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Why Lithuania is polarised over Russia’s war in Ukraine

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Why Lithuania is polarised over Russia’s war in Ukraine

Russia’s navy invasion of Ukraine has drawn fierce condemnation from throughout Europe. 

However not in all quarters.  

In lots of international locations neighbouring Russia, particularly those who as soon as fashioned a part of the USSR, a small minority of largely Russian audio system have come out in help of the invasion and defended Putin’s goals.

One instance is the small Baltic state of Lithuania, which borders the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad. 

As much as 15% of Lithuania’s inhabitants are Russian audio system, in line with Lithuania’s Analysis Council, and Russians make up the second-largest nationwide group in Lithuania. 

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‘It’s insanity’

Sasha Danilkova, 25, who was born and raised in Lithuania, solely speaks Russian. 

Whereas Danilkova describes herself as Lithuanian, half of her household are Russian audio system descended from Russians and Ukrainians.   

“I’m utterly towards the warfare. It’s insanity,” she stated. “Putin and the folks round him have gone loopy.”

But, Danilkova’s view of the warfare is in stark distinction to that of her dad and mom and prolonged household, particularly its older members. 

“They are saying, sure, it’s unhappy folks will die,” she stated. “However a few of my household assume the warfare was wanted and that Putin is right.”

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What she discovered “the weirdest half” was that such help was aired most vocally by the Ukrainian aspect of her household, who’ve kin within the nation. 

Though the views of Lithuania’s Russian-speaking minority towards the warfare haven’t been surveyed, different polls are indicative.

In a single European Values Research carried out in Lithuania, 54% of these whose first language was Russian agreed with the assertion — pushed by Moscow — that Russia’s insurance policies are an ample response to US and NATO actions directed towards it.

An additional 48 per cent stated they thought Crimea, which Moscow annexed from Ukraine in 2014, lawfully belonged to Russia. 

‘The state of affairs is way from rosy’

Danilkova claimed age was behind her household’s pro-Putin sympathies. 

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“Older generations of Lithuanians are nearer to Russian folks,” she stated. “They solely eat Russian information and largely speak to different Russian audio system.

“They do not hear different factors of view,” Danilkova added. 

Regardless of their supply, the views of Lithuania’s Russian audio system are impacting society. 

Dr Margarita Šešelgytė, director of worldwide relations and political science at Vilnius College, stated they have been creating “beneath the floor tensions”.

She stated lots of the Russian-speaking group are involved about government-led initiatives to rename the Russian Drama Theatre of Lithuania in Vilnius, as a result of Ukraine warfare, in addition to dismantling Soviet statues. 

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Russian audio system are additionally more and more seen by Lithuanians with suspicion, in line with Šešelgytė. 

“There are specific prevailing stereotypes that trigger an absence of belief,” she stated, citing how Russian audio system’ intentions to affix the Lithuanian military had been met with suspicion and hostility in public debates. 

‘It by no means brought on issues up to now’

Nonetheless, the affect of Russia is just not solely associated to age. 

In response to Šešelgytė, help for Russia and Putin is “fairly excessive” in Lithuanian’s Russian-speaking colleges. 

She pointed to the truth that many academics inside the colleges have been Russian, alongside using the Russian language which “helps assemble an id of who they’re”. 

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“The faculties are locations the place Russian propaganda and disinformation nonetheless reaches the youthful section of the society,”  Šešelgytė stated. 

“It’s a problem we’ve to consider.”

There are at present 48 Russian colleges in Lithuania, educating some 14,000 pupils every year. 

In an effort to curtail Russia’s affect, Lithuania banned Russian and Belarussian TV channels in 2022 and blocked many Russian information shops on-line. 

Nevertheless, Šešelgytė stated the state of affairs in Lithuania was “not as dangerous as in different Baltic states”, the place there are giant Russian-speaking minorities. 

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One cause, she claims, is that Lithuania’s Russian audio system are effectively built-in. 

“They take part in civil service, research on the similar college, go to the identical eating places, the identical bars … which isn’t the case in different Baltic international locations the place there may be extra segregation,” she stated. 

Russian audio system in Latvia and Estonia, the place they account for roughly 25 per cent of the inhabitants, have lengthy confronted political and social difficulties since their independence from the USSR in 1991.  

A big quantity have nonetheless not attained citizenship, that means they’re unable to vote or maintain workplace nationally or within the European parliament. 

‘The warfare doesn’t enable a gray zone’

Šešelgytė stated issues for Lithuania’s Russian-speaking minority have been “getting higher” because the generations modified, regardless of the issues surrounding the warfare.  

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Lithuania is likely one of the most energetic and vocal world supporters of Ukraine. 

Some 50% of Lithuanians have donated cash or discovered different methods of serving to Ukraine, in line with a Baltic Information Service Ballot. 

This basic local weather, stated Šešelgytė, was pushing Russian-speaking Lithuanians to disagree with the warfare. 

“Within the warfare, there isn’t a place for the gray zone,” she stated. “It’s both white or black and you need to take one aspect.” 

These efforts have additionally been supported by an efficient authorities message that has distanced Lithuania’s Russian audio system from the battle past their borders. 

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“What we’ve succeeded in doing is pushing a message that the warfare is brought on by the Russian regime and which might be Russian audio system are secure,” she stated. “This isn’t a witch hunt.

“Now we have to remain united,” she added.

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The northern Sumy region, which borders Russia, was plunged into dark after Russian strikes late Friday damaged energy infrastructure, the Ukrainian Energy Ministry said. Hours later, the Ukrainian public broadcaster reported that Russian drones hit the provincial capital, also called Sumy, cutting

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Reformist candidate Masoud Pezeshkian wins Iran's presidential runoff election

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Reformist candidate Masoud Pezeshkian wins Iran's presidential runoff election

Reformist candidate Masoud Pezeshkian won Iran’s runoff presidential election Saturday, besting hardliner Saeed Jalili by promising to reach out to the West and ease enforcement on the country’s mandatory headscarf law after years of sanctions and protests squeezing the Islamic Republic.

Pezeshkian promised no radical changes to Iran’s Shiite theocracy in his campaign and has long held Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as the final arbiter of all matters of state in the country. But even Pezeshkian’s modest aims will be challenged by an Iranian government still largely held by hardliners, the ongoing Israel-Hamas war in the Gaza Strip, and Western fears over Tehran enriching uranium to near-weapons-grade levels with enough of a stockpile to produce several nuclear weapons if it chose.

IRAN’S SUPREME LEADER THANKS US COLLEGE STUDENTS FOR ‘STANDING ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF HISTORY’

A vote count offered by authorities put Pezeshkian as the winner with 16.3 million votes to Jalili’s 13.5 million in Friday’s election. Overall, Iran’s Interior Ministry said 30 million people voted in an election held without internationally recognized monitors, representing a turnout of 49.6% — higher than the historic low of the June 28 first round vote but lower than other presidential races.

Reformist candidate for Iran’s presidential election Masoud Pezeshkian, center, reacts after casting his vote as he is accompanied by former Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, left, at a polling station in Shahr-e-Qods near Tehran, Iran, Friday. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

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Supporters of Pezeshkian, a heart surgeon and longtime lawmaker, entered the streets of Tehran and other cities before dawn to celebrate as his lead grew over Jalili, a hard-line former nuclear negotiator. Pezeshkian later traveled to the mausoleum of the late Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the leader of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, and addressed journalists in a chaotic event.

“In this election, I didn’t give you false promises. I did not lie,” Pezeshkian said. “It’s been many years after the revolution that we come to the podium, we make promises and we fail to fulfill them. This is the biggest problem we have.”

Pezeshkian’s win still sees Iran at a delicate moment, with tensions high in the Mideast and a looming election in the United States that could put any chance of a detente between Tehran and Washington at risk. Pezeshkian’s victory also wasn’t a rout of Jalili, meaning he’ll have to carefully navigate Iran’s internal politics as the doctor has never held a sensitive, high-level security post.

Government officials up to Khameni, the supreme leader, predicted higher turnout as voting got underway, with state television airing images of modest lines at some polling centers. However, online videos purported to show some polls empty while a survey of several dozen sites in Tehran saw light traffic and a heavy security presence on the streets.

Authorities counted 607,575 voided votes — which often are a sign of protest by those who feel obligated to cast a ballot but reject both candidates.

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Khamenei praised the turnout Saturday despite what he alleged was a boycott campaign “orchestrated by the enemies of the Iranian nation to induce despair and a feeling of hopelessness.”

Voters in line

Iranian people stand in a queue as they wait to vote at a polling station in Tehran during a snap presidential election to choose a successor to Ebrahim Raisi following his death in a helicopter crash. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters)

“I would like to recommend Dr. Pezeshkian, the elected president, put his trust in God, the Compassionate, and set his vision on high, bright horizons,” Khamenei added.

Voters expressed a guarded optimism.

“I don’t expect anything from him — I am happy that the vote put the brake on hard-liners,” said bank employee Fatemeh Babaei, who voted for Pezeshkian. “I hope Pezeshkian can return administration to a way in which all people can feel there is a tomorrow.”

Taher Khalili, a Kurdish-origin Iranian who runs a small tailor shop in Tehran, offered another reason to be hopeful while handing out candy to passersby.

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“In the end, someone from my hometown and the west of Iran came to power,” Khalili said. “I hope he will make economy better for small businesses.”

Pezeshkian, who speaks Azeri, Farsi and Kurdish, campaigned on outreach to Iran’s many ethnicities. He represents the first president from western Iran in decades — something people hope will aid the county as those in the western part are considered more tolerant because of the ethnic and religious diversity in their area.

The election came amid heightened regional tensions. In April, Iran launched its first-ever direct attack on Israel over the war in Gaza, while militia groups armed by Tehran — such as the Lebanese Hezbollah and Yemen’s Houthi rebels — are engaged in the fighting and have escalated their attacks.

While Khamenei remains the final decision-maker on matters of state, Pezeshkian could bend the country’s foreign policy toward either confrontation or collaboration with the West.

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia, which has reached a detente with Iran, sent his congratulations to Pezeshkian that stressed his “keenness to develop and deepen the relations that bring our two countries and peoples together.” Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has relied on Iranian-made drones in his war on Ukraine, similarly congratulated Pezeshkian.

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Responding to questions from The Associated Press, the State Department called the Iranian election “not free or fair” and noted that “a significant number of Iranians chose not to participate at all.”

“We have no expectation these elections will lead to fundamental change in Iran’s direction or more respect for the human rights of its citizens,” the State Department added. “As the candidates themselves have said, Iranian policy is set by the supreme leader.”

However, it said it would pursue diplomacy “when it advances American interests.”

Candidates repeatedly touched on what would happen if former President Donald Trump, who unilaterally withdrew America from the Iran nuclear deal in 2018, won the November election. Iran has held indirect talks with President Joe Biden’s administration, though there’s been no clear movement back toward constraining Tehran’s nuclear program for the lifting of economic sanctions.

Pezeshkian’s win did see Iran’s rial strengthen Saturday against the U.S. dollar, trading 603,000 to $1, down from 615,000 on Thursday. The rial traded 32,000 to $1 at the time the 2015 nuclear deal was reached.

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Though identifying with reformists and relative moderates within Iran’s theocracy during the campaign, Pezeshkian at the same time honored Iran’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard, on one occasion wearing its uniform to parliament. He repeatedly criticized the United States and praised the Guard for shooting down an American drone in 2019, saying it “delivered a strong punch in the mouth of the Americans and proved to them that our country will not surrender.”

The late President Ebrahim Raisi, whose death in a May helicopter crash sparked the early election, was seen as a protégé of Khamenei and a potential successor as supreme leader.

Still, many knew him for his involvement in the mass executions that Iran conducted in 1988, and for his role in the bloody crackdowns on dissent that followed protests over the 2022 death of Mahsa Amini, a young woman detained by police over allegedly improperly wearing the mandatory headscarf, or hijab.

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