In a true Christmas miracle, a viral crypto stunt actually seems to be doing some good in the world.
Crypto
Analysis: What’s behind bitcoin’s latest surge?
LONDON, March 22 (Reuters) – On the flip of the yr, bitcoin was within the grip of a bleak midwinter, down and out after a 2022 outlined by tumbling crypto costs, bankruptcies and company scandals.
Lower than three months later, bitcoin’s obtained its mojo again. With positive factors of greater than 70% to this point this yr, it has outpaced different main belongings, and was on Wednesday buying and selling close to its highest in 9 months.
The unique and largest cryptocurrency has been right here earlier than, its 15-year historical past peppered with dramatic value will increase and equally vertiginous drops. Fuelling the positive factors: rates of interest.
Markets anticipate that central financial institution hikes to the price of credit score are nearing their peak, and such a state of affairs is about to buoy risk-on belongings equivalent to bitcoin, six traders and analysts from crypto and conventional finance advised Reuters.
“The macro narrative is the primary,” stated Noelle Acheson, an economist who has tracked the crypto sector for seven years. “Bitcoin isn’t just a threat asset, it’s arguably probably the most delicate to financial liquidity out of all the threat belongings.”
Different components are at play, too, from turmoil within the banking sector to enduring hopes – nonetheless unfulfilled – that bitcoin can obtain vast utilization as a type of cost.
Bitcoin closed its greatest week in 4 years on Sunday, and has gained 45% in simply 12 days.
Because the collapse of U.S. lenders Silicon Valley Financial institution and Signature Financial institution helped to triggered the takeover on Sunday of 167-year-old Credit score Suisse by rival UBS, claims that bitcoin is an asset resistant to dangers in conventional finance have gained traction.
“It is quite narrow-minded to say that bitcoin goes to succeed as a result of a financial institution failed,” stated Usman Ahmad, CEO of Zodia Markets, the crypto alternate of the enterprise arm of Commonplace Chartered (STAN.L) and Hong Kong crypto agency BC Know-how Group.
“However confidence is nearly a important issue – confidence within the banking system has been broken.”
Driving bitcoin’s positive factors have been its core consumer base of retail traders, analysts stated. Institutional traders equivalent to pension funds, till now cautious of the unstable and largely unregulated bitcoin, are prone to stay sceptical of a long-lasting renaissance for the cryptocurrency, the interviews confirmed.
“Bitcoin’s current bull run appears to be like to be primarily supported by particular person traders – starting from retail to whales – as we’ve got seen proof of establishments exiting throughout this rally,” stated Zhong Yang Chan, head of analysis at crypto information agency CoinGecko.
Certainly, bitcoin funding merchandise, favoured by bigger traders, noticed outflows of $113 million final week, in response to digital asset supervisor CoinShares, which ascribed the strikes to a scramble for liquidity throughout chaos within the banking sector.
DEJA VU?
Prior to now, too, dramatic value swings for bitcoin have been intently tied to shifts in financial coverage globally.
As stimulus measures flooded the worldwide monetary system through the COVID-19 pandemic, stay-at-home traders fuelled a six-fold rally for bitcoin between September 2020 and April 2021.
These strikes, allied with rising curiosity in crypto from bigger traders and firms, led crypto backers to vow that its possibilities of a bruising crash traditionally seen after bitcoin rallies had been decrease.
But as indicators of runaway inflation late in 2021 pressured central banks and governments to curb stimulus packages, bitcoin slumped by greater than half from its file excessive of $69,000 in simply 75 days as charges started to rise.
In 2022, bitcoin plummeted over 65% as greater charges triggered the autumn of a significant crypto token, precipitating the closure of main hedge funds and crypto lenders. It was additional bruised by regulatory complications and the dramatic fall of the FTX alternate.
The disastrous yr was one other reminder of bitcoin’s vulnerability to exterior shocks, regardless of backers’ claims it’s a secure haven asset in instances of political and financial stress.
To make sure, some traders say developments to bitcoin’s intrinsic traits are actually able to supporting its value. Richard Galvin of crypto fund Digital Asset Capital Administration, as an illustration, cited software program upgrades which have enabled a brand new breed of non-fungible tokens on bitcoin.
Nonetheless, for traders in conventional belongings, doubts stay.
“I do not know if old-school forex individuals are reassessing it,” stated Stephen Gallo, European head of FX technique at BMO Capital Markets. “We’re nonetheless battling bitcoin on the definition of a forex.”
Reporting by Tom Wilson, Modifying by Louise Heavens
Our Requirements: The Thomson Reuters Belief Ideas.
Crypto
Here's a heartwarming holiday crypto story (no, seriously)
Siqi Chen, an investor and startup founder, took to X on Christmas Eve to share a GoFundMe campaign he created to fund research into a rare brain tumor afflicting his 5-year-old daughter. His daughter, Mira, was diagnosed in September with adamantinomatous craniopharyngioma — a benign tumor that is usually not fatal but causes severe side effects.
Chen said the family is working with Dr. Todd Hankinson at the University of Colorado on treatments to slow the tumor’s growth. Because this cancer is so rare, he said, research is sparse and funding is lacking. “this christmas, i am humbly asking for your help to support dr. hankinson’s research,” he tweeted.
His online fundraiser raised more than $233,000 of its $300,000 goal in two days. But the most heartwarming part had nothing to do with GoFundMe.
Late in the evening on Christmas Day, Chen took to X again — this time in surprise.
“uh so some random guy 20 minutes [ago] made a SOL memecoin called $MIRA to help with research fundraising and sent me half the entire supply and it’s now worth like $400K and i literally don’t know what to do,” he wrote.
The memecoin — internet parlance for a cryptocurrency created on a lark, often based on a joke — skyrocketed in value as crypto enthusiasts traded it among themselves. Chen started selling off small portions of his holding Wednesday evening, promising to donate 100% of the proceeds to Hankinson’s laboratory. “CAN SOME PLEASE EXPLAIN HOW THIS MAGIC INTERNET MONEY WORKS I AM LOSING MY MIND,” he wrote less than half an hour after his initial tweet, when the value of his holdings soared to nearly $6 million.
Chen continued tweeting his disbelief as the value soared to $11 million, then $14.7 million, then $18.8 million. By Thursday morning, he had sold enough of the token to send at least $1 million to Hankinson’s lab, he said. “yi, mira and i are so unbelievably grateful to you all — each and every one of you,” he wrote. “christmas magic was made real this year thanks to all of you. forever grateful.”
Perhaps no one was more surprised than Hankinson, who learned of the memecoin Thursday morning via excited texts from friends and coworkers. “This entire area of the world — Bitcoin and NFTs and stuff — I do not know a single thing about it,” he told The Standard. “So when all this stuff started going on, I was like, ‘What?’”
Hankinson said he has studied adamantinomatous craniopharyngioma for more than 15 years, and his lab is the only one in North America dedicated to its treatment. He said funding is hard to come by both because the condition is rare — fewer than two in a million people are diagnosed with AC every year — and because it does not grow as aggressively as some other tumors. Still, he said, the side effects can be devastating: stunted growth; vision impairment; and difficulty regulating hunger, thirst, and temperature.
If the Chen family did contribute $1 million, he said, it would be by far the largest donation the lab has ever received.
“Even if it ends up being a small fraction of what people have talked about, it would still be a complete game changer for the scale on which we can do things and the sophistication with which we do things,” he said. “This would be the most insane Christmas gift our research has ever gotten.”
Hankinson and Chen weren’t the only ones surprised by the use of a memecoin to fund medical research. These trend-based tokens are primarily known as risky, volatile investments — more of a gag than a serious asset. (The creators of a memecoin tied to Hailey Welch, better known as the “Hawk Tuah” Girl, are being sued by investors after its value dropped 95% in a single day.) They are sometimes used in crypto scams known as “rug pulls,” in which founders create a token, convince people to invest in it, then rapidly sell all their holdings.
Chen said repeatedly on Twitter that he was trying to avoid a “rug pull” situation by selling off his holdings in the “MIRA” coin slowly. He said Thursday that he would sell $1,000 worth of the token every 10 minutes until it runs out. Still, the value of the coin has dropped significantly from its overnight high.
That crash — coupled with the fact that early sellers of the coin likely made a tidy profit — made some observers uneasy. But Chen said he didn’t mind.
“if you made a lot of money, i’m genuinely happy for you — but please consider donating some of your profits to hankinson lab,” he tweeted. “if you lost a lot of money, i’m very sorry — but magic internet money is magic internet money.”
Chen is a well-regarded figure in Silicon Valley who founded and sold two startups and worked at several others before his current venture, a finance software company called Runway. Among those responding to his tweets were Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian, Sequoia partner Shaun Maguire, and X CEO Linda Yaccarino.
In a Twitter Space on Wednesday night, Chen explained that his daughter initially presented with a headache, which he and his wife thought little about until they brought her to a pediatrician who suggested an MRI. Doctors have since placed Mira on an arthritis medication that could slow the growth of the tumor, and they are weighing the benefits of surgery. “Our strategy right now is just to try everything we can to buy as much time as possible,” he said.
Crypto
Bitcoin rally loses steam in final days of record-breaking year
The largest token changed hands at US$96,200 as of 2pm Friday in Hong Kong, partly paring a retreat of almost 3 per cent from a day earlier. Smaller rivals including ether and dogecoin, a favourite of the meme crowd, oscillated in tight ranges.
The crypto market is also braced for the expiry of a substantial quantity of bitcoin and ether options contracts on Friday – one of the biggest such events in the history of digital assets, according to prime broker FalconX.
The notional value of the bitcoin contracts on the Deribit exchange – one of the largest for digital-asset derivatives – exceeds US$14 billion, while the equivalent figure for ether is about US$3.8 billion.
Sean McNulty, director of trading at liquidity provider Arbelos Markets, flagged the risk of a “choppy market” amid the expiry of the derivatives positions.
Crypto
Russian Companies Reportedly Using Crypto for International Payments | PYMNTS.com
Russian businesses are reportedly using bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to make international payments.
It’s a trend that comes in the wake of legislative changes that permitted these types of payments to get around western sanctions, Reuters reported Tuesday (Dec. 26), citing comments from Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov.
As the report noted, the sanctions — issued following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 — have made it tougher for Russia to trade with partners like China and Turkey. But this year, Russia began allowing crypto for foreign trades, and is working on legalizing the mining of crypto such as bitcoin.
“As part of the experimental regime, it is possible to use bitcoins, which we had mined here in Russia (in foreign trade transactions),” Siluanov told Russia 24 television channel.
“Such transactions are already occurring. We believe they should be expanded and developed further. I am confident this will happen next year,” he said, adding that using digital currencies to make international payments represent the future.
PYMNTS explored this idea earlier this week in a report on events in the cryptocurrency/blockchain world in the past year.
“Cross-border payments, historically plagued by high fees and slow transaction times, underwent a significant transformation in 2024,” that report said. “Blockchain technology emerged as a key enabler, offering transparency, speed and cost efficiency.”
Stablecoins play a key role, PYMNTS added, letting businesses bypass traditional correspondent banking networks and settle transactions almost instantly.
“Blockchain technology and public blockchains in particular, are opening up a number of new use cases, one of which is to transfer value — such as remittances — from one country to another,” Raj Dhamodharan, executive vice president, blockchain and digital assets at Mastercard, told PYMNTS.
Research by PYMNTS Intelligence has found that cryptocurrency use in making cross-border payments could be the winning use case that the sector has been searching for. The research shows that blockchain-based cross-border solutions, especially stablecoins, are being increasingly used by firms looking for better ways to transact and expand internationally.
“Blockchain solutions and stablecoins — I don’t like to use the term crypto because this is more about FinTech — they’ve found product-market fit in cross-border payments,” Sheraz Shere, general manager of payments and commerce at Solana Foundation, said in an interview here earlier this year. “You get the disintermediation, you get the speed, you get the transparency, you get extremely low cost.”
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