Crypto
2024 will be a transformative year for cryptocurrencies
Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg
With three of the crypto industry’s top players dropping out of the game and the SEC approving
The cryptocurrency market is, by definition, young and disruptive. It appeared discreetly in 2009 with the emergence of bitcoin and has
At an unstoppable pace of innovation, key figures such as Do Kwon (Terra Luna), Sam Bankman-Fried (FTX) and Changpeng Zhao (Binance) rose to prominence in the industry and, in the case of the latter two, began to impose their own logic on cryptocurrency exchange platforms.
However, within the last two years, all three are gone.
The legal cases of Do Kwon and Bankman-Fried were serious enough to land them in the courtroom while Zhao’s departure from Binance made it clear,
The days of legal gray areas in the cryptocurrency space may be drawing to a close and from now on, all market players will have to tread more carefully.
This logic is increasingly being validated on the global cryptocurrency dashboard. During 2023, 42 countries discussed regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies and more than half of them were approved. In the case of the G20 and the world’s largest financial hubs, which includes the 27 member states of the European Union, 83% of countries now have “crypto friendly” legislation.
In Washington, meanwhile, the prospect of exchange-traded funds that track the price of bitcoin (so-called bitcoin ETFs) being approved has become a reality. One of the most important features of ETFs is that they offer investors a more accessible way to invest in bitcoin, bypassing the direct purchase of cryptocurrency (i.e., disregarding the practical challenges) but without losing track of its evolution.
The confluence of all of these factors is transforming the face of crypto and I am convinced that throughout 2024 we will continue to see this industry mature.
We have an expanded and revamped game board in which the focus is shifting away from the “star” players to the overall workings of the game.
Crypto
Report Shows Massive Increase in Iranian Bitcoin Adoption Amid Nationwide Unrest
A new report from blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis indicates there has been a massive increase in Bitcoin adoption in Iran over the past month, as the country deals with nationwide unrest and protests. The report specifically looks at the increase in withdrawals from crypto exchanges to unknown Bitcoin addresses, which indicates the local population is avoiding centralized financial infrastructure in the country in favor of the decentralized, peer-to-peer digital cash system.
In terms of specifics, the report shows a 262% increase in the amount of withdrawals valued at more than $10,000 into what are thought to be self-custodial bitcoin wallets since the nationwide protests began. According to the report, reasons for the increased interest in self-custodial bitcoin include the collapse in value in the Iranian rial and the potential increased need for citizens to operate outside of government-controlled financial channels.
The report also indicates spikes in Iranian crypto activity were seen during other major domestic and geopolitical events such as the Kerman bombings in January 2024, Iran’s missile strikes against Israel in October 2024, and the 12-day war. Nobitex, which is by far Iran’s largest and most popular exchange, was also hacked for $90 million during the 12-day war.
“This pattern of increased BTC withdrawals during times of heightened instability reflects a global trend we’ve observed in other regions experiencing war, economic turmoil, or government crackdowns,” says the report.
To Chainalysis’s point, this is not the first time a sharp increase in Bitcoin adoption has been noticed in a country dealing with some sort of crisis. In the past, Chainalysis has issued reports involving increased adoption in Ukraine amid war with Russia, Argentina and Venezuela’s respective currency devaluations, and more.
More recently, countries like Venezuela and Russia have used bitcoin and stablecoins like Tether’s USDT to avoid economic sanctions. According to another recent report from Chainalysis, this sort of sanctions avoidance was behind crypto’s record year of $154 billion worth of illicit financial use.
Unrest has persisted in Iran since late December, as protesters are fed up with the devaluation of the Iranian rial and other economic hardships. These grievances are compounded by longer-term issues such as corruption, repression, and general government mismanagement. In this way, the use of Bitcoin itself can also be seen as a form of protest where people are simply opting out of the traditional financial system.
Ironically, the Iranian regime has also been found to have used crypto for avoiding sanctions and laundering funds. In fact, the same Chainalysis report just released also indicates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) accounts for roughly half of all crypto activity taking place in Iran, which is estimated at $7.78 billion. A recent report from TRM Labs also indicated two crypto exchanges in the United Kingdom were effectively fronts for the Iranian regime, and another past report from Elliptic shows Iran has been involved in bitcoin mining for purposes of monetizing their energy resources.
This situation illustrates the conundrum for authoritarian regimes around the world when it comes to Bitcoin, as the features that make it useful for the regime to avoid restrictions in the US-controlled global banking system also enable it to be used for the local population to gain greater financial freedom.
Bitcoin is not the only technology that has proven helpful for Iranians during the protests, as the existence of Starlink is one of the only reasons information has been able to get out of the country amid government-imposed internet blackouts. While mesh-networking based Bitchat has seen increased adoption in other countries dealing with turmoil recently, a forked version of the app called Noghteha has gained notoriety in Iran. Although, there has been controversy with Noghteha due to its closed source aspects and collection of donations.
Crypto
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