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This Cryptocurrency Could Soar by 23,000% Over the Next 2 Decades, According to MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor

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This Cryptocurrency Could Soar by 23,000% Over the Next 2 Decades, According to MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor

Although Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is sitting as of this writing almost 25% below its all-time high of $73,750 reached earlier this year, there are plenty of bullish crypto investors who are still convinced that Bitcoin will skyrocket over the long run. Among them is Michael Saylor, founder and executive chairman of MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR), who recently doubled down on his prediction that a single Bitcoin would be worth $13 million by the year 2045.

At last report, MicroStrategy owned 226,500 Bitcoins with a market value around $14 billion. It touts itself as “the largest corporate holder of bitcoin and the world’s first bitcoin development company.” Bloomberg reported last month that Saylor himself owns about $1 billion worth of Bitcoins.

Based on Bitcoin’s recent price of $55,000, a $13 million target represents an astronomical 23,000% return if you buy today and hold for the next two decades. Obviously, a lot has to happen for that to become a reality. Let’s take a closer look.

Bitcoin’s long-run performance

Yes, seeing a $13 million price tag for Bitcoin can induce a fair amount of sticker shock. But if you dig into the numbers, the math actually starts to make sense. And a lot of that has to do with the compounding power of money. If any asset is allowed to compound in value for a long period of time, the results have the potential to shock.

In the case of Bitcoin, it would require a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30% for the magic to happen and it to jump from $55,000 now to $13 million in 2045. In other words, if Bitcoin can increase in value by 30% per year, for the next 21 years, an upfront investment of $55,000 would turn into $13 million.

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And, while it may be unlikely, a CAGR of 30% for Bitcoin is not out of the question. From 2011 to 2021, Bitcoin delivered annualized returns of 230% per year. And Bitcoin returned approximately 150% in 2023. Already this year, Bitcoin is up more than 30%. Over the past five years, the only blemish was 2022, when Bitcoin fell nearly 65%.

So what can investors realistically expect? In an interview this month with CNBC, Saylor predicted that during the next two decades, Bitcoin’s annual return would steadily fall over time, from about 44% a year to 40% to 35% to 30% to 25% to… well, you get the idea. The final long-run number for Bitcoin, says Saylor, would be the annual return of the S&P 500 plus an extra 8% to compensate investors for the extra risk.

At some point, of course, it’s worth taking a moment to ponder what a price tag of $13 million really means for Bitcoin. Based on its current circulating coin supply of 20 million, that implies a future market cap of $260 trillion. That dwarfs the value of any tech stock today, and in fact, it dwarfs the value of the entire S&P 500, which today sits at around $45 trillion.

Even if we assume that U.S. stocks will grow at a rate of 10% per year over the next 20 years, a price tag of $13 million still implies that Bitcoin would represent an astonishing amount of the world’s wealth in the year 2045. For that reason alone, it’s worth having a healthy dose of skepticism about Bitcoin’s future price trajectory.

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Bitcoin as an asset class

For much of its history, Bitcoin has been uncorrelated with any major asset class, and that has made it very unique from a risk diversification perspective. Quite simply, Bitcoin can zig when other assets zag.

Artist's rendering of Bitcoin logo in front of the Wall Street street sign.

Image source: Getty Images.

Thus, Bitcoin is growing in favor with billionaire hedge fund managers, who increasingly view it as a way to hedge risk. In some cases, that risk might be economic, such as the risk of inflation. In other cases, that risk might be geopolitical. In the CNBC interview, Saylor uses the example of missile strikes to illustrate this point. What do you do as an investor if you wake up one morning and hear that there have been missile strikes somewhere in the world?

Until recently, the answer to that question might have been: Buy gold. But there is growing popularity in the notion that Bitcoin is “digital gold.” Some investors are buying Bitcoin, and not gold, as a hedge against worst-case scenarios popping off around the world. It sounds surprising, but Bitcoin might actually be a safe haven asset.

All of which is to say: The more that Bitcoin can cement its status as a valuable, stand-alone asset class, the more likely it is that its price could skyrocket during the next two decades. That’s because investors will be willing to allocate a greater and greater share of their portfolio to it.

Risk factors

Of course, there are several factors that could derail Bitcoin during the next two decades. For example, if Bitcoin’s annual returns decline significantly for an extended period of time, investors might just decide that they can get the same type of return, while taking on much less risk, simply by buying hot tech stocks.

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Or, even worse, the U.S. political and regulatory establishment might shift against Bitcoin. For example, there might be a crackdown on Bitcoin mining, given the concerns over its environmental impact. Or, regulators in the U.S. might decide to ban Bitcoin entirely, as they’ve done in China and other nations. At the very least, the government could make things difficult for Bitcoin owners simply by making a few quick changes to the U.S. tax code.

That said, I remain bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. As long as it continues to deliver anywhere close to the type of performance that it has delivered over the past decade, investors are likely to be very pleased at Bitcoin’s valuation 20 years from now, even if it’s nowhere close to the astronomically high valuation predicted by Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy.

Should you invest $1,000 in Bitcoin right now?

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Dominic Basulto has positions in Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

This Cryptocurrency Could Soar by 23,000% Over the Next 2 Decades, According to MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor was originally published by The Motley Fool

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El Salvador Adds to Bitcoin Reserve Again as Daily Buys Push Stack Past 7,680 BTC

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El Salvador Adds to Bitcoin Reserve Again as Daily Buys Push Stack Past 7,680 BTC

Key Takeaways

Buying the Dip, Every Day

El Salvador has once again added to its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, summing up its strategy in four words, i.e. “Buying the dip, every day.” The latest buy continues a routine that has become a defining feature of President Nayib Bukele’s economic policy.

Image source: X

The country’s reserve now stands at 7,687 BTC, valued at more than $510 million, according to recent counts. Bitcoin.com News reported that El Salvador has been treating market weakness as an invitation to add to the national stack, scooping up coins even as bitcoin slid close to $66,000.

Between January and April alone, authorities added more than 1,600 coins, consistent with a long-running policy of acquiring close to one bitcoin per day regardless of short-term volatility.

That steady, mechanical approach, often described as dollar-cost averaging at the national level, has allowed the country to keep growing its holdings without trying to time the market. Each purchase is small, but the cumulative effect has pushed El Salvador into the ranks of the largest sovereign bitcoin holders.

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The IMF Standoff Explained

The buying persists despite friction with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) because under a $1.4 billion financing agreement, the IMF has urged El Salvador’s public sector to halt bitcoin accumulation, and the fund has repeatedly questioned how the country reconciles its purchases with the deal’s terms.

Last year, El Salvador passed an IMF review even as it continued to expand its holdings, leaving observers puzzled over how both can be true at once.

Bukele has shown no sign of backing down as he has long insisted the country will not sell, framing its conviction with the mantra that 1 BTC = 1 BTC regardless of the U.S. dollar’s price. The government’s position is that the reserve is a long-term bet on bitcoin’s appreciation, not a trading position to be unwound during downturns.

The IMF, for its part, has argued that some of El Salvador’s reported accumulation amounts to shuffling existing coins rather than net new purchases, a characterization the government disputes. The opacity around exactly how and when coins are added has made the precise reserve figure difficult to pin down, even as the trend line points steadily upward.

A Long-Term Bet

El Salvador became the first country to adopt bitcoin as legal tender in 2021, and although it later adjusted that status under IMF pressure, Bukele has kept the reserve growing. The strategy has drawn both criticism and imitation, with other governments and corporations studying the model of steady, programmatic accumulation.

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The approach has also reshaped how the country talks about its finances, given officials now report bitcoin alongside traditional reserves, and Bukele frequently uses unrealized gains on the stack as a talking point during market upswings. Either way, the reserve has become a central part of the nation’s economic identity.

Looking ahead, it will be interesting to see whether the IMF tolerates El Salvador’s trajectory or escalates its objections, thereby helping determine how far Bukele can push his bitcoin experiment.

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Crypto’s Courtside Takeover: Digital Assets in Pro Tennis

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Crypto’s Courtside Takeover: Digital Assets in Pro Tennis

Courtside advertising suddenly looks quite different. The traditional mainstays like Rolex and BMW and luxury car brands are still out there on the digital hoardings, of course. But they are increasingly sharing space with various cryptocurrency platforms and blockchain networks. It’s an interesting visual contrast for a sport that has historically been very particular about its aesthetic, pointing to a broader shift in who is funding global sports entertainment.

This presence goes much deeper than simple baseline signage. Running a modern tennis tournament requires substantial capital and organizers have found a willing partner in the tech sector. 

These blockchain firms have moved quickly from the margins of the internet straight onto the umpire chairs. While seeing digital asset companies backing a sport famous for its strict traditions can feel unexpected, it simply demonstrates how quickly these platforms have integrated into mainstream commerce.

A New Opportunity for Career Longevity

Then you have the players. A few years ago, a top-tier pro would retire and immediately sign a deal to commentate or sell luxury SUVs. Now, newer athletes are signing deals to take portions of their prize money in digital tokens. It makes sense if you look at it from their perspective. 

An active career in tennis is notoriously short – one bad knee injury during a slippery slide on clay can end a livelihood – and diversifying into volatile digital assets feels like a calculated risk when you already live a high-stakes lifestyle. They pitch these platforms to fans who are stuck sitting in traffic on their morning commute, dreaming of hitting a clean backhand down the line.

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Evolution of Fan Interaction

Naturally, marketing teams had to find a way to drag the average fan into this ecosystem. Enter the era of fan tokens and experimental NFT drops… for a minute or two. Every major tournament seemed convinced that fans wanted a digital JPEG of a tennis ball that granted them the right to vote on the pre-match warm-up music, rather than cheaper stadium food or cleaner bathrooms. 

Most of these experimental projects eventually settled into a quiet, heavily discounted corner of the internet, but the underlying infrastructure remained intact. People got used to the terminology, downloaded the apps, and stopped viewing digital wallets as a niche hobby for the tech bros of the major cities around the world.

A Broader Shift

This entire courtside takeover did not happen in an isolated sporting vacuum. Audiences became comfortable with digital transactions through casual everyday utility, not by reading dense technical whitepapers. Whether someone bought a digital skin in an online video game, tried to time a speculative market swing, or spent an evening exploring how people use alternative assets at crypto casinos to avoid traditional banking delays, the familiarity grew organically.

When people are already utilizing alternative currencies to fund their hobbies or pass the time online, seeing those same financial logos plastered across the net at a Masters 1000 event stops looking strange. It blends into regular, mundane reality.

We probably will not see the sport abandon its traditional roots entirely. Wimbledon will keep its strawberries and cream, and players will still bow to the royal box. But the digital asset money has settled into the clay. It pays for the prize pots, it funds the lower-tier challenger circuits that struggle to survive, and it keeps the digital scoreboards running. The bright tech logos are now as much a part of professional tennis as bad line calls and broken rackets.

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IMF Warns Nigeria’s Stablecoin Boom Could Weaken Local Currency Demand

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IMF Warns Nigeria’s Stablecoin Boom Could Weaken Local Currency Demand

Key Takeaways

IMF: Stablecoins Transform From Niche Market to Major Payment Route

Nigerians are increasingly turning to U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins to move money across borders as small businesses and households search for cheaper and faster alternatives to traditional banking channels, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said June 16.

Previously seen as a niche financial market, crypto has evolved into a dominant payments corridor in Nigeria. The country pulled in roughly $59 billion in crypto inflows between July 2023 and June 2024, securing about 60% of all stablecoin traffic in sub-Saharan Africa, IMF data shows.

The surging adoption comes as the Nigerian government pivots toward formalizing the digital asset sector. The Nigerian Senate recently advanced a comprehensive cryptocurrency regulation bill to its Committee on Capital Market for a four-week review phase. The bill, which passed a crucial second reading following a majority voice vote, aims to establish mandatory licensing for digital asset exchanges and introduce investor protections.

For years, regulatory uncertainty has clouded the country’s digital asset market. Local industry advocates point to a restrictive 2021 central bank directive under former Central Bank of Nigeria Governor Godwin Emefiele as a measure that drove transactions into opaque, black-market environments and slowed institutional growth. Lawmakers sponsoring the new legislation argue that formal regulation is now vital to protect consumers and prevent Nigeria from falling behind regional peers like South Africa and Kenya.

The economic drivers behind the shift are stark. Traditional cross-border remittances to sub-Saharan Africa are among the most expensive in the world, averaging about 9% of a $200 transaction value compared to a global average of 6%, according to World Bank data cited by the IMF.

By contrast, stablecoins allow users to transfer funds near-instantly via smartphones and digital wallets at a fraction of the cost. Beyond cost-cutting, the digital tokens offer local users a way to store value outside of the volatile Nigerian naira, effectively acting as a bridge between cryptocurrency markets and everyday commerce.

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However, the IMF warned that the rapid rise of dollar-linked tokens introduces significant policy headaches for West Africa’s largest economy. Widespread displacement of the local currency could weaken the central bank’s monetary policy levers by reducing domestic demand for the naira.

Furthermore, migrating financial transactions to private digital wallets complicates regulatory oversight, raising the risk of illicit financial flows and terrorism financing—the exact vulnerabilities the Senate’s newly proposed regulatory framework is under pressure to address.

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