New Mexico
Trump's chief pollster says traditionally Democratic states such as New Jersey and New Mexico are “toss-ups” – Washington Examiner
Former President Donald Trump’s chief pollster, Tony Fabrizio, listed Minnesota, Virginia, New Jersey, and New Mexico as toss-ups and implied Maine is in play while speaking to the Florida GOP at the Republican National Convention.
None of those states have voted for a Republican since 2004, when both Virginia and New Mexico turned red before flipping back to blue in 2008. None of those states have been considered toss-ups by the Cook Political Report, though they’re considered more competitive, except for New Jersey.
“Those are states that we’re looking at,” he said at the Republican Party of Florida breakfast Tuesday. “And believe it or not, there’s another state up north called Maine.”
He said he thinks those states may be riper for competition if third-party candidates, most notably Robert F. Kennedy Jr., are allowed on their ballots, which could take votes away from the Democratic Party.
Fabrizio credited Trump’s strength to voter enthusiasm about his candidacy and said he wrote down three words he uses to describe Biden to contrast him with Trump: “weak, failed, dishonest.”
Fabrizio also boasted that Trump is ahead despite the fact the campaign hasn’t done much TV ad spending. “Get ready,” he added. “They’re coming.”
CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER
At least one poll has shown Trump leading in every state Fabrizio mentioned except for New Mexico, though one had him within a point of President Joe Biden there. Kennedy has pushed some of the polling in those states in Trump’s direction as multicandidate polling has generally favored the Republican.
Trump is leading Biden 47.1% to 44.4% nationally, according to RealClearPolitics’s running polling average.
New Mexico
Snowy and slick Thursday expected in New Mexico
We’re expecting widespread light snow Thursday in New Mexico. See the latest forecast at KOB.com/Weather.
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — The snow was falling and the roads were slick to start Thursday in parts of New Mexico and it’s likely that will continue throughout the day.
We’ll see on and off scattered snow showers, especially in parts of southern New Mexico. That will become more widespread with blowing snow possible.
A winter weather advisory is still in effect until Friday morning for 1-3 inches of snow expected and 5-6 inches of snow in higher-elevation areas. It encompasses most of southern New Mexico and stretches just above Interstate 40 near Tucumcari, heading toward the Texas state line.
High temperatures will be at least 10° below average for pretty much everyone.
Meteorologist Kira Miner shares all the details in her full forecast in the video above.
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New Mexico
New Mexico sending firefighters to California
LAS CRUCES, New Mexico (KVIA) — The state of New Mexico announced it is sending five fire engines and 25 New Mexico firefighters to assist in fighting the California wildfires.
The departments participating are from Bernalillo, San Juan, and Los Alamos Counties, as well as the cities of Albuquerque and Santa Fe. The units and firefighters will leave for California on January 9 at 9 a.m.
The state of New Mexico is also warning residents that high winds and dry conditions make the state at high risk for fires as well. Residents are encouraged to clear dry brush from around their homes and keep anything flammable away from heat sources.
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New Mexico
Survey finds more than half of New Mexicans have experienced sexual violence • Source New Mexico
More than half of all New Mexicans have been sexually assaulted or raped at some point in their life, and 40% have been the victim of some kind of sexual violence while in New Mexico in the past year, according to a report published Wednesday.
Researchers from the Catherine Cutler Institute at the University of Southern Maine set out to understand how often people in New Mexico become victims of sexual violence, how often they report it and how often they seek help.
They surveyed 1,272 people between September 2023 and June 2024, and 54% of the people who responded said they had either been raped or sexually assaulted within their lifetime. “This rate translates to more than 1.1 million New Mexico residents,” the authors wrote.
The findings mark the first new New Mexico sexual violence crime victimization survey data in nearly two decades, the authors wrote. The last one was conducted between 2005 and 2006.
Researchers collected the data for the New Mexico Coalition of Sexual Assault Programs, a nonprofit that provides technical assistance to more than 60 sexual assault service providers, sexual assault nurse examiners, child advocacy centers and community mental health centers.
In an interview with Source, Alexandria Taylor, the coalition’s executive director, said she thinks a lack of funding is the primary explanation for why it’s been so long since the last survey.
Taylor said the findings validate and quantify what she has known anecdotally for years: sexual assault is present in many people’s lives.
“All of our service providers, whether it’s our substance use treatment centers, our schools, our places of employment — even our places of incarceration — they’re all serving survivors of sexual assault,” she said.
Rachel Cox, the coalition’s deputy director of programs, told Source she was surprised the report gave her some hope they can actually address the prevalence of sexual assault, because it shows neither victims nor perpetrators of sexual violence are exceptional.
“We’re really talking about something that vicariously impacts everyone in New Mexico,” she said.
While counts of sexual violence victims commonly derived from service organizations and police reports are informative, they are also “certainly undercounts,” the report states.
Researchers asked New Mexicans about their experiences with four kinds of sexual violence: stalking, rape, sexual assault and domestic violence. Forty percent said they had been the victim of at least one of these crimes within the last 12 months while they were in New Mexico.
The research was funded by the Crime Victims Reparation Commission, a state agency that helps crime victims recover losses resulting from being victimized, and provides federal grants to other organizations serving them.
In a news release attached to the report, the coalition outlined its priorities for the upcoming legislative session to boost support for survivors and evidence-based prevention education.
The group plans to ask the Legislature to set aside $3 million to the Department of Health for prevention initiatives, $2 million to the Health Care Authority for medical and counseling needs, and $2 million to the Crime Victims Reparation Commission for providers and the New Mexico Sexual Assault Helpline.
The report also noted that 68% of victims of sexual assault and 75% of victims of rape did not seek support.
State law prohibits reparations to people victimized in prison
As researchers conducted the survey, they also sought to find disparities between demographic groups.
For example, people who have been incarcerated have the highest overall rate of victimization: 69%. They were also more likely to have been the victim of stalking than any other group.
Formerly incarcerated New Mexicans were also less likely to seek victim services, and more likely to have experienced “significant problems” with their job or schoolwork as a result of being victimized, the researchers found.
The group with the next highest rate of victimization was homeless people, at 68%.
Taylor said people who are most systemically impacted either have experienced sexual violence or are at greater risk of experiencing it. Cox said incarcerated and unhoused people can be some of the most invisible in society.
The findings are notable, in part, because New Mexico law does not allow reparations to people who were victimized while they were incarcerated. Taylor said it can’t be ignored that people who do harm and end up incarcerated have also themselves experienced harm and need healing.
“That’s where we have to use what we know from the individual level to impact things at the policy level,” she said.
Transgender or nonbinary people were more likely than cisgender people to have been raped, and Black respondents were more likely than other races to have been raped.
Perpetrators of rape were most commonly identified as casual acquaintances of the victims, at 34%; followed by a former partner or spouse, 30%; a current partner or spouse, 23%, and finally a stranger, 22%.
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