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California’s wildfire activity is running below average this year. But experts warn it’s not over

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California’s wildfire activity is running below average this year. But experts warn it’s not over


California has had a number of extreme fires this 12 months, together with the Mosquito Hearth, which continues to burn east of Sacramento.

Nonetheless, after damp spring climate and funky temperatures delayed the onset of peak hearth exercise, the state’s total wildfire exercise has been “surprisingly benign,” mentioned Craig Clements, director of San Jose State College’s Hearth Climate Lab.

“However we’re not out of the woods but,” Clements instructed CNN. Sizzling and dry offshore winds, sometimes called the Diablo or Santa Ana winds, can set off an infinite wildfire menace, and the wind phenomena don’t have a tendency to start out till the autumn and winter.

“If we get these massive offshore wind occasions in Southern California just like the Santa Anas, the Diablo winds in Northern California, these may result in greater fires,” he mentioned.

In line with Cal Hearth Battalion Chief Jon Heggie, wildfires have burned round 365,000 acres to date this 12 months in California, which is properly beneath the year-to-date acreage burned lately. In 2021, greater than 2.5 million acres had burned by means of August, whereas 4.3 million acres had burned in 2020.

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Heggie known as this 12 months’s burned acreage a “dramatic” drop from earlier years.

But California stays in a multiyear megadrought which has drained water provides and primed the vegetation for landscape-altering wildfires. Drought situations are current in 99% of the state, in keeping with the US Drought Monitor; situations scientists say are a part of the explanation California has seen an uptick in hearth exercise lately.
Clements pointed to 3 issues contributing to this 12 months’s below-average hearth exercise: luck, firefighting methods and day-to-day climate.
Spring introduced favorable climate with cooler temperatures and a few precipitation, however summer season introduced hotter and drier climate. California noticed one in every of its worst September warmth waves on document earlier this month, which stoked the state’s present lively fires, together with the Mosquito Hearth which has burned greater than 76,000 acres and has change into the most important within the state to date this 12 months, in keeping with CalFire.

“Whereas local weather change has its fingerprints throughout these bigger fires, it is day-to-day climate that drives hearth conduct,” he mentioned.

Daniel Swain, a local weather scientist on the College of California in Los Angeles, famous though much less acreage has burned to date this 12 months, particular person wildfires have been fairly lethal and harmful. This 12 months’s fires have killed 9 folks and destroyed greater than 800 buildings, in keeping with Cal Hearth.

“When folks speak about this, they’re typically speaking concerning the acreage burned and truly not solely does it not inform the entire story, however it arguably would not inform most of what is necessary about why we care about wildfires in a societal context,” Swain instructed CNN. “Simply because the acreage burned has been lower than lately, the impacts of those fires have truly nonetheless been actually excessive.”

And whereas the acres burned are decrease than the final 5 years, Heggie mentioned hearth situations in California can change rapidly because the seasons transition.

“It may possibly change very quickly in California, and so although we’re beginning to consider that as a transition time, we’re nonetheless remaining ever-vigilant, and we encourage the general public to do the identical as properly,” Heggie mentioned.

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Janice Coen, a scientist on the Nationwide Heart for Atmospheric Analysis, instructed CNN regardless of the summer season’s excessive warmth and dry situations, the explanation there has not been a significant outbreak of fires folks out West would count on, is as a result of not all situations have been current on the identical time.

“Although there have been loads of ignitions throughout the nation, there hasn’t been the alignment of situations to permit very lots of them to develop giant,” Coen instructed CNN. “It’s attainable that issues will change. We’re heading right into a interval when a distinct sort of fireplace is probably going, so we may even see extra exercise in Southern California than we’ve got” to date.

The upstream water used to keep Lake Powell afloat is running out
Human-caused local weather change has performed a job in making excessive hearth occasions worse and extra prone to occur. The West’s drought and excessive warmth waves laid the groundwork for dozens of main wildfires lately. Nonetheless, simply because the local weather disaster is accelerating, consultants say there may be nonetheless year-to-year variability.
In line with the Nationwide Interagency Hearth Heart, the potential for giant fires to spark in California will stay low for the remainder of the week because of above-average vegetation moisture due partially to current rainfall, together with from Hurricane Kay.

Swain mentioned particular person rain occasions won’t erase the deeply-rooted drought, however they do assist ease hearth situations within the close to time period.

“That is a kind of climate patterns the place it is form of increase or bust,” Swain mentioned of the rainfall. “We get a good quantity of rain, or we most likely get nothing in any respect, so fingers are crossed, however it’s been form of a bizarre 12 months.”



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California may exclude Tesla from EV rebate program

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California may exclude Tesla from EV rebate program


California Gov. Gavin Newsom may exclude Tesla and other automakers from an electric vehicle (EV) rebate program if the incoming Trump administration scraps a federal tax credit for electric car purchases.

Newsom proposed creating a new version of the state’s Clean Vehicle Rebate Program, which was phased out in 2023 after funding more than 594,000 vehicles and saving more than 456 million gallons of fuel, the governor’s office said in a news release on Monday.

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“Consumers continue to prove the skeptics wrong – zero-emission vehicles are here to stay,” Newsom said in a statement. “We’re not turning back on a clean transportation future – we’re going to make it more affordable for people to drive vehicles that don’t pollute.”

The proposed rebates would be funded with money from the state’s Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund, which is funded by polluters under the state’s cap-and-trade program, the governor’s office said. Officials did not say how much the program would cost or save consumers.

NEBRASKA AG LAUNCHES ASSAULT AGAINST CALIFORNIA’S ELECTRIC VEHICLE PUSH

California Gov. Gavin Newsom on Monday proposed creating a new version of the state’s Clean Vehicle Rebate Program if the incoming Trump administration scraps a federal tax credit for electric car purchases. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images, File / Getty Images)

They would also include changes to promote innovation and competition in the zero-emission vehicles market – changes that could prevent automakers like Tesla from qualifying for the rebates.

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who relocated Tesla’s corporate headquarters from California to Texas in 2021, responded to the possibility of having Tesla EVs left out of the program.

Tesla automobile plugged in and charging a Supercharger rapid battery charging station for the electric vehicle company Tesla Motors, in the Silicon Valley town of Mountain View, California, August 24, 2016.

Tesla and other automakers may not qualify for the proposed tax credits, according to the governor’s office. (Getty Images, File / Getty Images)

“Even though Tesla is the only company who manufactures their EVs in California! This is insane,” Musk wrote on X, which he also owns.

BENTLEY PUSHES BACK ALL-EV LINEUP TIMELINE TO 2035

Those buying or leasing Tesla vehicles accounted for about 42% of the state’s rebates, The Associated Press reported, citing data from the California Air Resources Board.

Newsom’s office told Fox Business Digital that the proposal is intended to foster market competition, and any potential market cap is subject to negotiation with the state Legislature. 

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“Under a potential market cap, and depending on what the cap is, there’s a possibility that Tesla and other automakers could be excluded,” the governor’s office said. “But that’s again subject to negotiations with the legislature.”

Newsom’s office noted that such market caps have been part of rebate programs since George W. Bush’s administration in 2005.

Democrat California Gov. Gavin Newsom

Newsom has pushed Californians to replace gas-powered vehicles with zero-emission vehicles. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images / Getty Images)

Federal tax credits for EVs are currently worth up to $7,500 for new zero-emission vehicles. President-elect Trump has previously vowed to end the credit.

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California has surpassed 2 million zero-emission vehicles sold, according to the governor’s office. The state, however, could face a $2 billion budget deficit next year, Reuters reported, citing a non-partisan legislative estimate released last week.

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STEVE HILTON: Five things California Democrats still don't get

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STEVE HILTON: Five things California Democrats still don't get


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Along with most other Democratic politicians in California, Gov. Gavin Newsom still doesn’t seem to understand what happened in the 2024 election.

For years, Newsom, along with California cronies like former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and, of course, Vice President Kamala Harris, bragged about their state being a “model for the nation.”

In one sense–not the one they intended, of course–that’s true. California became a model of what not to do.

CALIFORNIA VOTERS NARROWLY REJECT $18 MINIMUM WAGE; FIRST SUCH NO-VOTE NATIONWIDE SINCE 1996

The terrible combination of elitism and extremism that has defined Democratic policymaking in my home state for at least the last decade has delivered failure on every front.

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Despite having the highest taxes in the nation, despite the state’s budget nearly doubling in the last ten years (even as our population has been falling, in the exodus from blue state misrule), California has the highest rate of poverty in America. We have the highest housing costs, the lowest homeownership, highest gas and utility bills, and the worst business climate–ten years in a row.

This record of failure is exactly why Democrats lost so badly on November 5th. Voters had a clear choice: between more of the same Democrat policies that raised the cost of living and lowered their quality of life, or a return to the peace and prosperity of the Trump years.

GAVIN NEWSOM TO MEET WITH BIDEN AFTER VOWING TO PROTECT STATE’S PROGRESSIVE POLICIES AGAINST TRUMP ADMIN

In many ways, the contest between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris represented a battle between the ‘blue state model’ championed by Gavin Newsom in California, and the ‘red state model’ that has driven people and businesses out of California and into the arms of more welcoming states like Texas, Tennessee and Florida.

Of course, the red state model won and the blue state model was roundly rejected. 

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You would think that would make blue state leaders like Newsom pause and reflect. But the exact opposite has happened. Gavin Newsom immediately called a “special session” of the California legislature to “Trump-proof” his state.

What California really needs is “Newsom-proofing.” 

Instead, California Democrats are doubling down on the exact same agenda that was defeated across the country – including in California, which saw the biggest shift from Democrats to the GOP in decades.

Here are the five things California Democrats still don’t get:

1. People want results, not lectures

Democrats and their media sycophants can do all the self-righteous, sanctimonious bloviating they like about “our democracy” and “equity”, but in the end people want the basics of the American Dream: a good job that pays enough to raise your family in a home of your own in a safe neighborhood with a good school so your kids can have a better life than you. No amount of moral superiority from the people in charge will make up for that if they fail to provide it.

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2. Enough with the ‘climate’ extremism

“Climate” has become a religion for Democrats, and you see that especially clearly in California. But when you look at the main reason life is so unaffordable for working people, whether that’s gas prices, utility bills or housing costs, extreme climate policies are to blame. Working-class Americans can’t afford these ‘luxury beliefs.’

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3. Who cares about Hollywood? 

This election destroyed forever the myth that fancy celebrities can sway votes. Oprah, Beyonce, George Clooney, Taylor Swift…nobody cares! The new cultural powerhouses are the podcast hosts, comedians…the raw power of UFC is where it’s at, not the decadent Hollywood elite who won’t even turn up to support “their” candidate without a multimillion dollar paycheck.

Producer and actress Oprah Winfrey holds up Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris’ hand as she arrives onstage during a campaign rally on the Benjamin Franklin Parkway in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on November 4, 2024.  (Getty Images)

4. ‘Little tech’ beats Big Tech

Democrats may console themselves with the knowledge that California’s Big Tech monopolies are on their side. But in this election we saw the rise of what famed Silicon Valley investor Marc Andressen calls “little tech”, the upstarts and rebels who reject leftist groupthink. They got engaged in this election in a way we’ve never seen before. It’s a massive shift and will be a huge force for the future.

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5. Working class beats the elite 

Back in 2016, after the Brexit vote, and then Donald Trump’s victory here, shocked the world, I predicted that the Republican Party had the opportunity to become a “multiracial working class coalition.” Trump’s 2024 victory has delivered that — a revolutionary shift in our political landscape. The other part of my prediction? Democrats will be left as the party of the “rich, white and woke.”

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Unless Democrats come to terms with these realities and change course, they can expect to lose elections for years to come. The reaction in California – epicenter of today’s Democrat elite — shows that there is zero sign of this happening. 

They just don’t get it.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM STEVE HILTON

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California proposes its own EV buyer credit — which could cut out Elon Musk's Tesla

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California proposes its own EV buyer credit — which could cut out Elon Musk's Tesla


  • Gov. Gavin Newsom plans to revive California’s EV rebate if Trump ends the federal tax credit.
  • But Tesla, the largest maker of EVs, would be excluded under the proposal.
  • Elon Musk criticized Tesla’s potential exclusion from the rebate.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom is preparing to step in if President-elect Donald Trump fulfills his promise to axe the federal electric-vehicle tax credit — but one notable EV maker could be left out.

Newsom said Monday if the $7,500 federal tax credit is eliminated he would restart the state’s zero-emission vehicle rebate program, which was phased out in 2023.

“We will intervene if the Trump Administration eliminates the federal tax credit, doubling down on our commitment to clean air and green jobs in California,” Newsom said in a statement. “We’re not turning back on a clean transportation future — we’re going to make it more affordable for people to drive vehicles that don’t pollute.”

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The rebates for EV buyers would come from the state’s Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund, which is funded by polluters of greenhouse gases under a cap-and-trade program, according to the governor’s office.

But Tesla’s vehicles could be excluded under the proposal’s market-share limitations, Bloomberg News first reported.

The governor’s office confirmed to Business Insider that the rebate program could include a market-share cap which could in turn exclude Tesla or other EV makers. The office did not share details about what market-share limit could be proposed and also noted the proposal would be subject to negotiations in the state legislature.

A market-share cap would exclude companies whose sales account for a certain amount of total electric vehicle sales. For instance, Tesla accounted for nearly 55% off all new electric vehicles registered in California in the first three quarters of 2024, according to a report from the California New Car Dealers Association. By comparison, the companies with the next highest EV market share in California were Hyundai and BMW with 5.6% and 5% respectively.

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Tesla sales in California, the US’s largest EV market, have recently declined even as overall EV sales in the state have grown. Though the company still accounted for a majority of EV sales in California this year as of September, its market share fell year-over-year from 64% to 55%.

The governor’s office said the market-share cap would be aimed at promoting competition and innovation in the industry.

Elon Musk, who has expressed support for ending the federal tax credit, said in an X post it was “insane” for the California proposal exclude Tesla.

The federal electric vehicle tax credit, which was passed as part of the Biden administration’s Inflation Reduction Act in 2022, provides a $7,500 tax credit to some EV buyers.

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Musk, who is working closely with the incoming Trump administration, has expressed support for ending the tax credit. He’s set to co-lead an advisory commission, the Department of Government Efficiency, which is aimed at slashing federal spending.

The Tesla CEO said on an earnings call in July that ending the federal tax credit might actually benefit the company.

“I think it would be devastating for our competitors and for Tesla slightly,” Musk said. “But long-term probably actually helps Tesla, would be my guess.”

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BI’s Graham Rapier previously reported that ending the tax credit could help Tesla maintain its strong standing in the EV market by slowing its competitors growth.

Prior to the EV rebate proposal, Newsom has already positioned himself as a foil to the incoming Trump administration. Following Trump’s election win the governor called on California lawmakers to convene for a special session to discuss protecting the state from Trump’s second term.

“The freedoms we hold dear in California are under attack — and we won’t sit idle,” Newsom said in a statement at the time.





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