Crypto
Bitcoin neared $90,000 in a new record high. What to know about crypto's post-election rally
As money continues to pour into crypto following Donald Trump’s reelection last week, bitcoin has climbed to yet another record high.
The world’s largest cryptocurrency topped $89,000 for the first time, briefly peaking at $89,995 early Tuesday, according to CoinDesk. Bitcoin’s price oscillated throughout the day, but is still up more than 27% over the last week — standing at about $88,288 as of 5 p.m. ET.
That’s part of a rally across cryptocurrencies and crypto-related investments since Trump won the U.S. presidential election. Analysts credit much of the recent gains to an anticipated “crypto-friendly” nature of the incoming administration, which could translate into more regulatory clarity but also leeway.
Still, as with everything in the volatile cryptoverse, the future is hard to predict. And while some are bullish, others continue to warn of investment risks.
Here’s what you need to know.
Back up. What is cryptocurrency again?
Cryptocurrency has been around for a while now, but has come under the spotlight in recent years.
In basic terms, cryptocurrency is digital money. This kind of currency is designed to work through an online network without a central authority — meaning it’s typically not backed by any government or banking institution — and transactions get recorded with technology called a blockchain.
Bitcoin is the largest and oldest cryptocurrency, although other assets like Ethereum, Tether and Dogecoin have gained popularity over the years. Some investors see cryptocurrency as a “digital alternative” to traditional money — but it can be very volatile, and reliant on larger market conditions.
Why are bitcoin and other crypto assets soaring now?
A lot of the recent action has to do with the outcome of last week’s election.
Trump was previously a crypto skeptic, but changed his mind and embraced cryptocurrencies during this year’s presidential race. He has pledged to make the U.S. “the crypto capital of the planet” and create a “strategic reserve” of bitcoin. His campaign accepted donations in cryptocurrency and he courted fans at a bitcoin conference in July. He also launched World Liberty Financial, a new venture with family members to trade cryptocurrencies.
Crypto industry players welcomed Trump’s victory, in hopes that he would be able to push through legislative and regulatory changes that they’ve long lobbied for. And Trump had previously promised that, if elected, he would remove the chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Gary Gensler, who has been leading the U.S. government’s crackdown on the crypto industry and repeatedly called for more oversight.
“Crypto rallied as Election Day progressed into the night and as it became increasingly clear that Trump would emerge victorious,” Citi analysts David Glass and Alex Saunders wrote in a Friday research note, pointing to larger industry sentiment around Trump being “crypto-friendly” and a potential shift in regulatory backing.
But even before the post-election rally, assets like Bitcoin posted notable gains over the past year or so. Much of the credit goes to early success of a new way to invest in the asset: spot bitcoin ETFs, which were approved by U.S. regulators in January.
Inflows into spot ETFs, or exchange-traded funds, “have been the dominant driver of bitcoin returns from some time, and we expect this relationship to continue in the near-term,” Glass and Saunders noted. They added that spot crypto ETFs saw some of their largest inflows on record in the days following the election.
In April, bitcoin also saw its fourth “halving” — a preprogrammed event that impacts production by cutting the reward for mining, or the creation of new bitcoin, in half. When that reward falls, so does the number of new bitcoins entering the market. And, if demand remains strong, some analysts say this “supply shock” can also help propel the price long term.
What are the risks?
Crypto assets like bitcoin have a history of drastic swings in value — which can come suddenly and happen over the weekend or overnight in trading that continues at all hours, every day.
In short, history shows you can lose money as quickly as you’ve made it. Long-term price behavior relies on larger market conditions.
At the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, bitcoin stood at just over $5,000. Its price climbed to nearly $69,000 by November 2021, in a time marked by high demand for technology assets, but later crashed during an aggressive series of Federal Reserve rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation. Then came the 2022 collapse of FTX, which significantly undermined confidence in crypto overall.
At the start of last year, a single bitcoin could be had for less than $17,000. Investors, however, began returning in large numbers as inflation started to cool — and gains skyrocketed on the anticipation and then early success of spot ETFs. While some crypto supporters see the potential for more record-breaking days, experts still stress caution, especially for small-pocketed investors.
“Investors should only dabble in crypto with money that they can be prepared to lose,” Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, said last week. “Because we’ve seen these wild swings in the past.”
What about the climate impact?
Assets like bitcoin are produced through a process called “mining,” which consumes a lot of energy. And operations relying on pollutive sources have drawn particular concern over the years.
Recent research published by the United Nations University and Earth’s Future journal found that the carbon footprint of 2020-2021 bitcoin mining across 76 nations was equivalent to the emissions from burning 84 billion pounds of coal or running 190 natural gas-fired power plants. Coal satisfied the bulk of bitcoin’s electricity demands (45%), followed by natural gas (21%) and hydropower (16%).
In the U.S., the Energy Information Administration notes that crypto mining across the country has “grown very rapidly over the last several years,” adding that grid planners have begun to express concern over increases in related electricity demand. Preliminary estimates released by the EIA in February suggest that annual electricity use from crypto mining probably represents between 0.6% to 2.3% of U.S. electricity consumption.
Environmental impacts of bitcoin mining boil largely down to the energy source used. Industry analysts have maintained that clean energy has increased in use in recent years, coinciding with rising calls for climate protections from regulators around the world.
Crypto
What is DAC8 and Its Importance in Cryptocurrency Regulation? – OneSafe Blog
DAC8, or the Directive on Administrative Cooperation, represents a pivotal regulatory framework introduced by the European Union that broadens the current tax reporting system to encompass crypto assets. With an effective date set for January 1, 2026, DAC8 necessitates that crypto-asset service providers (CASPs) gather and disclose comprehensive data regarding user transactions to national tax authorities. The report will then be shared across EU member states, thereby enhancing the level of transparency and compliance in the crypto space.
This new regulation is critical because it fills the voids left by past regulations, ensuring that cryptocurrencies are treated in a way similar to conventional financial assets such as bank accounts and stocks. Such a shift is intended to deter tax evasion and augment the accountability of crypto transactions, which have historically functioned in a largely unregulated environment.
What Impact Will DAC8 Have on Small Fintech Startups?
The implications of DAC8 for small fintech startups within the crypto sector are significant and multifaceted. The compliance expenses associated with the new regulation are likely to be disproportionately burdensome for smaller companies, potentially undermining their ability to compete in the marketplace. Given that small startups typically lack the resources to develop or acquire the necessary systems for identity verification, data collection, and secure reporting—each of which is now mandated under DAC8—they may find it more challenging to thrive.
Since larger firms can distribute compliance costs over a broader customer base, smaller startups might face a considerable disadvantage unless they find innovative technological solutions or collaborate with larger providers. This regulatory burden poses the risk of stifling innovation and constraining the capacity of small firms to penetrate the market or effectively expand their operations.
What Compliance Requirements Are Stipulated by DAC8?
DAC8 imposes a range of compliance requirements that CASPs must adhere to, including:
- Data Collection: Firms are required to gather extensive information about their users, covering transaction data as well as customer identities.
- Reporting Obligations: CASPs must report this gathered information to national tax authorities, who will subsequently disseminate it to other EU member states.
- Implementation Timeline: The regulations are set to be implemented on January 1, 2026, with the first reports due by September 30, 2027, capturing data from the 2026 fiscal year.
These compliance demands call for significant investment in the necessary infrastructure, a daunting task for smaller startups. The requirements for technical, legal, and compliance resources can result in both fixed and ongoing variable costs that disproportionately burden smaller firms.
How Does DAC8 Relate to MiCA?
DAC8 operates in conjunction with the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, which gained approval in April 2023. While MiCA centers on the licensing and operational standards for crypto firms, DAC8 ensures tax compliance through precise reporting of user data and transactions.
The merging of DAC8 and MiCA aims to construct a comprehensive regulatory framework that addresses both market conduct and tax obligations. Together, they seek to bolster the overall integrity of the crypto market while ensuring that firms operate under a well-defined legal structure.
What Are the Consequences of Non-Compliance?
The repercussions for non-compliance with DAC8 are severe. Should a CASP fail to comply with reporting requirements, they risk facing hefty fines and legal sanctions as determined by national laws. Furthermore, tax authorities gain the authority to freeze or seize crypto assets linked to unpaid taxes, irrespective of the asset’s location outside the firm’s home country.
These stringent enforcement measures highlight the critical nature of compliance for crypto firms operating within the EU. The potential for asset seizure adds urgency for companies to ensure they meet DAC8’s requirements.
How Can Startups Alleviate Compliance Costs?
To adeptly navigate the compliance challenges posed by DAC8 without stifling innovation, small fintech startups can explore several approaches:
- Compliance-as-a-Service Solutions: Collaborating with third-party compliance providers can help startups manage their reporting commitments without a need for extensive in-house resources.
- Industry-Standard APIs: Utilizing established APIs for data collection and reporting can streamline compliance processes and lesson operational demands.
- Niche Markets: By specializing in services that fall outside the complete scope of DAC8’s reporting requirements, startups can reduce some compliance costs.
- Collaborations with Larger Firms: Forming partnerships with established entities in the crypto sector can grant access to shared compliance infrastructure and resources.
Implementing these strategies could equip startups to better position themselves in the evolving regulatory landscape while retaining their innovative capabilities.
Summary: A New Chapter for Crypto Regulation
DAC8 signifies a substantial transformation in the regulatory landscape for the crypto industry, particularly affecting small fintech startups. While the compliance obligations may present challenges, they also open avenues for innovation and collaboration. By grasping the implications of DAC8 and proactively strategizing, startups can navigate the complexities of compliance and sustain growth in the crypto space. In such a rapidly evolving environment, remaining informed and adaptable is paramount to achieving success.
Crypto
SEC Says No Trading Occurred as 3 Platforms and 4 Clubs Allegedly Locked Retail Withdrawals
Crypto
SEC Says Cryptocurrency Scam Took $14 Million From Retail Investors | PYMNTS.com
An investment scam allegedly took $14 million from retail investors by connecting with them on social media and convincing them to fund accounts on fake crypto asset trading platforms.
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