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Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Latest Surveys Show Trump Up In Nevada, Georgia (Update)

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Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Latest Surveys Show Trump Up In Nevada, Georgia (Update)


Topline

The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is virtually tied, with new polls Tuesday showing Trump with a slim advantage in Nevada and Georgia.

Key Facts

Georgia: Trump leads by four points, 47% to 43%, in an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of likely voters out Tuesday, while a Washington Post-Schar poll released Monday found Harris ahead by four points, 51% to 47%, following a Quinnipiac poll released last week that showed Trump leading 52% to 45%. Trump leads by 1.6 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

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Nevada: Trump is ahead by one point, 47% to 46%, in an AARP poll released Tuesday, and they’re tied at 48% in the Washington Post-Schar poll, while a Wall Street Journal poll released Oct. 11 found Trump up by 5 points. Harris leads by 0.2 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

Arizona: Trump is ahead by three points, 49% to 46%, in the Washington Post-Schar School poll, consistent with a CBS/YouGov survey last week that showed Trump leading Harris 51% to 48%, though the Journal poll found Harris up by two points, 47% to 45%. Trump is up 1.9 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

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North Carolina: Trump is up three points, 50% to 47%, in the Washington Post-Schar poll, while Harris had a two-point lead, 49% to 47%, in the Quinnipiac poll. FiveThirtyEight’s average shows him with a 0.9-point advantage.

Pennsylvania: Harris leads by two points, 49% to 47%, in the Washington Post-Schar poll, she held a three-point advantage, 50% to 47% (closer to four points when not rounded up), in a pair of New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College polls released Oct. 12, and the Wall Street Journal poll found Trump with a one-point lead. Trump leads Harris by 0.4 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

Michigan: Harris is ahead by two points, 49% to 47%, in the Washington Post-Schar poll, consistent with the Wall Street Journal findings that also showed her ahead by two points, while an Oct. 9 Quinnipiac poll found Trump leading by three points, 50% to 47%. Harris is up by just 0.1 points in Michigan in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

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Wisconsin: Harris holds a three-point lead, 50% to 47%, in the Washington Post-Schar poll, a one-point lead in the Journal poll, and Trump leads Harris by two points, 48% to 46%, in the Oct. 9 Quinnipiac poll. Harris is up 0.4 points in FiveThirtyEight’s average.

Big Number

0.9. That’s how many points Harris leads Trump by in RealClearPolitics’ national polling average, while FiveThirtyEight’s average shows her up by 1.7 points.

Key Background

Harris became the Democratic nominee after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race on July 21, amid an intraparty revolt in the wake of his debate performance—shifting Democrats’ fortunes dramatically. Prior to the shift, polls consistently found Trump would beat Biden in most battleground states, despite Biden winning six of the seven (with the exception of North Carolina) in the 2020 election.

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Further Reading

Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Harris Holds Onto Lead In 4 New Polls (Forbes)

Michigan 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Leads Narrowly In One Of Her Most Important State (Forbes)

Pennsylvania 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Has Less Than 1-Point Lead In Polling Averages (Forbes)

North Carolina 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Near Tie In The New 7th Swing State (Forbes)

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Georgia 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Most Surveys Show Trump Ahead In Crucial Swing State (Forbes)

Nevada 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Has A Narrow Lead—But Struggles With Latino Voters (Forbes)

Wisconsin 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Latest Surveys Show Trump With Slight Edge (Forbes)

Arizona 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Trump Holds Advantage In Latest Swing State Poll (Forbes)



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Nevada’s modern boomtowns are these fast-growing cities, study said

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Nevada’s modern boomtowns are these fast-growing cities, study said


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Nevada’s history as a mining and entertainment state has made it synonymous with boomtowns. Perhaps more than any other state, cities in Nevada can feel like they practically explode overnight (like Las Vegas) and at times are abandoned as quickly as they were inhabited (like the state’s many ghost towns)

SmartAsset, a financial technology company, said in a recent report that Nevada is still home to several boomtowns. SmartAsset defines as cities that “stand out for attracting people, investment and development at a pace that sets them apart.”

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“Boomtown status does not mean growth benefits everyone equally, but it does reflect a city’s expanding economic capacity and the new opportunities that come with it,” wrote SmartAsset.

The list was compiled by analyzing more than 400 U.S. cities with populations of 65,000 or more. Each city received a score based on five-year changes in three factors: economic output, housing units and labor force size. Four Nevada cities landed in the 75 highest-scoring cities, which SmartAsset said represent America’s new boomtowns.

Here’s what else to know.

Nevada is home to these four ‘boomtowns,’ according to Smart Asset

North Las Vegas was the highest-ranked Nevada city on the list, at No. 39. It had a 21% increase in housing units, a 24% increase in the labor force, and a compound annual real GDP growth rate of 3.5%.

Nevada’s runner-up was Sparks at No. 53, which saw housing units grow by 16%, labor force increase by 14%, and a 3.8% compound annual GDP growth rate.

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Henderson followed at No. 63, posting a 13% increase in housing units, an 18% rise in labor force, and a 3.5% annual GDP growth rate.

Reno came in last among Nevada cities on the list at No. 66, with housing units up 14%, a labor force increase of 11%, and a 3.8% compound annual GDP growth rate.

Methodology

In order to determine the country’s boomtowns, Smart Asset looked at U.S. cities with populations of more than 65,000.

Each city was scored across three metrics: five-year labor force change, five-year housing unit change, and county-level compound annual real GDP growth.

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Changes in the labor force (which includes residents ages 16 and older who are employed or actively seeking work) and in housing units were calculated using 2019 and 2024 ACS data.

Real GDP growth was calculated using Bureau of Economic Analysis data for 2019 and 2024; county-level real GDP was used as a proxy for city-level economic output.

Cities were assigned composite scores based on the three metrics and ranked accordingly.

America’s top 10 boomtowns

According to SmartAsset, these are the top 10 boomtowns in the U.S. in 2026:

  1. Georgetown, Texas
  2. New Braunfels, Texas
  3. Lehi, Utah
  4. Leander, Texas
  5. Lewisville, Texas
  6. Palm Coast, Florida
  7. Nampa, Idaho
  8. McKinney, Texas
  9. Conroe, Texas
  10. Frisco, Texas

Diana Leyva with The Tennessean contributed to this report.



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Federal lawsuit alleges years of sexual abuse inside Nevada juvenile detention facilities

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Federal lawsuit alleges years of sexual abuse inside Nevada juvenile detention facilities


Content Warning: This article discusses allegations of sexual abuse involving children and may be difficult for some readers.

A federal lawsuit filed on behalf of 96 former juvenile detainees alleges children were sexually abused inside Nevada’s juvenile justice system over nearly two decades, including at facilities in Clark County.

The 209-page lawsuit, filed in U.S. District Court and obtained by News 3, names Clark County, the State of Nevada and numerous current officials as defendants. It alleges staff members sexually abused children in their custody while systemic failures allowed the abuse to continue.

According to the complaint, the allegations span from 2004 through 2022 and involve multiple juvenile facilities across the state, including the Clark County Juvenile Detention Center, Summit View Youth Center, Nevada Youth Training Center, Caliente Youth Center and China Spring Youth Camp.

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In a statement to News 3, plaintiffs’ attorney Tim O’Reilly said the lawsuit is ultimately about children who were failed by the very institutions responsible for protecting them.

“This case is about children who were placed in custody and left vulnerable to the very people and institutions responsible for protecting them,” O’Reilly said. “As detailed in the complaint, they were sexually abused, exploited and silenced while confined in Nevada Juvenile Detention Facilities. No child should ever be harmed by adults entrusted with their safety. Our clients are bravely coming forward to seek accountability and justice for abuse that never should have happened. Their courage sends a powerful message to others who have not yet been able to come forward: they are not alone.”

The lawsuit alleges some children were threatened with longer stays in custody, solitary confinement or the loss of privileges if they reported the abuse.

Liz Ortenburger, CEO of SafeNest, said those allegations reflect the unique power imbalance that can exist when adults have authority over children in custody.

“Whether or not you have the power, that youth absolutely believes you have that power to make that happen,” Ortenburger said. “When we create systems of power and control in which vulnerable youth are in a space where they can be assaulted, we have got to make sure we’ve got incredible checks and balances so that those youth are safe.”

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One of those safeguards is the federal Prison Rape Elimination Act, commonly known as PREA, which establishes standards intended to prevent, detect and respond to sexual abuse inside correctional facilities.

Signs of Hope is the only organization in Nevada with a full-time PREA advocate who works directly with people reporting sexual abuse while in custody.

“They are able to reach out to their PREA advocate and report what has happened to them and receive resources and support,” Signs of Hope CEO Kim Small said. “She’s able to advocate on their behalf and help with the investigation.”

Small said it’s important for the public to understand that being in custody does not strip someone of their rights.

“There are rights. Inmates have rights, and sexual assault is not part of their healing journey,” Small said.

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Ortenburger added that reports involving incarcerated youth deserve to be taken seriously.

“I think there’s a real sort of desire to not want to believe youth, particularly incarcerated youth,” Ortenburger said. “It’s important to believe youth. That does not mean we don’t verify — trust but verify.”

The lawsuit seeks damages, along with future medical and mental health treatment for the plaintiffs. The plaintiffs are also requesting a jury trial, though it could take years before the case reaches trial.

News 3 reached out to Clark County and the Nevada Department of Health and Human Services for comment but had not received a response before deadline.

Resources for survivors

If you or someone you know has experienced sexual abuse or domestic violence, confidential help is available 24 hours a day.

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SafeNest

  • Call or text: 702-646-4981
  • Online chat and additional resources: SafeNest.org

Signs of Hope

  • 24-hour hotline: 702-366-1640
  • Both organizations provide confidential support, advocacy and referrals for survivors throughout Southern Nevada.



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Nevada Legislative Committee to meet in Lake Tahoe

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Nevada Legislative Committee to meet in Lake Tahoe


Marlette Lake from the Spooner Lake approach.
Bill Rozak/Tahoe Daily Tribune

STATELINE, Nev. – The next meeting of the Nevada State Legislative Committee for the Review and Oversight of the Tahoe Regional Planning Agency (TRPA) and the Marlette Lake Water System is scheduled to be held this Friday, July 17 at 12:30 p.m. at the Tahoe Regional Planning Agency office in Stateline, Nev.

The committee, comprised of eight state legislators, holds meetings every other year during interim sessions to discuss the work of TRPA, the Lake Tahoe Environmental Improvement Program, and Nevada state agencies in the Lake Tahoe Basin.

During the July meeting, speakers will provide informational presentations to the committee on water quality and lake clarity, aquatic invasive species, and the latest scientific research taking place at Tahoe.



This is the fifth of six meetings scheduled through August of this year. Other priority topics that have been heard this year include transportation, housing, forest health, and wildfire. The committee webpage has all previous meeting materials and topics listed here. Members of the public are welcome to attend in person or online and to provide input in writing or during scheduled public comment times.

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