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12 years of Orban: How the EU has failed to stop Hungary’s backsliding

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12 years of Orban: How the EU has failed to stop Hungary’s backsliding

Viktor Orban, the ultra-conservative Hungarian Prime Minister on the cusp of securing a fifth consecutive time period, has constructed his profession on bashing the European Union and has largely gotten away with it.

But, his affect on the bloc and its establishments is chequered at greatest.

Orban, 58, now the EU’s longest-serving chief might on Sunday renew his time on the helm of the japanese nation for one more 4 years. His nationalist-populist get together, Fidesz, at the moment has a slight lead over the opposition, which banded collectively to current a single candidate for the highest job and in most constituencies.

His marketing campaign was, as is now typical, crammed with assaults in opposition to Brussels — its “imperialist tantrums” and “pro-immigrant bureaucrats” — and skinny allusions to a attainable Huxit.

For years now, Orban has applied reforms of the judiciary, media and civil society he knew would put him on a collision course with Brussels all whereas pocketing EU cash. By all of it, he forged himself because the protector of conventional — learn Christian — European values and promoted an “intolerant democracy” agenda, which as soon as garnered him the moniker “the dictator” by former Fee Chief Jean-Claude Juncker.

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What this has revealed is that EU establishments are largely unable — or unwilling — to sanction such authoritarian backsliding.

“This anti-Brussels rhetoric is round virtually since he took over energy and it grew to become extra violent after every election,” Zsolt Enyedi, a professor and senior researcher on the Central European College’s Democracy Institute, instructed Euronews.

“European Union establishments responded to this barrage of assaults after some time, however they let Orban get away with them for a lot of, a few years. Orban was shielded by (former German Chancellor Angela) Merkel and by the European Folks’s Occasion,” he added.

All EU establishments, nevertheless, should not be painted with the identical brush.

Fidesz remoted in European Parliament

“The European parliament has emerged as a form of conscience of the EU,” Daniel Hegedus, a visiting fellow on the German Marshall Fund of the US, a assume tank, mentioned.

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MEPs triggered Article 7 proceedings — calling for the suspension of sure rights — in opposition to Hungary and Poland in September 2018 over rule of regulation issues. They’ve additionally pushed for the creation of a rule of regulation mechanism to financially sanction member states seen as backsliding.

Fidesz is now additionally out of the European Folks’s Occasion (EPP) group within the parliament, having chosen to go away in March 2021 proper earlier than it might get expelled — the get together had been suspended from the EPP in 2019. The centre-right EPP was sharply criticised for a way lengthy it took them to sentence Orban and Fidesz’s home insurance policies and to proceed with a attainable expulsion course.

“There have been completely different opinions on whether or not we get them straight inside with inside discussions or ought to we simply kick them out. Roughly all people agreed that the coverage line of Fidesz was not proper however learn how to right this was very a lot a factor,” an EPP insider instructed Euronews.

“The query earlier than Orban was expelled from the EPP was would Fidesz strengthen the populist aspect? Would he type a separatist group within the parliament?” the supply added.

If that was certainly the plan for Orban, then it backfired.

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“The populists are break up. They’re much more break up than they have been at first of this time period. So there isn’t any such voice as an enormous united anti-European entrance,” the insider added. “Additionally as Fidesz will not be included in another group, they’re impartial, they do not have a lot to say inside Parliament, their voice is now virtually not heard.”

Parliament now extra united

Moreover, the fixed assaults on the EU and the reforms it undertook appeared to have boosted MEPs’ resolve to guard the bloc as a liberal beacon.

“For my part, the Hungarian Fidesz delegation within the European Parliament, and Fidesz when it was within the EPP, strengthened the subjects of rule of regulation, democracy, human rights and girls’s rights within the EP as a complete and in addition within the EPP group. This was exactly as a result of Fidesz challenged all of those values so strongly,” Sirpa Pietikainen, a Finnish EPP MEP, instructed Euronews.

“With out the difficult from Fidesz of those values, it might even be that we might now have a much less outlined and fewer united place on rule of regulation, human rights violations or gender equality points. Generally the paradox is that by difficult one thing you find yourself strengthening the precept you problem. A bit like Putin’s actions in Ukraine proper now,” she argued.

However whereas MEPs have triggered Article 7 and have now pushed for using the brand new rule of regulation mechanism in opposition to Hungary, nothing a lot has occurred. Motion is out of their arms.

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Fee ‘failed checks’

The Fee, which acts because the guardian of the treaties and defender of EU laws, has launched and gained a number of courtroom instances in opposition to Budapest over modifications within the Hungarian Structure, the reducing of the retirement age for judges, the crackdown on NGOs and the remedy of migrants and refugees.

But, not a lot has modified.

“This was far too little, so it did not make a lot distinction on the bottom. These courtroom selections virtually at all times go in opposition to Hungary and a few of the different violators of elementary norms of liberal democracy however they don’t seem to be revered, and the Fee does not do a lot about that,” Enyedi mentioned.

For Hegedus, “the Fee failed these checks” launched by the parliament and courtroom selections, and with “the rule of regulation concern virtually off the desk” as a result of Russian aggression on Ukraine, Orban is aware of he “does not must worry the Fee or sanctions”.

Council’s want for compromise

The European Council, i.e. leaders of member states, have been equally weak of their potential to rein in Orban and Fidesz, the 2 specialists mentioned.

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“The EU has many different challenges and also you do want the help of Hungary’s prime minister for tackling these challenges, in order that they need to make numerous compromises. The rule of regulation mechanism retains being postponed and it has been watered down anyway and solely applies to some very, very particular violations of rule of regulation and never a normal drift in the direction of authoritarian rule,” Enyedi defined.

But though the Council — particularly Poland which has equally drawn the ire of Brussels — largely protects Orban from MEPs’ wrath, leaders are nonetheless not fooled.

Orban’s veiled references to a Huxit usually are not seen as credible by his fellow heads of state who’re nonetheless reeling from the results of the UK’s departure from the union.

“The entire operation of the Orban regime — which is constructed on the strategic corruption and abuse of EU funds –, this political system will not be operational exterior of the European Union,” Hegedus defined.

“The Hungarian authorities did quite a bit on its multilateral overseas coverage and shut ties with Russia and China to display for the EU establishments that it has different strategic choices however these strategic choices usually are not real. Neither Russia, nor China, could be prepared to offer that form of monetary switch for Hungary which quantities to 3-4% of its annual GDP. So no, I feel leaving the European Union will not be an possibility,” he added.

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‘Enlargement fatigue’

Orban’s shift towards a semi-authoritarian regime might have additionally impacted the bloc’s enlargement — unchanged because the accession of Croatia in 2013. The Hungarian chief has been growing nearer ties with leaders within the Western Balkans, the place many international locations hope at some point to develop into member states, however the place democratic and rule of regulation requirements are spotty.

“I feel the democratic demise in Central Europe, and particularly in Hungary and Poland, considerably contributed to enlargement fatigue in some member states,” Hegedus mentioned.

For Enyedi, “Hungary is an instance of how accession of a brand new nation can go flawed.”

“The very robust ties between (Serbian President Aleksandar) Vučić and Orban imply that if Serbia was accepted, you realize, the Orban bloc will get stronger and no one needs that. So in that sense, I feel Serbia’s accession prospects are straight harm by this robust cooperation between the leaders of the 2 international locations,” he added.

As for Orban’s hope of exporting its “intolerant democracy” mannequin to different member states, this too has largely stalled, largely as a result of, as is the case within the European Parliament, right-wing populist events throughout the bloc don’t really align on many points.

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Even the Visegroup group, comprising the Czech Republic, Poland, Slovakia and Hungary, has many cracks and these are widening due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine with Warsaw resolutely anti-Russia whereas Orban has been rather more conciliatory.

“He put a variety of vitality into supporting forces that might undermine liberal democracy in Europe,” Enyedi careworn, together with “straight interfering with home politics” in non-EU neighbouring international locations or in fellow member states — a Hungarian financial institution with shut ties to him supplied a €10.7 million mortgage to French far-right presidential candidate Marine Le Pen to fund her marketing campaign.

“He has been attempting to construct an authoritarian right-wing alliance for a very long time, which was not profitable, and truly now, the prospects usually are not excellent,” he concluded.

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‘SNL’: Colin Jost Forced to Tell Dirty Jokes About Wife Scarlett Johansson as She Watches Backstage: ‘Oh My Gosh, She’s So Genuinely Worried!’

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‘SNL’: Colin Jost Forced to Tell Dirty Jokes About Wife Scarlett Johansson as She Watches Backstage: ‘Oh My Gosh, She’s So Genuinely Worried!’

For several years, the final “Saturday Night Live” episode of the year includes a segment of “Weekend Update” in which co-anchors Colin Jost and Michael Che write jokes that the other must read for the first time on the air. For Jost, this typically has meant Che forces him to say a litany of jokes about race and racism that are horrifically tone deaf and over-the-top — and, in context, often quite funny.

This year, however, Che found a new way to torture Jost: Making him say outrageous things about his wife, Scarlett Johansson — while a camera captured Johansson’s live reactions in the hallway outside of the studio. The actor appeared during the episode’s cold open to welcome host Martin Short into the Five Timers Club, and Che apparently could not resist the chance to have some fun at the couple’s expense.

The bit started with Jost reading that this year, he was going to “read all the jokes in ‘Black voice’ so I don’t get in trouble,” which led into Jost reading a joke about Kamala Harris saying she still supports the idea of slavery reparations. 

“Well, damn girl, me too,” Jost said, barely able to get the words out through his exasperated laughter. “Because white people deserve our money back for all those slaves that ran away.”

That was a mere appetizer for what Jost was required to say about his wife. Just the sight of her face in an image over Jost’s shoulder was enough to have some people in the audience screaming in anticipation of what was to come.

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NBC

“I want to dedicate this next joke to my boo, Scarlett Johansson,” Jost said, and then a camera cut to a nervous Johansson, clutching a drink as she watched Jost from a monitor above her.

“No! No!” Jost said, as he realized what was happening. “Oh my gosh, she’s so genuinely worried!”

Then he got to the business of reading, for the first time, the jokes Che had written for him.

“Y’all know Scarlett just celebrated her 40th birthday, which means I’m about to get up out of there!” Jost said, again exploding in guffaws before he could even finish the line. After he regained his composure — and Che reminded him that there was more to the joke — Jost continued. “Shiz! Nah, nah. I’m just playin’,” he said. “We just had a kid together, and y’all ain’t see no pictures of him yet, because he’s Black as hell!” — at which point, a Photoshopped image of Jost and Johansson holding a Black baby appeared over Jost’s shoulder.

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Che certainly had his fair share of comedic humiliation, forced to make jokes about “Moana 2” and Jeffrey Epstein, Jay-Z, and his promise to Diddy that “I will help get you off.” But then the spotlight turned back to Jost, who ended the segment with a joke involving his wife that is so R-rated that it genuinely startled Johansson. Warning: This is not for the faint of heart!

“Costco has removed their roast beef sandwich from its menu, but I ain’t tripping,” Jost said. “I be eating roast beef every night since my wife had the kid!” After the audience, Jost and Che all stopped laughing, Jost read the final lines. “Nah, nah, I just playin’ baby. You know I don’t go downtown! Shiz! That’s gay as hell!”

Martin Short hosted the episode with Hozier as musical guest. You can watch the full segment below:

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Wife of US hostage Keith Siegel pleads for holiday miracle: 'we need to get them back'

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Wife of US hostage Keith Siegel pleads for holiday miracle: 'we need to get them back'

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FIRST ON FOX – Aviva Siegel, the wife of American hostage Kieth Siegel and a former hostage herself, is pleading with everyone and anyone involved in the hostage negotiations to get her husband, and the others, freed from Hamas captivity after they have spent more than 440 days in deplorable conditions. 

“Hamas released a video of Keith, and I just saw the picture,” Aviva told Fox News Digital in an emotional interview in reference to a video Hamas released in April. “He looks terrible. His bones are out, and you can see that he’s lost a lot of weight.

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“He doesn’t look like himself. And I’m just so worried about him, because so [many] days and minutes have passed since that video that we received,” she said. “I just don’t know what kind of Keith that we’re going to get back.”

Keith Samuel Siegel, 64, remains hostage in Gaza by Hamas (Hostage Family Forum)

7 US HOSTAGES STILL HELD BY HAMAS TERRORISTS AS FAMILIES PLEAD FOR THEIR RELEASE: ‘THIS IS URGENT’

“I’m worried about all the hostages, because the conditions that they are in are the worst conditions that any human being could go through,” Aviva said. “I was there. I touched death. I know what it feels being underneath the ground with no oxygen. 

“Keith and I were just left there. We were left there to die,” she added. 

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Aviva and her husband of, at the time 42 years, were brutally abducted from their home in Kibbutz Kfar Aza by Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023, and held together for 51 days before she was released in the November 2023 hostage exchange after suffering from a stomach infection that left her incredibly ill. 

She has since tirelessly fought for Kieth’s release, meeting with top officials in the U.S. and Israel, traveling to the United States nine times in the last year and becoming a prominent advocate for the hostages. 

“I just hope that he’s with other people from Israel, and if he has them, he’s going to be okay,” Aviva said. “He’s just the person that will make them feel that they’re together. That’s what he did when I was there – he was 100% for me and the hostages that we were with.”

Aviva Siegel

TEL AVIV, ISRAEL – MARCH 30: Released hostage Aviva Siegel, wife of hostage Keith Siegel, speaks during the final weekly ‘bring them home now’ rally on March 30, 2024 in Tel Aviv, Israel. According to the families of hostages forum, this would be the last week a rally is held at ‘hostage square’ citing that the government is not serious about negotiations and instead will be protesting in front of the Knesset from now on.  (Photo by Alexi Rosenfeld/Getty Images)

 “If you get kidnapped, get kidnapped with Keith, because he was outstanding to everybody. He was strong for all of us. And I’m sure that he’s keeping strong and keeping his hope to come out,” she said. 

Aviva recounted their last moments together before they were separated ahead of her release, telling Fox News Digital, “When I left him, I told him to be the strongest – that he needs to be strong for me, and I’ll be strong for him.”

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PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY UNDER PRESSURE AMID RISING RESISTANCE, POPULARITY OF IRAN-BACKED TERROR GROUPS

Top security officials from the U.S., Egypt, and Qatar have been pushing Israel and Hamas to agree to a cease-fire and the return of hostages. 

Reports on Thursday suggested that negotiators are pushing for a 42-day cease-fire in which 34 of the at least 50 hostages still assessed to be alive, could be exchanged. 

Hamas is also believed to continue to hold at least 38 who were taken hostage and then killed while in captivity, along with at least seven who are believed to have been killed on Oct. 7, 2023 and then taken into Gaza. 

Though all the hostages are believed to have been held in deplorable conditions, the children, women – including the female IDF soldiers – the sick and the elderly have reportedly been front listed to be freed first in exchange for Hamas terrorists currently imprisoned. 

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“I’m keeping my hope and holding on and just waiting – waiting to hug Keith, and waiting for all the families, to get their families back,” Aviva said. “We need to get them back.”

Aviva said she dreams of the moment that she gets to hug her husband again and watch their grandchildren “jump into his arms.” 

“We’ll be the happiest people on Earth,” she said. “All the hostages, I can’t imagine them coming home. It’ll be just the happiest moment for all of the families. We need it to happen.”

Reports in recent weeks suggest there is an increased sense of optimism in bringing home the hostages, but Secretary of State Antony Blinken urged some caution when speaking with MSNBC Morning Joe on Thursday when he said, “We are encouraged because this should happen, and it should happen because Hamas is at a point where the cavalry it thought might come to the rescue isn’t coming to the rescue, [Hezbollah’s] not coming to the rescue, [Iran’s] not coming to the rescue.”

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“In the absence of that, I think the pressure is on Hamas to finally get to yes,” he added. “But look, I think we also have to be very realistic.  We’ve had these Lucy and the football moments several times over the last months where we thought we were there, and the football gets pulled away.

“The real question is: Is Hamas capable of making a decision and getting to yes?  We’ve been fanning out with every possible partner on this to try to get the necessary pressure exerted on Hamas to say yes,” Blinken added.  

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Trump threatens to take back control of Panama Canal over ‘ridiculous fees’

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Trump threatens to take back control of Panama Canal over ‘ridiculous fees’

Trump also hinted at China’s growing influence around the canal, which connects the Atlantic to the Pacific oceans.

United States President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to demand control of the Panama Canal after accusing Panama of charging excessive rates on US ships passing through one of the busiest waterways in the world.

“Our Navy and Commerce have been treated in a very unfair and injudicious way. The fees being charged by Panama are ridiculous,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform on Saturday.

“This complete ‘rip-off’ of our Country will immediately stop.”

The US largely built the canal in 1914 and administrated territory surrounding the passage for decades. But Washington fully handed control of the canal to Panama in 1999 after a period of joint administration.

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Trump also hinted at China’s growing influence around the canal, which connects the Atlantic to the Pacific oceans.

“It was solely for Panama to manage, not China, or anyone else,” he said. “We would and will NEVER let it fall into the wrong hands!”

The post was an exceedingly rare example of a US leader saying he could push a sovereign country to hand over territory.

“It was not given for the benefit of others, but merely as a token of cooperation with us and Panama. If the moral and legal principles of this magnanimous gesture of giving are not followed, then we will demand that the Panama Canal be returned to us, in full, and without question,” Trump said.

Trump’s tariff plan

It also underlines an expected shift in US diplomacy under Trump, who has not historically shied away from threatening allies and using rhetoric when dealing with counterparts.

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Last month, Trump said he would impose tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports on day one of his administration and that the measures would remain until the “invasion” of undocumented migrants and drugs came to an end.

“Both Mexico and Canada have the absolute right and power to easily solve this long-simmering problem. We hereby demand that they use this power, and until such time that they do, it is time for them to pay a very big price!” he posted on his Truth Social platform.

Authorities in Panama did not immediately react to Trump’s post.

An estimated 5 percent of global maritime traffic passes through the Panama Canal, which allows ships travelling between Asia and the US East Coast to avoid the long, hazardous route around the southern tip of South America.

The Panama Canal Authority reported in October that the waterway had earned record revenues of nearly $5bn in the last fiscal year.

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