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The Best Cryptocurrency to Buy During Trump's Tariff Battle | The Motley Fool

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The Best Cryptocurrency to Buy During Trump's Tariff Battle | The Motley Fool

There’s no denying that new global tariffs have turned the crypto market upside down in 2025. Just take a look at the top 50 cryptocurrencies as ranked by market cap; only a small handful of them are still up year to date.

One of those is Bitcoin (BTC 2.89%), which has proved surprisingly resilient. It’s now up 12% over the past 30 days and 1% for the year. It is, quite simply, the best cryptocurrency to buy during the current tariff battle, and here’s why.

Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset

There’s a simple reason Bitcoin has managed to eke out a 1% gain for the year: Investors are increasingly viewing it as a hedge against economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Historically, it has been uncorrelated with any major asset class. In short, it can zig when other assets zag. So, even if the entire U.S. stock market is collapsing due to tariffs, the crypto still has the potential to buck the trend. That makes it very valuable as a potential hedge.

Moreover, the digital coin has proved, time and time again, to be resilient against economic and geopolitical shocks. Last September, BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) published a 10-page report on the unique diversification properties of Bitcoin.

It included an entire section on how well it has held up during times of crisis. BlackRock looked at six specific shocks to the global economic system that occurred between 2020 and 2024 and found that it actually outperformed gold in five of those six cases.

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That’s interesting, because gold has historically been the one safe-haven asset that investors need to hold during any period of crisis. That’s why gold has soared past the $3,000 mark this year, and why some analysts think that it could even hit $4,000 by early 2026. If you are fearful about the future, you buy gold.

So, if you buy into the notion that Bitcoin is “digital gold,” then it could begin to narrow the performance gap with the precious metal over the course of the next eight months. That could set it up nicely for a nice mini-rally in the second half of 2025, even if global trade is falling off a container ship.

Bitcoin as a potential reserve currency?

On the surface, Bitcoin has very little to do with global trade, tariffs, imports, or exports. There’s only a very limited amount of trade that’s actually settled in that crypto.

Any Bitcoin-related trade typically involves nations that are being sanctioned by the United States, or that are outside the traditional system of global trade.

Image source: Getty Images.

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But hedge fund managers, big institutional investors, and Wall Street executives are starting to talk seriously about the digital coin as a potential reserve currency. In their view, investors around the world are starting to lose faith in the U.S. dollar and the U.S. economy. If this trend accelerates, nations around the world might start to look for an alternative reserve currency.

For more than a decade, the idea of Bitcoin ultimately replacing the U.S. dollar has been a pet theory of crypto enthusiasts. As they see it, the token is superior to any fiat currency. It is digital, global, non-sovereign, and disinflationary.

Until this year, though, few people could have envisioned a day when investors wouldn’t want to invest in U.S. assets, hold U.S. dollars, or buy U.S. Treasury debt. But unfortunately, that’s where we could be headed, if this current tariff situation doesn’t get sorted out fast.

Bitcoin would be a likely beneficiary of any de-dollarization trend. Even if Bitcoin does not become the “official” reserve currency of the world, it’s easy to imagine a scenario where sovereign governments and central banks around the world start to buy more Bitcoin. You know — just in case. And that type of new buying would surely push the price higher.

How high can Bitcoin go in 2025?

It’s been fascinating to watch just how quickly investor perceptions have changed over the past few months. In their view, Bitcoin has transformed from being a highly volatile risk-on asset to a relatively safe risk-off asset.

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As a result, some investors are starting to ratchet up their price forecasts once again. Right now, online prediction markets are suggesting that Bitcoin has a 49% chance of hitting $125,000 in 2025.

Of course, $125,000 is significantly below bullish forecasts from January, when many people expected it to double in price from the $100,000 level. But given all the turmoil and uncertainty over tariffs this year, I would be very comfortable with a gain of 25% for the year.

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SEC Turns to Public for Crucial Feedback on Cryptocurrency Trading – OneSafe Blog

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SEC Turns to Public for Crucial Feedback on Cryptocurrency Trading – OneSafe Blog

The cryptocurrency landscape is at a crossroads, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is making waves with a bold departure from its usual tactics. Instead of relying solely on enforcement, the SEC is actively soliciting insights from the public on how cryptocurrencies should be traded on regulated exchanges. Guided by the vision of SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce, this initiative seeks to clarify regulations surrounding digital assets and find that delicate balance between encouraging innovation and safeguarding investor interests. The contributions from individuals and industry players may not just influence policy; they could redefine the entire cryptocurrency regulatory framework in the United States.

Decoding the SEC’s Inquiry into Cryptocurrencies

This inquiry delves into the complexities of distinguishing between security and non-security cryptocurrencies on national exchanges, a shift from the agency’s historically punitive approach. By inviting dialogue, the SEC aims to cultivate a regulatory environment that truly reflects the unique traits of digital assets while reinforcing essential investor protections. This represents a significant step forward in wrestling with the often opaque and tumultuous world of cryptocurrency regulation.

The Stakeholder Dialogue: A Window of Opportunity

Commissioner Peirce’s call for feedback opens a channel for industry voices to share their on-the-ground realities and the hurdles they encounter in cryptocurrency trading. Key issues up for discussion include how to navigate risk management for mixed trading pairs, developing tailored protections for investors in the digital realm, and refining the technical requirements for clearing and settlement. By fostering this collaborative atmosphere, the SEC could pave the way for a regulatory framework that resonates more closely with the actual practices in cryptocurrency trading—ultimately benefiting both investors and market participants.

Reshaping Cryptocurrency Trade Frameworks

Should this new regulatory approach be implemented thoughtfully, the ramifications could be profound, potentially transforming the very infrastructure of cryptocurrency trading. The establishment of legitimacy could usher in increased institutional investment, as clearer guidelines around custody and security standards surface to protect investors. This clarity is crucial in fostering an ecosystem where cryptocurrencies gain acceptance among traditional financial institutions, steering the sector away from a history marked by enforcement-driven stagnation that has stifled innovation.

Balancing Privacy and Regulatory Oversight

Conversations between SEC officials and leaders from the cryptocurrency sphere indicate the urgent need to balance the imperatives of privacy with the demands of regulatory oversight. With blockchain activities expanding at an unprecedented rate, Commissioner Peirce has signaled the necessity for a recalibration in how we surveil financial transactions. As she aptly puts it, there’s a clear challenge: how do we maintain financial privacy while enhancing oversight in an ever-evolving digital landscape? This dialogue underscores the complexities that lie ahead, where the push for tighter regulation must not compromise individual privacy rights.

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What Does the Future Hold for U.S. Cryptocurrency Markets?

This inquiry arrives at a time of exponential growth in global cryptocurrency trading volumes, making the SEC’s timing absolutely critical. If the U.S. fails to establish clear regulatory frameworks, it risks trailing behind the rest of the world. The insights gathered during this public feedback period will play a pivotal role in how the U.S. cryptocurrency market navigates the competitive pressures of a global arena. With meaningful contributions from industry stakeholders, the SEC has the chance to formulate rules that not only ensure investor safety but also stimulate creativity and growth in the cryptocurrency sector.

Conclusion: Seizing a Moment for Transformation

The SEC’s initiative to gather public insights on cryptocurrency trading represents a unique turning point for the entire ecosystem. By fostering open dialogue, there’s potential for the regulatory landscape to evolve into one that champions innovation while fiercely protecting investors. The outcome will depend on the active engagement of diverse voices in the market, ultimately crafting a balanced and robust framework that meets the distinctive challenges posed by cryptocurrency trading. As this critical process unfolds, the onus is on stakeholders to step forward, shaping a future where U.S. cryptocurrency markets can thrive upon a global stage.

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Crypto Tax Pressure Reaches Congress as Lawmakers Face Urgent Push to Rewrite Federal Rules

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Crypto Tax Pressure Reaches Congress as Lawmakers Face Urgent Push to Rewrite Federal Rules
Lawmakers are confronting rising pressure to modernize cryptocurrency tax policy as uncertainty clouds compliance, threatens U.S. competitiveness, and forces Congress to weigh legislative action amid warnings that capital and innovation could move offshore.
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Cryptocurrency becomes trendy holiday gift option

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Cryptocurrency becomes trendy holiday gift option

PHOENIX (AZFamily) — Cryptocurrency is appearing on more holiday wish lists as gift-givers look for alternatives to traditional presents.

A new survey from the National Cryptocurrency Association and PayPal shows 24% of Americans have given or are considering giving cryptocurrency this holiday season.

The survey also found that 17% of consumers would rather receive cryptocurrency than a gift card, and 31% of Americans believe crypto gifts are less likely to go unused than gift cards.

“It’s actually a trending holiday gift, especially compared to gift cards,” said Ali Tager, a spokesperson for the NCA. “We know crypto is becoming increasingly mainstream.”

Tager said people like receiving cryptocurrency because it has the potential to increase in value.

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“There’s so much you can do with this technology and it’s still in its early days,” she said.

Financial advisor Angelica Prescod said there are other investment options to consider for gift-giving.

“One of them is just gifting people something simple. Maybe some shares of some stocks that you may already have, that you are gifting over, or you can give them the cash to do so and open up their own account and feel involved in the process,” Prescod said. “For most folks [cryptocurrency] is not really the go to.”

Gift-givers can also contribute to 529 plans for college and other education expenses.

“It’s that gift that potentially can keep on giving,” Prescod said.

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For those still interested in giving cryptocurrency, experts recommend doing research first.

“Like with everything, anywhere, you always want to do your research. You want to make sure to verify your sources. You never want to take financial advice from strangers or click on random links that you receive,” Tager said.

The National Cryptocurrency Association offers a crypto simulator that helps users learn how to choose an exchange, set up a wallet, and send and receive cryptocurrency without spending real money.

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