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Seattle Mariners at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

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Seattle Mariners at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions


The Seattle Mariners (53-51) and Arizona Diamondbacks (56-49) wrap up their 3-game series in Phoenix Sunday. First pitch from Chase Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Seattle lost 4-3 on Saturday and are 2-3 on their 6-game road trip. The Mariners have averaged nearly 6 runs per game (RPG) over that span. They are 17-17 against the National League on the season.

The Diamondbacks moved to 2-3 on their 6-game homestand. Despite the win, Arizona has struggled to stop their opponents from scoring, allowing 6 RPG over this stretch. They are 28-27 at Chase Field.

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Mariners at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Merrill Kelly

Castillo (6-7, 3.02 ERA) will make his 22nd start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 125 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 9 K in a 4-3 loss at the Minnesota Twins Monday
  • Last start vs Diamondbacks: No-decision, 7 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 7-4 road loss on June 15, 2022 (as a member of the Cincinnati Reds)
  • 2023 away splits: 1-4, 3.38 ERA (48 IP, 18 ER), .231 OBA in 8 games.

Kelly (9-4, 3.12 ERA) will make his 18th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 101 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 3-1 loss vs. St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday
  • Has never started against the Mariners
  • 2023 home splits: 3-3, 3.44 ERA (55 IP, 21 ER), .178 OBA in 9 starts

Mariners at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

BET THE DIAMONDBACKS (+100).

I like the Diamondbacks to win just their 2nd series since the All-Star break on Sunday. Seattle is 2-3 on this road trip and 2-games under .500 away from T-Mobile Park on the season.

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Castillo has struggled in July, winning just 1 game in his 5 starts this month.  Kelly has a 2.51 ERA over his last 4 home starts.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Of course, I would like the Diamondbacks getting the run and a half but not at -165. I also don’t think the Mariners win this game by 2 runs. I’d rather look at the total in this game.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Both games in this series have been under so far and you’ve got the best pitching matchup of the series. This feels like it’s going to be a pitching duel. Both of these starters have allowed over 3 ER just once in each of their last 9 starts.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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Arizona

3-star offensive lineman Michael Langi commits to Arizona, first pledge of 2026 class

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3-star offensive lineman Michael Langi commits to Arizona, first pledge of 2026 class


Arizona has been on a tear this month, picking up 13 commitments in June for its 2025 recruiting class after entering with only two. And now it already has one for the following class.

3-star offensive lineman Michael Langi committed to the UA on Tuesday night, giving the Wildcats their first pledge of the 2026 class nearly 18 months before those recruits could officially sign.

he 6-foot-3, 265-pound Langi, who goes by ‘Bobo’ rather than Michael, is ranked by 247Sports as the No. 509 player in the 2026 class. He’s also considered the No. 41 interior offensive lineman in the country and the No. 79 prospect from California.

Langi, who was offered by Arizona in January, picked the Wildcats over offers from ASU, Colorado and Penn State, among others. He is the younger brother of 3-star offensive lineman Peter Langi, a 2025 recruit whom the UA had in for an official visit last weekend.

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Both Langis play for Archbishop Riordan in San Francisco, the same school where Arizona recently got a commitment from 3-star offensive lineman Losipini Tupou. They are no relation to Sam Langi, who appeared in 21 games (with four starts) on the offensive line for the Wildcats from 2020-23.



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Former Baylor pitcher Collin McKinney commits to Arizona baseball

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Former Baylor pitcher Collin McKinney commits to Arizona baseball


In winning both the Pac-12 regular season and conference tournament titles, Arizona put up some of the best pitching numbers in the country and led the nation in a trio of categories.

The Kevin Vance effect was real, and it’s made the Wildcats a desirable destination for pitchers hoping to improve their pro prospects.

Arizona has landed a second potential weekend starter from the NCAA transfer portal, getting a commitment Tuesday from former Baylor right-hander Collin McKinney.

The 6-foot-5 Texas native comes to Tucson with three years of eligibility, but with a big 2025 season could get drafted. He’s coming off a 2024 campaign as a redshirt freshman (he sat out 2023 due to injury) in which he started 14 games for Baylor and was 3-6 with a 6.70 ERA.

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McKinney struck out 60 batters in 49.2 innings but also walked 35 and allowed 11 home runs. He had back-to-back 10-strikeout performances midway through the season but didn’t go more than four innings in any of his final seven starts.

He is Arizona’s second portal pickup, both righties who have started throughout their college career. Last week the Wildcats landed ex-Rutgers RHP Christian Coppola.

Coppola is ranked by 64Analytics as the No. 30 transfer, while McKinney is No. 168. For perspective, none of the players Arizona has lost to the portal was ranked in the top 1,000.

The UA is likely to lose all three weekend starters with righties Clark Candiotti and Cam Walty graduating and lefty Jackson Kent expected to get drafted and start his pro career.



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Police: Horse in May crash that killed Arizona man was domesticated

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Police: Horse in May crash that killed Arizona man was domesticated


RENO, Nev. (KOLO) – Nevada State Police say the horse involved in a May crash that killed an Arizona man was domesticated.

On May 31, a 2008 Subaru Tribeca with three occupants was driving north of US 395 approaching the Red Rock off-ramp when it hit a horse in the road.

Of the three occupants, one, 19-year-old Wendem Herzog of Queen Creek, Arizona, succumbed to his injuries.

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