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Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions


The Arizona Diamondbacks (54-44) play the 2nd game of their 3-game series at the Cincinnati Reds (53-46) Saturday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead series 1-0

The Diamondbacks are 4-10 in their last 14 games and 2-5 on their current road trip — which began after the All-Star break. Arizona did take 2 of 3 at Atlanta earlier in the week but were unable to complete a 3-game sweep, losing 7-5 on Thursday. The Diamondbacks lost Friday’s opener as +100 underdogs vs. the Reds 9-6. Entering Saturday, Arizona is 3 games back of the NL West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Reds have won 3 straight to follow a 6-game losing streak. Rookie SS Matt McLain hit his 1st career grand slam in Friday’s win, helping the 2nd-place Reds move within 1½ games of the NL Central-leading Milwaukee Brewers.

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Diamondbacks at Reds projected starters

TBD vs. LHP Brandon Williamson

Arizona hasn’t officially named its starting pitcher, but all signs point to rookie RHP Brandon Pfaadt (0-3, 9.82 ERA). The Louisville native, who has been up and down between the D-backs and Triple-A Reno, is expected to get called up Saturday for his 7th start of the season for the big-league club. Through the 6 starts, he has a 1.87 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings.

  • Last start for Arizona: Loss, 2 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 6-1 home loss to Tampa Bay Rays June 29
  • Last start for Reno: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 6-4 road win at Triple-A Las Vegas (A’s) Sunday
  • Last 2 starts for Arizona: 0-2, 17.47 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 15 H, 2 BB, 7 K

Williamson (1-2, 4.96 ERA), also a rookie, makes his 12th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 52 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 4-2 home loss to San Francisco Giants Monday
  • Reds have lost 3 of his last 4 outings, but are 7-4 in his 11 starts
  • Home splits: 0-1, 4.96 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 6 starts

Diamondbacks at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:32 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Reds -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-185) | Reds -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Diamondbacks at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

The trends don’t look good for Arizona. The Diamondbacks have lost 6 of their last 8 games and 10 of their last 14, while Pfaadt has struggled in the majors, allowing 5 or more earned runs in 4 of his 6 starts.

Meanwhile, the Reds have been very streaky recently. They won 6 of 7 games, then lost 6 in a row and now have won 3 straight. Despite an 0-1 showing in July, Williamson has been solid, posting a 2.57 ERA (14 IP, 4 ER) in 3 starts this month.

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The -120 line is not a bad bet at all to go with the Reds here, but their ATS record (mentioned below) makes the run line a good and more profitable bet.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds lead the majors with a 63-36 ATS mark and they enter Saturday on a 4-0 ATS win streak. They are 5-3 ATS since returning from the All-Star break.

The Diamondbacks are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games but are 54-44 ATS overall and 30-18 ATS on the road — the away ATS record ranks 4th in the majors.

All 3 of Pfaadt’s MLB starts were by multiple runs — 6-2, 7-2 and 6-1. Plus, Arizona’s last 7 losses overall have been by 2 or more runs.

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BET REDS -1.5 (+150).

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Over/Under

Several trends point to an UNDER winner, here.

Four of the Diamondbacks’ last 5 games have had more than 11 total runs.

None of Pfaadt’s last 5 starts have reached 11 runs.

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Four of Williamson’s last 6 outings have had fewer than 11 runs.

Seven of the Reds’ last 9 have not reached 11 runs

BET UNDER 10.5 (+100).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Arizona

3-star offensive lineman Michael Langi commits to Arizona, first pledge of 2026 class

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3-star offensive lineman Michael Langi commits to Arizona, first pledge of 2026 class


Arizona has been on a tear this month, picking up 13 commitments in June for its 2025 recruiting class after entering with only two. And now it already has one for the following class.

3-star offensive lineman Michael Langi committed to the UA on Tuesday night, giving the Wildcats their first pledge of the 2026 class nearly 18 months before those recruits could officially sign.

he 6-foot-3, 265-pound Langi, who goes by ‘Bobo’ rather than Michael, is ranked by 247Sports as the No. 509 player in the 2026 class. He’s also considered the No. 41 interior offensive lineman in the country and the No. 79 prospect from California.

Langi, who was offered by Arizona in January, picked the Wildcats over offers from ASU, Colorado and Penn State, among others. He is the younger brother of 3-star offensive lineman Peter Langi, a 2025 recruit whom the UA had in for an official visit last weekend.

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Both Langis play for Archbishop Riordan in San Francisco, the same school where Arizona recently got a commitment from 3-star offensive lineman Losipini Tupou. They are no relation to Sam Langi, who appeared in 21 games (with four starts) on the offensive line for the Wildcats from 2020-23.



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Former Baylor pitcher Collin McKinney commits to Arizona baseball

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Former Baylor pitcher Collin McKinney commits to Arizona baseball


In winning both the Pac-12 regular season and conference tournament titles, Arizona put up some of the best pitching numbers in the country and led the nation in a trio of categories.

The Kevin Vance effect was real, and it’s made the Wildcats a desirable destination for pitchers hoping to improve their pro prospects.

Arizona has landed a second potential weekend starter from the NCAA transfer portal, getting a commitment Tuesday from former Baylor right-hander Collin McKinney.

The 6-foot-5 Texas native comes to Tucson with three years of eligibility, but with a big 2025 season could get drafted. He’s coming off a 2024 campaign as a redshirt freshman (he sat out 2023 due to injury) in which he started 14 games for Baylor and was 3-6 with a 6.70 ERA.

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McKinney struck out 60 batters in 49.2 innings but also walked 35 and allowed 11 home runs. He had back-to-back 10-strikeout performances midway through the season but didn’t go more than four innings in any of his final seven starts.

He is Arizona’s second portal pickup, both righties who have started throughout their college career. Last week the Wildcats landed ex-Rutgers RHP Christian Coppola.

Coppola is ranked by 64Analytics as the No. 30 transfer, while McKinney is No. 168. For perspective, none of the players Arizona has lost to the portal was ranked in the top 1,000.

The UA is likely to lose all three weekend starters with righties Clark Candiotti and Cam Walty graduating and lefty Jackson Kent expected to get drafted and start his pro career.



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Police: Horse in May crash that killed Arizona man was domesticated

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Police: Horse in May crash that killed Arizona man was domesticated


RENO, Nev. (KOLO) – Nevada State Police say the horse involved in a May crash that killed an Arizona man was domesticated.

On May 31, a 2008 Subaru Tribeca with three occupants was driving north of US 395 approaching the Red Rock off-ramp when it hit a horse in the road.

Of the three occupants, one, 19-year-old Wendem Herzog of Queen Creek, Arizona, succumbed to his injuries.

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