Nevada
Dayton or Nevada? How to pick 7 vs. 10 matchup in 2024 March Madness bracket | Sporting News
There is not much that differs a 7 seed from a 10 seed at the NCAA Tournament in typical years. As fans have seen, this 2024 season of basketball has been far from normal, making it all the more harder to decipher March Madness matchups.
In the West Region, 7-seed Dayton matches up with 10-seed Nevada at the 2024 tournament. Both programs are coming off disappointing postseason endings after strong regular seasons.
Dayton (24-7, 14-4 Atlantic-10) came up short in the Atlantic 10 tournament, losing to Duquesne in the quarterfinals as the No. 3 seed. The loss was the Flyers’ third in the last seven games, marking a rocky end to an otherwise solid campaign.
Meanwhile, Nevada (26-7, 13-5 MWC) is fresh off a loss in the Mountain West quarterfinals, falling to No. 7 seed Colorado State. The upset defeat snapped a seven-game winning streak for the Wolfpack, who ended the regular season on a high note, nabbing the No. 2 seed in the conference.
However, it’s a clean slate now, and both programs are eyeing a spot in the second round with a win in Salt Lake City.
Here’s what you need to know about the matchup between Dayton and Nevada, including metrics, rankings, key players, season breakdowns and more.
SN’s MARCH MADNESS HQ
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Dayton vs. Nevada odds
Dayton vs. Nevada will be played Thursday, March 21, the first day of the Round of 64. Nevada opens as a betting favorite, per BetMGM, despite being the lower seed.
Below are the details of the game, including betting odds, time, TV and venue:
- Odds: Nevada (-1.5)
- Date: Thursday, March 21
- Time: 4:30 p.m.
- TV: TBS
- Arena: Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Dayton (24-7, 14-4 Atlantic-10)
For the first time since 2017, the Dayton Flyers are dancing. In head coach Anthony Grant’s seventh season, Dayton is back in March Madness after a strong showing in the Atlantic 10 this year.
Dayton is one of a number of teams in the NCAA Tournament coming off a stunning upset loss early in the conference playoffs. The Flyers posted an overall record of 24-7 and a conference mark of 14-4 to finish third in the conference regular season. However, the team suffered a quarterfinals defeat at the hands of Duquesne, who ran the table at the Barclays Center as a sixth seed, earning a bid to the dance.
Paving the way for the Flyers is DaRon Holmes II, a junior who is a Naismith College Player of the Year semifinalist and Atlantic 10 Co-Player of the Year. The 6-10 center is the only player in Division I level who has more than 65 blocks, 65 dunks and 65 assists this season, averaging 20.4 points and 8.4 rebounds per game.
On its resume are notable wins over St. John’s at the Charleston Classic, Cincinnati . Davidson hasn’t lost back-to-back games all year, bouncing back in the next contest each of the four times it occurred in the regular season. The Flyers will have to keep that trend in its 19th all-time NCAA Tournament.
This is the 19th appearance all-time for Dayton, who have not won an NCAA tournament game since its run to the Elite Eight in 2014. However, you have to consider the tournament-less 2019-20 season where Obi Toppin led the Flyers to what could have been a No. 1 seed in March Madness.
- NET ranking: 23
- KenPom ranking: 32
- Quad 1 record: 3-4
- Quad 2 record: 5-3
- Quad 3 record: 9-0
- Quad 4 record: 7-0
- Offensive efficiency ranking: 18
- Defensive efficiency ranking: 87
Key players
DaRon Holmes II, F, Jr. (6-10, 235): 20.4 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 2.6 apg
Nate Santos, F, Jr. (6-7, 210): 10.0 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.5 apg
Koby Brea, G, Jr. (6-6, 205): 10.9 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.1 apg
Kobe Elvis, G, Jr. (6-2, 180): 9.5 ppg, 3.56 apg, 2.5 rpg
Enoch Cheeks, G, Jr. (6-3, 195): 8.0 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 2.0 apg
MORE: Buy tickets to 2024 March Madness games
Nevada (26-7, 13-5 MWC)
Nevada is back in the dance after a first four appearance last year in March Madness, breaking a four-year streak without a NCAA tournament berth. This year, the Wolfpack comes in as a No. 10 seed that may be ranked lower than expected.
Like Dayton, Steve Alford’s Nevada team was one-and-done in conference tournament play. After recording a 13-5 record in Mountain West regular season play, the Wolfpack fell to No. 7 seed Colorado State in the conference quarterfinals. It snapped the team’s seven game winning streak and it marked the squad’s second loss since the start of February.
On its resume, Nevada secured quality wins over Mountain West opponents such as New Mexico, San Jose State and Colorado State, and also defeated TCU at the Diamond Head Classic in December.
Seniors guards Kenan Blackshear and Jarod Lucas are the players to watch for the Wolfpack. Blackshear is averaging 15.1 points a game while also recording just under five rebounds and assists per contest. Lucas is the scoring leader, averaging 17.8 points per game and shooting nearly 90% from the free throw line.
The 2024 berth marks the 13th in Alford’s career. He became the fourth coach to take five different Division I schools to the dance, and a win would make him only the second one to win a tournament game at five different programs.
- NET ranking: 34
- KenPom ranking: 36
- Quad 1 record: 6-6
- Quad 2 record: 2-0
- Quad 3 record: 8-1
- Quad 4 record: 8-0
- Offensive efficiency ranking: 40
- Defensive efficiency ranking: 36
Key players
Kenan Blackshear, G, Sr. (6-6, 215): 15.1 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 4.9 apg
Jarod Lucas, G, Sr. (6-4, 195): 17.8 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 1.5 rpg
Nick Davidson, F, Soph. (6-9, 215): 12.1 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 1.4 apg
Tre Coleman, F, Sr. (6-7, 185): 8.5 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 2.8 apg
Daniel Foster, G, Sr. (6-6, 215): 4.4 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.5 apg
EXPERT PICKS: DeCourcy (UConn) | Bender (UConn) | Iyer (UConn) | Yanchulis (South Carolina women)
Dayton vs. Nevada prediction
This matchup is going to come down to who can perform better from beyond the arc. Dayton ranks third in the nation in 3-point percentage (40.2), one of only three teams at the Division I level to shoot at least 40% from deep, joining Kentucky and Purdue.
While the Flyers have one of the most dominant big men in the country, Holmes II is surrounded by shooters as well. Nate Santos and Koby Brea are dangerous weapons on the perimeter for Grants’s coalition.
Nevada is no stranger to success from range either. The Wolfpack shot 36.5% from 3-point distance this season, however, it was not the go-to option for the team. Nevada attempted just 18.3 3-pointers per game, ranking among the lowest in the nation. It may not be the best idea for the Wolfpack to go toe-to-toe from the arc with the Flyers, but if they need to, they have shooters like Jarod Lucas and Hunter McIntosh.
The Wolfpack come into the contest the hotter squad, winning 11 of their last 12 matchups. The offense has scored at least 70 points in seven consecutive contests, and it’s been a spread of wealth, not just one player. The same can’t necessarily be said about Dayton, as DaRon Holmes II has led the Flyers in scoring four games in a row and seven of their last eight.
HISTORY OF UPSETS BY SEED:
16 vs. 1 | 15 vs. 2 | 14 vs. 3 | 13 vs. 4 | 12 vs. 5
History of 7 vs. 10 matchups in NCAA Tournament
Overall, No. 7 seeds hold a 92-59 advantage over No. 10 seeds since the NCAA Tournament bracket expanded to 64 teams in 1985.
However, it’s worth noting that the No. 10 seeds’ 50 wins are the most of any lower-seeded team over a higher-seeded team in the first round, per NCAA.com. The lower seed in this matchup has won roughly 39 percent of the games.
It’s also worth noting that a No. 10 seed has won at least one game in each NCAA Tournament since 2008, when Steph Curry led Davidson to an upset win over Gonzaga before a storybook run to the Elite Eight.
Below is a breakdown of the wins 10-seeds have posted over 7-seeds since 2009:
| Year | Result |
| 2023 | Penn State 76, Texas A&M 59 |
| 2022 | Miami (Fla.) 68, USC 66 |
| 2021 | Maryland 63, UConn 54 |
| 2021 | Rutgers 60, Clemson 56 |
| 2019 | Florida 70, Nevada 61 |
| 2019 | Iowa 79, Cincinnati 72 |
| 2019 | Minnesota 86, Louisville 76 |
| 2018 | Butler 79, Arkansas 62 |
| 2017 | Wichita State 64, Dayton 58 |
| 2016 | VCU 75, Oregon State 67 |
| 2016 | Syracuse 70, Dayton 51 |
| 2015 | Ohio State 75, VCU 72 |
| 2014 | Stanford 58, New Mexico 53 |
| 2013 | Iowa State 76, Notre Dame 58 |
| 2012 | Xavier 67, Notre Dame 63 |
| 2012 | Purdue 72, Saint Mary’s 69 |
| 2011 | Florida State 57, Texas A&M 50 |
| 2010 | Georgia Tech 64, Oklahoma State 59 |
| 2010 | Missouri 86, Clemson 78 |
| 2010 | Saint Mary’s 80, Richmond 71 |
| 2009 | USC 72, Boston College 55 |
| 2009 | Maryland 84, California 71 |
| 2009 | Michigan 62, Clemson 59 |
Nevada
GOP primary for open US House seat and Democratic governors race highlight Nevada ballot
LAS VEGAS (AP) — Nevadans are choosing their party nominees Tuesday for two closely watched congressional seats and the governor’s race, among others, as the state grapples with an affordable housing shortage, exploding energy demand from data centers and federal cuts to key state programs.
The state has a closed primary, meaning only registered Democrats and Republicans will vote in party contests after an effort to open them up failed in 2024.
Several primaries feature matchups between candidates backed by party leaders and political outsiders promising change. Come November, the governor’s race is considered one of the most competitive in the country, and holding on to the 3rd Congressional District is considered crucial for Democrats’ hope of retaking the U.S. House.
Here’s a look at the most prominent races:
Democrats seek a rival for Lombardo
Gov. Joe Lombardo, a Republican, is considered one of the most vulnerable governors in the country this fall.
The Democrats vying to challenge him include state Attorney General Aaron Ford, who has the backing of the Democratic congressional delegation and former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Alexis Hill, a county commissioner in northern Nevada who campaigned as a candidate willing to shake things up.
They focused their campaigns on affordability, as the state continues to see a shortage of affordable housing, some of the highest gas prices in the country and cuts to federal healthcare and food assistance programs.
Ford largely ignored Hill, instead directing his attacks at Lombardo and arguing that both the governor and Trump are responsible for Nevadans’ economic woes. He is trying to become Nevada’s first Black governor.
2nd Congressional District
In the Republican contest to replace longtime Rep. Mark Amodei, who is retiring, President Donald Trump has endorsed David Flippo, a loyalist of the president who has never held elected office. Amodei and Lombardo have backed James Settelmeyer, a former state senator with a long political track record.
The district covers northern Nevada and includes Reno and Carson City, the capital, along with an immense rural expanse.
Trump-endorsed candidates have seen successful in primaries elsewhere, underscoring his unrivaled power over the Republican Party as he enters the last years of his presidency. He easily won the district in the 2024 presidential election.
The GOP nominee has a good chance of winning in November, as registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by 70,000 in the 2nd District. A Republican has held the seat since the district was created in the 1980s.
Still, Democrats hope to entice the large number of nonpartisan voters in the district this fall. Their candidates include Teresa Benitez-Thompson, a former majority floor leader of the Nevada Assembly, and Greg Kidd, an investor who ran in the last cycle as a nonpartisan.
3rd Congressional District
Nevada’s other three members of Congress, all Democrats, are expected to win their primaries easily.
In the 3rd District, Republicans are battling to determine who will face Democratic Rep. Susie Lee in what is considered the most competitive congressional district in Nevada because of its narrow Democratic registration advantage, its high number of nonpartisan voters and a history of razor-thin election margins. In 2024 both Lee and Trump won narrowly.
Candidates include Trump-backed Marty O’Donnell, a composer who worked on the “Halo” video game series and ran unsuccessfully for the seat in 2024; Jeff Gunter, a dermatologist and former ambassador to Iceland; neurosurgeon Aury Nagy; and businessperson Tera Anderson.
The candidates ran on border security, energy independence and decreasing the federal debt.
Attorney general
With Ford term-limited and running for governor, the opening has prompted competitive primaries for the state’s top law enforcement post.
The Democratic side features state Senate Majority Leader Nicole Cannizzaro and Treasurer Zach Conine. Both campaigned on promises to take on the Trump administration, following in the footsteps of Ford, who filed numerous lawsuits against the federal government.
For the Republicans, Trump-backed attorney Adriana Guzmán Fralick faces Douglas County commissioner Danny Tarkanian. Tarkanian, son of legendary University of Nevada, Las Vegas basketball coach Jerry Tarkanian, previously ran unsuccessfully in multiple congressional races.
Both candidates campaigned on “election integrity,” casting doubt on voting security. Nevada is one of the swing states in which Trump falsely claimed the 2020 election was stolen, despite officials finding no evidence of widespread fraud.
Tarkanian promised to investigate voter fraud allegations, while Guzmán Fralick vowed to seek passage of the SAVE Nevada Act, which would be similar to changes Trump has sought at the federal level.
Her legislation would require all votes to be counted on Election Day, end universal mail ballots and eliminate automatic voter registration. It would almost certainly hit a dead end in the Democratic-controlled Legislature.
GOP secretary of state candidates question Nevada’s elections
Several Republicans are running for secretary of state, the office that oversees elections, including some who falsely claimed the 2020 election was stolen from Trump. The winner of the primary will take on Democratic Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar.
The GOP candidates include Jim Marchant, a former state lawmaker and perennial candidate who has said the 2020 election “was probably stolen”; Sharron Angle, a former state lawmaker who was part of an effort to block the certification of Nevada’s 2020 election results; and Shirley Folkins-Roberts, an attorney who received Lombardo’s endorsement and has denied there is widespread fraud in Nevada’s elections.
All the candidates support implementing voter ID, which will be on the ballot for the second time in November after the question passed by a wide margin in 2024.
Angle promises to enforce voter ID if voters pass it and supports Trump’s executive order seeking to require documentary proof of citizenship to vote. The courts have so far halted that order, issued last year, from taking effect.
Marchant wants to eliminate electronic voting machines and end the state’s universal mail ballot system. He also wants to require paper ballots, which would be counted by hand, according to his campaign website.
Folkins-Roberts said she will work to keep voter rolls accurate and up-to-date, require voter ID and ensure that election results are delivered on time. She also wants to reverse the automatic voter registration system. In an interview with News 4 Reno, Folkins-Roberts said she believes Nevada’s elections are “good,” but wants to improve voters’ confidence by making changes.
Nevada
Red Flag Warning issued for heightened fire danger in Southern Nevada
LAS VEGAS (KSNV) — We’ll start the week with a heightened fire danger with dangerous heat later this week.
TODAY
Expect mostly sunny skies with winds picking up again on Monday. High temperatures will reach 98 degrees in Las Vegas with south winds 10-20 mph and wind gusts up to 30 mph.
A RED FLAG WARNING is in place from 10am to 9pm Monday for gusty winds and dry weather, so if a fire started, it would spread quickly.
Winds are estimated to be 20-25 mph with gusts around 40 mph at times with relative humidity of 5%-15%.
Air quality is ranked ‘good’ to ‘moderate’ for dust and tree pollen. The most common pollens are juniper, cedar, willow, sycamore and palm.
TONIGHT
We’ll see variable clouds this evening with skies going from mostly cloudy to mostly clear overnight.
Wind gusts will pick up again before midnight with gusts 30-40 mph possible downslope of the Spring Mountains in the west valley.
Elsewhere, gusts will be 20-30 mph. Breezes will eventually back down to 5-15 mph overnight. Valley lows will drop to around 74 degrees.
WHAT’S NEXT
We have reached 109 consecutive days without measurable rain in Las Vegas.
No rain is in sight, but for perspective, June is the driest month of the year in Las Vegas. Fingers crossed on a hopefully more active monsoon season!
High pressure builds next with highs 5-10 degrees above normal. Temperatures will reach around 108 degrees in Las Vegas by Friday. The last time we hit a high temperature of 108 degrees was back on August 20th of last year.
Not much relief is in sight by the weekend with highs around 107 degrees and temps at or above 105-106 degrees NEXT Monday through Wednesday.
Nevada
DNA Doe Project unlocks cold case in Nevada
Growing DNA databases continue to unlock decades-old cold cases. How the DNA Doe Project helped to identify remains 37 years later.
© KSNV, NBC News Channel
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