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Ukraine accepts 30-day ceasefire in US talks: What it means for Russia war

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Ukraine accepts 30-day ceasefire in US talks: What it means for Russia war

On Tuesday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that Ukraine has accepted a 30-day ceasefire with Russia after critical peace talks with the United States in Saudi Arabia.

Washington has, in turn, lifted its pause on military aid and intelligence sharing with Kyiv.

After eight hours of negotiations in the port city of Jeddah, the terms of peace were jointly signed and will be presented to Russia, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who represented Washington in Saudi Arabia, said. The ball is now in Moscow’s court, said Rubio.

Here is what we know about the deal that was struck – and what it means for Russia’s war on Ukraine, now into its fourth year, at a time when US President Donald Trump has repeatedly said that ending the conflict is among his top geopolitical priorities.

What is the ceasefire deal about?

The deal was reached after a meeting in Saudi Arabia. Ukraine was represented by Andriy Yermak, head of Zelenskyy’s office; Andrii Sybiha, the minister of foreign affairs; Rustem Umerov, the minister of defence; and Pavlo Palisa, a colonel in Zelenskyy’s office.

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The US was represented by Rubio and National Security Advisor Mike Waltz.

The US and Ukraine released a joint statement after the talks on Tuesday. This statement says that the countries have agreed on “an immediate, interim 30-day ceasefire, which can be extended by mutual agreement of the parties”.

In an X post on Tuesday, Zelenskyy added that the ceasefire will apply to missile, drone and bomb attacks “not only in the Black Sea, but also along the entire front line”.

The joint statement added that this is subject to agreement by Russia – underlining the unusual nature of the agreement. Ceasefire deals are usually struck between warring parties, not one of the nations in a conflict and a country attempting to mediate peace.

The statement said that the US “will communicate to Russia that Russian reciprocity is the key to achieving peace”.

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On Wednesday, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters that Russia was waiting to be briefed by the US about the ceasefire proposal before it could comment on whether or not it accepts the proposal’s terms.

What does Ukraine get in return for agreeing to a 30-day ceasefire?

The joint statement added that the US will immediately lift the pause on intelligence sharing and military aid to Ukraine.

After a meeting between US President Donald Trump and Zelenskyy on February 28 at the White House took an acrimonious turn, the US had paused military and intelligence assistance to Ukraine.

The statement added that the presidents of both countries had agreed on inking a deal on Ukraine’s critical minerals “as soon as possible”. The US and Ukraine have been discussing a minerals deal for weeks, which will allow the US to invest in Ukraine’s mineral resources. Trump and Zelenskyy were expected to sign this deal during the Ukrainian leader’s recent White House meeting, but the agreement was not signed.

The joint statement does not explicitly mention any security guarantees to Kyiv – something that Zelenskyy has been seeking.

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Trump has repeatedly rejected the idea of the US offering security guarantees. However, the Trump administration has argued that US investment in Ukraine, through the minerals deal, would serve as a security guarantee.

In a Fox News interview that aired on March 3, Vice President JD Vance said: “If you want real security guarantees, if you want to actually ensure that Vladimir Putin does not invade Ukraine again, the very best security guarantee is to give Americans economic upside in the future of Ukraine.” Vance implied that this would deter Russia from attacking Ukraine.

What did Ukraine propose at the meeting?

In a post on his X account on Tuesday, Zelenskyy said that the discussion in Saudi Arabia was constructive.

He added that during the meeting, the team from Ukraine proposed three key points; “silence in the skies,” with neither side firing missiles, bombs or launching long-range drone attacks against each other; “silence at sea”; and the release of civilian and military prisoners of war as well as the Ukrainian children who were forcibly sent to Russia.

The Ukrainian leader wrote that Kyiv was ready to accept the proposal. “If Russia agrees, the ceasefire will take effect immediately.”

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Rubio also posted on X after the meeting. “We are one step closer to restoring durable peace for Ukraine. The ball is now in Russia’s court.”

How significant is the resumption of US aid and intelligence?

“The US support which was withdrawn in order to force Ukraine into agreeing to the outline of the ceasefire was significant,” Keir Giles, a senior consulting fellow at the London-based Chatham House think tank, told Al Jazeera. He added that Ukraine had no choice but to accept the deal.

The suspension of military and intelligence sharing was hindering Ukraine on the battlefield.

Even before the war in Ukraine started in February 2022, the US provided significant intelligence support to Ukraine. This support would help Ukraine prepare for incoming Russian attacks and also deploy long-range missiles to attack Russian logistical centres.

On March 5, US officials confirmed that this support was suspended. As the suspension came into effect, Al Jazeera’s Charles Stratford, reporting from Ukraine, spoke with a Ukrainian commander in a unit close to the front line. “He said that his unit and many like him right the way along that 1,300km [808 miles] front line in the east and south of Ukraine relied on American intelligence gathering for around 90 percent of the intelligence work that is done,” Stratford said.

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While effects of the intelligence suspension were felt immediately, the suspension of military aid spurred a sense of impending doom. “Without the US military aid, Ukrainian forces will gradually lose combat capability. My guess is that the Ukrainians can hold out for two to four months before their lines buckle and the Russians break through,” Mark Cancian, a former US Marine Corps colonel and a senior adviser with the Center for Strategic and International Studies, told Al Jazeera at the time.

Will Russia accept a ceasefire?

Russia has not responded to the ceasefire yet.

“It would be strange and out of character if Russia were to agree to the current proposition without presenting additional demands,” Giles said. “Russia has every incentive now to press for additional demands in order to agree to a ceasefire.”

Giles added that Russian President Vladimir Putin could push for additional demands including sanctions relief or “permanent restrictions on security guarantees given to Ukraine”. Since the war began in 2022, the US and its allies have imposed at least 21,692 sanctions on Russia.

The sanctions have targeted Russian individuals, media organisations, the military sector, energy sector, aviation, shipbuilding and telecommunications, among other sectors.

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“If past performance is any guide, those demands will be backed by the US,” Giles said.

Trump, though, said on March 7 that he was “strongly considering” imposing sanctions and tariffs on Russia until a peace agreement is reached with Ukraine.

The Russian Foreign Ministry said that it has not ruled out contacts with US representatives over the next few days, Russian state news agency RIA reported. Trump has said that the US is planning to communicate with Russia in the coming days.

Trump’s Middle East Special Envoy Steve Witkoff plans to visit Moscow to speak with Putin in the coming days, according to two anonymous sources briefed on the matter, Reuters reported. This will be Witkoff’s second meeting with Putin since last month, when he became the first high-level US official to travel to Russia since the beginning of the war.

Waltz, the national security adviser, also told a press conference after the discussion in Jeddah: “I will talk to my Russian counterpart in the coming days.”

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Zelenskyy issues open letter to Putin proposing meeting as US ‘fully focused’ on Iran

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Zelenskyy issues open letter to Putin proposing meeting as US ‘fully focused’ on Iran

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In an open letter to Russian President Vladimir Putin, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy proposed meeting to reach a resolution to the years-long war between their two nations.

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“We see that the United States is fully focused on the issue of Iran, and it would be wrong to simply wait until the war in Europe returns to the center of its attention. Ukraine proposes ending this war through direct engagement between us — and you. I am proposing a meeting,” Zelenskyy said in the letter.

“There are countries that have traditionally hosted leaders to resolve issues of war and peace. Switzerland, Türkiye, the countries of the Arab world — many are able and willing to host such a meeting. It is leaders who resolve the key issues. That has always been the case, and it always will be,” he asserted.

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (not seen) hold a joint press conference in Kyiv, Ukraine, on June 3, 2026. (Danylo Antoniuk/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Zelenskyy suggested that Europe and the U.S. should also be involved in the peace process.

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“Since the war is taking place in Europe, and since Ukraine needs security guarantees, while you also seek security guarantees for yourself, it would be logical to involve those who can genuinely serve as guarantors. We believe Europe should be part of this process — those who truly have the capacity to influence the situation. We also believe that the United States must be part of the process. This is what could help shape a new security architecture for our part of the world,” he said.

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In this pool photograph distributed by the Russian state agency Sputnik, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin chairs a meeting of the Presidential Council for the Implementation of State Policy on the Promotion of the Russian Language and the Languages of the Peoples of Russia via video link at the Kremlin in Moscow on June 2, 2026. (Vyacheslav PROKOFYEV/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

He indicated that Ukraine would agree to a ceasefire during the proposed negotiations.

“Ukraine is ready for a full ceasefire for the duration of the negotiations. This is standard practice, and current developments around Iran only reinforce that point. An attempt to establish real silence is the best way to begin talking to one another. We believe it would not simply be an attempt, but a real ceasefire — if that is what you want,” he noted.

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He also suggested a prisoner swap between the two nations, noting, “Ukraine is ready for an all-for-all exchange of prisoners of war, and this could become a good prologue to ending the war. Serious steps must be taken to return civilians and children who were taken away during the war.”

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President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky shake hands at a news conference following a meeting at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago club on Dec. 28, 2025, in Palm Beach, Fla. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

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“If you do not personally come to the conclusion that it is time to end this war, Ukraine will continue fighting for its existence. We will have those who support us. But you, too, will have to fight much harder for your own existence — not Russia’s, but your own. And this is not a threat from me or from Ukraine. It is a fact of Russian history that you know well: when Russia grows tired, change comes,” Zelenskyy warned Putin.

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‘Red meat is a dream’: Iran inflation hits highest level since World War II

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‘Red meat is a dream’: Iran inflation hits highest level since World War II

Tehran, Iran – In the popular Bastan market in the west of the Iranian capital, where the inviting smell of fresh bread and fruit mingle with the sight of colourful fabrics and clothing, the scene no longer holds its usual joy.

Passersby wander among the vendors’ stalls, carefully turning goods over only to return them to their places.

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“Daily shopping trips have turned into something resembling a reconnaissance mission to find out the new prices,” says Mashhadi Firouz, a 63-year-old retiree, is reminiscing about his youth on this street when it was bustling with life.

Firouz is standing in front of the shelves in a large grocery store, turning items over one by one, searching for the prices listed on their packaging.

“A year ago, a kilo of rice was about 1.8 million rials ($1.31), but today it has crossed the 5-million-rial ($3.63) threshold,” he tells Al Jazeera. “Likewise, a bottle of cooking oil was about 700,000 rials ($0.51) until the spring of last year, but its price has now reached more than 3 million rials ($2.18).

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“My pension does not even cover a third of the household expenses.”

He continues, exasperated: “We are witnessing a terrifying expansion of poverty, and not just extreme poverty, but what can be called the poverty of retirees and employees, as fixed-income earners are living below the poverty line for the first time in decades.

“We do not only complain about the high prices, but about their speed, which leaves us no chance to catch our breath.”

Shoppers in Tehran check prices carefully now that inflation in Iran has surged to its highest level in 80 years [Al Jazeera]

‘Counting eggs one by one’

Just a few metres away, Fatima, 46, a housewife and mother of three, tells Al Jazeera that she has to make multiple trips to the market each week just to stay ahead of the price rises.

“I now go to the market three times a week instead of once, not because I need anything, but to see if there is a seller who has goods at a lower price, or a commodity that the wave of inflation has not yet caught up with.

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“Red meat has become a dream, chicken has become a mere guest on our table, and I have even started counting eggs one by one.”

Hearing about prices doubling within days or weeks is no longer unusual, Fatima says. But inflation is no longer an “earthquake that strikes everyone equally”, but rather a selective epidemic that preys on the vulnerable more than others.

When the price of food rises, a poor family can lose half its income to necessities it cannot do without, while a wealthier family may barely notice.

In the wholesale market in the “Narenj” area south of Tehran, Mehran, 71, a grocery seller, speaks about another face of the crisis. “Inflation has not only hit the buyer, but it has hit us, too,” he tells Al Jazeera. “Purchasing power has collapsed, and people are now buying only the essentials. Prices have doubled in less than four months, so we had to reduce the quantities offered, but we cannot find anyone to buy them.”

“In my 40 years of work, I have never seen a recession this bad, not even during the worst periods of sanctions.”

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Mehrah isn’t even looking to turn a profit at this point, he says. “I am just trying not to go bankrupt and close the shop I inherited from my father.”

Rampant inflation

A new report by the Central Bank of Iran revealed a historic jump in the annual inflation rate, reaching 77.2 percent year-on-year in the period between April 21 and May 20, with a monthly increase of 8.5 percent compared with the previous month. Furthermore, point-to-point inflation for goods reached 113 percent.

This is Iran’s highest inflation rate since 1942, during World War II, which triggered the collapse of food supply chains and soaring prices.

Arman Khaleghi, head of Iran’s Chamber of Commerce, Industries and Mines, points to what he describes as a “perfect economic storm” of five factors that have all poured down simultaneously on the Iranian economy.

“We are facing a deadly intersection between the elimination of the preferential currency [the subsidised exchange rate for providing basic goods], which caused food prices to soar; the protests the country witnessed at the beginning of this year, which disrupted the market system and compromised the country’s security; followed by the [US-Israeli] ‘Ramadan War,’ which is not devoid of devastating inflationary effects,” he tells Al Jazeera.

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“These were followed by the annual increases in wages and energy prices at the beginning of the new Persian year, and finally the naval blockade that hindered import and export chains.”

Abundance of cooking oil in grocery stores after prices doubled [Al Jazeera]
Cooking oil languishes, unbought, on shelves in a Tehran grocery store after prices doubled [Al Jazeera]

As for the impact of the war, Khaleghi believes it was not just the military shock, but a “panic-driven demand engine” that radically changed consumer behaviour.

“With the outbreak of the war, people rushed to hoard basic goods, such as food and detergents. Demand jumped despite there being no real shortage in the markets, and this feverish rush alone is enough to drive up prices.”

This, in turn, has triggered a production shock. The damage inflicted on primary industries, led by petrochemicals, drove up packaging costs for the food, pharmaceutical and detergent industries. Furthermore, problems in the steel sector have diffused into the car and home appliance sectors, he says, transmitting the contagion of inflation from the factory to the store shelf.

Khaleghi points to an external factor that acted as the “knockout blow,” namely the maritime blockade that has made travelling to Iran a perilous mission for cargo ships. In this regard, he says, “Even the mere news of a ship being targeted immediately raises prices, let alone the existence of actual difficulties and palpable shortages that have forced the search for more expensive alternative land routes. This has plunged the import process into a dark tunnel and spread a sense of impending scarcity in the market, translating into skyrocketing prices.”

Regarding the figures, Khaleghi addresses the paradox of increased workers’ wages and salaries at the beginning of the year against inflation that has exceeded all official expectations. He reveals the hidden tragedy, saying, “The decision to raise wages and salaries was intended to compensate for the effects of the removal of the preferential currency rate and to preserve the purchasing power of the working class. However, the increase, which seemed substantial on paper, proved entirely insufficient in reality. The result is a sharp decline in real purchasing power, which begins by devouring household savings, then preys on health, medical, and education budgets, until it ultimately impacts daily sustenance.”

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Khaleghi warns of a vicious cycle closing in on the economy, stating, “We are in a situation where the state itself is bearing the brunt of the economic slowdown. Tax revenues, which were supposed to offset part of the cost of the preferential currency reforms, are also shrinking. Thus, we are faced with an impossible equation: the citizen’s income is melting away, the state’s income is eroding, and prices continue to soar to heights unseen in decades.”

Abundance of vegetables and fruits in stores despite high prices (Al Jazeera)
Shoppers browse vegetables and fruit in a Tehran grocery store [Al Jazeera]

‘Standing on the edge of an iceberg’

Over in Tajrish Square on the north side of the city, where a popular market appears packed with customers at first glance, conversations with shop owners soon tell a completely different story.

“You would think the market is alive, but it is clinically dead,” Reza, 47, a shop owner, tells Al Jazeera.

“People come here because the market is the last free place for entertainment. They wander aimlessly, remembering the days when they used to enter shopping malls and leave with bags that filled their car trunks. Today, however, they might not buy anything, and I do not blame them. As a merchant myself, I can no longer afford to buy what I sell.”

Reyhaneh, 32, an accountant, says: “Every day, I pass by here, and I make sure to buy something, but I feel sad when I see hundreds of people wandering around with empty hands. They did not come just to look at the prices, but many of them leave when confronted with the exceedingly high prices.”

Her husband, Mahmoud, 37, a lecturer at a private university, joins the conversation, telling Al Jazeera, “You might hear here about inflation exceeding 300 percent for some goods, and you might think it is a sudden shock caused by the war. But the truth is that these figures would not have been possible if not for structural diseases accumulated over decades of relying on oil revenues.

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“The country used to cover its wounds with petrodollars, and now that the effect of the anaesthetic has worn off, all the ailments have surfaced at once.”

Looking at shelves crowded with goods, Mahmoud argues, “What worries me is not just the price hikes, but the experts’ estimates of the consequences of flawed economic policies that have not yet emerged, because they have effectively hidden behind the noise of the war.

“This means we are standing on the edge of an iceberg; what we see now is only the tip. To make matters worse, we are stuck in a state of neither war nor peace, and this state of suspension is the worst poison that can afflict an exhausted economy.”

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Map: 3.8-Magnitude Earthquake Shakes Las Vegas

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Map: 3.8-Magnitude Earthquake Shakes Las Vegas

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Note: Map shows the area with a shake intensity of 3 or greater, which U.S.G.S. defines as “weak,” though the earthquake may be felt outside the areas shown.  All times on the map are Pacific time. The New York Times

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A minor, 3.8-magnitude earthquake struck in Nevada on Thursday, according to the United States Geological Survey. The earthquake prompted a flurry of chatter online, but no widespread damage was reported.

The temblor happened at 1:47 p.m. Pacific time about 7 miles northwest of Summerlin South, Nev., data from the agency shows.

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On social media, residents across the area described the earthquake jolting their homes and rattling windows and doors. Some said they heard the boom-like sound of an explosion, while others said they didn’t feel anything or described a small disturbance that lacked any significant oomph.

Brian Cohen was at home putting away groceries in Lone Mountain, about a half hour west of the Las Vegas strip, just before 2 p.m. when he felt the entire house rattle intensely for about three seconds.

“The whole house felt like it was lifting up,” said Mr. Cohen, who is in his 60s. He went outside and saw a neighbor, who also reported feeling the jolt.

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Mr. Cohen, who has lived in the Las Vegas area since 1994, said this wasn’t his first earthquake. “This one is the strongest one I felt,” he said, adding there was no damage to his home.

As seismologists review available data, they may revise the earthquake’s reported magnitude. Additional information collected about the earthquake may also prompt U.S.G.S. scientists to update the shake-severity map.

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Aftershocks forecast

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While individual earthquakes can’t be predicted, geologists can calculate the chances that more earthquakes will follow an initial quake using statistical models of past events.

For this earthquake, it is unlikely — about a 4 chance — that a larger quake will strike the area in the next day, according to the U.S.G.S. Here is the forecast for aftershocks of other sizes:

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3.0 mag. or stronger

Perhaps

26%

4.0 mag. or stronger

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Unlikely

5%

5.0 mag. or stronger

Unlikely

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Source: United States Geological Survey. Data is as of June 4 at 1:57 p.m. Pacific time.  Chance of aftershocks typically decreases over time. Forecast quake counts are estimates. William B. Davis, Joel Eastwood and John Keefe/The New York Times

The rate of aftershocks typically decreases over time, and forecasts are available for the next week, month and year.

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Aftershocks detected

Subsequent quakes have been reported in the same area. Such temblors are typically aftershocks caused by minor adjustments along the portion of a fault that slipped at the time of the initial earthquake.

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Quakes and aftershocks within 100 miles

Aftershocks can occur days, weeks or even years after the first earthquake. These events can be of equal or larger magnitude to the initial earthquake, and they can continue to affect already damaged locations.

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When quakes and aftershocks occurred

 All times are Pacific time. The New York Times

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Sources: United States Geological Survey (epicenter, aftershocks, shake intensity); LandScan via Oak Ridge National Laboratory (population density) | Notes: Shaking categories are based on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale. When aftershock data is available, the corresponding maps and charts include earthquakes within 100 miles and seven days of the initial quake. All times above are Pacific time. Shake data is as of Thursday, June 4 at 5:25 p.m. Eastern. Aftershocks data is as of Thursday, June 4 at 8:23 p.m. Eastern.