Oregon

Oregon Ducks plummet in ESPN FPI after Week 1 win vs. Idaho

Published

2 years ago

September 2, 2024

Oregon Ducks plummet in ESPN FPI after Week 1 win vs. Idaho

The Oregon Ducks entered Week 1 of the 2024 College Football Season with as much hype as anyone in the nation, expected by many to win the national championship when all was said and done.

They now leave Week 1 with a bit of concern about how good this team really is.

Oregon defeated Idaho 24-14, but they looked nothing like the dominant team that we expected. That doesn’t mean they can’t bounce back and look like the College Football Playoff contenders that we originally imagined this coming week against Boise State, but for now, expectations are currently tempered a bit in Eugene.

Those expectations are tempering nation-wide as well, displayed no more glaringly than in the ESPN Football Power Index, where Oregon’s numbers have plummeted over the weekend.

For those unfamiliar with ESPN’s FPI, it is a ranking that “relies on past performance on offense and defense, returning and transfer production and past recruiting data for players on the roster to form a rating.” In essence, it’s ESPN’s way of declaring the top teams in the nation, looking at their roster, their schedule, their percent chance to win each game, and where that ultimately lands them after the season comes to an end.

In short, they looked at Oregon’s 2024 schedule and predicted what percent chance the Ducks have to win each game. Throughout the year, the numbers will change based on past performance, injuries, and a whole myriad of variables that take place throughout the season.

Let’s take a look at what the numbers say following Week 1:

Oregon vs. Boise State Broncos — Week 2

Syndication: The Register-Guard

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 79.7%

Previous FPI Win %: 92.7%

Analysis: Boise State struggled to put away Georgia Southern in Week 1, so there shouldn’t be much concern that Oregon will be able to get the win on Saturday inside Autzen Stadium. Slowing down RB Ashton Jeanty may be a bit of a task after he put up 6 touchdowns to open the season, but the Ducks’ defense will surely be up to the task.

Oregon at Oregon State Beavers — Week 3

Syndication: The Register Guard

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 78.1%

Previous FPI Win %: 87.0%

Analysis: It sure is going to feel strange to play this game in September. There’s a good chance both Oregon and Oregon State are undefeated going into this game, but the Ducks should still be able to take care of the Beavers with relative ease based on the talent gap alone.

Oregon at UCLA Bruins — Week 5

Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 79.8%

Previous FPI Win %: 87.9%

Analysis: The first Big Ten game for the Ducks will come against a familiar foe down in Los Angeles. It will be interesting to see what UCLA looks like this year with a new coaching staff and remade roster, but even at their best I don’t think the Bruins will be able to hang with the Ducks.

For more UCLA news, check out UCLA Wire!

Oregon vs. Michigan State Spartans — Week 6

(Photo by Steve Dykes/Getty Images)

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 92.5%

Previous FPI Win %: Not Listed

Analysis: The odds were not listed for the Michigan State game to start the year, but after getting a glimpse of the Spartans in Week 1, ESPN doesn’t seem to be lacking any confidence over Oregon’s ability to beat them.

For more Michigan State news, check out Spartans Wire!

Oregon vs.No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes — Week 7

Syndication: The Columbus Dispatch

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 65.5%

Previous FPI Win %: 65.5%

Analysis: This is a game that I’m honestly surprised didn’t see a change in the win probability. Ohio State looked very solid in their Week 1 win over Akron, but they’re still projected to lose inside Autzen Stadium in Week 7.

For more Ohio State news, check out Buckeyes Wire!

Oregon at Purdue Boilermakers— Week 8

Steve Dykes-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 70.2%

Previous FPI Win %: Not listed

Analysis: I expected this game to be viewed like the Michigan State game would, but because it’s on the road it appears that ESPN isn’t as confident in the Ducks as we expected. Still, I think the Ducks should be fin and this win probability will increase over the net month.

Oregon vs. Illinois Fighting Illini — Week 9

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 87.6%

Previous FPI Win %: 95.5%

Analysis: Illinois is a team that is getting a little bit of attention in the conference as a potential trap game candidate, and with this matchup coming a week before Michigan, you can see that risk for the Ducks. But in all reality, there’s no reason this game should be close.

Oregon at Michigan Wolverines — Week 10

(Photo By Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 44.9%

Previous FPI Win %: 65.5%

Analysis: A big-time drop in win probability for the Ducks here as Michigan looked good at home in their win over Fresno State. It’s going to be a big game for Oregon in the Big House, with this being the only matchup the Ducks aren’t favored to win.

For more Michigan news, check out Wolverines Wire!

Oregon vs. Maryland Terrapins— Week 11

Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 75.0%

Previous FPI Win %: 92.7%

Analysis: For the first-ever matchup between Oregon and Maryland, this one isn’t expected to be all that competitive. Maryland is going to have an interesting year with a new QB at the helm, but they could be dangerous for some teams in the middle of the conference. Ultimately, I don’t think the Ducks will have any issue.

Oregon at Wisconsin Badgers — Week 12

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 67.8%

Previous FPI Win %: 82.7%

Analysis: This should be a thrilling matchup in Madison late in the year, and with the history between these two teams, it could be a classic. We’re unsure what Wisconsin will look like this year in the second season under Luke Fickell, and now with Tyler Van Dyke under center, but if they meet expectations, we should be in for a good game here.

For more Wisconsin news, check out Badgers Wire!

Oregon vs. Washington Huskies — Week 14

(Photo by Ian Maule/Getty Images)

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 72.6%

Previous FPI Win %: 89.8%

Analysis: It feels like this is the chance at revenge that Oregon Duck fans have been waiting for. After three straight losses to Washington over the past two years, Oregon has a chance to blow out a less-talented team this year, and you know that they’re going to take very opportunity to make it a lopsided affair late in the season.

For more Washington news, check out UW Huskies Wire!

Oregon vs. Boise State Broncos — Week 2

Syndication: The Register-Guard

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 79.7%

Previous FPI Win %: 92.7%

Oregon at Oregon State Beavers — Week 3

Syndication: The Register Guard

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 78.1%

Previous FPI Win %: 87.0%

Oregon at UCLA Bruins — Week 5

Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 79.8%

Previous FPI Win %: 87.9%

For more UCLA news, check out UCLA Wire!

Oregon vs. Michigan State Spartans — Week 6

(Photo by Steve Dykes/Getty Images)

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 92.5%

Previous FPI Win %: Not Listed

For more Michigan State news, check out Spartans Wire!

Oregon vs.No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes — Week 7

Syndication: The Columbus Dispatch

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 65.5%

Previous FPI Win %: 65.5%

For more Ohio State news, check out Buckeyes Wire!

Oregon at Purdue Boilermakers— Week 8

Steve Dykes-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 70.2%

Previous FPI Win %: Not listed

Oregon vs. Illinois Fighting Illini — Week 9

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 87.6%

Previous FPI Win %: 95.5%

Oregon at Michigan Wolverines — Week 10

(Photo By Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 44.9%

Previous FPI Win %: 65.5%

For more Michigan news, check out Wolverines Wire!

Oregon vs. Maryland Terrapins— Week 11

Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 75.0%

Previous FPI Win %: 92.7%

Oregon at Wisconsin Badgers — Week 12

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 67.8%

Previous FPI Win %: 82.7%

For more Wisconsin news, check out Badgers Wire!

Oregon vs. Washington Huskies — Week 14

(Photo by Ian Maule/Getty Images)

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 72.6%

Previous FPI Win %: 89.8%

For more Washington news, check out UW Huskies Wire!

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Oregon

Oregon lawmakers advance one-year moratorium on tax breaks for data centers

Published

9 hours ago

March 4, 2026

Press Room

Oregon lawmakers advance one-year moratorium on tax breaks for data centers

Written by Alma McCarty & KGW:

SALEM, Oregon — In the final week of Oregon’s legislative short session, lawmakers in Salem discussed regulating data centers — specifically, placing a one-year moratorium on certain tax breaks.

Governor Tina Kotek has been looking to expand the state’s enterprise zone program, which is intended to grow Oregon companies and attract new ones. Businesses that locate or expand within designated zones can qualify for property tax exemptions on new investments if they meet eligibility requirements.

However, some advocates argue that extending incentives to data centers may not be sustainable long term.

“Data centers have been around for a while,” said Kelly Campbell, policy director for Columbia Riverkeeper. “Data centers are getting bigger and bigger. Some of these new AI hyperscale data centers are exponentially bigger than those tiny ones. They’re really just using a lot of energy, a lot of water.”

However, some advocates argue that extending incentives to data centers may not be sustainable long term.

Last week, Columbia Riverkeeper released a report examining data centers operating or planned along the Columbia River in Oregon and Washington.

“I think the question becomes, do we want to stick to our climate goals of getting to 100% renewable? Or do we want to have these big, mega data centers owned by big tech companies — some of the wealthiest corporations in the world — getting to use whatever energy they want? We would say, no, that’s not OK,” Campbell said.

On Monday, lawmakers amended an economic incentives bill to block new data centers from qualifying for certain tax breaks for one year.

“I think this moratorium is a pretty short pause to give the advisory council time and space to do their work,” said Rep. Nancy Nathanson, D-Eugene, during a subcommittee meeting Monday morning.

The Data Center Advisory Committee, convened by Kotek, held its first meeting Friday. The group’s goal is to develop policy recommendations addressing the rapid growth of data centers.

“There are some businesses that will need them, but freestanding data centers, the way we’ve been growing in the state, is not sustainable,” the Governor told reporters during a press conference last week.

On Monday, her office sent KGW a statement regarding the moratorium:

“The moratorium will address immediate concerns and also allow for the Governor’s Data Center Advisory Committee to develop recommendations to strategically pursue economic development opportunities while ensuring utility costs, infrastructure investments, and environmental impacts remain sustainable and equitable for all residents.”

Supporters of data center growth, particularly in rural communities, also spoke during work sessions.

“This moratorium will have a disparate impact on communities east of the Cascades — communities like Prineville, Hermiston and Redmond that have leveraged enterprise zones and data centers to bring hundreds of living-wage jobs to their communities,” said Alexandra Ring, a lobbyist for the League of Oregon Cities.

“While data centers may be seen as a nuisance or inconvenient in Washington County, they are not in Crook County. They are not in Morrow County, in Umatilla County,” said Sen. Mark McLane, who represents several Eastern Oregon counties, including Baker, Crook, Grant and Harney.

Even if the House and Senate ultimately approve the moratorium, it would apply only to new data centers — not those that already receive tax breaks or projects currently underway.

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Oregon

Iranian in Oregon says he was a political prisoner in his home country

Published

1 day ago

March 3, 2026

Press Room

Iranian in Oregon says he was a political prisoner in his home country

PORTLAND, Ore. (KATU) — A member of Oregon’s Iranian community on Monday reacted to American and Israeli strikes in his home country and the death of Iran’s supreme leader over the weekend.

That reaction came as the conflict in the Middle East expanded into a third day. President Donald Trump indicated it could go on for several weeks.

Amin Yousefimalakabad says right now he is concerned about his family, who he says lives near military bases in Tehran, the capital of Iran.

He described businesses with shattered windows and explosions near his family’s home.

At the same time, Yousefimalakabad says he felt relief learning about the killing of the ayatollah.

He says he fled Iran four years ago after facing political persecution.

“I used to be a political prisoner in Iran. I got arrested in one of the protests that happened in Iran, and I was under torture for two weeks,” he said in an interview with KATU News. “They put me in prison for six months. I had, even when I was thinking about those days, it made my body shake from inside because I didn’t deserve that. I just wanted the first things that I can have in a foreign country like America in my country. I wanted freedom. I wanted to have freedom of speech, freedom of religion, to choose who I want to be.”

Meanwhile, Yousefimalakabad says he still can’t return to Iran, fearing he would be punished for his Christian beliefs and says although the regime could change, the ideology in Iran might not.

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How Wisconsin Badgers logistically pulled off extended West Coast trip

Published

2 days ago

March 2, 2026

Press Room

How Wisconsin Badgers logistically pulled off extended West Coast trip

Wisconsin has taken time zone changes into account when planning West Coast trips like the recent one to Oregon and Washington.
Oregon and Washington were ‘super hospitable’ to the Badgers when they were traveling from Feb. 23-28.
Wisconsin’s Lindsay Lovelace and Eli Wilke have done a “really good job” in their operations roles.

SEATTLE – Wisconsin men’s basketball’s day that ended with a resounding 90-73 win over Washington did not exactly have a resounding start.

After loading the bus at the team’s downtown Seattle hotel before the Feb. 28 game roughly four miles away at Alaska Airlines Arena, there was a slight issue.

The bus broke down.

But the Badgers had another bus and were only delayed “maybe 10, 15 minutes at the most.”

“All the managers and everybody moved all the bags onto the other bus,” said Lindsay Lovelace, Wisconsin’s assistant director of basketball operations. “So thankfully we had that second bus, and then the bus company did a really good job of getting us another one really fast.”

Wisconsin’s quick pivot was part of the extensive efforts that have gone into an extended road trip like what the Badgers recently concluded against Oregon and Washington.

“Knowing where we’re going, we reserve flights in July and August,” Lovelace said. “Once we finalize game times and stuff, then we can finalize our flight times and everything. And then I started booking hotels for every trip in September-ish, I would say – September, early in October.

“It kind of starts with those big pieces, and then about a month, month-and-a-half out, we start doing meals and scheduling with itineraries.”

The pair of West Coast games made for a six-day, five-night trip as the Badgers played at Oregon on Wednesday, Feb. 25, and at Washington on Saturday, Feb. 28. It was just UW’s second time this season staying on the road between road games, albeit not nearly as long as the 11-night stay in Salt Lake City and San Diego in the nonconference schedule.

“It seems like it’s a big trip, but it’s essentially just two trips, two days each basically,” said Eli Wilke, who is in his first season as Wisconsin’s operations coordinator after previously working as a graduate manager.

As UW did for the Salt Lake City/San Diego trip earlier in the season and the Los Angeles trip last season, the Badgers arrived two days before the first game instead of the typical one day for shorter road trips on the Big Ten schedule.

“We all decided that it’s just the best to get out there one night earlier, try and get their sleep adjusted as best as possible and then give them a day to sleep in and get up and then practice,” Lovelace said.

Lovelace, who has been in her role since 2021, had the benefit of leaning on last season’s Los Angeles trip and past postseason trips. But the Oregon-Washington trip marked the Badgers’ first road game at Washington since 1955, and it was the Badgers’ first regular-season road game at Oregon since 1990.

The Badgers did have a blueprint for traveling to Eugene following their 2023 NIT game against the Ducks. This trip naturally allowed for much more planning time, too, than a postseason game.

“I said to [UW general manager] Marc [VandeWettering], ‘I remember liking the hotel that we stayed at for the NIT,’” Lovelace said. “And he agreed. The food was good, and the setup they had was really good. It was pretty close to the arena.”

Lovelace also turned to her counterparts who work with Wisconsin football and volleyball, which have similarly been adjusting to the new Big Ten cities. UW volleyball made its first trip to Seattle during the 2025 season, and both UW football and volleyball played in Eugene.

“I talked to John [Richter, UW’s director of football operations] a little bit, but a lot with Jess Williams from volleyball,” Lovelace said. “And she kind of gave me some pointers on traffic and making sure you plan ahead for Seattle because traffic can be really busy at times.”

Wisconsin’s men’s basketball operations staff got a helping hand, too, from Oregon and Washington’s operations personnel.

“Especially with these West Coast trips, these teams are used to it now with these teams doubling up,” Wilke said. “Because they’re all super hospitable and trying to help us out.”

That hospitality includes everything from laundry service to logistical information such as parking and practice options.

Wisconsin secured two practice times in the two days leading up to the Wisconsin-Washington game at Alaska Airlines Arena. The Badgers practiced at Matthew Knight Arena in Oregon the day before and had a shootaround the day of the very late game.

The Badgers were at the mercy of whenever Alaska Airlines Arena was available, though, which turned out to be on a Thursday evening and Friday evening before a Saturday early-afternoon game.

“We know that we really have to be flexible on what they give us,” Lovelace said. “I think everybody wanted to practice at Alaska Airlines Arena. … If we wanted to have an earlier practice, we could have looked elsewhere for gym time, too.”

Washington provided laundry service for Wisconsin on the Badgers’ first night in Seattle. The courtesy is not something to be taken for granted either after what nearly happened when the Badgers traveled to San Diego.

“I was looking at all the laundromats,” Wilke said, following the suggestion of the tournament organizers.

That’s when Nick Boyd – UW’s team leader in points and assists – delivered a big off-the-court assist after playing with his connections at San Diego State, where he played in 2024-25 before transferring to the Badgers.

“Nick connected with one of his old managers, who connected with the current manager at San Diego State and helped connect us with their equipment person who was willing to help us out,” Wilke said. “We got lucky with Nick there.”

The extended trips often come with a larger travel party and the added responsibility of managing logistics for non-basketball excursions. The activities help “keep guys fresh and keep loose,” Wilke said.

The San Diego trip earlier in the season involved a visit at the zoo. The year before, Wisconsin went to an NBA game while in Los Angeles for the USC and UCLA games. This time, UW toured a joint military base in the Seattle-Tacoma region on Feb. 27.

This is Lovelace and Wilke’s first season spearheading Wisconsin’s men’s basketball operations together. VandeWettering was the team’s director of basketball operations for eight seasons before being promoted to a new general manager role in the summer.

UW then promoted Wilke to operations coordinator, all while he continues to finish his master’s degree in sports leadership. He has yet to miss an assignment although he does “cut it very close.” When Wisconsin played Iowa on Feb. 22, he had an assignment due that day.

“I was writing my paper as our guys were doing pregame warmup shots,” Wilke said. “One of the event staff was just laughing behind me because they saw me. I’m just typing away.”

Coordinating operations specifically at a place like Wisconsin “makes my life easier,” Wilke said.

“I don’t really have to worry about guys forgetting things because they’re pretty on top of it,” Wilke said. “I think that’s kind of how the culture of the program’s been over the last few years.”

Even when life is not so easy – an already-loaded bus uncharacteristically breaking down might be one of the top examples – UW’s operations duo has earned rave reviews.

“There’s a lot of moving parts, and there’s going to be hiccups,” VandeWettering said. “And I think you just got to understand that there are going to be things beyond your control, and you just got to be able to roll with it. I think they’ve both done a really good job of continuing to do that to the best of their ability.”

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