California
Is Central California turning blue? Data shows Democrats outpace Republicans registrations
Should presidential candidates have age limits? An expert weighs in
President Joe Biden is the oldest sitting president. If he wins re-election, he will be 86 when he finishes his term in the White House.
Is it too early to be thinking about the 2024 election?
Not for some of us.
A first look at state voter registration numbers for the next election, the primary in March, are out. Every four years, the state does an early read 154 days out for every county that you can compare to four years earlier and perhaps spot a trend.
The California Secretary of State will publish three more updates before the March election and again ahead of the November General Election.
Here is what we see in Central California counties, thanks to the 154-day report as of Oct 3. We took a look at the Republican registrations versus Democrats.
What’s the trend? Things are turning blue.
Tulare County: Red but trending blue
Democratic registration in 2020 was 61,132 Democrats or 33.01% vs 71,234 Republicans or 38.47%. Four years later, Democrats numbered 70,707 or 33.32%, and Republicans numbered 78,936 or 37.20%. The figures show a slight gain for Democrats percent-wise, with 9575 more new Dem voters vs. an increase of 7702 GOP voters. The GOP still maintains its long-held majority of more than 8,000 votes, with Dems creeping up.
Fresno County: Strong blue trend
Democratic registration in Fresno County in 2020 was 187,497 voters or 39.45% vs 155,396 GOP voters or 32.69%. Fast forward to the latest registration for the 2024 election done in October 2023, and we see 198,836 Democrats or 39.19% vs 162,151 Republicans or 31.96%. The trend favors Democrats, who added 11,359 new voters vs 6755 new GOP voters over four years. Both parties lost slightly on overall percentage. Republicans in Fresno County lost their majority after 2008, when they still had a significant lead in registration.
Kings County: Red
In Kings County, Democrats numbered 18,755 or 33.55% in 2020 vs 22,323 GOP voters or 39.93%. In the latest count toward the 2024 election, Democrats number 20,822 or 33.29% vs 24,355 GOP voters or 38.94%.
That amounts to an increase of 2077 new Democrat voters vs 2032 new GOP in Kings. Call it a draw on new registration that still favors the GOP.
Kern County: Red but trending Blue
In Kern County, Dems in 2020 numbered 140,380 or 34.55% vs 148,032 GOP or 36.43%. In the latest count for the 2024 election, Democrats number 152,668 or 34.67% vs 159,655 or 36.26 % for the GOP. The trends show a slight percent decline for the GOP and a small gain for Democrats. As to the numbers, the Democrats have gained 12,288 new voters in Kern County, while the GOP earned 11,623.
San Luis Obispo: Stronger blue than ever
In San Luis Obispo County, Dems in 2020 had 66,247 voters or 37.32%. Republicans, the majority here for years, had 61,833 or 34.86%. In the latest count, the Dems numbered 68,909 or 38.67%, and Republicans numbered 61,182 or 34.34%. The upshot is that the GOP has lost 701 voters in the county while the Democrats gained 2662 new voters in the past four years and 1.4%. Bottom line: SLO turns bluer.
San Joaquin County: Solid blue
Democrats have been leading in San Joaquin County for a while, and the trend continues. In 2020, Democrats had 146,901 voters or 43.64%, while the GOP had 97,453 or 28.95%. Four years later, Democrats have grown to 159,399 or 43.74% vs 105,101 GOP voters or 28.84%. So Democrats added 12,498 more voters vs 7748 more GOP voters. Bottom line: solid Blue.
California
Northern California driver dies after vehicle found in floodwaters, 1 other found dead
SONOMA COUNTY – A man died when he was found in a flooded vehicle after an atmospheric river dumped heavy rain in Northern California, authorities said.
In Sonoma County’s Guerneville, first responders responded to a report around 11:30 a.m. Saturday for a vehicle that was seen in floodwaters near Mays Canyon Road and Highway 116.
The caller believed that at least one person was inside the vehicle.
When crews arrived, they said the vehicle was recovered but a man was pronounced dead at the scene. He has not been identified.
The Russian River, which flows through Guerneville, reached the flood stage on Friday evening and exceeded what was forecasted.
This area went into a flood warning around 2 p.m. Friday and was still in place as of Saturday afternoon.
Guerneville is about 75 miles north of San Francisco.
Around 8:45 a.m. Saturday in Santa Rosa, a man was found dead in Piner Creek just south of Guerneville Road, the police department said. His death is being investigated.
California
Laura Richardson completes a political comeback, winning tight race to represent South L.A. in the California Capitol
Laura Richardson emerged the victor of the competitive, costly and feisty election to win a South Los Angeles seat in the state Senate — completing her political comeback more than 10 years after a tumultuous tenure in the House of Representatives.
Richardson narrowly won the race against Michelle Chambers, a community justice advocate who faced accusations of misconduct in prior public office. The Associated Press called the race Friday after weeks of ballot counting.
The contest between two Democrats with similar social policies but differing views on crime and business attracted huge spending by special interests.
Independent expenditure committees poured more than $7.6 million into the race, making it the most expensive election for state Legislature this year, according to California Target Book, a political database. Negative campaigning dominated the race as business interests and labor unions battled for their favored candidate.
Richardson, a moderate Democrat, will join a Democratic supermajority in the Legislature. But Republicans are on track to flip three legislative seats this year, one in the Senate and two in the Assembly.
Richardson’s biggest supporters were businesses, including PACs funded by oil companies, and law enforcement associations that said they advocated for candidates who shared their beliefs on free enterprise and public safety. Meanwhile, Chambers’ biggest portion of support came from healthcare workers and teachers unions, who spent millions of dollars backing her.
Chambers wrote in a statement she was “proud of the campaign we ran,” thanking supporters who canvassed, phone-banked or cast votes for her “vision of better jobs, better wages and a California that works for everybody, not just the wealthy and well-connected.”
“This was the closest state senate race in the state, but unfortunately it appears that we will fall just short of victory,” she added. “Our people-powered efforts were not quite enough to overcome millions of dollars in outside spending on lies from the oil and tobacco industry and their allies.“
Richardson will succeed Sen. Steven Bradford (D-Gardena) in the 35th District, which encompasses the cities of Carson, Compton and stretches down to the harbor. Bradford, who had endorsed Chambers, said he believed both candidates were “qualified to do the job.”
Bradford, who championed reparations legislation during his tenure, hoped the future senator would be “willing to meet with all factions of the community, because it’s a great diverse need in this district.”
“I’m also deeply sad to see how negative this campaign was, probably one of the most negative campaigns I’ve experienced in my 30-plus years of being involved with elections,” he said. “I just hope that we can come together after such a negative campaign, regardless of who the victor is, and understand that we have to work together.”
Richardson and Chambers took aim at each other’s past controversies. For Chambers, who had picked up the endorsement of various state and local elected officials, opposition groups seized on a criminal misdemeanor charge from 30 years ago. She was also accused of bullying and intimidation from her time as a Compton City Council member, allegations that she has repeatedly denied.
Richardson faced criticism over her tenure in Congress, where a House Ethics Committee investigation found her guilty in 2012 of compelling congressional staff to work on her campaign. The committee report also accused Richardson of obstructing the committee investigation “through the alteration or destruction of evidence” and “the deliberate failure to produce documents.”
Richardson admitted to wrongdoing, according to the report, and accepted a reprimand and $10,000 fine for the violations. She previously said that during her time in Congress, Republicans frequently targeted members of the Black Caucus. After she lost her reelection bid for a fourth term, Richardson said she worked at an employment firm to improve her managerial skills and has recognized previous mistakes.
“It’s been said voters are very forgiving, and if you stand up and you accept responsibility and you improve in the work that you do — we need people who’ve been through things, who understand what it’s like to have had difficulties,” she previously told The Times. “And so that’s exactly what I did. I didn’t shy away from it.”
California
72-hour rain totals across Northern California
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