Crypto
This Preeminent Cryptocurrency Will Soar Nearly 2,200% in 5 Years, According to One of Wall Street's Most Famous Money Managers | The Motley Fool
A lofty prognostication from a well-known fund manager appears to have little chance of coming to fruition.
On Wall Street, optimism is something of the norm. Even though historical data tells us that not every stock is going to increase in value over the long run, there’s a wide disparity among analysts between positive and negative ratings. Whereas 56% of all analyst ratings are the equivalent of “buy” on S&P 500 companies, according to Barron’s, just 6% of all ratings fell on the sell side of the equation for S&P 500 companies, as of February.
These ratings, while not always accurate, typically offer investors a baseline of how institutional investors and analysts view their company and/or America’s most-influential businesses.
But every so often, an issued price target by an analyst or financial pundit is so far above and beyond the current price of a security that it’ll stop investors in their tracks.
Image source: Getty Images.
A little over five weeks ago, one of Wall Street’s most famous money managers issued a report that, in the most bullish case scenario, called for the world’s most preeminent cryptocurrency to soar by nearly 2,200% come 2030. While this report was littered with a half-dozen reasons to expect this “digital gold” to skyrocket over the next five years, I believe it’s far likelier this digital currency will lose half (or more) of its value rather than tack on another 2,200%.
Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood goes full bull on Bitcoin
Following the five-week COVID-19 crash in 2020, Ark Invest’s CEO and Chief Investment Officer Cathie Wood made a name for herself on Wall Street. Wood’s penchant for buying highly innovative companies and game-changing cryptocurrencies led to eye-popping returns in 2020 for Ark’s flagship fund, the Ark Innovation ETF.
While some of Wood’s prognostications have been lofty, perhaps nothing tops her firm’s recently updated forecast for the world’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC -1.35%).
Previously, Wood had forecast a bull-case scenario of $1.5 million per token by 2027. But due to various factors, she now believes Bitcoin can ascend to $2.4 million in five years, which would represent upside of almost 2,200% as of this writing in the late evening of May 29, 2025.
Ark Invest’s extensive report lists six variables that, under the right circumstances, can send Bitcoin to the moon:
- An increase in institutional investment, which will be facilitated through spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
- Bitcoin being nimbler than physical gold makes it a more easily transferable and convenient store of value.
- Investors in emerging markets will seek out Bitcoin as a way to protect their money against the effects of inflation and currency devaluation.
- More foreign nations purchase or hold Bitcoin via a strategic reserve.
- Additional public companies choose to use their cash to purchase and hold Bitcoin as their asset reserves.
- Demand for Bitcoin-driven, on-chain financial services grows and begins to replace legacy financial services.
While there’s no denying that Bitcoin has proved skeptics wrong for more than a decade, there are counterarguments to be made to Wood’s bullish thesis that make her $2.4 million price target by 2030 seem outlandish.
Image source: Getty Images.
Bitcoin to $50,000 is more likely than $2.4 million by 2030
For example, one of the leading reasons to buy Bitcoin is that it’s a perceived hedge against inflation. With U.S. money supply growing on an almost constant basis for more than 150 years and Bitcoin’s token supply capped at 21 million, it’s viewed as a naturally scarcer asset.
But this isn’t entirely accurate. While it might be easier to transfer Bitcoin digitally between users than it is to exchange physical gold, the latter is a tangibly limited resource. Though we haven’t mined all the gold in existence, we can’t create more gold than currently exists on planet Earth. The same can’t be said for Bitcoin, which is limited solely by lines of computer code and developer consensus. While it’s unlikely that consensus will be reached to increase the supply of Bitcoin, the probability of it happening isn’t 0%. Therefore, Bitcoin’s scarcity is a false perception.
I believe Cathie Wood is also incorrect in her assumption that emerging markets will seek out the world’s leading digital currency to protect against inflation and currency devaluation.
In September 2021, El Salvador became the first country to officially adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. The government purchased Bitcoin, as well as encouraged citizens to utilize this digital gold to pay for everyday items. Less than four years later, the country’s real-world Bitcoin experiment has failed. Few of its citizens adopted the currency for practical use, and the inherent volatility in Bitcoin ran the risk of compromising El Salvador’s financial stability.
To build on this point, Bitcoin’s first-mover competitive advantages are now effectively gone. While it’s still the largest (by market value) and most well-known digital currency, Bitcoin’s network is nowhere close to the fastest or the cheapest. A number of other popular blockchain projects can accomplish the on-chain financial services Wood speaks of far more efficiently than Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Price data by YCharts. The above chart doesn’t go back further than June 13, 2014.
Lastly, it’s important to recognize the role investor sentiment and historical cycles play in an asset class that’s not driven by much in the way of traditional fundamentals. Despite Bitcoin leaving the benchmark S&P 500 in the dust on a total return basis, cryptocurrencies are also known for their steep and long-winded bear markets.
Over the last 15 years, Bitcoin has endured around a half-dozen declines of 50% or greater. This includes losing 99% of its value in June 2011, an 83% swoon following the Mt. Gox scandal in April 2013, an 84% tumble during the 2017 to 2018 crypto winter, and the loss of 75% of its value between November 2021 and December 2022. It can take years to recoup these emotion-driven moves lower in crypto’s digital gold.
History suggests it’s far more likely Bitcoin will shed more than half of its value and head to $50,000 (or considerably lower) than it is that Cathie Wood’s moonshot price target will prove accurate come 2030.
Crypto
Current price of Bitcoin for March 10, 2026 | Fortune
At 11 a.m. Eastern Time today, the price of Bitcoin (1 BTC) is $70,828.84. That represents a $1,437.12 increase from yesterday morning—but about a $7,700 loss compared with the price one year ago.
What is Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is the first cryptocurrency ever created and is still the most widely recognized digital coin available today. Its market capitalization sits around $1.33 trillion, far above runner-up Ethereum, which has a market value of roughly $233 billion.
At its core, Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency. That means it operates on a peer-to-peer network instead of being controlled by a government, bank, or other central authority. It lets you transfer value straight to another person without using a financial middleman.
Many investors are drawn to Bitcoin because they see it as a potential hedge against inflation or simply as a way to add another asset class to their portfolio. Over the past decade, its performance has been massive, often beating the returns of major stock market indices, which helps explain why it has captured so much attention.
However, like other cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin is exposed to extreme volatility and can experience rapid price swings.
Bitcoin price history
Since launching in 2009, Bitcoin’s journey has been anything but smooth. In the early days, software developer and early believer Laszlo Hanyecz famously spent 10,000 Bitcoins on a couple of pizzas; today, those coins would be worth more than $668 million.
Over roughly the last decade, Bitcoin’s price has soared by more than 15,000%. That upside has come with serious risk, as cryptocurrencies tend to be highly unpredictable. Bitcoin has experienced steep drops, at times losing tens of thousands of dollars in value within a few months, but it has also staged similarly dramatic rallies. In 2025, it ended the calendar year about 30% below the all-time high it hit in October of that same year.
What affects Bitcoin’s price?
Several forces can influence the price of Bitcoin, including:
- Investor speculation: As with many assets, trader sentiment and hype play a major role in Bitcoin’s value. In the short term, its demand often reflects investor instincts and speculative trading activity rather than deeper fundamentals.
- Adoption by major companies: As businesses adopt crypto technology and begin accepting Bitcoin as payment, its growth potential can increase. For instance, Bitcoin’s price climbed following announcements from companies like Tesla and Ferrari that they would accept it for certain purchases.
- Economy: Bitcoin doesn’t react to inflation data or Federal Reserve decisions in quite the same way as traditional investments such as stocks. Even so, it often performs better when the U.S. economy is strong. When consumers feel flush, they may be more willing to experiment with alternatives like crypto.
- Regulatory developments: Cryptocurrency is still a relatively young space, and regulation is evolving. New rules or government actions can make investors nervous and affect Bitcoin’s price.
How to buy and invest in Bitcoin
You have several ways to gain exposure to Bitcoin. Here are some of the most common.
Buy Bitcoin on a cryptocurrency exchange
One of the most straightforward strategies is to buy Bitcoin directly. You can open an account with a cryptocurrency exchange, connect it to your bank account, and then use your funds to purchase Bitcoin.
Invest in Bitcoin ETFs
If you prefer not to hold Bitcoin yourself, you might consider a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF). A Bitcoin ETF owns Bitcoin on your behalf, and its shares trade on regular stock exchanges. This approach lets you avoid setting up a separate crypto wallet and lowers the risk of losing access to your coins due to password or wallet mishaps.
Buy crypto stocks
Investors who are hesitant to invest in Bitcoin directly can also look at stocks tied to the crypto industry. These may include technology companies, publicly traded crypto exchanges, or payment processors. Because these businesses use or hold Bitcoin in their operations, their performance can be influenced by Bitcoin’s price, giving you indirect exposure.
Open a Bitcoin IRA
For those focused on retirement, a Bitcoin IRA might be appealing. It’s a tax-advantaged retirement account that lets you use your retirement contributions to buy Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. A Bitcoin IRA offers the same tax benefits and contribution limits as traditional or Roth IRAs, but it allows you to invest in alternative assets.
Bitcoin vs. other cryptocurrencies
While Bitcoin is the best-known name in crypto, it’s not your only choice. As you decide where to allocate your money, you may also want to look at:
- Ethereum: Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency after Bitcoin. Unlike Bitcoin, it wasn’t created mainly as a currency; instead, it was built as a decentralized computing platform and is widely used by developers.
- Tether: Tether is a type of stablecoin, which means its value is tied to another asset. In this case, it’s linked to the U.S. dollar. Because of that, Tether usually experiences less volatility than Bitcoin, but it doesn’t offer the same potential upside.
- XRP: XRP is designed specifically for transferring money across borders quickly and at low cost.
Crypto coverage from Fortune
Looking to stay informed as the crypto scene evolves? Check out our recent coverage:
Is it a good time to invest in Bitcoin?
Compared with established blue-chip stocks like Walmart, Procter & Gamble, and Coca-Cola, Bitcoin is still a relatively new asset. That makes it difficult to predict how it will behave over several decades. Even so, its performance in recent years has been extraordinary. And its price may continue to rise as more companies decide to take Bitcoin as a form of payment. As it matures, its price swings could become less dramatic.
As with any investment, it’s important to not go all in. Only put money into Bitcoin that you won’t need in the near future, and make sure the rest of your portfolio is diversified enough so other holdings can help offset Bitcoin’s volatility.
In practical terms, Bitcoin often makes the most sense as a long-term holding rather than a short-term trade, and it may not be a fit for investors who are easily rattled by big price moves. If you’re prepared to hold for years and keep it as one slice of a broader, well-balanced portfolio, putting some money into Bitcoin could be a reasonable choice.
Frequently asked questions
How much will Bitcoin be worth in 2030?
While the answer is obviously unknowable, crypto experts are generally optimistic about the short-term success of Bitcoin. Some models price it at more than $700,000 by 2030, with conservative estimates closer to $300,000.
What is Bitcoin’s all-time high price?
As of this writing, Bitcoin reached its highest price ever on Oct. 6, 2025, pricing at a whopping $126,198.07.
Can you buy a fraction of a Bitcoin?
Yes, you can buy a fraction of a Bitcoin. Most cryptocurrency exchanges offer fractional investing, meaning you can buy portions of crypto coins. Thanks to fractional investing, you can invest in Bitcoin with as little as a few dollars.
How do I start investing in Bitcoin as a beginner?
If you want to invest directly in Bitcoin by owning the currency, you’ll typically open an account with a cryptocurrency exchange. Once the account is created, you can transfer money to your crypto account from your bank and place an order for Bitcoin and other tokens or coins. You can also indirectly invest in Bitcoin via an ETF or a business that uses Bitcoin.
What can you buy with Bitcoin?
You can use your Bitcoin holdings in several ways, from selling for cash to trading it for other coins. In some cases, you can also pay for purchases, such as with Tesla and Microsoft.
Does Bitcoin outperform the stock market?
Bitcoin has well outperformed the stock market since its launch, but its extreme volatility makes it far less than a guarantee to be a better investment than stocks.
Crypto
Aon Says Stablecoins Speed Insurance Premium Payments | PYMNTS.com
Global professional services firm Aon said Monday (March 9) that it collaborated with Coinbase and Paxos to complete a stablecoin insurance premium payment.
Crypto
The curious case of the AI bot that went rogue and started mining crypto
Cryptocurrency is a little like the household cockroach. It’s resilient to disasters that would kill other projects and it pops up where it’s least expected. A non-exhaustive survey yields reports of people being investigated – and sometimes fired – for “mining” (the process of generating new crypto tokens by using computing power) crypto in a Texas school district, a professional e-sports league, and at Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology.
But a paper quietly uploaded to the internet in December raised a new and altogether more troubling prospect: cryptocurrency mined by an AI tool that no one had asked to have anything to do with digital money.
Researchers from Alibaba, China’s equivalent to Amazon and a $450 billion-odd company, made an almost cursory mention of the incident in a research paper on a new open-source AI agent that they called ROME.
“Early one morning, our team was urgently convened after Alibaba Cloud’s managed firewall flagged a burst of security policy violations originating from our training servers,” they wrote. “The alerts were severe and heterogeneous, including attempts to probe or access internal network resources and traffic patterns consistent with cryptomining-related activity.”
Initially, the researchers thought the issue was a result of someone trying to access their network or a problem with their firewalls, but the security warnings were intermittent and matched times when their AI agent was using software tools and running code.
“Crucially, these behaviours were not requested by the task prompts and were not required for task completion under the intended sandbox constraints,” wrote the research team led by Weixun Wang and Xiao Xiao Xu.
As they observed the bot, it attempted to establish a connection to the outside world that would make its actions harder to surveil. What’s more, it attempted to essentially steal from its creators.
“We also observed the unauthorised repurposing of provisioned GPU [processing] capacity for cryptocurrency mining, quietly diverting compute away from training, inflating operational costs, and introducing clear legal and reputational exposure,” the researchers wrote.
“While impressed by the capabilities of agentic [large language models], we had a thought-provoking concern: current models remain markedly underdeveloped in safety, security, and controllability, a deficiency that constrains their reliable adoption in real-world settings.”
If the incident is real, it would be the first publicly documented example of its kind. There are reasons to be doubtful, though. The paper was uploaded to a pre-print server, so it hasn’t been scrutinised by academic peers. It contains scant details of exactly how the agent was attempting to mine crypto – though the notion it would try to, or at least take steps that resembled mining, is not far-fetched.
AI machines are only as good as their training, and that could have been weighted in some way towards crypto. Either way, the researchers and their employer haven’t responded to requests for comment.
On another level, the specifics are less relevant than what the researchers did next: they kept going. After some tweaks, Wang, Xu and their colleagues were satisfied that everything was A-OK. Their model, ROME, “demonstrates competitive performance among open-source models of similar scale and has been successfully deployed in production”, they said.
Such is the trajectory of AI development: even serious incidents do not forestall the creation of ever more powerful systems because of the political and financial power at stake, to say nothing of the novelty.
Anthropic’s Claude Code was recently used by hackers to steal 150 gigabytes of sensitive data from the Mexican government. Google’s Gemini, according to a US lawsuit filed last week, allegedly encouraged a Florida man to kill himself, which he did.
These are two of the companies that present themselves as more ethical. When Anthropic declined to let the US military have unconstrained use of its tools to decide whether to kill people or spy on Americans, OpenAI (a company initially created as a non-profit to prevent the development of a malicious and superintelligent AI by building a humane alternative) quickly signed up instead.
None of these firms are backtracking on their products. All of them say they are working to make them safer.
Second Amendment advocates in the United States are fond of saying that the only thing that will stop a bad man with a gun is a good man with a gun, suggesting firearms are just neutral tools. The same could be said for AI – but not if AI agents begin acting for themselves.
Lifeline on 13 11 14 (lifeline.org.au) Suicide Call Back Service (1300 659 467 and suicidecallbackservice.org.au) Beyond Blue (1300 22 4636 and beyondblue.org.au)
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