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Europe’s carmakers risk losing plug-in hybrid war to China on their own turf

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Europe’s carmakers risk losing plug-in hybrid war to China on their own turf

BYD and other Chinese carmakers are spearheading a mini-renaissance of plug-in hybrids in Europe, opening a new battleground for western rivals that are campaigning for a longer life for petrol engines.

Although environmental groups allege that, with a combustion engine and a large battery, plug-in hybrids are often more polluting than advertised, many see them as a greener interim option for people who are not ready to switch to electric vehicles.

For legacy carmakers, it is also a segment of the car sector where they can still leverage their competitive edge in traditional engines against Chinese rivals, which are far ahead in EV capabilities and affordability. 

However, the European car industry may have already lost the war before it has even begun. While car groups are lobbying hard for Brussels to loosen the region’s 2035 petrol ban to allow PHEVs and other technologies, Chinese brands are already starting to win over consumers with their plug-in vehicles that are cheaper and have longer ranges. 

“Today, the European automakers are still not on par with the Chinese on plug-in hybrid technology,” Pedro Pacheco, an analyst at Gartner, said. “If the market were to pivot towards plug-in hybrids in 2035 in Europe, it will still fall into the hands of the Chinese.”

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BYD’s Seal U has become the top-selling plug-in hybrid model in the region with a 5.5 per cent market share of the category during the first nine months of 2025, according to Schmidt Automotive Research. In the UK, Chery’s Jaecoo 7 was the best-selling plug-in hybrid in August.

Chery’s Jaecoo 7 was Europe’s best-selling plug-in hybrid in August © Toby Melville/Reuters

Until recently, European brands which promoted plug-in hybrids have been those on the premium end, including Volvo Cars, Mercedes-Benz and BMW since they are more expensive than petrol and other hybrid models.

But after European tariffs of up to 45 per cent on Chinese EV imports came into effect last year, Chinese carmakers pivoted to selling plug-in hybrids, which are not subject to similar duties.

While Prius-type full hybrids had been cheaper both to buy and run since a traditional engine runs alongside a smaller battery which is not plugged in, newer models of plug-in vehicles from Chinese makers have become more affordable because of their production scale and control over battery supply chains.

The new Omoda 7 plug-in hybrid, for example, will be cheaper than the full hybrids offered by the likes of Toyota and Honda in the UK, with a starting price of £32,000 when it goes on sale early next year. 

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The model promises up to 56 miles of EV range, compared with 51 miles for Volvo XC60, the second best-selling plug-in hybrid in Europe, which has a starting price of £55,360.

“We always retain approximately 20 per cent battery power within the car so the car can always drive as an EV,” said Oliver Lowe, head of product at Omoda and Jaecoo in the UK. “That’s where we really differ from the legacy manufacturers and their implementation of plug-in hybrids.”

Chery has also continued to invest in increasing the thermal efficiency of its petrol engine. “I anticipate the disparity between the previous plug-in hybrid producers and us will continue to grow,” said Lowe.

In the first nine months of the year, sales of new plug-in hybrids in Europe and the UK increased 32 per cent from a year earlier to nearly 920,000 vehicles, compared with a 25 per cent rise in EVs to 1.8mn vehicles, according to European car industry body Acea.

During the third quarter, PHEVs accounted for 10 per cent of the regional new passenger car market with Chinese carmakers accounting for one in seven new models, according to Schmidt Automotive Research.

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Sales of plug-in hybrids started to grow in Europe following a tightening of the EU’s carbon emissions regulations in 2020 but demand fell sharply just three years later as countries such as Germany and France ended subsidies for buying these vehicles.

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Despite the latest sales growth, environmental campaigners question whether plug-in hybrids are truly green, with many plug-in hybrids remaining uncharged.

According to research from Transport & Environment research, actual carbon emissions of plug-in hybrids registered in 2023 were nearly five times higher than official figures.  

Even if plug-in hybrids were mostly driven in electric mode in daily short trips, Jan Dornoff, research lead at the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT), said actual emissions from plug-in hybrids remained high if a few longer-distance trips on petrol were made.

In the longer term, analysts and car industry executives are divided on whether plug-in hybrid technology has a future for an industry already squeezed by the rising costs of EV and battery investments.

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Many carmakers have embraced plug-in hybrids to help comply with the EU’s emissions targets. But with the tightening of these rules from this year to better reflect the actual emissions levels, analysts say there will be less incentive for carmakers to sell the vehicles. The surge in sales this year was also helped by the rush by auto groups to push older models before these rule changes.

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In Europe, much will also depend on whether plug-in hybrids will be allowed after 2035 — a decision which Brussels is expected to reveal when it announces a package of automotive policies on December 10. While Germany and the car industry have lobbied hard for their inclusion, France and Spain remain opposed. 

“It’s much more electric with a backup engine, which is used now and then,” said Volvo Cars chief executive Håkan Samuelsson. “I think it could be a good compromise maybe for legislators as well.”

While Chinese carmakers may shift back to EVs once BYD and others begin local production in Europe, their executives stress that PHEVs are here to stay as long as there is consumer demand.

In China, sales of plug-in hybrids increased from about 240,000 in 2020 to 4.9mn last year, while their share in the new passenger-car market more than tripled to 19.5 per cent in just two years, according to the ICCT. The average electric range of PHEVs in China was 116km last year compared with 78km in Europe and 70km in the US.

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But even in the world’s largest car market, there are signs of slowdown as the cost of EVs has come down and battery ranges have become longer. In the first half of this year, the PHEV share of its new electric passenger car sales fell to 38 per cent from 41 per cent year-on-year, marking the first decline in recent years, according to ICCT.

Plug-in hybrids, as a result of their complex structure, were likely to become more expensive than electric vehicles as battery costs fall, said ICCT’s Dornoff.

“I don’t really feel that there is going to be demand for plug-in hybrids at some point,” he added.

Additional reporting by Andrew Bounds and Alice Hancock in Brussels

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Map: 5.1-Magnitude Earthquake Strikes off the Coast of California

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Map: 5.1-Magnitude Earthquake Strikes off the Coast of California

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Note: Map shows the area with a shake intensity of 3 or greater, which U.S.G.S. defines as “weak,” though the earthquake may be felt outside the areas shown.  All times on the map are Pacific time. The New York Times

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A moderately strong, 5.1-magnitude earthquake struck in the North Pacific Ocean on Wednesday, according to the United States Geological Survey.

The temblor happened at 5:45 a.m. Pacific time about 40 miles west of Petrolia, Calif., data from the agency shows.

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As seismologists review available data, they may revise the earthquake’s reported magnitude. Additional information collected about the earthquake may also prompt U.S.G.S. scientists to update the shake-severity map.

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Aftershocks detected

Subsequent quakes have been reported in the same area. Such temblors are typically aftershocks caused by minor adjustments along the portion of a fault that slipped at the time of the initial earthquake.

Quakes and aftershocks within 100 miles

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Aftershocks can occur days, weeks or even years after the first earthquake. These events can be of equal or larger magnitude to the initial earthquake, and they can continue to affect already damaged locations.

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When quakes and aftershocks occurred

 All times are Pacific time. The New York Times

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Sources: United States Geological Survey (epicenter, aftershocks, shake intensity); LandScan via Oak Ridge National Laboratory (population density) | Notes: Shaking categories are based on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale. When aftershock data is available, the corresponding maps and charts include earthquakes within 100 miles and seven days of the initial quake. All times above are Pacific time. Shake data is as of Wednesday, June 3 at 6:03 a.m. Pacific time. Aftershocks data is as of Wednesday, June 3 at 8:01 a.m. Pacific time.

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California’s primary for governor is undecided as candidates vie to be in the top two

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California’s primary for governor is undecided as candidates vie to be in the top two

Xavier Becerra, Democratic gubernatorial candidate for California, and Steve Hilton, Republican gubernatorial candidate for California, shake hands while arriving for a gubernatorial debate at KRON Studios in San Francisco in April.

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SAN FRANCISCO — The primary election for California governor is too close to call, with vote counting continuing Wednesday. Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican business executive Steve Hilton lead the field with Democrat Tom Steyer in third place.

In California’s unusual primary system, all candidates, regardless of party, appear on a single ballot open to any registered voter. The top two candidates then move on to the general election, even if they’re from the same party. This year, voters had 60 names for governor to choose from.

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The winner will lead the country’s most populous state, where leaders often take on national political prominence. Incumbent Gov. Gavin Newsom is at his two-term limit and could be a Democratic contender for president.

Becerra, former Health and Human Services secretary under President Joe Biden, pitched himself to voters as an experienced political leader who isn’t afraid of President Trump, but his lead caps one of the most surprising and dramatic comebacks in recent state political history. As recently as April, polls were showing Becerra — also a former member of Congress and California attorney general — languishing in single digits in a crowded field.

In his remarks at his watch party in Los Angeles, Becerra noted his underdog status.

“Here in Hollywood’s hometown, we love a good underdog success story,” he said, drawing parallels between his campaign and his immigrant parents’ success story in California. “Guess what? The underdog stayed in the fight. Like my parents, I never gave up. Never stopped putting one foot in front of the other. Never stopped believing in the beacon-like goodness of California. And thankfully, neither did you.”

Hilton is a former Fox News commentator who also served as a political adviser to former British Prime Minister David Cameron. He was endorsed by President Trump in April, helping him to pull ahead of Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, the other major Republican in the race. Hilton has campaigned on the idea that California needs change after 16 years under total Democratic control.

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The race is narrowing down after a tumultuous campaign

At his watch party in Huntington Beach, the British-born candidate — who became an American citizen five years ago — said it was the “honor of his lifetime” to receive over 1 million votes so far.

“Change is coming to California and it’s long overdue,” Hilton said. “We’re not there yet, but it’s looking good. It looks very much as if Californians really will have the chance to vote for change in November and take our state in a new direction.”

Democratic billionaire activist Steyer spent more than $213 million of his own money to boost his candidacy and push a progressive, populist message. While he was trailing Becerra and Hilton on Tuesday night, he said at his watch party in San Francisco that he remains confident he can close the gap in the days ahead.

“Together, we’ve scared the hell out of the corporate interests used to getting their way,” Steyer said. “It might take some time to figure out where this is going. We’re going to wait until every ballot is counted. We’re gonna give democracy a time to work. And we know we finished really strong.”

The early results are not certain to hold, in part because of unusual voting patterns in this primary election: Ballot-tracking data heading into Tuesday evening showed that Republicans were more likely to vote early by mail, while Democratic voters in this deep-blue state held onto their mail-in ballots or chose to vote in person. That’s the reverse of recent elections, which saw more Democrats voting by mail and Republicans tending to vote in person on Election Day.

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The uncertainty on election night capped a race that remained crowded and unsettled to the end. To some extent, the race was defined by who wasn’t running.

Some of the state’s most high-profile Democrats — former Vice President Kamala Harris, U.S. Sen. Alex Padilla and California Attorney General Rob Bonta — all passed on a potential bid to succeed Newsom.

The race was disrupted in April when then-U.S. Rep. Eric Swalwell’s campaign for governor imploded amid allegations of sexual assault and harassment. Swalwell resigned from Congress shortly after the accusations surfaced and has denied assault allegations.

Swalwell had been gaining in polls and racking up high-profile endorsements, and his exit seemed to primarily benefit Becerra, who had been stuck in single digits in many polls. Ultimately, it quieted fears among Democrats who worried that the messy Democratic field could result in Bianco and Hilton winning the top spots in the June primary.

Marisa Lagos covers California politics at KQED and co-hosts the Political Breakdown show and podcast.

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Supreme Court reinstates Republican-favored Alabama congressional districts

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Supreme Court reinstates Republican-favored Alabama congressional districts

The U.S. Supreme Court

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The Supreme Court on Tuesday cleared the way for Alabama to use a congressional district map favored by Republicans.

The court, in an unsigned order, overturned a three-judge district court panel that found that the map is “tainted by intentional race-based discrimination.” The court’s three liberals publicly dissented.

The ruling means that Alabama’s 2026 midterm elections will feature six Republican-leaning districts and one Democratic-leaning one, as opposed to a map with only five safe Republican seats. Democrat Shomari Figures, who represents Alabama’s Second District, will likely lose his seat as a result of the high court’s ruling.

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The story of Alabama’s congressional map is long and tortured. It began in 2021, when the state implemented a new map to account for population changes in the census. The map featured only one majority-black district out of seven, even though the state is more than one-quarter Black.

Voters immediately sued, claiming the map illegally diluted minority votes in violation of the Voting Rights Act and the Constitution. Lower court judges agreed, ruling that the state must draw a map with two districts where Black voters have a realistic chance of electing their candidate of choice. The Supreme Court more than once has ordered Alabama to draw a compliant map.

But the state has refused and instead continued to litigate the case. On Tuesday, that tactic paid off.

What changed? In April, the Supreme Court’s conservative supermajority all but gutted what remains of the Voting Rights Act, ruling that states cannot purposefully draw districts that are majority-minority.

Alabama then asked the high court to reinstate the state’s old map, under the theory that this new ruling meant that it was permissible to use a map with only one majority-Black district. In an unsigned, unexplained order in May, the high court essentially reversed its previous opinions, and allowed Alabama to use the old map for the upcoming midterm elections.

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This set off a flurry of activity in Alabama. By the time the Supreme Court issued its May order, absentee balloting had already begun, using the court-drawn map. So Republican Governor Kay Ivey cancelled elections and scheduled a special primary for August for the affected congressional races.

The case, however, was not over.

In its ruling, the Supreme Court had ordered a lower court panel to continue evaluating Alabama’s map in light of its recent Voting Rights Act decision. And just 15 days after that order, the panel, composed of three Republican judges—two of them Trump appointees—concluded unanimously that even under the Supreme Court’s new standards, the plan for a single black district was “intentionally discriminatory.”

So, once again, Alabama returned to the Supreme Court, arguing that the map was partisan, not racially discriminatory. In short, that the Republican legislature simply drew the map to elect more Republicans. And that under the Supreme Court’s new interpretation of the Voting Rights Act, the GOP map should be allowed to stand.

The court’s conservative agreed, writing that the lower court “did not heed the presumption of legislative good faith.”

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The court’s three liberals publicly dissented, castigating the conservative majority for failing to abide by its 2006 decision in the case of Purcell v. Gonzalez. That decision declared that courts should not change election rules too close to an election.

Justice Sonia Sotomayor, in her dissent, said the court “debases the democratic process” and “corrodes the rule of law by rewarding Alabama’s gamesmanship and outright defiance of court orders.”

Tuesday’s decision is the latest in a series of Supreme Court rulings that could well reshape the 2026 midterm elections, making it much harder for Democrats to prevail.

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