” and “Rahm is still one of the three or four best golfers in the world.”

He had a strange, frustrating major campaign. That included missing Pinehurst with a foot infection. But take a look at the whole year. You’re welcome to downplay LIV results, but at some point, you’re just playing golf. Ten top fives. He should have won an Olympic gold medal but gave it away. He’s still Jon Rahm. He’s just getting over the change from being loved to being criticized.

Scottie Scheffler remains the best golfer, but the honeymoon ends: People are going to start getting irrational. He’s going to remain the clear best player. He’ll rack up top fives and top 10s and win multiple tournaments. He might even win a major!

But it’s going to be the year the masses start forgetting that nobody wins at Tiger Woods levels in this era, and they might never again. It will become, “Oh, Scottie, why aren’t you winning more majors?” … “Oh, Scottie, is your hand bothering you?” … “What’s up with the putting?” each time he finishes third instead of winning. Because that’s his standard now. The discourse will take the horrible transition from the coronation of 2024 to the unfair new expectations of 2025.

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A repeat strange run of early winners: Last year, the entire start of the year was filled with journeyman winners or super-young surprises. This year will be the same.

Everything for the top stars will be about easing into form for the majors, and you’ll see tournaments like the Sony, the American Express, Torrey Pines and others won by cool rising studs like Max Greyserman or grinders like Denny McCarthy, and we’ll have the same conversation we had in March before all the top stars went on runs.

A PGA Tour-LIV deal will still not be finalized: But! Reports of an agreement will come out early in 2025. We just won’t get any details or real information until it goes through government approval, which will drag on until 2026.

Viktor Hovland will work with many more coaches: At the time this was typed, Hovland told a European outlet he is no longer working with coach Joe Mayo. After the wild 2024 season of Hovland working with four different instructors (that we know of), he’ll have another bizarre year of tinkering and trying to have the perfect season. It will be a better year than 2024, but still not near what we hoped in fall 2023 when he looked like the best player in the year.

Justin Thomas will have a big year: (We talked about this already).

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Jordan Spieth will not: Wrist injuries are tough!

The Waste Management Open will be much less chaotic: It jumped the shark last year, and now tournament organizers know they have to rein it in or players will stop wanting to come.

The Ryder Cup will be more chaotic than ever: After hat-gate. After LIV drama. After events like the Waste Management and the general American golf social media culture only make the heckling, bro-ey, debaucherous fan experience seem like something to strive for to large chunks of the population — on top of the very real conversation already happening about the New York crowds at Bethpage being unruly — and the U.S. fans will play up to the fears. They’ll treat it as a challenge, and it will lead to a chaotic Ryder Cup week that goes perhaps too far. Something bad might happen.

A Højgaard will win a PGA Tour event: But not the one you think.

Bryson DeChambeau won’t have quite the same major success: DeChambeau as a top-10 golfer is here to stay. But there is a gap between DeChambeau’s returning to form and the discussion that he’s in the same conversation as Scheffler, Xander Schauffele or Rory McIlroy. He’s not quite in that group, and he won’t have a major top five.

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Collin Morikawa again takes his place in golf’s top tier: Morikawa was the best golfer nobody talked about last year. He had 14 top 20s and seven top fives. He played in the final Sunday group at the Masters and the PGA Championship. He finished second behind Scheffler at the Tour Championship. He was as steady as anyone not named Scheffler or Schauffele. But he didn’t win once, and those Sunday struggles at Augusta and Valhalla were concerning.

But in 2025, Morikawa will win more tournaments than Schauffele or McIlroy. There’s always a mini-pantheon at the top of golf each year. In 2023, it was Rahm, Scheffler, McIlroy and Hovland. In 2024, it was Scheffler, Schauffele, McIlroy and arguably DeChambeau. In 2025, it will be Scheffler, Rahm, Schauffele and Morikawa. The question is, will Morikawa win a major?


Scottie Scheffler, left, winner of the 2024 Masters Tournament, sits with Jon Rahm at the Green Jacket Ceremony. (Warren Little / Getty Images)

Xander Schauffele wins the green jacket: This is the only specific prediction we’ll make. It’s golf. Predicting specific tournaments is nonsense. But Schauffele is suddenly a guy you know you have to fear in majors, and Augusta is the one major he plays best at. He’s gone T2, T3, 8, T10. And now he knows how to win. Schauffele wins a competitive Masters, and suddenly people will be recontextualizing his going from no majors to three in four starts. (Then, he won’t win again for a bit.)

Sam Burns plays in two major final Sunday pairings: He doesn’t win.

Quail Hollow will strangely deliver: Quail Hollow has become one of the more dunked-on big courses in the U.S., which will only increase at this year’s PGA Championship. The reason is probably just overexposure. It has an annual PGA Tour event. It hosted the 2022 Presidents Cup. And a lot of golf nerds just don’t like it. But it tends to create great winners and good golf tournaments, and Quail will give us a strangely riveting PGA that leads to some referendums on what we use to determine “good” professional courses.

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Much will be written about Oakmont returning us to above-par U.S. Opens: It will not. That is just not how the USGA seems to set up the U.S. Opens anymore. Somebody will win at 8-under. The majority of the field will be above par, and it will be an incredible Open, playing with the perfect mix of risk and reward, but most of the contenders actually shoot below par most days.

Rory McIlroy does not win a major: I’m sorry. Pinehurst pushed me too far. I cannot predict it until it happens.

Brooks Koepka and Jordan Spieth will be left off the Ryder Cup team: Neither will play well enough to truly be in contention at all, leaving captain Keegan Bradley’s hands tied.

Aaron Rai makes the Ryder Cup team: There’s always one or two “Huh, really?” golfers on the European team, and this year it will be an Englishman who can play some of the hottest rounds on tour. He’s an exceptional ball striker and has been around for a long time. He’ll be this year’s version of Russell Henley on the U.S. Presidents Cup team. Speaking of …

Russell Henley remains the Scheffler partner: Henley and Scheffler were a surprisingly perfect pairing at Royal Montreal, and Bradley was on the team to see it up close. He sticks with it, and they still thrive.

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Keegan Bradley will play well enough to earn a captain’s pick, but he won’t do it: Chaos prediction! Bradley will end the year as one of the seven to 12 best American players and put himself in a position to easily make the team most years, but he’ll be so focused on not being the guy who picked himself he will leave himself off. And the man he does pick instead will end up being what costs the U.S. Bradley’s selflessness will be his most criticized choice.

That’s right. The U.S. loses on home soil: After the last few years when the golf world has seemed to conclude the Ryder Cup is broken because nobody can ever win overseas anymore, the Europeans will knock off a messy U.S. team at Bethpage.

The world will melt down.

(Top photo of Collin Morikawa, right, with Patrick Cantlay: Sarah Stier / Getty Images)

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