World
All eyes on von der Leyen and Macron’s high-stakes trip to China
Following European Fee President Ursula von der Leyen’s calls final week to reassess EU diplomatic and financial ties with China, all eyes at the moment are on her joint journey with French President Emmanuel Macron to Beijing.
Von der Leyen will maintain a trilateral assembly with Macron and Chinese language President Xi Jinping on Thursday, on the sidelines of the French chief’s state go to to Beijing.
Industrial ties together with market entry and truthful competitors practices are anticipated to be mentioned then. The EU has accused Beijing of utilizing bullying ways to blackmail smaller international locations into downplaying criticism of Chinese language insurance policies.
In 2022, China was the third largest companion for EU items exports and the most important companion for the bloc’s imports of products, an essential indicator of the place relations between the 2 actually lie.
For Alicja Bachulska a coverage fellow on the European Council on International Relations (ECFR), the journey might be exploited by Chinese language President Xi Jinping with a view to persuade some European leaders to return to enterprise as common.
“We now have the largest gamers, corresponding to Germany and France, and the enterprise circles in these two international locations, which have very huge, actually, actually huge pursuits when it comes to returning to enterprise as common,” Bachulska stated in an interview with Euronews.
“With Macron, this enterprise delegation, it is positively a sign in direction of Beijing that financial cooperation continues to be very excessive on the agenda in Paris, but additionally, you recognize, on the degree of the EU as a complete. And this was very seen in Von der Leyen’s speech, Europe just isn’t about decoupling, this American-style decoupling.”
Von der Leyen has described it as de-risking slightly than decoupling, however Bachulska added that this is not going to simple.
“This might be very, very tough in follow, given the scope of Xi Jinping’s revisionism, the best way our financial system has been politicised within the latest decade and in addition given his ambitions, you recognize, create this dependency to additionally protect China from exterior shocks,” she stated.
Macron needs to discourage China from getting even nearer to Russia, however some analysts warn that there’s not a lot room for manoeuvre on condition that the character of relations between Beijing and Moscow is very strategic.
Antoine Bondaz, a senior lecturer at Sciences Po Paris, advised Euronews that what the French President and his European Fee counterpart can do, is warn China of potential penalties in case of additional navy assist to Russia and additionally attempt to get extra readability on the likeliness of Russia deploying nuclear weapons in Belarus.
“President Macron, after all, has the legitimacy to ask and lift the difficulty with China for 2 causes. First, France is, after all, a nuclear weapon state. And second, France, not like the US and the UK, just isn’t a part of any nuclear sharing settlement as these two international locations are,” Bondaz stated.
“The French president have to be and must be very conscious of the restricted leverage he has over Xi Jinping. France, in comparison with China, is a light-weight at the moment, regardless that France is a everlasting member of the UN Safety Council.
“The connection could be very uneven and there’s little that Macron can persuade Xi Jinping of. It is good to strive. It is good, after all, to depart channels of communication open, however we should be very practical in our expectations and to maintain very restricted expectations.”
On the similar time, each specialists agree that delicate applied sciences are key to this relationship, however this doesn’t imply that China has the higher hand, as China continues to be an export powerhouse and it is vitally a lot depending on sustaining these exports and getting access to European markets.
Alternatively, European coverage will focus extra on having its personal technique to take care of these cutting-edge applied sciences as an alternative of being depending on one actor or one other.
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World
Israel keeping its ‘eyes open’ for Iranian attacks during Trump transition period, ambassador says
Israel’s U.N. Ambassador Danny Danon tells Fox News Digital that his country is keeping its “eyes open” for any potential aggression from Iran during the Trump transition period, adding it would be a “mistake” for the Islamic Republic to carry out an attack.
The comments come after Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi vowed earlier this week that Iran would retaliate against Israel for the strategic airstrikes it carried out against Tehran on Oct. 26. Araghchi was quoted in Iranian media saying “we have not given up our right to react, and we will react in our time and in the way we see fit.”
“I would advise him not to challenge us. We have already shown our capabilities. We have proved that they are vulnerable. We can actually target any location in Iran. They know that,” Danon told Fox News Digital.
“So I would advise them not to make that mistake. If they think that now, because of the transition period, they can take advantage of it, they are wrong,” he added. “We are keeping our eyes open and we are ready for all scenarios.”
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Danon says he believes one of the most important challenges for the incoming Trump administration will be the way the U.S. deals with Iran.
“Regarding the new administration, I think the most important challenge will be the way you challenge Iran, the aggression, the threat of the Iranian regime. I believe that the U.S. will have to go back to a leading position on this issue,” he told Fox News Digital.
“We are fighting the same enemies, the enemies of the United States of America. When you look at the Iranians, the Houthis, Hezbollah, Hamas, all those bad actors that are coming against Israel… that is the enemy of the United States. So I think every American should support us and understand what we are doing now,” Danon also said.
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Danon spoke as the U.S. vetoed a draft resolution against Israel at the U.N. Security Council on Wednesday.
The resolution, which was overseen by Algeria, sought an “immediate, unconditional and permanent cease-fire” to be imposed on Israel. The resolution did not guarantee the release of the hostages still being held by Hamas within Gaza.
“It was a shameful resolution because… it didn’t have the linkage between the cease-fire and the call [for] the release of the hostages. And I want to thank the United States for taking a strong position and vetoing this resolution,” Danon said. “I think it sent a very clear message that the U.S. stands with its strongest ally with Israel. And, you know, it was shameful, too, to hear the voices of so many ambassadors speaking about a cease-fire but abandoning the 101 hostages. We will not forget them. We will never abandon them. We will continue to fight until we bring all of them back home.”
Fox News’ Benjamin Weinthal contributed to this report.
World
Fact-check: What do we know about Russia’s nuclear arsenal?
Moscow has lowered the bar for using nuclear weapons and fired a missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead into Ukraine, heightening tensions with the West.
Russia’s nuclear arsenal is under fresh scrutiny after an intermediate-range ballistic missile capable of carrying an atomic warhead was fired into Ukrainian territory.
President Vladimir Putin says the unprecedented attack using the so-called “Oreshnik” missile is a direct response to Ukraine’s use of US and UK-made missiles to strike targets deep in Russian territory.
He has also warned that the military facilities of Western countries allowing Ukraine to use their weapons to strike Russia could become targets.
The escalation comes days after the Russian President approved small but significant changes to his country’s nuclear doctrine, which would allow a nuclear response to a conventional, non-nuclear attack on Russian territory.
While Western officials, including US defence secretary Lloyd Austin, have dismissed the notion that Moscow’s use of nuclear weapons is imminent, experts warn that recent developments could increase the possibility of nuclear weapons use.
Here’s what we know about Russia’s inventory of atomic weapons.
How big is Russia’s nuclear arsenal?
Russia holds more nuclear warheads than any other nation at an estimated 5,580, which amounts to 47% of global stockpiles, according to data from the Federation of American Scientists (FAS).
But only an estimated 1,710 of those weapons are deployed, a fraction more than the 1,670 deployed by the US.
Both nations have the necessary nuclear might to destroy each other several times over, and considerably more atomic warheads than the world’s seven other nuclear nations: China, France, India, Israel, North Korea, Pakistan and the United Kingdom.
Of Moscow’s deployed weapons, an estimated 870 are on land-based ballistic missiles, 640 on submarine-launched ballistic missiles, and potentially 200 at heavy bomber bases.
According to FAS, there are no signs Russia is significantly scaling up its nuclear arsenal, but the federation does warn of a potential surge in the future as the country replaces single-warhead missiles with those capable of carrying multiple warheads.
Russia is also steadily modernising its nuclear arsenal.
What could trigger a Russian nuclear response?
Moscow’s previous 2020 doctrine stated that its nuclear weapons could be used in response to an attack using nuclear or other weapons of mass destruction “when the very existence of the state is put under threat.”
Now, the conditions under which a nuclear response could be launched have changed in three crucial ways:
- Russia will consider using nuclear weapons in the case of a strike on its territory using conventional weapons, such as cruise missiles, drones and tactical aircraft.
- It could launch a nuclear attack in response to an aggression by a non-nuclear state acting “with the participation or support of a nuclear state”, as is the case for Ukraine.
- Moscow will also apply the same conditions to an attack on Belarus’ territory, in agreement with President Lukashenko.
Is there a rising nuclear threat?
The size of the world’s nuclear stockpiles has rapidly decreased amid the post-Cold War détente. The Soviet Union had some 40,000 warheads, and the US around 30,000, when stockpiles peaked during the 1960s and 70s.
But FAS warns that while the overall number is still in decline, operational warheads are on the rise once again. More countries are also upgrading their missiles to deploy multiple warheads.
“In nearly all of the nuclear-armed states there are either plans or a significant push to increase nuclear forces,” Hans M. Kristensen, Director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists (FAS), said in June this year.
Is the West reacting?
When Putin approved the updated nuclear protocol last week, many Western leaders dismissed it as sabre rattling.
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock said Germany and its partners would “not be intimidated” and accused Putin of “playing with our fear.”
But since Russia used a hypersonic ballistic missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead in an attack on Dnipro, European leaders have raised the alarm.
“The last few dozen hours have shown that the threat is serious and real when it comes to global conflict,” Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said on Friday.
According to Dutch media reports, NATO’s secretary-general Mark Rutte is in Florida to urgently meet President-elect Donald Trump, potentially to discuss the recent escalation.
NATO and Ukraine will hold an extraordinary meeting in Brussels next Tuesday to discuss the situation and the possible allied reaction, according to Euronews sources.
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