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Predicting where the top 15 remaining MLB free agents will sign: Who lands Sasaki?

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Predicting where the top 15 remaining MLB free agents will sign: Who lands Sasaki?

The Mets signed Juan Soto to a record-breaking $765 million deal, the Yankees landed Max Fried with a $218 million deal, and the Diamondbacks once again shocked the baseball world, adding ace Corbin Burnes on a $210 million pact.

However, there are still several teams — including the Royals, Twins, Padres, Mariners and Cardinals — that haven’t spent a single penny in free agency, although that could change soon. The free-agent market is still filled with talent. So where will these players sign?

Here are the top 15 remaining free agents and my predictions on where each will land.

(WAR is according to Baseball Reference. All statistics are from the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.)  


1. Roki Sasaki, RHP

Age: 23
WAR: N/A
ERA: 2.35 IP: 111 SO: 129 (NPB stats)
Agent: Wasserman

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Seven teams have reportedly met with Sasaki and his agent, Joel Wolfe of Wasserman, in Los Angeles, including the Dodgers, Padres, Cubs, Yankees, Mets, Rangers and Giants. Other teams still could be added to the list, but in all probability Sasaki is probably going to sign with one of those seven.

Of that group, most in the industry believe he’ll end up signing with the Dodgers. However, I’m not in that camp because I think endorsement deals with Japanese companies are going to be important for him financially since he won’t be eligible for arbitration for three years or eligible for free agency for at least six years. In Los Angeles, he’d be in the shadow of both Shohei Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, lessening his endorsement ceiling. And there are other reasons I don’t believe he’s destined for the Dodgers.

(Sasaki can only be signed through each team’s international bonus pools, which range from roughly $5.1 million to $7.5 million.)

I don’t think the Giants make a lot of sense for him based on their weak farm system and mediocre major-league roster. I view the Rangers as a long shot, though they would be a good fit because of their strong pitching room and leadership group. The Cubs also seem like a stretch to me. That leaves both New York teams and the Padres.

Wolfe recently provided an update on the 23-year-old star’s unusual free agency, but none of us know how this ends or what exactly Sasaki is thinking. His favorite player growing up was Masahiro Tanaka, which would lead me to guess he was at least somewhat of a Yankees fan. He considers Yu Darvish a godfather-type influence, and the Padres veteran mentored Sasaki during Japan’s championship run in the 2023 World Baseball Classic. Therefore, for no other reason, I’ll predict he signs with either the Yankees or San Diego.

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Prediction: Yankees or Padres

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Houston pivoted away from Alex Bregman. Where will he end up? (Alex Slitz / Getty Images)

2. Alex Bregman, 3B

Age: 30
WAR: 4.1
OPS+: 118
Agent: Boras Corporation

I was surprised Bregman reportedly turned down six years and $156 million to stay in Houston, because I thought he and his family were happy there and I didn’t think he’d necessarily take the most money and years in free agency. However, when he spurned the Astros’ offer, they pivoted, trading for third baseman Isaac Paredes and signing first baseman Christian Walker, which closed the door on a possible return to Houston.

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I think Bregman would fit nicely at third base with the Mets, who could move Mark Vientos to first base. But there doesn’t seem to be much traction there. The Mariners could really use him at third base, but they don’t seem to want to spend any money. I also think the Phillies — and their ballpark — could work well for him, but they’d have to trade Alec Bohm first, and by all indications they never came close to making a swap.

That leaves the Tigers and Blue Jays as the most likely landing spots for Bregman, but neither one seems ideal. So he might want to sign a shorter deal with a higher average annual value and opt-outs, then look to go back on the free-agent market next offseason or after the 2026 season.

That said, Boston is my favorite spot for Bregman, who will turn 31 in March. They need a right-handed power pull hitter, and he would do significant damage to the Green Monster in left field. They could move Rafael Devers to first base and put Triston Casas at DH or they could just put Bregman at second base full-time. His leadership and ability to grind at-bats would help this young roster. He could be the final piece in getting the Red Sox back to the postseason.

Prediction: Red Sox

3. Anthony Santander, RF

Age: 30
WAR: 2.9
OPS+: 134
Agent: GSE Worldwide

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The Santander market has been strangely quiet, but all indications are he’ll end up on a non-contending team and get his long-term contract. There is a lot of buzz in the industry about the Blue Jays being all-in on him, and they definitely need his 44-home run power in between Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette in their lineup. The Angels and Giants have also been said to have some level of interest.

Prediction: Blue Jays

4. Pete Alonso, 1B

Age: 30
WAR: 2.6
OPS+: 123
Agent: Boras Corporation

The staredown between the Mets’ brass and Scott Boras over an Alonso contract is starting to become epic. Who blinks first — owner Steve Cohen and president of baseball operations David Stearns or the superstar agent? The Mets do not want to move beyond their last offer and don’t think they have to because the first-base market has dried up. There are not a lot of options left for Alonso after the Yankees traded for Paul Goldschmidt, the Guardians signed Carlos Santana, the Diamondbacks traded for Josh Naylor and the Astros inked Christian Walker.

The Mariners would be a great fit, but they’re not in on any of the big free agents. The Angels have been mentioned as a possibility, but does anyone think they’d do another big — and potentially bad — contract for a 30-year-old power hitter after the Anthony Rendon, Josh Hamilton and Albert Pujols contracts all failed?

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The Giants might be the only other viable option. Signing Alonso to a three-year deal with a high AAV and opt-outs might make some sense for them if they can stomach losing the draft pick compensation. (Alonso was one of 12 players to turn down the qualifying offer.) Maybe Alonso would go that type of route and prove a point to the Mets in the process.

However, at the end of the day, I just can’t see the Polar Bear in another uniform — at least not this year.

Prediction: Mets

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5. Jack Flaherty, RHP

Age: 29
WAR: 3.1
ERA: 3.17 IP: 162 SO: 194
Agent: CAA Sports

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He’s the best starting pitcher left on the market, apart from Sasaki, and a potential difference-maker for a contending team. But Flaherty’s medical reports are going to determine whether he gets a long-term contract or has to take a similar deal to that of Walker Buehler, who signed a one-year, $21 million contract with the Red Sox.

I haven’t heard about Flaherty being connected much with the Braves, but I think that would be an ideal match for him. They lost Max Fried and Charlie Morton in free agency. Spencer Strider, who is recovering from internal-brace elbow surgery, won’t be ready for Opening Day. They have a lot of strong young arms for the back of their rotation but could really use another veteran.

I’ve heard a reunion with the Tigers is not out of the question. Flaherty pitched well for them last season, posting a 2.95 ERA over 18 starts before the trade deadline deal to the Dodgers. Other teams that have been linked to him include the Cubs, Giants and Blue Jays.

Prediction: Braves

6. Tanner Scott, LHP

Age: 30
WAR: 4.0
ERA: 1.75 SV: 22 IP: 72 SO: 84
Agent: MVP Sports Group

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The most-impactful closer on the market has yet to sign and teams are lining up for him but waiting for the asking price to drop. The Red Sox are the clear front-runners for Scott. Their chief baseball officer, Craig Breslow, was a left-handed reliever in his playing days and seems obsessed with corralling lefty pitchers: He’s already signed three of them in free agency (Patrick Sandoval, Aroldis Chapman, Justin Wilson) and acquired two more via trades (Garrett Crochet, Jovani Moran). Red Sox manager Alex Cora prefers a single closer and Scott is the best one available.

The Blue Jays and Giants are also strong candidates to sign Scott as both could use an upgrade at the closer position. Other possible destinations include the Dodgers, Rangers and Diamondbacks.

Prediction: Red Sox


Jurickson Profar had a career year for the Padres, but is a reunion in the cards? (David Frerker / Imagn Images)

7. Jurickson Profar, LF

Age: 31
WAR: 3.6
OPS+: 134
Agent: MVP Sports Group

Profar was one of the best under-the-radar signings last offseason, when San Diego inked him for a base salary of $1 million. He rewarded them by slashing .280/.380/.459 with 24 home runs, 29 doubles and 10 stolen bases and made his first All-Star team. He’d like to return to San Diego but wants a three-year deal and I’m not sure if that will fit in the Padres’ tight budget.

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I think the Braves would be a great match for Profar, but for some reason they seem satisfied with the combination of Jarred Kelenic and Bryan De La Cruz competing for time in left field. The Red Sox have been mentioned as a possibility too. But, to me, the Padres are by far the best fit for both the player and team, though he’ll likely have to drop his expectations and agree to a deal that works for both sides if he wants to remain in San Diego.

Prediction: Padres

8. Kirby Yates, RHP

Age: 37
WAR: 3.3
ERA: 1.17 SV: 33 IP: 61 2/3 SO: 85
Agent: Beverly Hills Sports Council

Yates might have to wait until Scott signs, then get with one of the teams that misses out on him. A return to the Rangers is possible, a move north of the border to Toronto makes sense, and the Dodgers are always looking for high-leverage relievers. The Braves really missed him last year, the Reds could use him to replace Fernando Cruz, whom they traded to the Yankees, and the Royals could surprise here too.

However, I like Arizona for Yates. After the splash signing of Burnes and trading for All-Star first baseman Josh Naylor, why not ink Yates to bookend their offseason?

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Prediction: Diamondbacks

9. Ha-Seong Kim, SS

Age: 29
WAR: 2.6
OPS+: 96
Agent: Boras Corporation

After season-ending shoulder surgery, Kim has discovered his free-agent value isn’t what he had hoped. He’ll need to sign a short-term deal, show that he’s healthy next year and try to replicate his 5.8 WAR season from 2023.

The Giants had interest in Kim until they were able to land Willy Adames in free agency. Now, I think he’d fit great with the Red Sox, who could then keep Trevor Story at second base, allowing Marcelo Mayer and Kristian Campbell another year of development at Triple A.

However, the best team for Kim, without a doubt, is still the Padres. They also are a much better team with him at shortstop and Xander Bogaerts at second base than if they have to play Bogaerts at shortstop.

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Prediction: Padres

10. Carlos Estévez, RHP

Age: 32
WAR: 2.1
ERA: 2.45 SV: 26 IP: 55 SO: 50
Agent: Premier Talent Sports and Entertainment

Like Yates, Estévez probably has to wait until Scott signs before he can find his next team. I think the Cubs, who need to build up their bullpen, are the best fit for him. They could use the strike-throwing power righty in high-leverage spots late in games. Teams such as the Blue Jays, Rangers, Red Sox and Giants also make sense for Estévez, who logged 26 saves between the Phillies and Angels last year.

Prediction: Cubs

11. Jose Quintana, LHP

Age: 35
WAR: 2.5
ERA: 3.75 IP: 170 1/3 SO: 135
Agent: Wasserman

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Quintana still knows how to win and keep hitters off-balance. He gave the Mets 170 1/3 innings last season, going 10-10 with a 3.75 ERA over 31 starts. His results have always been better than his raw stuff thanks to his command in and out of the zone.

He’d be a solid signing for the Royals as a rotation replacement for Brady Singer, whom they traded to the Reds in November. Although the Royals claim they’re fine moving Kris Bubic to the rotation to replace Singer, they don’t have much starting pitching depth and they’ll miss the 179 2/3 innings Singer provided last year. Quintana, who turns 36 in January, is the perfect fit. The Giants, Tigers and Padres have also been linked with him.

Prediction: Royals


Jeff Hoffman made the All-Star team in 2024. Will he be a starter or reliever this year? (Tim Heitman / Imagn Images)

12. Jeff Hoffman, RHP

Age: 31
WAR: 2.0
ERA: 2.17 SV: 10 IP: 66 1/3 SO: 89
Agent: CAA Sports

Hoffman wants to follow in the footsteps of Clay Holmes, who is attempting to transition from the bullpen to the rotation. Holmes signed a three-year, $38 million deal with the Mets and that’s what Hoffman thinks he deserves. However, he hasn’t been offered that yet.

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I’m told several teams like the idea of signing him and making him a starter, while other teams would prefer to keep Hoffman, who has 50 career starts, in the pen if they acquire him. Hoffman, who turns 32 this week, is coming off two stellar seasons for the Phillies. He posted a 2.41 ERA over 54 appearances in 2023 and backed that up with a 2.17 ERA over 68 appearances last year. A return to Philly would probably be best for Hoffman, but he would not get a chance to start with them. The Braves, Red Sox, Rays, Royals, Tigers, Astros and Nationals would all be solid landing spots.

Prediction: Nationals

13. Nick Pivetta, RHP

Age: 31
WAR: 1.8
ERA: 4.14 IP: 145 2/3 SO: 172
Agent: CAA Sports

I was shocked when Pivetta turned down the $21.05 million qualifying offer from the Red Sox, for two reasons: 1) I don’t think he’ll get close to that on the open market, and 2) tying himself to draft pick compensation weakens his value even more.

Because of that, he’s one of the players who might have to wait a while before finding his next home. The New York Post reported in December that the Reds had checked in on him, but after they signed Nick Martinez to the qualifying offer and traded for Singer, I can’t imagine them actually playing on Pivetta. One team that could make sense to salvage his offseason is the Blue Jays, who have struggled to find players willing to take their free-agent offers. Pivetta, who has a career 4.76 ERA over eight seasons, will turn 32 in February.

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Prediction: Blue Jays

14. Alex Verdugo, LF

Age: 28
WAR: 0.8
OPS+: 83
Agent: MVP Sports Group

Verdugo was the starting left fielder for the American League champion Yankees but had a subpar year, batting just .233/.291/.356 with 13 home runs. He’s a good defender in left field, grinds day in and day out, and is respected in the clubhouse because of the edge with which he plays. If the Padres aren’t able to bring back Profar, they could pivot to Verdugo. Otherwise, he might have to accept a role as a fourth outfielder somewhere. The Giants, Pirates and Diamondbacks could make a depth play for him.

Prediction: Padres (if they don’t re-sign Profar)

15. Justin Turner, 1B/DH

Age: 40
WAR: 1.5
OPS+: 114
Agent: Vayner Sports

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Turner turned 40 in November and wants to keep playing — and based on last year’s performance, he still has something left in the tank. He slashed .259/.354/.383 (114 OPS+) with 11 home runs. His leadership qualities are particularly valuable on a relatively young team. The Mariners, Guardians, Pirates and Diamondbacks are all logical fits for Turner to improve their benches. A return to Seattle might make the most sense based on the positive impact he had on the clubhouse after being traded by the Blue Jays at the deadline.

Prediction: Mariners

(Top photo of Roki Sasaki: The Yomiuri Shimbun via Associated Press) 

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Miami beats Ole Miss behind Carson Beck’s game-winning touchdown to reach CFP National Championship Game

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Miami beats Ole Miss behind Carson Beck’s game-winning touchdown to reach CFP National Championship Game

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The Miami Hurricanes are heading to the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, coming away with a narrow victory over Ole Miss, 31-27, in an all-time postseason contest. 

The Hurricanes will now await the winner of the other semifinal between the Indiana Hoosiers and Oregon Ducks to see who they will play on Jan. 19. But Miami will do so on their home turf, with the National Championship Game being played at Hard Rock Stadium – the site of their home games. 

The game began slowly for both teams, with only Miami getting on the scoreboard in the first quarter with a field goal on their 13-play opening drive. But the fireworks came out from there for the Rebels thanks to the speed of running back Kewan Lacy.

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Charmar Brown of the Miami (FL) Hurricanes celebrates a run in the first quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at State Farm Stadium on Jan. 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Steve Limentani/ISI Photos)

On just the second play of the second quarter, Lacy was off to the race, finding a seam and busting out a 73-yard touchdown run to go up 7-3 after the extra point.

But this game was back and forth for quite some time, including the ensuing Hurricanes drive as quarterback Carson Beck led the way on a 15-play touchdown series with a CharMar Brown rushing score from four yards out.

The game was deadlocked at 10 apiece when Beck decided to air it out to Keelan Marion, and it was worth the risk. Marion made the grab for a 52-yard touchdown to help Miami go up 17-13 at halftime.

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The third quarter was an odd one for both squads, as their opening drives resulted in a missed field goal apiece. Then, after Beck threw an interception, the Rebels were able to cut the lead to 17-16 in favor of the Hurricanes heading into the fourth quarter for the ages.

There was no absence of electric plays when it mattered most in the final 15 minutes, as Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss got his team downfield enough to take a 19-17 lead with a field goal.

But the speed of Malachi Toney changed the scoreboard for Miami in the best way possible, as he took a screen 36 yards to the house, capping a four-play, 75-yard answer drive for the Hurricanes right after Ole Miss took the lead.

Trinidad Chambliss of the Ole Miss Rebels celebrates a touchdown against the Miami Hurricanes in the second quarter during the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at the VRBO Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium on Jan. 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

With a 24-19 lead and five minutes left to play in the game, Chambliss and the Rebels’ offense had quite enough time to retake the lead. He did just that, finding trusty tight end Dae’Quan Wright for 24 yards to send the Rebels faithful ballistic.

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Ole Miss wanted to go for two in hopes of making it a three-point lead, and Chambliss came through again, finding a wide open Caleb Odom for the key score.

It was up to Beck and the Miami offense to keep the game alive with at least tying the game at 27 apiece. On a crucial third-and-10 just inside field goal range, Beck was confident with his pass to Marion to get well within range. Another pass to Marion made it first-and-goal, and it was clear Miami wasn’t trying to force overtime. They wanted to win it all.

How fitting was it that Beck, scanning the field, found a seam to his left and just sprinted for the colored paint to score the game-winner with 18 seconds left.

But things got fascinating at the end, with Ole Miss going 40 yards in just a few seconds to set up a Hail Mary for the win. Chambliss had the space to loft a pass to the end zone, and though it hit off the hand of a teammate, it landed incomplete for the Miami victory. 

Carson Beck of the Miami Hurricanes passes the ball against the Ole Miss Rebels in the first quarter during the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at the VRBO Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium on Jan. 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona.   (Chris Coduto/Getty Images)

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In the box score, Beck was 23-of-37 for 268 yards with his two passing touchdowns and an interception. Marion was a key player in the victory with seven catches for 114 yards, while Mark Fletcher Jr. set the tone in the ground game with 133 yards rushing on 22 carries. Toney also tallied 81 receiving yards for Miami.

For Ole Miss, Chambliss also went 23-of-37 for 277 yards with his touchdown to Wright, who finished with 64 yards on three grabs. De’Zhaun Stribling was five for 77 through the air, while Lacy rushed for 103 yards on 11 carries.

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Damien basketball team opens 24-0 lead, then holds off Etiwanda

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Damien basketball team opens 24-0 lead, then holds off Etiwanda

Junior guard Zaire Rasshan of Damien knows football. His father, Osaar, was a backup quarterback at UCLA from 2005-09. Rasshan played quarterback his freshman season at Damien until deciding basketball was his No. 1 sport.

So when Rasshan looked up at the scoreboard Thursday night at Etiwanda in the first quarter and saw the Spartans had scored the first 24 points, he had to think football.

“That was crazy,” he said. “That’s three touchdowns and a field goal.”

Damien (17-4, 2-0) was able to hold off Etiwanda 56-43 to pick up a key Baseline League road victory. Winning at Etiwanda has been a rarity for many teams through the years. But Damien’s fast start couldn’t have been any better. The Spartans didn’t miss any shots while playing good defense for their 24-0 surge. Etiwanda’s first basket didn’t come until the 1:38 mark of the first quarter.

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“When we play together, we can beat anyone,” Rasshan said.

Rasshan was a big part of the victory, contributing 23 points. Eli Garner had 14 points and 11 rebounds.

Etiwanda came in 18-1 and 1-0 in league. The Eagles missed 13 free throws, which prevented any comeback. The closest they got in the second half was within 11 points.

Damien’s victory puts it squarely in contention for a Southern Section Open Division playoff spot. The Spartans lost in the final seconds to Redondo Union in the Classic at Damien, showing they can compete with the big boys in coach Mike LeDuc’s 52nd season of coaching.

Rasshan is averaging nearly 20 points a game. He made three threes. And he hasn’t forgotten how to make a long pass, whether it’s with a football or basketball.

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Ole Miss staffer references Aaron Hernandez while discussing ‘chaotic’ coaching complications with LSU

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Ole Miss staffer references Aaron Hernandez while discussing ‘chaotic’ coaching complications with LSU

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The chaos between LSU coaches who left Ole Miss alongside Lane Kiffin but are still coaching the Rebels in the College Football Playoff is certainly a whirlwind.

Joe Judge, Ole Miss’ quarterbacks coach, has found himself in the thick of the drama — while he is not headed for Baton Rouge, he’s had to wonder who he will be working with on a weekly basis.

When asked this week about what it’s like to go through all the trials and tribulations, Judge turned heads with his answer that evoked his New England Patriots days.

 

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Aaron Hernandez sits in the courtroom of the Attleboro District Court during his hearing. Former New England Patriot Aaron Hernandez has been indicted on a first-degree murder charge in the death of Odin Lloyd in North Attleboro, Massachusetts, on Aug. 22, 2013. (Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

“My next-door neighbor was Aaron Hernandez,” Judge said, according to CBS Sports. “I know this is still more chaotic.”

Hernandez was found guilty of the 2013 murder of Odin Lloyd, which occurred just three years into his NFL career.

“If you watch those documentaries, my house is on the TV next door,” Judge added. “The detectives knocked on my door to find out where he was. I didn’t know. We just kind of talked to the organization. But it was obviously chaotic.”

Aaron Hernandez was convicted of the 2013 murder of semipro football player Odin Lloyd. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

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Judge, though, was able to compare the two situations to see how players can combat wild distractions.

“Those players that year handled that extremely well. Came out of that chaos, and we had some really good direction inside with some veterans and some different guys. You have something like that happen — how do you handle something like that? How do you deal with something like that? So you keep the focus on what you can handle, what you can control, which at that time was football for us, and we went through the stretch, and we were able to have success that year,” Judge said.

Judge also compared this scenario to the 2020 NFL season when he was head coach of the New York Giants, saying he would have “no idea” who would be available due to surprise positive COVID-19 tests.

Head coach Joe Judge of the New York Giants looks on during the second quarter against the Dallas Cowboys at MetLife Stadium. The game took place in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Dec. 19, 2021. (Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

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The Rebels face Miami in the Fiesta Bowl, the College Football Playoff Semifinal, on Thursday night.

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