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Week Ahead: a run of elections while the WTO gathers in Abu Dhabi

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Week Ahead: a run of elections while the WTO gathers in Abu Dhabi

This article is an on-site version of our The Week Ahead newsletter. Sign up here to get the newsletter sent straight to your inbox every Sunday

Hello and welcome to the working week.

2024 is the year of elections and the next seven days offer us a rich crop of voting, with varying degrees of legitimacy.

On Tuesday, Israelis go to the polls for local elections. The US presidential election primary roadshow has pitched up in Michigan and later that day the voting begins. You can read more about this and other twists and turns in the Republican and Democrat campaigns from the Financial Times’s Washington reporter Steff Chávez in the US Election Countdown newsletter.

Iranians will also elect new representatives in their parliament on Friday.

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The day before that brings another British by-election in a seat previously held by a Conservative. This one is different, however. The campaign to be the new representative of the north-west English mill town of Rochdale has become one of the most toxic in modern British political history. The all-male list from which voters will choose features two candidates ditched by their respective parties because of comments about Israel and Palestine, one sacked previously by Labour for sending sexually explicit photos to a teenager, and the firebrand George Galloway. Our UK news team will have full coverage as the result arrives.

Another evolving UK news story has been the Post Office IT scandal, and this Tuesday MPs will take evidence from former Post Office chair Henry Staunton, current chief executive Nick Read and former sub-postmasters, including campaigner Alan Bates.

This is also the week of the WTO Ministerial Conference in Abu Dhabi. My colleague Alan Beattie will be providing insights in his latest Trade Secrets newsletter (for premium subscribers), out tomorrow. The death of global trade owing to the rise of populism and geopolitical shifts has been greatly exaggerated, but some roadblocks will definitely not get fixed this week, according to Alan. Sign up here to get Trade Secrets in your inbox each Monday.

We are approaching the end of the corporate reporting season, but you can expect a trickle of results with construction and food as the biggest themes, plus multiple central banker speeches. Another theme for this week is industry conferences with the annual mobile telecoms industry gathering at MWC in Barcelona and the Geneva International Motor Show.

One more thing . . . 

Some good news for at least the top half of the planet this week: meteorological spring is coming. And we will be getting an extra day to do something with given it’s a leap year.

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This could be an ideal time to book a spring break — mine is going to be a long weekend in the delightful English county of Suffolk. But don’t just take my word for it, read the HTSI holiday guide.

What are your plans for the next seven days, and what do you think is worth highlighting? Email me at jonathan.moules@ft.com or, if you are reading this in your inbox, hit reply.

Key economic and company reports

Here is a more complete list of what to expect in terms of company reports and economic data this week.

Monday

  • Bank of England deputy governor Sarah Breeden opens the Bank of England Agenda for Research (BEAR) conference in London. Keynote speakers include Bo Becker, a professor at the Stockholm School of Economics, and Juliane Begenau, associate professor of finance at Stanford University.

  • Israel: interest rate announcement

  • Spain: MWC Barcelona, the world’s largest event for the mobile telecommunications industry, begins. Speakers include Vodafone chief executive Margherita Della Valle and Dell Technologies chair and CEO Michael Dell.

  • Switzerland: the 2024 Geneva International Motor Show opens, running until the weekend.

  • US: new home sales figures

  • Results: Bank of Ireland FY, Bunzl FY, Domino’s Pizza Q4, Fidelity National Information Q4, SBA Communications Q4, Zoom Q4

Tuesday

  • Bank of England deputy governor David Ramsden speaks at AFME Bond Trading, Innovation and Evolution Forum in London.

  • Germany: GfK Consumer Climate survey

  • Israel: local elections. Public holiday and financial markets closed.

  • Japan: February consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate data

  • UK: British Retail Consortium’s February Shop Price Index

  • US: January durable goods orders data

  • Results: Abrdn FY, AES Corp Q4, Agilent Technologies Q1, ASM International Q4, Bouygues FY, Coface FY, eBay Q4, Lowe’s Cos Q4, Smith & Nephew FY, Unite Group FY, Woodside Energy FY

Wednesday

  • Bank of England monetary policy committee member Catherine Mann speaks at the FT’s Future Forum online event.

  • FT Live Business of Football online conference kicks off.

  • Australia: January CPI inflation rate data

  • Germany: monthly retail sales figures

  • Hong Kong: financial secretary Paul Chan Mo-po presents the 2024-25 Budget to the Legislative Council.

  • New Zealand: RBNZ official cash rate decision

  • US: revised Q4 GDP growth figures

  • Results: Aston Martin Lagonda FY, Groupe Casino FY, Co-operative Bank FY, HP Q1, Just Eat Takeaway.com FY, Paramount Global Q4, Reckitt Benckiser FY, Salesforce Q4, St James’s Place FY, Taylor Wimpey FY, TJX Q4, Universal Health Services Q4, Universal Music Group Q4

Thursday

  • China: NBS manufacturing and non-manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data

  • France: Q4 GDP figures, plus February CPI and harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) inflation rate data.

  • Germany: February unemployment figures, plus CPI and HICP inflation rate data.

  • India: Q3 GDP figures

  • US: January personal spending and PCE price index data.

  • Results: Adecco FY, Air France-KLM FY, Anheuser-Busch InBev FY, CVS Group HY, Getlink FY, Haleon FY, Hammerson FY, IAG FY, London Stock Exchange Group FY, Man Group FY, Mobico FY, Ocado FY, Schroders FY, Serco FY, Weir Group FY

Friday

  • Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill speaks at Cardiff University Business School.

  • Adriana Kugler, member of Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Ford Motor Company chief executive Jim Farley, Nvidia boss Jensen Huang and former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice speak at Stanford University’s SIEPR Economic Summit.

  • Takeover Panel deadline for Julian Dunkerton to either announce a firm intention to bid for Superdry or say he does not intend to make an offer.

  • Brazil: Q4 GDP figures

  • Canada, China, EU, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, UK, US: S&P Global/Caixin/HCOB manufacturing PMI data

  • EU: Core February CPI and HICP inflation rate data

  • South Korea: Independence Movement Day. Financial markets closed.

  • UK: Bank of England publishes statistics for Q4 on external business of monetary financial institutions operating in the UK. Also, February Nationwide House Price Index.

  • US: University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey

  • Results: Pearson FY, Rightmove FY

World events

Finally, here is a rundown of other events and milestones this week.

Monday

  • Hungary: National Assembly votes to ratify Sweden’s bid to join Nato with the vote expected to pass.

  • Kenya: sixth session of the UN Environment Assembly (UNEA) opens at the UNEP headquarters in Nairobi, running until Friday.

  • UAE: WTO Ministerial Conference begins in Abu Dhabi, running until Thursday.

  • Ukraine: Day of resistance to the occupation of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol by Russia in 2014.

Tuesday

  • Brazil: first Brics finance ministers and central bank governors meeting in São Paulo.

  • UK: Former Post Office chair Henry Staunton, current chief executive Nick Read and former sub-postmasters, including campaigner Alan Bates, will give evidence to MPs on progress on redress to the Horizon IT scandal victims.

  • US: Michigan presidential primary elections.

Wednesday

  • Brazil: G20 finance ministers meet in São Paulo to prepare for the annual presidential summit in November.

  • UK: campaign group Liberty begins a legal challenge at London’s High Court over new police powers that broaden the definition under English Law of “serious disruption” in relation to peaceful protests.

Thursday

  • Leap Day adds an extra date to the month of February to accommodate the leap year in the Gregorian calendar.

  • UK: Rochdale by-election. Also, Keir Starmer: The Biography by Tom Baldwin is published by William Collins.

Friday

  • 70th anniversary of the first hydrogen bomb test on Bikini Atoll in the Marshall Islands.

  • 40th anniversary of the UK’s National Coal Board announcing the closure of Cortonwood Colliery in South Yorkshire, triggering the 1984 miners’ strike.

  • First day of meteorological spring.

  • The UN Security Council monthly presidency rotates from Guyana to Japan.

  • Iran: parliamentary elections.

  • UK: St David’s Day, celebrating the patron saint of Wales.

  • US: latest deadline for a new funding deal to avert a partial government shutdown in Washington. Also, President Joe Biden’s son Hunter is to appear for a deposition with House Republicans for their impeachment inquiry into his father.

Saturday

Sunday

  • 100th anniversary of the Ottoman Empire ending.

  • El Salvador: municipal elections.

  • UK: annual rail fares increase comes into force.

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How the federal government is painting immigrants as criminals on social media

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How the federal government is painting immigrants as criminals on social media

Getty Images, Dept. of Homeland Security and The White House via X/Collage by Emily Bogle/NPR

Two days after At Chandee, who goes by Ricky, was arrested by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, the White House’s X account posted about him, calling the 52-year-old the “WORST OF WORST” and a “CRIMINAL ILLEGAL ALIEN.”

Except that the photo the White House posted was of a different person. The post also incorrectly claimed Chandee had multiple felony convictions — he has one, for second-degree assault in 1993 when he was 18 years old. He shot two people in the legs and served three years in prison.

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At "Ricky" Chandee with his wife, Tina Huynh-Chandee.

At “Ricky” Chandee with his wife, Tina Huynh-Chandee.

Via the Chandee family


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Via the Chandee family

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Chandee, who came to the U.S. as a child refugee, was ordered to be deported back to his home country, Laos. But Laos had not been accepting all of the people the U.S. wanted it to, so the federal government determined that it was likely infeasible to deport him, his lawyer Linus Chan told NPR. Chandee therefore was granted permission to stay in the U.S. and work so long as he checked in with immigration authorities periodically. He has not missed a check-in in over 30 years and has not had another criminal incident.

People who know Chandee do not see him as “worst of the worst.”

After Chandee completed his prison sentence, he finished school and became an engineering technician. He worked for the City of Minneapolis for 26 years, became a father, and his son grew up to join the military.

In his free time, Chandee enjoys hiking and foraging for mushrooms, Minnesota Public Radio reported.

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“We are proud to work alongside At ‘Ricky’ Chandee,” said Tim Sexton, Director of Public Works for the City of Minneapolis in a statement. “I don’t understand why he would be a target for removal now, why he was brutally detained and swiftly flown to Texas, or how his removal benefits our city or country.” Chandee is petitioning for his release in federal court.

Chandee’s case is not unique 

Social media accounts from the White House, the Department of Homeland Security and other immigration agencies have spent much of the past year posting about people detained in the administration’s immigration crackdown, typically portraying them as hardened, violent criminals. That’s even as over 70% of the people detained don’t have criminal records according to ICE data.

NPR’s research of cases in Minnesota shows that while many of the people who have been highlighted on social media do have recent, serious criminal records, about a quarter are like Chandee, with decades-old convictions, minor offenses or only pending criminal proceedings. Scholars of immigration, media and criminal law say such a media campaign is unprecedented and paints a distorted picture of immigrants and crime.

A year into President Trump’s second term, the X accounts of DHS and ICE have posted about more than 2,000 people who were targets of mass deportation efforts. Starting late last March, DHS and ICE began posting on X on a near daily basis, often highlighting apprehensions of multiple people a day, an NPR review of government social media posts show.

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Among the 2,000 people highlighted by the agencies, NPR identified 130 who were arrested by federal agents in Minnesota and tried to verify the government’s statements about their criminal histories.

In most of the social media posts, the government did not provide the state where the conviction occurred or the person’s age. Public court records do not tend to include photos so definitive identification can be a challenge.

NPR derived its findings from cases where it was able to locate a name and matching criminal history in the Minnesota court and detention system, in nationwide criminal history databases, sex offender databases, and in some cases, federal courts and other state courts.

In 19 of the 130 cases, roughly 1-in-7, public records show the most recent convictions were at least 20 years ago.

Seventeen of the 19 cases with old convictions did include violent crimes like homicide and first-degree sexual assault. ICE provided some of those names to Fox News as key examples of the agency’s accomplishments. “It’s the most disturbing list I’ve ever seen,” said Fox News reporter Bill Melugin on X, highlighting the criminal convictions of each person on the list.

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For seven people, their only criminal history involved driving under the influence or disorderly conduct.

ICE agents approach a house before detaining two people in Minneapolis on Jan. 13.

ICE agents approach a house before detaining two people in Minneapolis on Jan. 13.

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Stephen Maturen/Getty Images

Six of the 130 Minnesota cases highlighted by the administration involved people with no criminal convictions. The government’s social media posts for those six instead rely upon the charges and arrests as evidence of their criminality, even though arrests don’t always lead to charges and charges can be dismissed.

In yet another case, the government highlighted a criminal charge even while noting it had been dismissed. (The person did have other existing convictions.)

For 37 of the 130 people, NPR was unable to confirm matching criminal history after consulting the databases and news coverage. Some of the names turned up no criminal history at all. The government said these people committed crimes ranging from homicide and assault to drug trafficking, and cited one by name to Fox News. NPR tried to reach out to all 37 people and their families for comment but did not receive a response from any.

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In a statement to NPR, DHS’s chief spokesperson Lauren Bis did not dispute NPR’s findings or provide documentation where NPR wasn’t able to confirm matching criminal history.

“The fact that NPR is defending murderers and pedophiles is gross,” Bis wrote. “We hear far too much about criminals and not enough about their victims.” before listing four of the people with old convictions of homicide and sexual assault, underlining the date of deportation order for three of them.

Images designed to trigger emotion

The stream of social media posts with photos of mostly nonwhite people are meant to draw an emotional response, says Leo Chavez, an emeritus professor of anthropology at the University of California, Irvine. They “have been used repeatedly over and over to get people to buy into, really drastic, drastic and draconian actions and policies,” he said.

Chavez, whose most recent book is The Latino Threat: How Alarmist Rhetoric Misrepresents Immigrants, Citizens, and the Nation, recalls how political campaigns in past decades presented images of Latinos — often men — without context. “Just by showing their image, showing brown people, particularly brown men, it’s supposed to be scary.”

The fact that the government’s social media posts come with statements about criminal history as well as photos reinforces that emotional response, Chavez said. DHS has previously acknowledged inaccuracies on their website. But even if the department issues corrections, Chavez said, “the goal was actually achieved, which was to reinforce the criminality and the visualization.”

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CNN’s analysis of DHS’s “Arrested: Worst of the Worst” website showed that for hundreds out of about 25,000 people posted on the website, the crimes listed were not violent felonies. Instead, DHS listed people with records that included traffic offenses, marijuana possession or illegal reentry. DHS said the website had a “glitch” that it will fix but also that the people in question “have [committed] additional crimes.”

“I’ve never seen anything like this when it comes to immigration enforcement in the modern era,” said Juliet Stumpf, a professor at Lewis & Clark Law School who studies the intersection of immigration and criminal law. She said the drumbeat of social media posts focused on specific individuals was like “FBI’s most wanted posters” or “like reality TV shows.”

Then-DHS Assistant Secretary for Public Affairs Tricia McLaughlin, flanked by deputy director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Madison Sheahan, left, and Acting director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Todd Lyons, speaks during a news conference at ICE Headquarters, in Washington, D.C., on May 21, 2025.

Then-DHS Assistant Secretary for Public Affairs Tricia McLaughlin, flanked by deputy director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Madison Sheahan (left), and Acting director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Todd Lyons, speaks during a news conference at ICE Headquarters, in Washington, D.C., on May 21, 2025.

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Stumpf drew a parallel with an incident from the 1950s when the U.S. government deported two permanent residents suspected of being communists. “The government was kind of proclaiming and celebrating their deportation because getting rid of these communists was making the country safer,” said Stumpf, “Maybe that’s comparable to something like [this].”

An analysis by the Deportation Data Project shows a dramatic increase in arrests of noncitizens without criminal records during President Trump’s current term compared to President Biden’s term.

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“If you look at research, immigrants actually tend to commit fewer crimes than even U.S. citizens do. And that’s true of immigrants who have lawful status here and immigrants who don’t,” said Stumpf. “If we have a number of social media posts that are painting immigrants as the worst of the worst…it’s actually really putting out a distorted version of reality about who immigrants actually are.”

Some claims are disputed by other authorities

In some posts, DHS and ICE have also used photos of people and statements about their criminal histories to burnish the federal government’s accomplishments, defend their agents and criticize states like Minnesota. State and local authorities have in turn pushed back, and some of the federal government’s claims about the people it has detained have been met with setbacks in the courts.

DHS accused Minnesota’s Cottonwood County of not honoring detainers, written requests by ICE to hold prisoners in custody for a period of time so ICE can pick them up. In one post, the agency identified a person who was charged with child sexual abuse, writing “This is who sanctuary city politicians and anti-ICE agitators are defending.”

The Cottonwood County sheriff’s office said DHS’s post “misrepresented the truth” in their own post on Facebook. According to their account, the county did honor the detainer but ICE said it was unable to pick up the person before the order expired and the county had to release the suspect.

The Minnesota Department of Corrections wrote in a blog post that dozens of people DHS listed on its “Worst of the Worst” website were not arrested as DHS described, but were transferred to ICE by the state because they were already in state custody. The Corrections Department has since launched a page dedicated to “correct the Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS) repeated false claims.”

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The “Worst of the Worst” website has some overlap with the department’s social media posts, but it contains a much larger number of people — over 30,000 nationally. It included a Colombian soccer star who was extradited to the U.S., tried in Texas, convicted of drug trafficking and served time in federal prison. The website incorrectly describes him as being arrested in Wisconsin. The soccer player, Jhon Viáfara Mina, recently finished his sentence early and returned to Colombia, according to Spanish newspaper El Diario Vasco.

In some instances, DHS and ICE wrote about incidents where they ran into conflict when carrying out arrests. In those posts, they named the arrestees and posted their photos. But in one case where the incident went to court, the government’s account of the events shifted. After a federal agent shot Julio C. Sosa-Celis in Minneapolis in January, DHS claimed he was lodging a “violent attack on law enforcement.” Assault charges against Sosa-Celis fell apart in court as new evidence surfaced, and the officers involved were put on leave.

Despite the fact that the charges were dropped, DHS’s post profiling Sosa-Celis remains online.

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Bill Clinton to testify before House committee investigating Epstein links

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Bill Clinton to testify before House committee investigating Epstein links

Former president Bill Clinton is scheduled to give deposition Friday to a congressional committee investigating his links to Jeffrey Epstein, one day after Hillary Clinton testified before the committee and called the proceedings “partisan political theatre” and “an insult to the American people”.

During remarks before the House oversight committee, Hillary Clinton, the former secretary of state, insisted on Thursday that she had never met Epstein.

The former Democratic president, however, flew on Epstein’s private jet several times in the early 2000s but said he never visited his island.

Clinton, who engaged in an extramarital affair while president and has been accused of sexual misconduct by three women, also appears in a photo from the recently released files, in a hot tub with Epstein and a woman whose identity is redacted.

Clinton has denied the sexual misconduct claims and was not charged with any crimes. He also has not been accused of any wrongdoing connected to Epstein.

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Epstein visited the White House at least 17 times during the early years of Clinton’s presidency, according to White House visitor records cited in news reports. Clinton said he cut ties with him around 2005, before the disgraced financier, who died from suicide in 2019, pleaded guilty to solicitation of a minor in Florida.

The House committee subpoenaed the Clintons in August. They initially refused to testify but agreed after Republicans threatened to hold them in contempt.

The Clintons asked for their depositions to be held publicly, with the former president stating that to do so behind closed doors would amount to a “kangaroo court”.

“Let’s stop the games + do this the right way: in a public hearing,” Clinton said on X earlier this month.

The committee’s chair, James Comer, did not grant their request, and the proceedings will be conducted behind closed doors with video to be released later.

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On Thursday, Hillary Clinton’s proceedings were briefly halted after representative Lauren Boebert leaked an image of Clinton testifying.

During the full day deposition, Clinton said she had no information about Epstein and did not recall ever meeting him.

Before the deposition, Comer said it would be a long interview and that one with Bill Clinton would be “even longer”.

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Read Judge Schiltz’s Order

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Read Judge Schiltz’s Order

CASE 0:26-cv-00107-PJS-DLM

Doc. 12-1 Filed 02/26/26

Page 5 of 17

and to file a status update by 11:00 am on January 20. ECF No. 5. Respondents never provided a bond hearing and did not release Petitioner until January 21, ECF Nos. 10, 12, after failing to file an update, ECF No. 9. Further, Respondents released Petitioner subject to conditions despite the Court’s release order not providing for conditions. ECF Nos. 5, 12–13.

Abdi W. v. Trump, et al., Case No. 26-CV-00208 (KMM/SGE)

On January 21, 2026, the Court ordered Respondents, within 3 days, to either (a) complete Petitioner’s inspection and examination and file a notice confirming completion, or (b) release Petitioner immediately in Minnesota and confirm the date, time, and location of release. ECF No. 7. No notice was ever filed. The Court emailed counsel on January 27, 2026, at 10:39 am. No response was provided.

Adriana M.Y.M. v. David Easterwood, et al., Case No. 26-CV-213 (JWB/JFD)

On January 24, 2026, the Court ordered immediate release in Minnesota and ordered Respondents to confirm the time, date, and location of release, or anticipated release, within 48 hours. ECF No. 12. Respondent was not released until January 30, and Respondents never disclosed the time of release, instead describing it as “early this morning.” ECF No. 16.

Estefany J.S. v. Bondi, Case No. 26-CV-216 (JWB/SGE)

On January 13, 2026, at 10:59 am, the Court ordered Respondents to file a letter by 4:00 pm confirming Petitioner’s current location. ECF No. 8. After receiving no response, the Court ordered Respondents, at 5:11 pm, to immediately confirm Petitioner’s location and, by noon on January 14, file a memorandum explaining their failure to comply with the initial order. ECF No. 9. Respondents did not file the memorandum, requiring the Court to issue another order. ECF No. 12. On January 15, the Court ordered immediate release in Minnesota and required Respondents to confirm the time, date, and location of release within 48 hours. ECF No. 18. On January 20, having received no confirmation, the Court ordered Respondents to comply immediately. ECF No. 21. Respondents informed the Court that Petitioner was released in Minnesota on January 17, but did not specify the time. ECF No. 22.

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