Nevada polls for the US Election 2024: Trump vs Harris

In 2020, Joe Biden won Nevada with 50.1% of the vote, while Donald Trump received 47.7%. Nevada has remained a crucial battleground state for Democrats in recent cycles, and Biden’s win continued this trend, largely due to strong support from unions and Latino voters in the Las Vegas area. With Nevada’s importance in the electoral map, recent polling shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in a near tie for 2024, with Harris polling at 46.5% and Trump close behind at 47.2%. This makes Nevada a pivotal state to watch as the race

HENDERSON, Nev. (FOX5) – Touro University Nevada celebrated the graduation of more than 100 students from its College of Health and Human Services during a winter commencement ceremony on Monday.

The graduating class included 88 students from the School of Physician Assistant Studies, 19 from the School of Nursing and 18 from the School of Education. Many of these graduates plan to stay in Nevada, helping to fill critical roles in the state’s healthcare system.

These graduates will help reduce wait times, increase accessibility to care and relieve the load on health care facilities across the Valley.

“Touro University Nevada puts out about 150 new practitioners every year,” said Campus President, Dr. Andrew Priest. “Right now, today, were going to put out another 50 who will actually stay in the Valley, and what I’m hoping to see is that over time, if you’re going to go to a new doctor, you’re just as likely to find a Touro grad as one from anywhere else. So, I want to see Touro graduates fill the Valley with healthcare practitioners.”

In the spring, Touro Nevada will hold another commencement ceremony to celebrate new physicians, as well as physical and occupational therapists.

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Topline

Vice President Kamala Harris will eke out a narrow win against former President Donald Trump in the crucial swing state, veteran journalist Jon Ralston, who is revered for the accuracy of his presidential race predictions in the state, forecasted Monday, citing independent voters in the state he thinks will push Harris over the edge.

Key Facts

Surprising Fact

A plurality of voters, 30%, identify as independents in Nevada. Ralston predicts they will swing toward Harris, citing a new Democrat-backed law that automatically registers voters as nonpartisan at DMVs if they don’t choose a political party.

Tangent

The GOP has a lead in mail ballots that have been returned so far, raising their hopes of retaking the state. “Republicans are looking better in the early count than they ever have,” Jon Ralston, CEO and editor of the Nevada Independent who is highly respected for his early voting predictions, told Vox on Tuesday, a week before the election. Ralston said there are some indicators younger voters will cast their ballots later and that independents will favor Harris, however, which could swing the vote toward Democrats.

What To Watch For

The state does not release results until after the last voter in line when polls close at 10 p.m. EST casts their ballot. Mail-in ballots can be counted 15 days before Election Day, which could lead to quicker results than in 2020, but a state law that allows mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted if they are received by Nov. 9 could elongate the process. The majority of Nevada voters cast their ballots by mail.

Big Number

56%. That’s the share of Latino voters who identified with the Democratic Party in 2016, compared to 49% who do in 2024, according to a September NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC poll.

Key Background

Support for Harris among Latino voters will be crucial to her success in both Arizona and Nevada, where Hispanic and Latino people make up about 30% of the population and polls show she has lost support among the key demographic. Biden carried Latino voters in Nevada over Trump 61% to 35% in 2020, according to CNN exit polls, while Harris leads Trump 56% to 40% in Nevada, according to an October USA Today/Suffolk University poll of Latino voters. Harris is particularly struggling with Latino men, according to the survey that found 53% of male Latino voters ages 18-34 in Nevada support Trump and 40% support Harris, while 53% of Latino men ages 35-49 in the state support Trump and 39% support Harris. Immigration and inflation top the list of Latino voter concerns in Nevada, according to a USA Today/Suffolk poll, which found 37% said inflation was their top concern and 17% said immigration.

Tangent

The Harris campaign made a last-minute appeal to Hispanic men in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Nevada this month with a “Hombres con Harris” tour featuring members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, including Rep. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., who is running against Trump ally Kari Lake for the Senate in Arizona. The tour will include stops at Latino-owned small businesses, sports bars, restaurants, union halls and other community venues frequented by Latino men, her campaign said.

Further Reading

Wisconsin 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Latest Surveys Show Trump With Slight Edge (Forbes)

Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump Keeps Lead In Arizona As Harris Holds Narrow Edge In Pennsylvania (Update) (Forbes)

Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Harris And Trump Virtually Tied In Latest Surveys As Race Tightens (Forbes)

Pennsylvania 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Leads Crucial Swing State In Latest Poll (Forbes)

Michigan 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Leads In Latest Survey (Forbes)

Georgia 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Holds Surprise 1-Point Lead In New Survey (Forbes)

North Carolina 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Trump Overtakes Harris’ Lead (Forbes)