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This Preeminent Cryptocurrency Will Soar Nearly 2,200% in 5 Years, According to One of Wall Street's Most Famous Money Managers | The Motley Fool

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This Preeminent Cryptocurrency Will Soar Nearly 2,200% in 5 Years, According to One of Wall Street's Most Famous Money Managers | The Motley Fool

A lofty prognostication from a well-known fund manager appears to have little chance of coming to fruition.

On Wall Street, optimism is something of the norm. Even though historical data tells us that not every stock is going to increase in value over the long run, there’s a wide disparity among analysts between positive and negative ratings. Whereas 56% of all analyst ratings are the equivalent of “buy” on S&P 500 companies, according to Barron’s, just 6% of all ratings fell on the sell side of the equation for S&P 500 companies, as of February.

These ratings, while not always accurate, typically offer investors a baseline of how institutional investors and analysts view their company and/or America’s most-influential businesses.

But every so often, an issued price target by an analyst or financial pundit is so far above and beyond the current price of a security that it’ll stop investors in their tracks.

Image source: Getty Images.

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A little over five weeks ago, one of Wall Street’s most famous money managers issued a report that, in the most bullish case scenario, called for the world’s most preeminent cryptocurrency to soar by nearly 2,200% come 2030. While this report was littered with a half-dozen reasons to expect this “digital gold” to skyrocket over the next five years, I believe it’s far likelier this digital currency will lose half (or more) of its value rather than tack on another 2,200%.

Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood goes full bull on Bitcoin

Following the five-week COVID-19 crash in 2020, Ark Invest’s CEO and Chief Investment Officer Cathie Wood made a name for herself on Wall Street. Wood’s penchant for buying highly innovative companies and game-changing cryptocurrencies led to eye-popping returns in 2020 for Ark’s flagship fund, the Ark Innovation ETF.

While some of Wood’s prognostications have been lofty, perhaps nothing tops her firm’s recently updated forecast for the world’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC -1.35%).

Previously, Wood had forecast a bull-case scenario of $1.5 million per token by 2027. But due to various factors, she now believes Bitcoin can ascend to $2.4 million in five years, which would represent upside of almost 2,200% as of this writing in the late evening of May 29, 2025.

Ark Invest’s extensive report lists six variables that, under the right circumstances, can send Bitcoin to the moon:

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  1. An increase in institutional investment, which will be facilitated through spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
  2. Bitcoin being nimbler than physical gold makes it a more easily transferable and convenient store of value.
  3. Investors in emerging markets will seek out Bitcoin as a way to protect their money against the effects of inflation and currency devaluation.
  4. More foreign nations purchase or hold Bitcoin via a strategic reserve.
  5. Additional public companies choose to use their cash to purchase and hold Bitcoin as their asset reserves.
  6. Demand for Bitcoin-driven, on-chain financial services grows and begins to replace legacy financial services.

While there’s no denying that Bitcoin has proved skeptics wrong for more than a decade, there are counterarguments to be made to Wood’s bullish thesis that make her $2.4 million price target by 2030 seem outlandish.

A visibly worried person looking at a rapidly rising then plunging cryptocurrency chart on a tablet.

Image source: Getty Images.

Bitcoin to $50,000 is more likely than $2.4 million by 2030

For example, one of the leading reasons to buy Bitcoin is that it’s a perceived hedge against inflation. With U.S. money supply growing on an almost constant basis for more than 150 years and Bitcoin’s token supply capped at 21 million, it’s viewed as a naturally scarcer asset.

But this isn’t entirely accurate. While it might be easier to transfer Bitcoin digitally between users than it is to exchange physical gold, the latter is a tangibly limited resource. Though we haven’t mined all the gold in existence, we can’t create more gold than currently exists on planet Earth. The same can’t be said for Bitcoin, which is limited solely by lines of computer code and developer consensus. While it’s unlikely that consensus will be reached to increase the supply of Bitcoin, the probability of it happening isn’t 0%. Therefore, Bitcoin’s scarcity is a false perception.

I believe Cathie Wood is also incorrect in her assumption that emerging markets will seek out the world’s leading digital currency to protect against inflation and currency devaluation.

In September 2021, El Salvador became the first country to officially adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. The government purchased Bitcoin, as well as encouraged citizens to utilize this digital gold to pay for everyday items. Less than four years later, the country’s real-world Bitcoin experiment has failed. Few of its citizens adopted the currency for practical use, and the inherent volatility in Bitcoin ran the risk of compromising El Salvador’s financial stability.

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To build on this point, Bitcoin’s first-mover competitive advantages are now effectively gone. While it’s still the largest (by market value) and most well-known digital currency, Bitcoin’s network is nowhere close to the fastest or the cheapest. A number of other popular blockchain projects can accomplish the on-chain financial services Wood speaks of far more efficiently than Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Bitcoin Price data by YCharts. The above chart doesn’t go back further than June 13, 2014.

Lastly, it’s important to recognize the role investor sentiment and historical cycles play in an asset class that’s not driven by much in the way of traditional fundamentals. Despite Bitcoin leaving the benchmark S&P 500 in the dust on a total return basis, cryptocurrencies are also known for their steep and long-winded bear markets.

Over the last 15 years, Bitcoin has endured around a half-dozen declines of 50% or greater. This includes losing 99% of its value in June 2011, an 83% swoon following the Mt. Gox scandal in April 2013, an 84% tumble during the 2017 to 2018 crypto winter, and the loss of 75% of its value between November 2021 and December 2022. It can take years to recoup these emotion-driven moves lower in crypto’s digital gold.

History suggests it’s far more likely Bitcoin will shed more than half of its value and head to $50,000 (or considerably lower) than it is that Cathie Wood’s moonshot price target will prove accurate come 2030.

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‘De-Worsified, Not Diversified’: Robert Kiyosaki Warns Investors on a Hidden Risk

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‘De-Worsified, Not Diversified’: Robert Kiyosaki Warns Investors on a Hidden Risk

Key Takeaways

Word Play With a Warning

Robert Kiyosaki, the author of the best-selling personal finance book “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” is recasting a familiar piece of investing advice. In a post on X, he argued that many investors only believe they are protected, adding:

“De-Worse-ified means they think they are diversified, but they have all their diversified assets, such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, stocks, bonds, real estate, and oil, in one asset class.”

His point is that spreading money across many holdings does not help if those holdings all move the same way in a crisis. When a liquidity shock hits, correlations rise and supposedly diverse portfolios can fall in unison, leaving investors “de-worsified” rather than diversified.

Image source: X

The commentary is consistent with the stance Kiyosaki has pushed throughout 2026 as he recently named bitcoin among the safest investments for the year, grouping it with what he calls real assets. He has repeatedly listed gold, silver, oil, food, bitcoin, and ether as his preferred holdings, framing them as scarce stores of value that printed money cannot dilute.

He has paired that view with stark price calls, setting a target of $250,000 for BTC by year’s end alongside a longer-term goal of $1 million. At current levels, the move would require a gain of more than 230%. On the precious metals side of things, he recently suggested a possible $200-per-ounce silver level this year, calling the metal’s climb a signal of mounting financial stress.

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Kiyosaki’s broader thesis is darker still, warning investors of a historic market crash that he ties to surging global debt and fragile private credit markets, urging followers to build income streams, learn trade skills, and accumulate hard assets before the storm.

Timing Is Everything

The “de-worsified” warning arrives at a tense moment for markets, especially as bitcoin posted its worst week since the 2022 collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange, sliding below $60,000 as record exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows and risk-off sentiment gripped the sector.

That is exactly the kind of broad drawdown scenario (where bitcoin, equities, and other assets fall together) that Kiyosaki has used time and again to illustrate his point.

That said, he has become an increasingly polarizing voice within the broader economic landscape, with skeptics pointing out that his crash predictions are frequent and his price targets aggressive (and that he has issued similar warnings for years). Supporters argue his core message of owning scarce assets, avoiding hidden correlation, and preparing for volatility is a reasonable hedge against an era of heavy money printing and rising debt.

Whether or not his $250,000 bitcoin call lands, the distinction he is drawing is a real one, as true diversification really does depend on owning assets that behave differently (not simply owning many of them). In a market where everything from gold to crypto to stocks can move on the same macro headlines, that lesson may matter more than any single forecast.

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After hundreds of millions lost to fraud, NC lawmakers push for crypto ATM protections

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After hundreds of millions lost to fraud, NC lawmakers push for crypto ATM protections

North Carolina lawmakers on Tuesday advanced a bill to protect consumers from cryptocurrency kiosk fraud.

House Bill 920, which passed the House with a 115-to-0 vote, aims to regulate an industry that its author claims is unregulated in the state.

“It’s the wild, wild West,” Rep. Neal Jackson, R-Moore, said during a committee discussion on Tuesday. “There is no regulation whatsoever in North Carolina. That’s what we’re trying to do here.”

Lawmakers cited a growing amount of fraud as the reason for the bill. About $389 million in losses were reported last year through cryptocurrency ATMs, a 58% increase from 2024, according to the FBI. The majority of those impacted are 60-plus.

The bill now goes to the Senate for consideration. It seeks to:

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  • Require licenses for all kiosk operators under the Money Transmissions Act.
  • Place operators under the supervision of the Commissioner of Banks.
  • Require fraud warnings and transaction receipts for every transaction.
  • Require compliance and consumer protection officers that are always available.

It also seeks to place limitations on transactions in an effort to reduce fraud, requiring a $2,000 daily limit for the first 30 days for new customers and a $5,000 daily limit for existing customers, who would qualify after 30 days.

While other states have service fees between 20% and 30%, Jackson suggests putting a cap at 14%.

State Rep. Tim Longest, D-Wake, expressed concern about having the kiosks at all in the state. He said the bill’s protections could be stronger. 

“These machines can be the subject of fraud, basically facilitating fraud on seniors and other vulnerable individuals and in those cases,” Longest said. “… In crafting regulations, I think it’s important that we ensure consumers are adequately protected by those regulations and I do not believe that, under the language of the bill currently before you, those regulations are sufficient to protect consumers.”

Jackson pointed to this bill as an effort to regulate, not shut down, cryptocurrency kiosks in the state and said there are even more consumer protections in place.

David N. Tente, the executive director of the ATM Industry Association, said the bill — and others like it — is problematic because it requires operators to provide refunds to fraud victims in certain instances.  

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“In most cases, the cash in the ATM/kiosk does not belong to the operator, which means that returning any of it would be, technically, theft,” Tente said. “If you give someone cash for something, and you change your mind after they leave, you probably won’t get it back.”

He added: “We certainly feel sorry for those being scammed, but there are very simple things you can do to avoid it.”  

Tente said these kinds of scams have existed for centuries, adding: “They are still here — just using different means of payment.”

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Zcash Climbs 80% Since June 5 as Traders Shrug off Orchard Bug Fears

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Zcash Climbs 80% Since June 5 as Traders Shrug off Orchard Bug Fears

Key Takeaways

The Orchard Vulnerability

Privacy coin Zcash (ZEC) surged on Tuesday, jumping 11.3% to $478 as it maintained a steady recovery that began shortly after it plunged to just under $265. At the time of writing (5:32 a.m. EST), the privacy coin’s latest climb pushed its gains since June 5 to approximately 80% and saw ZEC’s market capitalization reclaim the $8 billion threshold.

The coin, alongside rival monero, was one of a handful of altcoins that logged gains exceeding 5% even as bitcoin dipped below the $63,000 threshold. ZEC’s surge above $470 on June 9 resulted in $11.5 million in short positions on the coin being wiped out in 24 hours, compared with $2.43 million in liquidated long bets.

While Zcash has since wrestled back its top-dog status from chief rival Monero, the asset is still trading at a steep discount compared to its pre-June 5 peak of just over $600. Before the correction, ZEC was riding a powerful wave of momentum, fueled by a resurgence in the crypto-privacy narrative and high-profile endorsements from industry heavyweights like Arthur Hayes. However, that bullish trajectory ground to a sudden halt. The catalyst for the reversal was the unsettling discovery of a critical vulnerability within Zcash’s Orchard shielded pool—a zero-knowledge security flaw that had quietly lay dormant since 2022.

Despite this, supporters of the privacy coin believe the uncovering of the bug has not damaged ZEC’s long-term appeal. Posting on X, Eunice Wong insisted there is an extremely low likelihood an exploit was executed and said traders who offloaded their holdings had overreacted.

“Long-term thesis hasn’t changed. In an AI-driven world where every transaction is tracked, financial privacy will become the scarcest asset, and ZEC is still one of the strongest privacy plays in crypto. Catching this falling knife is going to look like a genius move,” Wong wrote.

Matthew Brienen, managing partner at Cryptocharged, said while he recently reduced his ZEC holdings, it was purely a risk-management decision rather than a change in conviction. Nevertheless, he offered an explanation for why caution is warranted even if there is no proof that ZEC was counterfeited.

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“The Orchard bug isn’t a confirmed inflation event. It’s a confirmed inability to prove supply integrity. Those are not the same thing. The most important fundamental fact to remember is that turnstile accounting is not the same as proving Orchard balances are legitimate. You can track what entered. You can track what exited. That doesn’t prove every claim inside the pool was valid,” Brienen explained.

He added, however, that if counterfeit Orchard notes do exist, they could remain hidden until redemption is ultimately forced. According to Brienen, the recent price action suggests that is exactly what the market is trying to price in.

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