Politics
Fed pauses interest rate cuts. What happens next may depend on Trump
WASHINGTON — After three successive interest rate cuts, the Federal Reserve on Wednesday made no change in its benchmark lending rate amid new economic uncertainties over the outlook for inflation and President Trump’s continued threats of new tariffs and other measures.
The Fed had been widely expected to ease back from the slow but steady stream of rate cuts last year, because economic growth has been stronger than many expected and the inflation rate has inched up after months of steady declines.
The Fed’s interest rate decisions have far-reaching effects on almost every facet of the economy, from corporate investment decisions and jobs to the price of cars and groceries. And its decisions rest on its analysis of forces likely to shape the course of the economy in coming months.
The avalanche of unexpectedly dramatic policy pronouncements in the first days of the new Trump administration has made the future unusually murky for such analysis. The president has promised a pro-growth agenda with lower taxes and reduced government regulation.
But he’s also threatening to impose higher tariffs on multiple countries, which could weigh on U.S. economic activity and reignite inflation.
That raises the possibility that the Fed could even reverse course and hike interest rates, which could put it on a collision course with Trump.
“Borrowers shouldn’t bank on the Fed being in any hurry to cut interest rates again,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com. “If we see inflation pressures ease on a consistent basis, I could see the Fed cutting interest rates 2 or 3 times this year. But if the progress on inflation remains stalled out, or if inflation picks up, the Fed will not cut interest rates at all.”
The extent and timing of Trump’s various policy actions are not in view yet. But Trump clearly wants lower interest rates. He has already said so on a number of occasions, and analysts expect the president may lash out at Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell if he doesn’t respond, as Trump did in his first term, adding to the pressures for the independent central bank.
The Fed’s policy statement Wednesday gave no new indication of what lies ahead.
Powell, in a news conference, said he had had no contact with Trump, and declined to comment on the president’s remarks about interest rates.
Asked what reassurance he could give about the Fed’s independence, Powell replied that he and his colleagues will continue to study the data to gauge the outlook and to use the tools that they have to achieve their goals — stable prices and maximum employment.
“That’s what we do, that’s always what we do. Don’t look for us to do anything else,” he said, adding that research shows that a central bank operating independently is best for the economy.
There was no immediate comment from Trump after the Fed’s decision was announced. Stocks generally traded lower after the release of the Fed statement.
Powell said the Fed would carefully watch the new administration’s policies. But for now, he said, Fed policies and the economy are in a good place and he saw no hurry to adjust interest rates.
At the end of December, Powell and his colleagues foresaw two quarter-point interest rate cuts for 2025, after shaving a full percentage point over three straight meetings last fall and winter.
By most accounts, the Fed’s key interest rate, now at a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, is somewhat restrictive in terms of the effect on the economy. And financial markets still expect two rate cuts this year.
But the prospect of significantly higher tariffs on imports and the launch already of Trump’s promised mass deportations of undocumented workers have the potential to spark higher inflation.
The departure of many foreign workers could shrink the labor supply and cause employers to bid up wages. Fatter paychecks, coupled with the added cost of new tariffs, would almost certainly add to inflationary pressures.
Many companies have already said they would expect to pass tariff costs on to consumers.
And for California, the outlook is further clouded by the current and still-to-come impact of the wildfires. The huge scale of the rebuilding is likely to fuel higher prices for things like lumber, and will probably lead to higher rents and home prices in the short term.
Overall consumer price inflation in the U.S. has come down sharply since peaking at near double digits in mid-2022, stoked by the pandemic, but in recent months has hovered near 3%. The Fed wants to get that down to 2%.
Progress has been impeded by higher-than-expected increases for housing as well as sharply higher prices last year for services such as motor vehicle insurance and repair costs. Food and energy prices also jumped late last year.
Since taking office, Trump has said he’ll bring both inflation and interest rates down by lowering oil prices, calling on OPEC to pump out more crude even as the president seeks to boost domestic production.
That alone would chip away at inflation, although analysts say that other Trump-favored policies such as tariffs aren’t compatible with lower prices.
“The mainstream [economic] view is that inflation is going to come down further,” said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at Fwdbonds, an economic and markets research firm. “The 800-pound gorilla in the room, of course, is the newly elected president. His view on interest rates is known. … Regardless of the logic, he just wants interest rates to be lower.”
Politics
Navy Secretary John Phelan Is Leaving the Pentagon and the Trump Administration
Navy Secretary John Phelan was fired on Wednesday after months of infighting with senior Pentagon leaders and disagreements over how to revive the Navy’s struggling shipbuilding program.
Mr. Phelan is leaving the Pentagon and the Trump administration effective immediately, wrote Sean Parnell, the Pentagon’s chief spokesman, in a terse statement.
In his role leading the Navy, Mr. Phelan had championed the “Golden Fleet,” a major investment in new ships including a “Trump-class” battleship. But Mr. Phelan’s leadership was marred by feuds with senior leaders in the Pentagon, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Deputy Defense Secretary Stephen Feinberg, Pentagon and congressional officials said.
Mr. Phelan is the first service secretary to leave the administration, though he is the second one to clash with the defense secretary. Mr. Hegseth also has butted heads with Army Secretary Daniel P. Driscoll over promotions and a host of other issues. Mr. Hegseth fired the Army’s chief of staff, Gen. Randy George, earlier this month.
The Navy secretary has no role overseeing deployed forces, and Mr. Phelan’s firing is not likely to have significant implications for the conduct of the Iran war or U.S. Navy operations to blockade Iranian ports or open the Strait of Hormuz. As the Navy’s top civilian leader, his main responsibility is to oversee the building of the future naval and Marine Corps force.
But the tumult could make it harder for the Navy to replenish its stock of Tomahawk missiles and high-end air defense systems, which have been in heavy use in Iran.
Tensions had been simmering for months between Mr. Phelan and his two bosses — Mr. Hegseth and Mr. Feinberg — over management style, personnel issues and other matters.
Mr. Feinberg, in particular, had grown increasingly dissatisfied with Mr. Phelan’s handling of the Navy’s major new shipbuilding initiative, and had been siphoning off responsibility for the project from him, said the congressional official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss personnel matters.
Mr. Phelan, a White House appointee, also had a contentious relationship with his deputy, Under Secretary Hung Cao, who is more aligned with Mr. Hegseth, especially on some of the social and cultural battles that have defined the defense secretary’s tenure, the officials said.
A senior administration official said that Mr. Hegseth informed Mr. Phelan before the Pentagon’s official announcement that he and President Trump had decided that the Navy needed new leadership.
A spokeswoman for Mr. Phelan referred all questions on Wednesday evening to the Defense Department.
Last fall, Mr. Hegseth fired Mr. Phelan’s chief of staff, Jon Harrison, who had clashed with senior officials throughout the Pentagon. The unusual move highlighted the broader tensions between Mr. Hegseth and Mr. Phelan.
Still, the timing of Mr. Phelan’s firing caught some Pentagon and congressional officials off guard. On Wednesday, Mr. Phelan was making the rounds on Capitol Hill, talking to senators about his upcoming annual hearing with lawmakers to discuss the Navy’s budget request and other priorities.
“Secretary Phelan’s abrupt dismissal is troubling,” Senator Jack Reed of Rhode Island, the top Democrat on the Armed Services Committee, said in a statement Wednesday night. “In the midst of President Trump’s war of choice in Iran, at a moment when our naval forces are stretched thin across multiple theaters, this kind of disruption at the top sends the wrong signal to our sailors and Marines, to our allies, and to our adversaries.”
Mr. Phelan also had a close relationship with Mr. Trump. In December, Mr. Phelan appeared alongside Mr. Trump at his Mar-a-Lago resort to announce the “Golden Fleet” and the new class of battleships bearing Mr. Trump’s name.
“John Phelan is one of the most successful businessmen in the country — in our country,” Mr. Trump said. “He’s been a tremendous success.”
Before joining the Trump administration, Mr. Phelan ran a private investment fund based in Florida.
“He’s taken probably the largest salary cut in history, but he wanted to do it,” Mr. Trump said at the December press conference. “He wants to rebuild our Navy. And you needed that kind of a brain to do it properly.”
But Mr. Trump’s effusive praise masked deeper tensions with Mr. Phelan’s Pentagon bosses.
Bryan Clark, a naval analyst at the Hudson Institute, said that Mr. Phelan was “driving the Navy in a different direction” than what Mr. Hegseth and Mr. Feinberg wanted.
“He was championing initiatives like the battleship and frigate that don’t align with where the D.O.W. leadership is taking the military, which is toward submarines, stealth aircraft, unmanned systems and software-driven capabilities like electronic warfare and cyber,” Mr. Clark said in an email, using the abbreviation for Department of War, as the administration calls the Defense Department.
Mr. Phelan also clashed with Mr. Hegseth over personnel issues in the Navy and Marine Corps, a former senior military official said. Mr. Hegseth has directed service secretaries to scrub the social media accounts of general- and admiral-level promotion candidates to ensure they are not deemed too “woke” by Mr. Hegseth’s standards, the official said.
Maggie Haberman and Eric Schmitt contributed reporting.
Politics
Manhattan DA’s office employee charged with sexual abuse after alleged incident on Queens subway
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An analyst with the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office was arrested Tuesday on allegations that he sexually abused a woman while off duty, police told Fox News Digital Wednesday.
Tauhid Dewan, 28, is accused of inappropriately touching a 40-year-old woman’s private area during a late-afternoon rush-hour subway ride in Queens, according to local outlet PIX11.
The victim was reportedly a random woman, the outlet added, citing sources who said she and the suspect were strangers.
A spokeswoman for the office told Fox News Digital that the staffer has since been suspended.
MAN ARRESTED IN NYC STRANGULATION DEATH OF WOMAN FOUND OUTSIDE TIMES SQUARE HOTEL
Tauhid Dewan, 28, was arrested in New York City Tuesday following allegations that the Manhattan DA staffer innapropriately touched a woman during a subway ride (LinkedIn)
According to the New York Police Department, Dewan was arrested around 5 p.m., possibly after returning from work.
PIX11 added that the arrest occurred minutes after the incident, which allegedly took place on a No. 7 train near the Junction Boulevard station.
He was subsequently arrested by the NYPD Transit Bureau and is facing multiple charges, including forcible touching on a bus or train, third-degree sexual abuse, and second-degree harassment involving physical contact.
He was also charged with acting in a manner injurious to a child under the age of 17, suggesting a minor may have been nearby and either witnessed the alleged conduct or was placed at risk by it.
ERIC SWALWELL FACES MANHATTAN SEX ASSAULT PROBE AFTER ENDING CALIFORNIA GOVERNOR CAMPAIGN AMID ALLEGATIONS
Tauhid Dewan is an employee of the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office, which is led by DA Alvin Bragg. (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
Law enforcement sources said Dewan has no prior arrests, local outlets reported.
According to city records, Dewan has worked at the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office as a senior investigative analyst for nearly four years, since July 10, 2022.
People board a train at a subway station in New York City on Aug. 1, 2025. (Gary Hershorn/Getty Images)
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His arraignment in Queens Criminal Court was scheduled for Wednesday, according to state records.
Politics
As primary election nears, top candidates for California governor debate tonight
SAN FRANCISCO — With the California governor’s race quickly approaching, six candidates will face off Wednesday evening in the first debate since former Rep. Eric Swalwell dropped out of the race in the aftermath of sexual assault and misconduct allegations.
The debate takes place at a critical moment in the turbulent contest to replace termed-out Gov. Gavin Newsom. Ballots will start landing in Californians’ mailboxes in less than two weeks, and voters are split by a crowded field of eight prominent candidates. The debate also takes place after former state Controller Betty Yee ended her campaign because of a lack of resources and support in the polls.
Two Republicans — Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco and conservative commentator Steve Hilton — and four Democrats — billionaire Tom Steyer, former Biden administration Secretary Xavier Becerra, former Orange County Rep. Katie Porter and San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan — will take the stage at Nexstar’s KRON4 studios in San Francisco. Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and state Supt. of Public Instruction Tony Thurmond, both Democrats, were not invited to participate because of their low polling numbers.
As the candidates strive to distinguish themselves in a crowded field, the debate could include fiery exchanges about the role of money in politics and potential heightened attacks on Becerra, who has surged in the polls since Swalwell dropped out. With the debate taking place on Earth Day, environmental issues are also likely to be raised.
The Wednesday night gathering is the first televised debate in the gubernatorial contest since early February. Last month, USC canceled a debate hours before it was set to begin over mounting criticism that its criteria excluded all major candidates of color.
The 7 p.m. debate is hosted by Nexstar and will be moderated by KTXL FOX40 anchor Nikki Laurenzo and KTLA anchor Frank Buckley. It can be viewed on KRON4 (San Francisco), KTLA5 (Los Angeles), KSWB/KUSI (San Diego), KTXL (Sacramento), KGET (Bakersfield) and KSEE (Fresno). NewsNation will also air the debate.
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