World
Putin has reached a ‘culminating point’ in war with Ukraine, Russian forces have lost ‘morale,’ expert says
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One army skilled believes Russian President Vladimir Putin is working out of steam in his warfare in opposition to Ukraine and mentioned Russian forces are shortly dropping morale.
In a little bit over a month, Russia has misplaced an estimated 7,000 to fifteen,000 troops, in response to a senior NATO official. As of March 17, Russian forces have misplaced over 230 of their closely armored tracked automobiles, in response to the Wall Road Journal.
Ukraine’s authorities believes the quantity of kit misplaced by Russian forces is far greater and estimates that greater than 400 Russian tanks have been destroyed, in response to the report.
The US and different NATO allies have given billions of {dollars} in army assist and humanitarian help to Ukraine, which has the potential to extend Russia’s losses.
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Michael Ryan, former deputy assistant secretary of protection for European and NATO Coverage informed Fox Information Digital that Russian forces might have run out of momentum and have reached a “culminating level.”
He says a culminating level is when a military runs out of provides, saying “it simply reaches the restrict.”
“Most army observers and really senior American military generals consider that the Russian military reached a culminating level. A major facet of that’s the losses that they’ve sustained,” Ryan mentioned.
Ryan says that, at conservative estimates, Russia has misplaced 10% of its general power in Ukraine, whereas some estimates counsel a a lot greater quantity, which he argues has a major impact on Russian troop morale.
“In any occasion, [Russian losses are] important from the standpoint of their capacity to realize their goals,” Ryan mentioned. “It additionally has a major affect on morale, and I believe the Russian army began with very low morale at this operation.”
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He mentioned that the “largest problem” for the Russian army, based mostly on its losses to date, is morale of the troops.
“They had been out within the discipline for a really very long time. It appears most of them did not know they had been going to warfare. And so they actually did not count on to be going into that kind of battle that they’ve gone into. They weren’t properly ready for it. They are not executing properly, they usually’re not properly equipped,” Ryan mentioned.
Ryan added {that a} good quantity of Russian troopers have household and mates in Ukraine, which made it arduous for troops to make sense of being given orders to invade the nation.
WHITE HOUSE WALKS BACK MULTIPLE BIDEN REMARKS DURING EUROPE TRIP ON PUTIN, CHEMICAL WEAPONS, TROOPS
Maybe one distinction maker has been the way in which Ukraine goes about attacking Russian forces, in response to Ryan.
“Ukrainians are being very, very savvy about how they assault the Russian military,” Ryan mentioned. “The automobiles they’ve destroyed and the folks that they’ve killed. You see the variety of colonels killed, it has been important. They’re actually creating chaos and confusion contained in the Russian military, which suggests the numbers are much more necessary than they appear due to the precise targets the Ukrainians have been choosing.”
World
Russia says it will continue oil and gas projects despite US sanctions
Russia’s Foreign Ministry on Saturday denounced new U.S. sanctions against Moscow’s energy sector as an attempt to harm Russia’s economy at the risk of destabilizing global markets and said the country would press on with large oil and gas projects.
A ministry statement also said that Russia would respond to Washington’s “hostile” actions, announced on Friday, while drawing up its foreign policy strategy.
RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTER BLASTS UKRAINE PEACE DEAL REPORTEDLY FLOATED BY TRUMP’S TEAM: ‘NOT HAPPY’
The statement said the measures amounted to “an attempt to inflict at least some damage to the Russian economy, even at the cost of the risk of destabilizing world markets as the end approaches of President Joe Biden’s inglorious tenure in power.”
“Despite the convulsions in the White House and the machinations of the Russophobic lobby in the West, trying to drag the world energy sector into the ‘hybrid war’ unleashed by the United States against Russia, our country has been and remains a key and reliable player in the global fuel market.”
The measures constituted the broadest U.S. package of sanctions so far targeting Russia’s oil and gas revenues, part of measures to give Kyiv and the incoming administration of Donald Trump leverage to reach a deal to end the war in Ukraine.
The U.S. Treasury imposed sanctions on Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegas, which explore for, produce and sell oil as well as 183 vessels that have shipped Russian oil, many of which are in the so-called shadow fleet of ageing tankers operated by non-Western companies.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said the measures would “deliver a significant blow” to Moscow. “The less revenue Russia earns from oil … the sooner peace will be restored,” he said.
World
Sudan army says its forces enter Wad Madani in push to retake city from RSF
The military says it is working to ‘clean up the remaining rebel pockets’ inside the capital of Gezira state.
The Sudanese military and allied armed groups have entered Wad Madani and were pushing out the rival Rapid Support Forces (RSF) paramilitary from the strategic city in Gezira state, according to the army.
In a statement on Saturday, the armed forces “congratulated” the Sudanese people on “our forces entering the city of Wad Madani this morning” after more than a year of RSF control.
“They are now working to clean up the remaining rebel pockets inside the city,” the statement said.
There was no immediate comment from the RSF.
The office of army-allied government spokesperson and Information and Culture Minister Khalid al-Aiser said the army had “liberated” the city.
The army posted a video appearing to show soldiers inside the city that has been held by the RSF since December 2023.
Sudan’s army and the RSF have been at war since April 2023, causing what the UN calls the world’s worst displacement crisis and declarations of famine in parts of the northeast African country.
Wad Madani is strategic because it is a crossroads of key supply highways linking several states, and is the nearest major town to the capital Khartoum.
Army ‘in most parts of Wad Madani’
Al Jazeera’s Hiba Morgan, reporting from Khartoum, said the army forces had been advancing towards the city over recent days.
“They have been taking over villages in the south and southeast of [Gezira] state until this morning, when they took over Hantoub Bridge – a decisive bridge that leads into the city,” she said.
“The army is now in most parts of Wad Madani,” she added.
“The army and allied fighters have spread out around us across the city’s streets,” one witness told the AFP news agency from his home in central Wad Madani, requesting anonymity for his safety.
Both the army and the RSF have been accused of committing war crimes including targeting civilians and indiscriminately shelling residential areas.
The paramilitary forces have been accused of summary killings, rampant looting, systematic sexual violence and laying siege to entire towns.
The United States on Tuesday said the RSF had “committed genocide” and imposed sanctions on its leader, Mohammed Hamdan Daglo, also known as Hemedti.
The local resistance committee, one of hundreds of pro-democracy volunteer groups across the country coordinating frontline aid, hailed the Wad Madani advance as an end to “the tyranny” of the RSF.
Witnesses in army-controlled cities across Sudan reported dozens of people taking to the streets to celebrate the news.
Twelve million displaced
The recapture of Gezira state as a whole could mark a turning point in the war that began over disputes on the integration of the two forces, which has created one of the world’s largest humanitarian crises.
Since it began, the war has killed tens of thousands and uprooted more than 12 million people, more than three million of whom have fled across borders.
In the early months of the war, more than half a million people had sought shelter in Gezira, before a lightning RSF offensive displaced upwards of 300,000 in December 2023, according to the UN.
Most have been repeatedly displaced since, as the feared paramilitaries moved further and further south.
The RSF still holds the rest of the central agricultural state of Gezira, as well as nearly all of Sudan’s western Darfur region and swaths of the country’s south.
The army controls the north and east, as well as parts of the capital Khartoum.
World
Trump's words on Greenland and borders ring alarms in Europe, but officials have a measured response
PARIS (AP) — President-elect Donald Trump has tossed expansionist rhetoric at U.S. allies and potential adversaries with arguments that the frontiers of American power need to be extended into Canada and the Danish territory of Greenland, and southward to include the Panama Canal.
Trump’s suggestions that international borders can be redrawn — by force if necessary — are particularly inflammatory in Europe. His words run contrary to the argument European leaders and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy are trying to impress on Russian President Vladimir Putin.
But many European leaders — who’ve learned to expect the unexpected from Trump and have seen that actions don’t always follow his words — have been measured in their response, with some taking a nothing-to-see-here view rather than vigorously defend European Union member Denmark.
Analysts, though, say that even words can damage U.S.-European relations ahead of Trump’s second presidency.
A diplomatic response in Europe
Several officials in Europe — where governments depend on U.S. trade, energy, investment, technology, and defense cooperation for security — emphasized their belief that Trump has no intention of marching troops into Greenland.
“I think we can exclude that the United States in the coming years will try to use force to annex territory that interests it,” Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni said.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz pushed back — but carefully, saying “borders must not be moved by force” and not mentioning Trump by name.
This week, as Ukrainian President Zelenskyy pressed Trump’s incoming administration to continue supporting Ukraine, he said: “No matter what’s going on in the world, everyone wants to feel sure that their country will not just be erased off the map.”
Since Putin marched troops across Ukrainian borders in 2022, Zelenskyy and allies have been fighting — at great cost — to defend the principle that has underpinned the international order since World War II: that powerful nations can’t simply gobble up others.
The British and French foreign ministers have said they can’t foresee a U.S. invasion of Greenland. Still, French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot portrayed Trump’s remarks as a wake-up call.
“Do we think we’re entering into a period that sees the return of the law of the strongest?” the French minister said. “‘Yes.”
On Friday, the prime minister of Greenland — a semiautonomous Arctic territory that isn’t part of the EU but whose 56,000 residents are EU citizens, as part of Denmark — said its people don’t want to be Americans but that he’s open to greater cooperation with the U.S.
“Cooperation is about dialogue,” leader Múte B. Egede said.
Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen called the U.S. “our closest ally” and said: “We have to stand together.”
Analysts find Trump’s words troubling
European security analysts agreed there’s no real likelihood of Trump using the military against NATO ally Denmark, but nevertheless expressed profound disquiet.
Analysts warned of turbulence ahead for trans-Atlantic ties, international norms and the NATO military alliance — not least because of the growing row with member Canada over Trump’s repeated suggestions that it become a U.S. state.
“There is a possibility, of course, that this is just … a new sheriff in town,” said Flemming Splidsboel Hansen, who specializes in foreign policy, Russia and Greenland at the Danish Institute for International Studies. “I take some comfort from the fact that he is now insisting that Canada should be included in the U.S., which suggests that it is just sort of political bravado.
“But damage has already been done. And I really cannot remember a previous incident like this where an important ally — in this case the most important ally — would threaten Denmark or another NATO member state.”
Hansen said he fears NATO may be falling apart even before Trump’s inauguration.
“I worry about our understanding of a collective West,” he said. “What does this even mean now? What may this mean just, say, one year from now, two years from now, or at least by the end of this second Trump presidency? What will be left?”
Security concerns as possible motivation
Some diplomats and analysts see a common thread in Trump’s eyeing of Canada, the Panama Canal and Greenland: securing resources and waterways to strengthen the U.S. against potential adversaries.
Paris-based analyst Alix Frangeul-Alves said Trump’s language is “all part of his ‘Make America Great Again’ mode.”
In Greenland’s soils, she noted, are rare earths critical for advanced and green technologies. China dominates global supplies of the valuable minerals, which the U.S., Europe and other nations view as a security risk.
“Any policy made in Washington is made through the lens of the competition with China,” said Frangeul-Alves, who focuses on U.S. politics for the German Marshall Fund.
Some observers said Trump’s suggested methods are fraught with peril.
Security analyst Alexander Khara said Trump’s claim that “we need Greenland for national security purposes” reminded him of Putin’s comments on Crimea when Russia seized the strategic Black Sea peninsula from Ukraine in 2014.
Suggesting that borders might be flexible is “a completely dangerous precedent,” said Khara, director of the Centre for Defense Strategies in Kyiv.
“We’re in a time of transition from the old system based on norms and principles,” he said, and “heading to more conflicts, more chaos and more uncertainty.”
___
AP journalists Jill Lawless in London; Raf Casert in Brussels; Daria Litvinova in Tallinn, Estonia; Geir Moulson and David Keyton in Berlin; and Nicole Winfield in Rome contributed.
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