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Bajaj Finance loan loss provisions jump, NBFC to focus on collection efficiency | Mint

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Bajaj Finance loan loss provisions jump, NBFC to focus on collection efficiency | Mint

Mumbai: Bajaj Finance’s loan loss provisions surged in the first quarter (April-June) of this financial year, driven largely by muted collections and higher provisioning requirements for ageing delinquencies.

This, the Pune-based non-bank lender said, has prompted it to now focus on improving its collection efficiency, which indicates the proportion of a loan’s repayment amount that is collected.

Gross loan losses and provisions for the quarter were 1,790 crore. During the quarter, the non-banking financial company (NBFC) utilized a management overlay of 105 crore towards loan losses and provisions, as a result of which net loan losses and provisions were at 1,685 crore.

Management overlay is a kind of management-level provision buffer made by companies for use during emergencies or crises. In this case, Bajaj Finance built this overlay largely during the pandemic.

Also read | Bajaj Finance Q1 results: Net profit up 13.8% YoY to 3,912 crore, revenue at 14,04 crore

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In an analyst call late on Tuesday, the management said that while portfolio quality was steady and bounce rates were lower compared with the March quarter, significant movement of delinquent loans from stage 1 to stage 2 owing to muted collections led to the rise in loan losses in the June quarter.

Stage 2 assets, which warrant higher provisioning as against stage 1 assets, increased by 865 crore sequentially.

“The company is augmenting its debt management infrastructure as a mitigation measure,” it said in the investor presentation, with the management adding that they remain watchful of portfolio stress across business verticals and are “proactively pruning” exposure to certain customer segments.

“BAF (Bajaj Finance) reported higher than expected credit cost at 1.97%, an increase of 33 basis points sequentially. The surge in credit cost was on account of collection efficiency being impacted due to the elections,” Emkay Global Financial said in a note, adding that credit cost is expected to normalize over the next two quarters and be around 1.75-1.85% for FY25.

A basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point.

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Also read | HUL Q1 Results: Net profit rises 2.7% to 2,538 crore, revenue up 1.3% YoY

The company had also seen a rise in loan losses during the previous election cycle in 2019 and is seeing similar trends this time, the management said, adding that when loan losses surge either due to higher bounce rates or muted collections, it takes one to three quarters for levels to stabilize. As a result, loan losses are expected to remain at current levels in the ongoing quarter and should start to normalize by the third quarter (October-December) onwards, they said.

The company will have a clearer view on whether the muted collection trend is transient or not by the October quarter, they added.

Bajaj Finance’s gross non-performing asset (NPA) ratio improved marginally to 0.86% in the June quarter, from 0.87% a year ago. However, the net NPA ratio worsened to 0.38% from 0.31% a year ago, owing to the higher provisions. In the previous quarter, the gross NPA ratio was 0.85% and net NPA ratio at 0.37%.

So far, the stress is largely being seen in two- and three-wheeler finance, rural business-to-consumer, or B2C, (retail lending) and SME (small and medium enterprise) loan portfolios, even as growth in the rural business-to-business segment remains robust. Asset quality for the urban B2C segment is also steady, but the management is watchful for any signs of stress.

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The management highlighted that the rural B2C portfolio has been seeing sluggish growth of 5-6% for the past year, including the 5% growth seen in Q1FY25. However, it expects some pickup going forward, pegging credit growth for FY25 at 10-11%. The company has been fine-tuning the borrower profile for the past year and is looking to broad-base the customer profile as was the case pre-Covid, it said.

Rural B2C loans for Bajaj Finance largely comprise cross-selling of personal loans, which have taken a hit following the increase in risk weights for the segment by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). This led to stagnation in disbursements from November 2023 to June 2024 and is expected to temper growth in unsecured loans for the industry going forward.

Bajaj Finance’s share of unique customers, with no existing credit exposure, fell to 58% in June 2024 from 63% in March 2020. This means that of the current customers, 42% already have a relationship with the market in terms of unsecured or personal loans, an increase of 3% on year.

However, the company said that the overall borrower profile remains healthy, with the share of customers with outstanding personal loans having fallen from FY23 to FY24 in percentage terms.

The RBI, on 2 May, lifted the restrictions on sanction and disbursal of loans under ‘eCOM’ and ‘Insta EMI Card’ verticals, following which the NBFC restarted the EMI card business from May 10 and eCOM business from the first week of June, leading to a drag on disbursements during Q1. Both of these should pick up over the next three quarters, the company said, pegging overall loan growth for FY25 at 26-28%.

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Why this sleepy Swiss town has become a ‘bolt-hole’ for the Gulf elite

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Why this sleepy Swiss town has become a ‘bolt-hole’ for the Gulf elite

As conflict continues to destabilise the Middle East, the Gulf States elite are seeking solace in European alternatives that offer comparable financial benefits with a far lower risk of war on the doorstep. One such destination is the small Swiss town of Zug, which is becoming a “bolt-hole” for Gulf-based wealth, said the Financial Times.

‘Swiss Monaco’

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How much will Social Security go up next year? See latest forecast

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How much will Social Security go up next year? See latest forecast
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Before Social Security payments are posted this week, many retirees are looking ahead at the potential Cost of Living Adjustment for 2027 with an advocacy group predicting a similar increase to 2026.

On April 10, The Senior Citizens League — a nongovernmental advocacy group for seniors — released its monthly COLA forecast for 2027, saying data showed a 2.8% increase is likely.

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“Over the last seven weeks, crude oil prices have soared, and fuel prices have followed suit. Consumers are getting pinched at the pump as gas prices soar, while businesses are paying more for transportation and/or production costs. This energy price shock is beginning to show up in the monthly U.S. inflation report, and it’s having a tangible impact on 2027 COLA forecasts,” The Motley Fool, a financial and investing advice company, and USA TODAY content partner, reported on April 18.

The official announcement will come in October, as it’s based on third-quarter inflation data.

According to Consumer Price Index data published last week, the annual inflation rate reached a two-year high of 3.3%, up 0.9% over the last month. This is largely due to soaring oil prices caused by the war in Iran.

Social Security payments are always scheduled on Wednesdays, with the final wave of this month scheduled for April 22, according to the Social Security Administration. The schedule is based on the birth dates of the recipients — retired, disabled workers or survivors.

Here’s who will get a Social Security check this week and more on the 2027 COLA forecast:

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When is the final Social Security in April 2026?

Social Security benefits are sent out based on the recipients’ birth dates. Wednesday, April 22, is the final wave of payments for those with birth dates between the 21st and the 31st of April.

What is the 2027 COLA forecast?

The 2027 COLA increase is forecast to be 2.8% due to continuing inflation prices, according to The Senior Citizens League’s April 10 press release. If the SSA approves that rate of increase, average payment for retired workers would go up by $56 per month in January 2027.

The SCL releases a COLA prediction each month based on the Consumer Price Index, Federal Reserve interest rate and the National Unemployment rate from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Beneficiaries who want to stay updated with the monthly predictions may visit the SCL’s “COLA Watch” webpage that includes the forecast, calculations, historical trends and more.

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The official COLA increase for 2027 will be announced in October 2026.

What were the big Social Security changes in 2026?

At the beginning of 2026 recipients received a 2.8% COLA for Social Security and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) payments, according to the SSA’s COLA Fact Sheet and American Association of Retired Persons, increasing payments about $56 per month.

Here are more details on the 2026 COLA increase, per the SSA:

  • The maximum amount of earnings subject to the Social Security tax increased to $184,500.
  • The earnings limit for workers who are younger than full retirement age (67 years old) increased to $24,480. (There will be a $1 deduction for each $2 earned over $24,480.)
  • The earnings limit for people reaching their full retirement age in 2026 increased to $65,160. (There will be a $1 deduction for each $3 earned over $65,160, until the month the worker turns full retirement age.)
  • There is no limit on earnings for workers who are at full retirement age or older for the entire year.

What should I do if I don’t get my Social Security payment?

According to the SSA, if you don’t receive your payment on the scheduled date, wait three days additional days, then call their office.

Where are the Social Security offices in Michigan?

There are 48 offices in Michigan, and to find an office near you, recipients may use the office locator via the Social Security’s website by entering your zip code for office hours, numbers, available services and more.

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How can I replace my Social Security card?

The personal account, “my Social Security” allows recipients to manage their personal records, including a request for a replacement Social Security card and benefit statements for taxes and more. New accounts are created using ID.me or Login.gov as a multifactor authentication.

When will I get my checks in May? Full 2026 schedule

USA TODAY Contributed

Contact Sarah Moore @ smoore@lsj.com

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Hong Kong reasserts role as safe haven in global finance amid Iran conflict

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Hong Kong reasserts role as safe haven in global finance amid Iran conflict
The US-Israeli war on Iran has unleashed sharp swings across global energy and financial markets, fuelling demand for safe-haven assets, with Hong Kong emerging as a potential beneficiary across gold, property and capital markets. In the third of a three-part series, we look at Hong Kong’s position as a stable base where demand for property has held firm despite the global turmoil.

The seven-week military conflict in the Middle East will redefine Hong Kong’s role as a global financial centre, positioning the city as a safe harbour for capital and investments.

Anecdotal evidence suggested that more banks had turned to Hong Kong to protect their businesses and committed themselves to expanding their presence in the city. At the same time, inquiries about adding allocations of mainland Chinese assets among global investors had recently increased, potentially enlarging the customer base for the city’s asset-management industry and family offices and driving demand for offshore yuan-linked financial products.

For years, Hong Kong’s status as a financial centre in the Asia-Pacific region has been challenged by Dubai, which has risen to prominence as a gateway linking Asia and Europe in capital flows, transport and logistics. With the war destabilising the Middle East – at one point forcing the closure of the Dubai International Airport and sending stocks in the Gulf region plunging – Hong Kong has re-emerged due to its geographical location, a pegged exchange rate, free capital flows and support from China’s economic strength.

“In that context, China and Hong Kong are attracting renewed attention,” said Gary Dugan, CEO of The Global CIO Office in Dubai, which advises family offices and ultra-high-net-worth individuals globally. “There is growing interest among some clients in increasing exposure to China and Hong Kong. It is less a simple flight to safety and more a reassessment of where investors see relative value, policy consistency and long-term strategic opportunity.”

Dubai now relies on trade, tourism and finance as the pillars of its economy, reflecting the success of its four-decade diversification away from oil for sustained growth. The United Arab Emirates city is home to Jebel Ali Free Zone, the biggest free-trade zone in the Middle East, and the second-largest stock market in the region, with combined market values of US$1.01 trillion. The city, also a global hub for gold trading, has a population of 4 million, about 80 per cent of which are foreign expatriates. Dubai’s economy grew by 4.7 per cent in the January-to-September period last year.

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