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Officials believe San Diego is well positioned as cities compete for dwindling state homeless dollars

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Officials believe San Diego is well positioned as cities compete for dwindling state homeless dollars


Gov. Gavin Newsom warned recently that cities and counties could lose state funds targeted at addressing homelessness if they don’t show real progress in getting people off the streets.

In San Diego, local officials say they’re finally starting to see that progress.

The Regional Task Force on Homelessness reported a roughly 7% drop in homelessness countywide in last year’s point-in-time count, from about 10,605 people in 2024 to about 9,905 in 2025.

In the city of San Diego, homelessness — sheltered and unsheltered — dropped by 14%.

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In his recent State of the City address, Mayor Todd Gloria pointed to the reduction as proof that the city’s approach to homelessness is working.

That progress puts the San Diego region in a relatively strong position as the state tightens the rules around Homeless Housing, Assistance and Prevention funding, known as HHAP — one of the largest sources of state money for homelessness programs — and as other funding sources shrivel.

Temporary fix grows important

HHAP was launched in 2019 as a one-time infusion of state cash to help cities and counties respond to the growing homelessness crisis. Over several years, it became one of California’s key homelessness programs, delivering roughly $1 billion a year statewide for shelters, outreach, rental assistance and interim housing.

That changed last year, when lawmakers approved no new HHAP funding amid a budget shortfall. Newsom proposed restoring the program in the upcoming budget, but at about half its previous size — $500 million — and attaching stricter accountability requirements.

To qualify for future funding, cities and counties must show they are doing a number of things the governor has pushed: adopting strong encampment policies, maintaining a state-approved plan to build new housing, earning a “pro-housing” designation from regulators, putting up local matching dollars and showing measurable progress at reducing homelessness.

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San Diego officials say the region checks those boxes.

Both the city and county have encampment ordinances that align with Newsom’s “model” policy and have stepped up enforcement in recent years. Each also has a state-approved housing element, and San Diego was among the first cities in California to earn a pro-housing designation, which the state gives to jurisdictions that streamline approvals and adopt policies aimed at increasing housing production. The county followed soon after.

City leaders say they have used HHAP dollars to provide more shelter beds, rent subsidies and outreach teams to get people off the street and into stable housing. The county has used the money to provide housing subsidies for at-risk populations, such as foster youth and seniors, and develop plans for emergency housing programs.

Frustration in Sacramento

Walt Bishop, director of government affairs for the city of San Diego, said the region has been preparing for the accountability shift.

“There was frustration from the governor’s office and the Legislature that (they’re) putting a lot of state investment in this and not seeing visual results on homelessness,” he said.

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Bishop said the city believes it can meet those expectations.

“You give us this money, we will be accountable,” he said. “You set the markers, and we’ll meet them.”

But housing officials and advocates warn that without new, ongoing funding — especially long-term funding — the region could struggle to sustain the improvements it’s made.

Funding sources that helped fuel recent gains, including federal housing vouchers tied to affordable housing projects, are tapped out, even as the need for deeply affordable housing continues to grow.

Ryan Clumpner, a San Diego Housing Commission board member, said recent progress has relied in part on state funding that’s temporary or, like HHAP, inconsistent.

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“We are running out of options at a rapid pace, and every intervention that people are familiar with — almost all of those are coming to an end in the next one to three years,” he said. “And there’s really no plan for what we’ll do after that.”

Buying hotels, building shelters

San Diego Housing Commission CEO Lisa Jones said federal programs, such as housing vouchers, along with state funding, including HHAP and Homekey, have been “foundational” to San Diego’s homelessness response, helping boost the number of shelter beds, develop permanent supportive housing and stabilize people at risk of losing their homes.

Homekey, a state initiative launched during the pandemic, helped cities buy hotels, motels and other properties and convert them into housing for people experiencing homelessness.

San Diego used Homekey funds to create more than 600 housing units. The program is now winding down, and state officials have not indicated it will continue at the same scale.

“The reduction or elimination of these funding sources would hinder further progress,” Jones said, adding that the commission is now placing greater emphasis on homelessness prevention and housing stabilization to keep people from falling into the system in the first place.

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Federal housing vouchers, which have played a key role in San Diego’s response to homelessness, are also under increasing strain.

Stephen Russell, executive director of the San Diego Housing Federation, said vouchers have effectively been frozen at the federal level for years.

“Meanwhile, rents have gone through the roof,” he said.

Vouchers generally require tenants to pay about 30% of their income toward rent, with the voucher covering the rest, up to certain limits. As rents rise, that gap grows.

“The Housing Commission was essentially subsidizing the gap,” he said.

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That money is now gone.

Voucher squeeze

Earlier this year, the Housing Commission decided to require some voucher holders to pay a larger share of their income toward rent, rather than cutting people off from assistance altogether.

“The choice was, do we take vouchers away from 1,600 families… or do we ask everybody who’s capable to pay some more? And so they’ve gone with that second choice,” he said. “It was unacceptable to them as policymakers to put people out on the streets.”

The voucher squeeze also affects what kinds of housing developers are able to build.

Affordable housing projects typically rely on a complicated mix of tax credits, public subsidies and private financing. For households earning less than 30% of area median income — including many people exiting homelessness — rent alone does not cover the cost of operating housing.

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When someone has almost no income, the math just doesn’t work without a subsidy, Russell said.

“If they can only pay $300 a month, but it costs you $700 or $1,000 a month to pay the mortgage on that unit, that’s where the voucher comes in,” he said.

Those subsidies, known as project-based vouchers, are especially important for permanent supportive housing, which pairs housing with services for people with serious health or behavioral health needs.

Without vouchers, Russell said, developers are unlikely to bring forward new projects serving the lowest-income residents.

Gains at riskCity and county officials say that HHAP funding has played a major role in preventing homelessness from getting worse, even if that impact isn’t always obvious.

In a recent presentation on Newsom’s budget, Monica Saucedo, a senior fellow at the California Budget and Policy Center, said declines in homelessness show that targeted spending has worked.

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“Over the last several years, the state has invested over $1 billion on average annually through (HHAP), and the results speak for themselves,” she said.

But Saucedo warned that scaling back the program could undo those gains.

“Even though HHAP was designed as temporary funding, these dollars have become core to California’s homelessness response systems statewide,” she said. “Losing or pulling back this funding now poses a real risk to the progress we’ve made.”

Russell put it more bluntly: “Turn off the tap and see how many people come flooding back out on the streets.”

At the same time, forces driving homelessness — high rents, limited housing supply and economic instability — continue to operate at a much larger scale.

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“The system producing homelessness is still running full speed,” Russell said. “We’re just trying to keep up.”

There are some potential sources of relief. Recent federal legislation expanded low-income housing tax credits, which could help finance more affordable housing, Russell said. State lawmakers are also debating a large housing bond that could go before voters later this year.

Locally, proposals to create dedicated revenue streams — such as taxing second homes or short-term rentals — could provide more predictable funding, though those ideas remain controversial.

A spokesperson for Mayor Todd Gloria acknowledged the risk posed by shrinking state and federal support, but said the city is preparing to adjust.

“The mayor has warned that a reduction in state and federal support can erode the progress we’ve made,” David Rolland said. “But he is quick to point out that, as we always do, we will aim to maximize limited resources.”

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Machado's walk-off lifts Padres to 10-inning comeback victory over Cards

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Machado's walk-off lifts Padres to 10-inning comeback victory over Cards


SAN DIEGO — The Padres earned a split against the Cardinals in dramatic fashion on Sunday afternoon. Nick Castellanos hit a game-tying two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth, and Manny Machado’s sacrifice fly won it in the 10th.
Here’s some instant reaction from the Padres’ wild 3-2 victory



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Padres come back, walk off with win over Cardinals to split series

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Padres come back, walk off with win over Cardinals to split series


It seemed like the same tired story.

Instead, it was the same thriller.

The Padres pushed their offensive lethargy as long as possible without paying for it Sunday, tying the game with two outs in the ninth inning on Nick Castellanos’ two-run homer and then celebrating after Manny Machado’s sacrifice fly in the 10th inning gave them a 3-2 victory over the Cardinals.

“Getting it done,” Machado said.

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That’s it. That is all they are doing.

And at what is essentially the quarter mark of the season, the Padres are 24-16 and tied with the Dodgers atop the National League West.

The shocking component of their having the major leagues’ fifth-best record is that the Padres rank in the bottom three among MLB’s 30 teams in batting average and OPS.

They split with the Cardinals despite having 14 hits, their fewest in a four-game series in franchise history. Their 61 hits over their past 10 games are the fewest in a stretch that long since 2019, and they are 5-5 in those games.

“It sucks; we need to hit; Machado said. “I mean, you know, look, it’s obvious. We’re not hitting. It’s obvious, but we’re getting things done, man.”

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Nick Castellanos #21 of the San Diego Padres watches his two-run home run in the ninth inning against the St. Louis Cardinals at Petco Park on May 10, 2026 in San Diego, CA. (K.C. Alfred / The San Diego Union-Tribune)

Sunday was the Padres’ 12th victory this season in which the decisive run was scored in the seventh inning or later. That is exactly half their victories.

It was their fourth walk-off victory, their second in extra innings. It was the seventh time that a run scored in their final offensive half-inning decided a victory.

So it is no small thing to proffer that Sunday was possibly their most dramatic triumph. Because it was possibly their most unlikely one.

Not only were they a strike away from defeat, but they began the ninth inning having gotten two hits all day.

The Cardinals took a 2-0 lead in the fourth inning on their first two hits off Walker Buehler — a single by Alec Burleson and a home run by Jordan Walker with two outs. Buehler pitched six innings, allowing just one more hit before Ron Marinaccio worked two scoreless innings.

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But the Padres were unable to make anything of their seven at-bats with runners in scoring position over the first eight innings. They had walked five times but had just Jackson Merrill’s third-inning single and Xander Bogaerts’ fourth-inning double to that point.

“Really good teams find ways to win games when they’re not doing their best,” Gavin Sheets said. “… We’re not clicking on all cylinders by any means. And I don’t think any of us would say that he’s on a roll right now, but we’re getting hits in a timely fashion and it’s someone different every night.”

Almost.

The Padres have game-winning RBIs from 10 different players. They have go-ahead RBIs from 13 of the 14 position players who have been on their roster this season. Sunday was Castellanos’s third game-tying RBI.

His home run, on the ninth pitch of his at-bat against Cardinals closer Riley O’Brien, was something of a clinic by a veteran hitter who is in his first season as a role player.

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Castellenos, who entered the game as a pinch-hitter in the seventh inning and remained in right field, came to the plate with Bogaerts at first base with two outs.

Bogaerts’ single leading off the inning had been followed by two strikeouts, and Castellanos fell behind 0-2 before working the count full and then sending a 99 mph sinker on the inner edge of the plate almost to the ribbon scoreboard fronting the second level of seats beyond left field.

“The first pitch started, and I was probably looking to do what I did,” he said. “And then I ended up getting 0-2 and chasing. After that, just took a deep breath and tried to shorten up as much as possible and just compete. Just find a way on base. And then found myself in a full account and was able to get the job done.”

It was the first home run allowed by O’Brien this season.

Nick Castellanos #21 of the San Diego Padres is dunked by Gavin Sheets #30 after a 3-2 win against the St. Louis Cardinals at Petco Park on May 10, 2026 in San Diego, CA. (K.C. Alfred / The San Diego Union-Tribune)
Nick Castellanos #21 of the San Diego Padres is dunked by Gavin Sheets #30 after a 3-2 win against the St. Louis Cardinals at Petco Park on May 10, 2026 in San Diego, CA. (K.C. Alfred / The San Diego Union-Tribune)

With closer Mason Miller not available after throwing 29 pitches over 1⅓ innings on Saturday, Jeremiah Estrada got the first two outs of the 10th. With runners on first and second, Adrian Morejón entered the game and got an inning-ending pop out on his first pitch.

Gordon Graceffo was on the mound for the Cardinals, and Ramón Laureano was the Padres’ automatic runner in the 10th. The Cardinals intentionally walked Merrill at the start before Fernando Tatis Jr. whittled a 1-2 count into a walk to load the bases.

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The game was over one pitch later, when Machado sent a fastball to right-center field and Laureano slid across the plate well in front of right fielder Jordan Walker’s throw.

It was a somewhat subdued but still enthusiastic celebration along the first-base line, as teammates bounced around Machado.

“It’s hard to win a game like that,” Padres manager Craig Stammen said. “Their pitchers pitched great, and they’re bringing in one of the best closers in the game. And we just stuck with it. It just speaks to how those guys believe in themselves and how they believe in what we’ve got going on as a team.”



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It’s ‘trust, but verify’ for new AI spine surgery system

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It’s ‘trust, but verify’ for new AI spine surgery system


On a recent morning, Dr. Joseph Osorio arrived in the operating room ready to sink six surgical screws into his patient’s spine, and he did not seem remotely nervous that their placement and size had been recommended by artificial intelligence software.

Osorio was the first neurosurgeon on the West Coast to begin using Medtronic’s new “Stealth AXiS” surgical robotic system, conducting a spinal fusion procedure to treat degenerative scoliosis at Jacobs Medical Center in La Jolla by anchoring two small custom-shaped metal rods across three vertebrae in his patient’s lower spine.

The process started with a CT scan, identifying the segment of spine that needed reinforcement. A program analyzed the resulting three-dimensional image, using an AI model trained on information from previous successful surgeries, not just where screws should go, but also the best path for their insertion.

An X-ray is taken of a patient’s spine before a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. (Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)

Board-certified with thousands of such surgeries in his past, having completed a fellowship at Columbia University after a surgical residency at UC San Francisco, Osorio is well-qualified to make these calls with zero help from technology. So, why bother using an algorithm to plan these crucial, but routine details?

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The utility, he said, is similar to what many are now experiencing when they use AI writing tools. The software can quickly get a person to the neighborhood of what they intend to say.

“You might say, ‘write me a paragraph on this,’ and it’s going to cut down your time, but you might still need to change some words, add a comma, tweak a sentence … that’s essentially what the AI is doing here,” Osorio said.

In this particular case, the AI system’s recommendations for screw length and diameter seemed on point, allowing the army of surgical technicians assisting with the procedure to pull the proper supplies ahead of time. The suggested locations, though, did require minor adjustment.

“It was slight, very slight, I’d say probably, like one or two millimeter adjustments,” Osorio said.

And the AI auto planning feature, he added, is even more useful in situations where a patient’s health insurance company will not pay for a pre-surgical CT scan, meaning that the guiding image must be taken after the patient is already sedated in an operating room on the day of their surgery.

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An X-ray is taken of a patient's spine before a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. (Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)Dr. Joseph Osorio, a neurosurgeon, uses the Medtronic Stealth Axis Autopilot during a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. The machine uses artificial intelligence to help navigate a patient's spine.(Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)
An X-ray is taken of a patient’s spine before a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. (Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)

Once a digital surgical plan is created and approved by a qualified surgeon, a surgical robot can use a system of cameras and electromagnetic sensors, registered against each patient’s anatomy with an initial X-ray, to move its arm to each screw location, placing a drilling guide at the exact angle needed to put each anchor in the correct spot. Here, too, AI is at work comparing previously recorded X-rays with real-time sensor data to compensate for any patient movements that may occur.

It is an evolution of Medtronic’s previous “Mazor” robotic spike system, which had already achieved levels of anatomy navigation using sensors and cameras that have reduced the need for X-ray images during surgery. And other medical device companies have launched similar systems, building in AI functions as the entire industry begins to see such augmentation as table stakes to play in a market that has always been as competitive as a high-stakes table in a Las Vegas casino.

Patients may wonder whether this push toward AI guidance is a good thing. After all, this is a technology that has made headlines for its ability to “hallucinate” convincing, but incorrect details.

ECRI, an independent non-profit organization that works to improve patient safety and cost effectiveness in health care, has been watching these systems develop.

In an email, Scott Lucas, ECRI’s vice president of devices, therapeutics and technology, said that the organization does not comment on any individual case or procedure, but has found that AI-enabled systems do have their merits.

“We can say that AI seems to be particularly helpful when it is used to support imaging, planning, navigation and precision in technically demanding procedures such as spine surgery,” Lucas said. “These tools may help surgeons in multiple ways, including tailoring procedures to a patient’s anatomy and improving consistency in implant placement and alignment.”

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An AI-enabled display depicts the position of surgical screws being inserted into a patient's vertebra during a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. (Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)
An AI-enabled display depicts the position of surgical screws being inserted into a patient’s vertebra during a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. (Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)

That said, the executive makes it clear that there is no argument for blind loyalty. In these early days, he argues, AI assistance should be less involved with surgeries, and there must be a clear path that allows surgeons to verify the work that their algorithmic assistants perform.

“Used well, AI may strengthen surgical safety; used without appropriate governance, human oversight, training and monitoring, it could introduce new risks, including overreliance, workflow disruption, planning errors or automation bias,” Lucas said.

Such bias, he added, occurs when a surgeon “fails to recognize when the technology is wrong.”

Osorio said that he believes the checks and balances built into the new system he is now using weekly do give him solid checkpoints to make sure that the machine is not hallucinating. While screw placement calculations will automatically calculate for straightforward placements, those with particularly complicated circumstances, such as anatomy that significantly deviates from the norm, will not proceed.

“If things aren’t lining up perfectly in the image, or they’re getting some feedback, it will just refuse to place a screw in that corridor,” Osorio said. “So, it’s only making recommendations in locations that meet the highest standards, and it still requires the surgeon to validate every level.”

AI is now also involved in the calculations used to move the robotic arm to the correct locations for screw insertions and also to make real-time corrections for any patient movement, Medtronic confirmed by email.

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Here too, Osorio said, there are ways to verify that the robot’s calculations are pointing at the correct vertebrae, even though this type of minimally invasive surgery does not expose the target bone before screw insertion.

Surgeons use a bony projection at the back of each vertebra called the spinous process to check the robot’s accuracy, laying a special navigation ring over the landmark to verify that what is showing on the computer’s calculated location screen matches the robot’s arm position.

“A very common statement is ‘trust, but verify’,” Osorio said.

While robotic spine surgery is the latest to begin the process of AI integration, other systems have already made similar moves in knee and hip replacements, urologic procedures, and in some aspects of general surgery.

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