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Prediction: Solana Will Be the First Cryptocurrency to Get a Spot ETF in 2025 | The Motley Fool

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Prediction: Solana Will Be the First Cryptocurrency to Get a Spot ETF in 2025 | The Motley Fool

With Bitcoin and Ethereum already sporting their own funds, here’s my pick for the next up to bat.

In the wake of the spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF approvals, there’s been a lot of speculation about which crypto might be next. Already, a handful of names have been suggested, including all of the usual suspects: XRP, Solana (SOL 9.57%), Cardano, Litecoin, and Avalanche.

Of these, Solana has the best chance of getting a spot ETF. In fact, this could happen as early as January 2025. From my perspective, there are two key factors that make this likely to happen.

Market demand

In terms of market cap, Solana ranks fifth among all major cryptocurrencies. That’s a huge determining factor, because market cap can be useful as a proxy for investor demand. As a general rule of thumb, Wall Street isn’t going to launch a product if there isn’t sufficient demand for it, so it’s worth looking into how much demand is coming from both retail and institutional investors.

Image source: Getty Images.

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At the end of June, crypto investment firm GSR ran the numbers and concluded that Solana trailed only Bitcoin and Ethereum in terms of overall demand. The firm’s “demand analysis” took into account three key factors: (1) market cap and overall trading volume, (2) assets under management of investment products already in the marketplace, and (3) size, activity, and reach of the online community for a specific token. Across all of these metrics, Solana outpaced rivals XRP, Cardano, and Avalanche.

There’s also great data available from CoinShares, which tracks institutional investor inflows into and out of the major cryptocurrencies. According to its latest report from early August, Solana still has a clear lead over major rivals such as XRP, Cardano, and Litecoin in terms of year-to-date inflows. That being said, investor inflows into both Bitcoin and Ethereum dwarf anything that’s happening with Solana right now.

Regulatory outlook

Of course, there’s no way that a Solana ETF is going to be approved if regulators have any doubts over whether Solana might actually be a security. This was the one factor that was hanging over Solana during much of the past year. But at the end of July, the SEC appeared to back down from its earlier stance when it acknowledged that it would no longer be looking into Solana as a potential security. If you’re hoping for a Solana ETF, that’s exactly what you want to see happen.

Moreover, it’s important to keep an eye on what’s happening in other financial markets, beyond the borders of the U.S. For example, in August, Brazilian regulators approved a spot Solana ETF. If that performs well in Brazil, then it could make it much easier to approve a U.S. version of the ETF. And, indeed, investment firm VanEck — one of only two firms that have already submitted a spot Solana ETF application to the SEC — now says that a Solana ETF is “inevitable.” I wouldn’t go that far, but it is looking good right now for Solana.

What to look for in 2024

As we saw from the recent market mini-crash in early August, there’s still quite a bit of volatility in the crypto market. Any sustained sell-off over the next few months would likely push back the launch date of a Solana ETF, simply due to the lack of investor demand for the product. Moreover, the SEC is unlikely to sign off on much of anything if the crypto market is showing signs of weakness, or if demand dries up for existing crypto ETFs.

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So keep your eye on the overall health of the crypto market, as well as investor inflows into the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. If the trend is positive, then I’m much more bullish on a spot Solana ETF launching in early 2025. And if pro-crypto sentiment gains hold in the aftermath of the 2024 presidential election, then I would be even more bullish.

That being said, Solana is a high-risk, high-upside crypto investment. So if you are thinking about investing in Solana, make sure you do your due diligence. Investing in a Solana ETF would help to mitigate some of this risk, but it can’t eliminate the risk of holding Solana entirely.

Dominic Basulto has positions in Bitcoin, Cardano, Ethereum, and Solana. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Avalanche, Bitcoin, Cardano, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Delaware House Approves Bill to Ban Cryptocurrency ATMs Statewide

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Delaware House Approves Bill to Ban Cryptocurrency ATMs Statewide

The Delaware House of Representatives has passed a bill that would prohibit the operation of cryptocurrency ATMs across the state, citing growing concerns over fraud and consumer protection. The legislation, now headed to the state Senate for consideration, would require all existing crypto ATMs to be shut down and removed within 90 days of enactment.

What the Bill Proposes

House Bill 123, as reported by Decrypt, targets the proliferation of cryptocurrency kiosks that have become common in convenience stores, gas stations, and other retail locations. Lawmakers argue that these machines are increasingly used to facilitate scams, particularly targeting elderly and vulnerable residents who may not fully understand the technology. The bill would make it illegal to operate, maintain, or permit the installation of a cryptocurrency ATM anywhere in Delaware.

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Why This Matters for Consumers

Cryptocurrency ATMs allow users to buy or sell digital currencies like Bitcoin using cash or debit cards. While legitimate users appreciate the convenience, regulators have flagged them as high-risk for money laundering and fraud. The Federal Trade Commission has reported a surge in scams where victims are directed to deposit cash into these machines under false pretenses. Delaware’s proposed ban reflects a broader state-level push to rein in unregulated crypto financial services.

Similar Actions in Other States

Delaware is not alone in taking a hard line. Indiana, Tennessee, and Minnesota have previously enacted comparable restrictions or outright bans on crypto ATMs. These measures often include licensing requirements, transaction limits, and mandatory disclosures. The trend signals a growing skepticism among state legislators about the consumer safety risks posed by unmonitored crypto kiosks.

What Happens Next

The bill now moves to the Delaware State Senate, where it will undergo committee review and potential amendments. If passed, Delaware would join a small but growing list of states with explicit bans. Industry advocates argue that such laws could stifle innovation and push transactions underground, while consumer protection groups praise the move as necessary to prevent financial harm.

Conclusion

Delaware’s legislative action highlights the ongoing tension between cryptocurrency adoption and consumer safety. As the bill advances, stakeholders on both sides will be watching closely. For now, the message from Dover is clear: protecting residents from crypto-related fraud is a priority that may outweigh the benefits of unregulated ATM access.

FAQs

Q1: What is a cryptocurrency ATM?
A cryptocurrency ATM is a kiosk that allows users to buy or sell digital currencies like Bitcoin using cash, debit cards, or other payment methods. Unlike traditional ATMs, they are not connected to a bank account.

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Q2: Why does Delaware want to ban crypto ATMs?
Lawmakers cite a rise in fraud cases, especially among seniors, where scammers trick victims into depositing cash into these machines. The bill aims to eliminate this vector for financial exploitation.

Q3: What happens to existing crypto ATMs in Delaware if the bill becomes law?
Operators would have 90 days to shut down and remove all machines. Failure to comply could result in penalties. The timeline is designed to give businesses a reasonable window to adjust.

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‘De-Worsified, Not Diversified’: Robert Kiyosaki Warns Investors on a Hidden Risk

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‘De-Worsified, Not Diversified’: Robert Kiyosaki Warns Investors on a Hidden Risk

Key Takeaways

Word Play With a Warning

Robert Kiyosaki, the author of the best-selling personal finance book “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” is recasting a familiar piece of investing advice. In a post on X, he argued that many investors only believe they are protected, adding:

“De-Worse-ified means they think they are diversified, but they have all their diversified assets, such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, stocks, bonds, real estate, and oil, in one asset class.”

His point is that spreading money across many holdings does not help if those holdings all move the same way in a crisis. When a liquidity shock hits, correlations rise and supposedly diverse portfolios can fall in unison, leaving investors “de-worsified” rather than diversified.

Image source: X

The commentary is consistent with the stance Kiyosaki has pushed throughout 2026 as he recently named bitcoin among the safest investments for the year, grouping it with what he calls real assets. He has repeatedly listed gold, silver, oil, food, bitcoin, and ether as his preferred holdings, framing them as scarce stores of value that printed money cannot dilute.

He has paired that view with stark price calls, setting a target of $250,000 for BTC by year’s end alongside a longer-term goal of $1 million. At current levels, the move would require a gain of more than 230%. On the precious metals side of things, he recently suggested a possible $200-per-ounce silver level this year, calling the metal’s climb a signal of mounting financial stress.

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Kiyosaki’s broader thesis is darker still, warning investors of a historic market crash that he ties to surging global debt and fragile private credit markets, urging followers to build income streams, learn trade skills, and accumulate hard assets before the storm.

Timing Is Everything

The “de-worsified” warning arrives at a tense moment for markets, especially as bitcoin posted its worst week since the 2022 collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange, sliding below $60,000 as record exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows and risk-off sentiment gripped the sector.

That is exactly the kind of broad drawdown scenario (where bitcoin, equities, and other assets fall together) that Kiyosaki has used time and again to illustrate his point.

That said, he has become an increasingly polarizing voice within the broader economic landscape, with skeptics pointing out that his crash predictions are frequent and his price targets aggressive (and that he has issued similar warnings for years). Supporters argue his core message of owning scarce assets, avoiding hidden correlation, and preparing for volatility is a reasonable hedge against an era of heavy money printing and rising debt.

Whether or not his $250,000 bitcoin call lands, the distinction he is drawing is a real one, as true diversification really does depend on owning assets that behave differently (not simply owning many of them). In a market where everything from gold to crypto to stocks can move on the same macro headlines, that lesson may matter more than any single forecast.

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After hundreds of millions lost to fraud, NC lawmakers push for crypto ATM protections

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After hundreds of millions lost to fraud, NC lawmakers push for crypto ATM protections

North Carolina lawmakers on Tuesday advanced a bill to protect consumers from cryptocurrency kiosk fraud.

House Bill 920, which passed the House with a 115-to-0 vote, aims to regulate an industry that its author claims is unregulated in the state.

“It’s the wild, wild West,” Rep. Neal Jackson, R-Moore, said during a committee discussion on Tuesday. “There is no regulation whatsoever in North Carolina. That’s what we’re trying to do here.”

Lawmakers cited a growing amount of fraud as the reason for the bill. About $389 million in losses were reported last year through cryptocurrency ATMs, a 58% increase from 2024, according to the FBI. The majority of those impacted are 60-plus.

The bill now goes to the Senate for consideration. It seeks to:

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  • Require licenses for all kiosk operators under the Money Transmissions Act.
  • Place operators under the supervision of the Commissioner of Banks.
  • Require fraud warnings and transaction receipts for every transaction.
  • Require compliance and consumer protection officers that are always available.

It also seeks to place limitations on transactions in an effort to reduce fraud, requiring a $2,000 daily limit for the first 30 days for new customers and a $5,000 daily limit for existing customers, who would qualify after 30 days.

While other states have service fees between 20% and 30%, Jackson suggests putting a cap at 14%.

State Rep. Tim Longest, D-Wake, expressed concern about having the kiosks at all in the state. He said the bill’s protections could be stronger. 

“These machines can be the subject of fraud, basically facilitating fraud on seniors and other vulnerable individuals and in those cases,” Longest said. “… In crafting regulations, I think it’s important that we ensure consumers are adequately protected by those regulations and I do not believe that, under the language of the bill currently before you, those regulations are sufficient to protect consumers.”

Jackson pointed to this bill as an effort to regulate, not shut down, cryptocurrency kiosks in the state and said there are even more consumer protections in place.

David N. Tente, the executive director of the ATM Industry Association, said the bill — and others like it — is problematic because it requires operators to provide refunds to fraud victims in certain instances.  

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“In most cases, the cash in the ATM/kiosk does not belong to the operator, which means that returning any of it would be, technically, theft,” Tente said. “If you give someone cash for something, and you change your mind after they leave, you probably won’t get it back.”

He added: “We certainly feel sorry for those being scammed, but there are very simple things you can do to avoid it.”  

Tente said these kinds of scams have existed for centuries, adding: “They are still here — just using different means of payment.”

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