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Limited state revenue foreshadows fiscal tug-of-war in Alaska Legislature • Alaska Beacon

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Limited state revenue foreshadows fiscal tug-of-war in Alaska Legislature • Alaska Beacon


In a series of hearings this week within the Alaska State Capitol, public-school advocates from across the state presented hours of impassioned and often emotional testimony in favor of a bill that will sharply increase Alaska’s funding for public schools.

But a pair of cold-blooded financial hearings also showed that the request may have to compete with the Permanent Fund dividend and aid for aging state buildings.

In December, Gov. Mike Dunleavy proposed a $7.7 billion state budget for the fiscal year that starts June 1. 

That spending would require the state to spend $1.5 billion from savings, and it isn’t too dissimilar from what the governor has proposed in each of the past two years.

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In each of those years, the Legislature took the governor’s plan and slashed his proposed Permanent Fund dividend in order to avoid spending from savings.

The Legislature’s preferred dividend formula is called the 75-25, for the way it takes the annual transfer from the Alaska Permanent Fund to the state treasury, then divides it, 75% for services, and 25% for dividends.

“The last two years, the Legislature has put forward the 75-25 dividend and been able to have a balanced budget. This year, that is probably not enough,” Alexei Painter, director of the Legislative Finance Division, the Legislature’s budget analysis wing, told the Senate Finance Committee this week.

The problem is twofold: Lawmakers are preparing to spend more, and oil isn’t giving the state as much revenue as it used to.

When it comes to oil, the problem is one caused by success. State tax law allows oil companies to lower the amount they pay in production taxes through a deduction based on their operating expenses. 

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ConocoPhillips is spending hundreds of millions of dollars to develop the Willow project on federal land, and it can deduct its expenses from taxes it would otherwise pay this year. That makes it a money-loser for the state treasury in the next few years.

The nearby Pikka project is being developed by another company, which doesn’t currently produce oil. That company, Australia-based Santos, will be able to apply its deductions to future oil production, so even though the North Slope will be producing more oil, the state won’t be earning more money.

In the state Capitol, House Bill 69, an education-funding increase proposed by members of the state House, is expected to cost at least $300 million above what the governor has proposed spending on education. An official estimate isn’t yet available.

Add the cost of that legislation to already-expected cost increases, and there’s not enough money to go around, Painter told the Senate Finance Committee, then reiterated his comments to the House Finance Committee on Thursday.

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“Simply switching the dividend to 75-25 is not going to be enough to balance the budget this year. You’re going to have to either find other budget reductions, reduce the dividend further or explore other revenue options. You can’t just do that one thing and it’s solved, which has worked the last two years,” he said.

To date, no legislators have introduced any legislation proposing to significantly change state taxes. During the first six years of his administration, Dunleavy has vetoed every tax bill to reach his desk, and legislators have never overridden any of his vetoes.

Painter also warned both committees that the governor’s proposed budget doesn’t include enough to keep up with maintenance at state facilities.

Alaska has a maintenance backlog of more than $2 billion, and many state buildings were built during the oil boom of the 1970s and 1980s. That leaves many of them overdue for replacement or repair.

The problem may be worse than official reports indicate, Painter said, offering the Fairbanks Pioneer Home as an example.

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That building has a deferred maintenance list of a few million dollars, but it also needs a new roof and doesn’t meet federal standards for accessibility by handicapped people.

Replacing the building would cost $115 million, he said.

In the House Finance Committee on Thursday, Rep. Will Stapp, R-Fairbanks, asked Painter what would happen if average oil prices finished $10 below what the state is expecting in the coming years.

That would widen the expected deficit by $350 million to $400 million, Painter replied.

“Have you done any modeling on the 99-1 yet?” Stapp asked, jokingly referring to a dividend formula that would leave just 1% of the annual Permanent Fund transfer for dividends.

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“I don’t even think that would cover the costs of running the PFD program,” Painter said.

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Trump's cutbacks are a 'direct threat to Alaska's future,' legislative leaders say

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Trump's cutbacks are a 'direct threat to Alaska's future,' legislative leaders say


Leaders in the Alaska House and Senate say they’re deeply concerned about the impacts of federal staff purges and a forthcoming congressional budget reconciliation package that’s expected to extend tax cuts, stiffen immigration policy and vastly scale back federal spending.

In a letter to the state’s congressional delegation, Senate President Gary Stevens, R-Kodiak, and House Speaker Bryce Edgmon, I-Dillingham, say the two Trump administration priorities “endanger the economic prosperity and social well-being of Alaskans.”

“The time to sound the alarm is over. It is time to act,” Edgmon and Stevens wrote. “Please reach across the aisle and restore the checks and balances that our founding fathers envisioned.”

The Alaska Legislature’s two presiding officers say they’re concerned the recent House-passed Republican budget framework, which calls for $4.5 trillion in tax cuts and $2 trillion in spending cuts over 10 years, will leave Congress no choice but to slash programs like Medicaid, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, Head Start and Bypass Mail.

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“Even if half of what’s been proposed happens to Alaska, it is going to reverberate around the state in a way that we haven’t seen in many, many years,” Edgmon told reporters on Friday.

Medicaid is a particular concern for state lawmakers. The budget resolution from the U.S. House — a necessary step to avoid a filibuster in the Senate — charges the congressional committee overseeing Medicaid and Medicare with cutting $880 billion over 10 years.

Even if the committee cuts everything in its purview other than the two programs, it would still be more than $600 billion short of that goal, according to an analysis by the New York Times. Edgmon and Stevens said the plan could lead to the loss of more than $2 billion in federal funding at a time when the state is already facing hundreds of millions of dollars in structural deficits amid faltering oil revenue.

“Absorbing a $2 billion plus reduction in the return of federal funds to our state is not an option,” they wrote. “It is a direct threat to Alaska’s future, plain and simple.”

Stevens and Edgmon also decry the Trump administration’s moves to fire more than 1,000 newly hired or recently promoted federal workers, from fisheries researchers and to forest rangers. Data on exactly which jobs have been lost has been spotty — though union leaders say they expect all of the nearly 1,400 so-called “probationary” federal employees in the state to lose their jobs.

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Another leader of the largely Democratic coalition controlling the State House, Rep. Louise Stutes, R-Kodiak, said she’s concerned the firings will put everyday Alaskans in danger, pointing to agencies like the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and its subsidiary, the National Weather Service.

“It’s horrifying for the safety of our fishermen,” she said. “As we all know, that’s one of the most dangerous endeavors or professions that there is, and to reduce the safety factor even more is just unconscionable.”

In their letter, Edgmon and Stevens also say a freeze on millions in planned energy infrastructure spending threatens to derail important projects, including $130 million planned for rural Alaska.

“These modernization projects are life-sustaining in parts of the state where fuel can cost over $20 per gallon,” they wrote.

Some Republican state lawmakers, though, say leaders are overreacting. Senate Minority Leader Mike Shower, R-Wasilla, pointed to statements from congressional leaders promising to avoid sweeping cuts to aid programs. He says for now, it’s all speculation — after all, at this point, Congress hasn’t laid out the specifics.

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“First of all, the process is just starting,” he said. “Anybody who says anything about what’s going to happen or how it’s going to take place, or what’s going to be cut, is pure speculation at this point.”

As for the federal firings, Shower said he supports Trump and billionaire Elon Musk’s efforts to shrink the footprint of the federal government. He said he’s optimistic that even if the cuts go too far at first, critical jobs will be filled.

“This is, maybe, the process of ripping the Band-Aid off a little bit, and it’s painful, but we may have to look at rebalancing when it’s over,” he said. “It’s going to be really a painful dip here, as they kind of basically go through with a sledgehammer, and then maybe it’s time to come back in with a scalpel after that and start (saying), ‘OK, now, what do we really need?’”

But to Stutes, that rings hollow. She said she’s worried that even if the jobs come back, the people who filled them won’t.

She said she’s worried the cuts will exacerbate the state’s decade-plus-long struggle with outmigration as young people and families seek greener pastures elsewhere.

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“That’s great to say, as these cars are headed down the highway,” Stutes said. “You think it was bad before?”



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Alaska Zoo celebrates International Polar Bear Day

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Alaska Zoo celebrates International Polar Bear Day


ANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) – The Alaska Zoo celebrated International Polar Bear Day Thursday.

The zoo’s two polar bears — Cranbeary and Kova — were treated with toys and special treats as a surprise.

The day is used to honor polar bears and support conservation efforts around the world. That includes raising awareness about things like warming temperatures, and shrinking sea ice.

“Today is just a special day where we try to get people interested in polar bears and use it as an educational time to teach about issues about polar bears and just getting to know stuff about polar bears,” Alaska Zoo Educational Director Rich Capitan said.

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International Polar Bear Day is every Feb. 27 and marks the time period when polar bear mothers and cubs are typically sleeping in their dens.

The day was created by the nonprofit organization Polar Bear International in 2011.

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Alaska lawmakers seek public sector pension reform over persistent opposition

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Alaska lawmakers seek public sector pension reform over persistent opposition


The Alaska State Capitol in Juneau on January 21, 2025. (Marc Lester / ADN)

Alaska House Majority Leader Chuck Kopp says that if all goes as planned, the House will vote next month on a new public pension.

A bill to reinstate a defined benefit system for Alaska’s public workers — after nearly two decades without one — “will be over in the Senate’s possession before the end of March,” Kopp said this week.

Alaska’s public employees — including teachers, peace officers, local government workers and all state workers — have been without a pension since 2006, when the state instead adopted a 401(k) style retirement plan in an effort to save money.

Unions and groups representing the state’s public employees say that the change has reduced Alaska’s retention of experienced workers.

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“There is one constant theme, and that is high turnover, high vacancies, loss of institutional knowledge, loss of training dollars, and an inability to effectively deliver services because they’re constantly in a training mode,” Kopp, a South Anchorage Republican, told the House Finance Committee this month.

Kopp is working to advance legislation that was first passed by the Senate bipartisan majority more than a year ago. Last year’s Republican-led House majority refused to consider the bill, blocking its progress. But the change in House leadership this year has renewed hope that the measure could pass — despite persistent resistance from some Republican lawmakers.

Ketchikan Republican Rep. Jeremy Bynum, who previously managed the Ketchikan public utilities and served on the Ketchikan Borough Assembly, said that in his experience, retirement isn’t the driving factor in public-sector workers’ decisions to leave the state.

“There’s no doubt that retirement was part of the conversation about why somebody maybe took employment, why they might be leaving employment, but it wasn’t the primary factor. The biggest issues that drove employees where I was at away, was the cost of living in the community,” said Bynum. “It was the remoteness of being in Alaska.”

Opponents of the bill also cite its potential cost as a deterrent. They refer to the unfunded liability the state accrued before 2006, when bad actuarial information left the state with an underfunded retirement plan. The state is still paying off the liability. Though numerous measures were implemented to avoid similar situations moving forward, including requirements for additional actuarial analyses, the risk of future unfunded liabilities looms.

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The exact price of the new proposed plan isn’t known — a full actuarial analysis is underway — but Kopp said he expects the annual cost to be less than what the state currently spends on recruitment and retention efforts to fill critical vacancies, which amounts to tens of millions of dollars per year.

The state has kept critical positions filled, including corrections officers and troopers, in large part by approving annual retention bonuses on top of employees’ regular pay. Still, turnover has led to increased costs for training and filling positions.

“The lost training dollars to the state eclipse the cost of what we are going to be proposing here,” Kopp told lawmakers in a House hearing.

Opposition to defined benefits proposals in Alaska has been shaped in large part by the advocacy of Americans for Prosperity — a national conservative group funded by the billionaire Koch family — which has for years recommended shrinking or eliminating public spending on pension plans across the country.

Americans for Prosperity-Alaska has launched an ad campaign claiming that the cost of the plan could force the state to implement a broad income or sales tax. Lawmakers have said no such taxes are under consideration this year.

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Bethany Marcum, director of AFP-Alaska, previously worked for Gov. Mike Dunleavy when he was a state legislator. She said that “the expectation of savings to recruitment and retention is being greatly overestimated” and pointed to a recent analysis from the Reason Foundation that argued Alaska is “doing a better job at retaining public workers than most states.”

The Reason Foundation, which produces policy papers on retirement systems in various states, serves as AFP-Alaska’s “pension partner,” Marcum said — providing analysis to back the advocacy group’s campaigns.

Data recently compiled by the Reason Foundation showed that Alaska’s state employee turnover rate was lower than the national public sector average, but according to figures — provided to the writers by the Dunleavy administration — Alaska’s turnover rate rose rapidly between 2012 and 2022 — from 11.5% to 17.5%.

Ryan Frost, a researcher with the Reason Foundation, said it was possible that the sharp increase in Alaska’s turnover rate was due to the elimination of Alaska’s pre-2006 pension plan.

“That makes sense to me,” said Frost, who lives in Washington state. “I haven’t looked underneath the hood to see what the (defined benefit) turnover has looked like in Alaska.”

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In 2012, 36% of Alaska’s state workers were not eligible for a pension. By 2022, that figure had gone up to 73%. Recent data from the state shows that only 37% of employees who are ineligible for a pension remain employed by the state more than six years.

Kopp called AFP-Alaska’s messaging “propaganda.”

“They have a right to argue for their interest, but they are very focused on supporting the present annuity financial services industry,” said Kopp.

Marcum said AFP-Alaska’s opposition to the defined benefit plan is driven “purely from a principled policy perspective.”

Fairbanks Republican Rep. Frank Tomaszewski proposed this year alternate retirement legislation modeled after 2023 recommendations from the Reason Foundation.

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Tomaszewski’s bill would make the existing defined contribution plan more generous exclusively for public safety workers, who tend to have shorter careers. It would also expand access to the state’s Supplemental Benefit System, which is meant to replace Social Security income, and is not currently open to Alaska educators.

Tomaszewski said he favors a defined contribution plan because it allows beneficiaries to will their accrued retirement funds to their children. A defined benefit pension ensures that the beneficiary and their spouse continue to receive monthly retirement income for as long as they live, but once the beneficiary and their spouse die, funds cannot be transferred to their surviving descendants.

Tomaszewski said that he liked the idea of ensuring that children of public sector workers have access to an inheritance.

“That money is actually yours, in your account. You can take it with you, or you can will to your children,” he said.

In the Senate, Majority Leader Cathy Giessel, an Anchorage Republican, has already said she plans to take up the defined benefit bill once it is considered by the House.

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The bipartisan majority in the Senate is expected to support the bill, but one of its members has remained opposed. Sen. Bert Stedman, a Sitka Republican, instead favors expansion of the Supplemental Benefit System.

“If we want to improve the teachers’ retirement, number one is they should be in SBS,” said Stedman.

By his calculation, allowing teachers to contribute to SBS would give them hundreds of thousands of dollars in additional retirement income.

Alaska is the only state that offers teachers neither a defined benefit pension, nor access to Social Security income.

The system requires both employees and employers — meaning school districts and local governments — to contribute 6.13% of participating employees’ salaries to the system. If the proposal were adopted, the cost to local employers would be in the tens of millions.

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“We would have to increase the school districts’ funding to incorporate something like this,” said Tomaszewski.

In an effort to persuade reticent Republicans, proponents of the defined benefits plans repeatedly describe its lack of generosity. Unlike the pre-2006 system, employees’ retirement contributions could be raised in response to underfunding in the plan; employees would get a Health Savings Account instead of access to state-sponsored health insurance; and there would be no cost-of-living adjustment for retirees who choose to stay in Alaska.

“This is structurally so different that it’s barely recognizable. It would be like comparing a rotten apple on an old tree to a robust pear on a living tree. They’re both fruit, but it ends there,” Kopp told the House Finance Committee in a hearing for House Bill 78.

Still, Kopp said this “fiscally conservative” bill will be an improvement on the state’s current defined contribution system, which leaves most public sector workers ill-prepared for retirement and without any incentive to remain in the state beyond the initial five-year vesting period, according to an analysis conducted last year by the state’s retirement division.

“I’m actually glad that people recognize this bill is not generous,” said Kopp. “It’s almost incredible that our current system is so bad that our employee groups across the state uniformly support this bill as being better than what we have.”

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Daily News reporter Sean Maguire contributed to this report.





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