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Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Latest Surveys Show Trump Up In Nevada, Georgia (Update)

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Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Latest Surveys Show Trump Up In Nevada, Georgia (Update)


Topline

The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is virtually tied, with new polls Tuesday showing Trump with a slim advantage in Nevada and Georgia.

Key Facts

Georgia: Trump leads by four points, 47% to 43%, in an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of likely voters out Tuesday, while a Washington Post-Schar poll released Monday found Harris ahead by four points, 51% to 47%, following a Quinnipiac poll released last week that showed Trump leading 52% to 45%. Trump leads by 1.6 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

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Nevada: Trump is ahead by one point, 47% to 46%, in an AARP poll released Tuesday, and they’re tied at 48% in the Washington Post-Schar poll, while a Wall Street Journal poll released Oct. 11 found Trump up by 5 points. Harris leads by 0.2 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

Arizona: Trump is ahead by three points, 49% to 46%, in the Washington Post-Schar School poll, consistent with a CBS/YouGov survey last week that showed Trump leading Harris 51% to 48%, though the Journal poll found Harris up by two points, 47% to 45%. Trump is up 1.9 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

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North Carolina: Trump is up three points, 50% to 47%, in the Washington Post-Schar poll, while Harris had a two-point lead, 49% to 47%, in the Quinnipiac poll. FiveThirtyEight’s average shows him with a 0.9-point advantage.

Pennsylvania: Harris leads by two points, 49% to 47%, in the Washington Post-Schar poll, she held a three-point advantage, 50% to 47% (closer to four points when not rounded up), in a pair of New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College polls released Oct. 12, and the Wall Street Journal poll found Trump with a one-point lead. Trump leads Harris by 0.4 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

Michigan: Harris is ahead by two points, 49% to 47%, in the Washington Post-Schar poll, consistent with the Wall Street Journal findings that also showed her ahead by two points, while an Oct. 9 Quinnipiac poll found Trump leading by three points, 50% to 47%. Harris is up by just 0.1 points in Michigan in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

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Wisconsin: Harris holds a three-point lead, 50% to 47%, in the Washington Post-Schar poll, a one-point lead in the Journal poll, and Trump leads Harris by two points, 48% to 46%, in the Oct. 9 Quinnipiac poll. Harris is up 0.4 points in FiveThirtyEight’s average.

Big Number

0.9. That’s how many points Harris leads Trump by in RealClearPolitics’ national polling average, while FiveThirtyEight’s average shows her up by 1.7 points.

Key Background

Harris became the Democratic nominee after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race on July 21, amid an intraparty revolt in the wake of his debate performance—shifting Democrats’ fortunes dramatically. Prior to the shift, polls consistently found Trump would beat Biden in most battleground states, despite Biden winning six of the seven (with the exception of North Carolina) in the 2020 election.

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Further Reading

Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Harris Holds Onto Lead In 4 New Polls (Forbes)

Michigan 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Leads Narrowly In One Of Her Most Important State (Forbes)

Pennsylvania 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Has Less Than 1-Point Lead In Polling Averages (Forbes)

North Carolina 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Near Tie In The New 7th Swing State (Forbes)

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Georgia 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Most Surveys Show Trump Ahead In Crucial Swing State (Forbes)

Nevada 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Has A Narrow Lead—But Struggles With Latino Voters (Forbes)

Wisconsin 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Latest Surveys Show Trump With Slight Edge (Forbes)

Arizona 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Trump Holds Advantage In Latest Swing State Poll (Forbes)



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Video Mother of boy fatally shot in Nevada road rage incident confronts suspect in court

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Video Mother of boy fatally shot in Nevada road rage incident confronts suspect in court


Mother of boy fatally shot in Nevada road rage incident confronts suspect in court

In a powerful moment inside the courtroom, the mother of the 11-year-old boy who was fatally shot in a road rage incident in Henderson, Nevada, confronted her son’s alleged killer.

November 18, 2025



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Las Vegas couple dies in plane crash near Nevada-California border

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Las Vegas couple dies in plane crash near Nevada-California border


LAS VEGAS (KLAS) – A Las Vegas couple died, and one man was injured in a plane crash near the Nevada-California border last week, according to documents obtained by 8 News Now.

On Nov. 10, a small plane, rented from a North Las Vegas company, took off from an airport in California before crashing near the state line. Maria and Brett Egarr Sr., a Las Vegas couple, died in the crash, and their son, Brett Jr., survived, according to family who spoke with 8 News Now.

“While we sincerely appreciate the opportunity to share more about our loved ones, and are incredibly grateful and humbled that the media is wanting to speak on our parents’ legacy, as a family, we are asking for privacy and understanding during this difficult time in our lives. Thank you,” Krista Lang, the victims’ daughter, wrote in an email to 8 News Now.

Following an evening takeoff from Bishop Airport, the Inyo County Sheriff’s Office received a report of a missing aircraft. The next morning, search and rescue patrols found the crashed plane around 50 miles west of the Nevada-California border.

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One survivor, Brett Jr., sustained several injuries and was airlifted to Bishop Airport, where he was treated by emergency medical workers.

On Nov. 13, 702 Aviation, a company based out of North Las Vegas Airport, posted a link to donate to the victims’ family along with a message of condolences.

“702 Aviation extends its deepest thoughts and support to the pilot, their loved ones, and all those impacted,” 702 Aviation staff wrote in a social media post. “The aviation community is a family, and we stand with them during this time of loss.”

8 News Now contacted members of the family and verified the GoFundMe account, titled: “Support the Egarr Family After Tragic Loss,” which has been organized by friends of the Egarr family to help pay for medical and funeral costs.

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Heavy snow over the Sierra Nevada on Monday

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Heavy snow over the Sierra Nevada on Monday


Heavy snow and gusts to about 65 km/h (40 mph) are forecast for the West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada and Western Plumas County/Lassen Park in California on Monday, November 17, 2025, with a Winter Weather Advisory in effect until 16:00 PST. A brief break is forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by increased chances for rain and snow showers on Thursday, November 20.

A developing upper-level low along the California coast is forecast to drift south toward northwestern Mexico by Wednesday, producing West Coast precipitation and heavy Sierra Nevada snow mainly on Monday, with showers and embedded thunderstorms over central California through early Tuesday and high-elevation snow extending into the Southwest through Wednesday morning.

For the West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada, the forecast calls for heavy rain and snow today, tapering to chances of rain/snow tonight, then partial clearing Tuesday into Wednesday before another disturbance brings rain and snow showers on Thursday, November 20.

Snow levels are around 2 000 m (6 500 feet) today, lowering to roughly 1 700 m (5 500 feet) tonight, then rising again Tuesday afternoon. Expected accumulations today are about 8 to 25 cm (3 to 9 inches) at higher elevations, with little to none at lower elevations; up to about 2.5 cm (1 inch) is possible tonight at higher elevations.

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A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for Western Plumas County/Lassen Park and the West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada until 16:00 PST Monday.

Forecast totals are 15 to 30 cm (6 to 12 inches), with 30 to 60 cm (1 to 2 feet) possible on the highest peaks. South to southwest wind gusts may reach about 65 km/h (40 mph). Advisory guidance places snow levels generally near 2 000–2 100 m (6 500–7 000 feet) today, lowering to roughly 1 500–1 800 m (5 000–6 000 feet) by Monday morning.

Travel impacts are possible across higher passes during heavier snowfall and gusty winds; motorists should check Caltrans conditions and chain requirements before travel.

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A brief break with partly cloudy conditions is forecast Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by increased chances for rain and snow showers on Thursday with moderate additional accumulations possible, then a drier trend Friday into the weekend.






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