Virginia
The Virginia counties where Republicans will need to regain ground in the governor’s race: From the Politics Desk
Welcome to the online version of From the Politics Desk, a newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail.
In today’s edition, Steve Kornacki breaks down the areas in Virginia that will be key for Republicans in next month’s gubernatorial election. Plus, Bridget Bowman speaks with Maine Gov. Janet Mills about her decision to jump into a major 2026 Senate race.
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— Adam Wollner
The Virginia counties where Republicans will need to regain ground in the governor’s race
Analysis by Steve Kornacki
When Republican Glenn Youngkin ran for governor of Virginia in 2021, Donald Trump was a former president who was keeping a relatively low profile. With minimal public attachment to Trump, Youngkin was able to turn back the clock in the state’s blue-trending suburban areas, reasserting much of the GOP’s pre-Trump strength and winning the election by 2 percentage points.
Four years later, Republicans are confronting a very different set of political conditions.
Trump, of course, is back in office, and like during his first term, he’s not that popular in Virginia. While he did make some notable gains just outside of Washington, D.C., he lost the state to Kamala Harris by 6 points last year and his approval rating sits at 41% in a recent statewide poll. And regardless of who the president is, Virginia has a history of siding against the White House party in its gubernatorial contests.
This helps explain why Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears has lagged behind Democrat Abigail Spanberger in the race to succeed Youngkin. The hope for Republicans now is that the fallout from the violent text messages from the Democratic nominee for attorney general, Jay Jones, reshapes the race in their favor.
Specifically, Earle-Sears will need traction with those anti-Trump voters who were willing to back Youngkin in 2021. This group of counties represents where Youngkin’s 2021 performance outpaced Trump’s 2024 performance by the widest margin.
Most of these counties sit on or near the I-95 corridor. Stafford, King George and Spotsylvania counties include the far reaches of the D.C. suburbs, where growth and new development mix with open space and rural communities. Chesterfield is a massive, suburban Richmond, and nearby Hanover and Goochland counties are experiencing significant new growth, too — as are York and James City counties in the eastern Tidewater area. Rockingham County in the Shenandoah Valley retains a strong rural and small-town character, but has seen growth spurred by transplants from northern Virginia.
These counties share a common link: They have high or growing concentrations of economically upscale white voters with college degrees, a demographic group that swung hard against Trump when he emerged in 2016. But before that, these voters had been far more amenable to Republican candidates. And in 2021, with an unpopular Democrat in President Joe Biden in the White House, many of them deemed Youngkin an acceptable option.
As you can see, Youngkin swept all nine counties, but Trump fared at least 11 net points worse in all of them, and lost three of them outright (Chesterfield, James City and Stafford). Even in a Republican bastion like Rockingham, Trump last year fell markedly short of Youngkin’s 2021 level.
For Republicans, Youngkin’s performance in 2021 represents a target that they’ll need to come awfully close to if Winsome-Sears is to have a chance.
More on this fall’s elections:
- New Jersey: The Garden State governor’s race will test whether Republicans can mobilize Trump’s base when he isn’t on the ballot, Bridget Bowman writes.
- New York City: New York Attorney General Letitia James delivered an impassioned speech last night in support of Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani in her first public appearance since her federal indictment, Zoë Richards reports. Mamdani also appeared publicly today with Gov. Kathy Hochul for the first time since she endorsed his candidacy last month, per Katherine Koretski and Maya Rosenberg.
- California: Former President Barack Obama appeared in an ad to urge California voters to back a November ballot initiative to redraw the state’s congressional district lines, Rebecca Shabad notes.
Maine Gov. Janet Mills jumps into the race against GOP Sen. Susan Collins
By Bridget Bowman
Maine Gov. Janet Mills announced today that she is running for the Senate, pitching herself as the Democratic Party’s best chance to beat Republican Sen. Susan Collins next fall — and saying she does not plan to serve more than one term if elected.
“I’ve won two statewide offices, and unlike other people in the primary right now, I’ve actually won public office, won elections,” Mills said in an interview with NBC News ahead of her launch.
“And I’ve stood up to Donald Trump, and I have delivered progress for Maine people when it comes to health care, clean energy, public health, education. And I’m willing to fight for that in the U.S. Senate,” she said.
Mills, a top recruit for Senate Democrats, said Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., encouraged her to run. But she will face a fight for her party’s nomination, with multiple candidates already in the race and making their own pitches for why they are best suited to defeat Collins, the only Republican senator from a state Kamala Harris won last year.
At least two of those Democratic candidates — oyster farmer and military veteran Graham Platner and former congressional aide Jordan Wood — have pledged to remain in the race. But brewery co-founder Dan Kleban announced that he was suspending his campaign and endorsing Mills, calling her “the right leader for this moment.”
Still, the contested primary also comes at a tense moment for the party, with some Democrats calling for a new generation of leaders. Mills, 77, acknowledged “age is a consideration.”
“Honestly, I would not plan to serve for more than one term,” she said. “But this time is vital, and this moment in our history is urgent and very troublesome. And I believe I’m the most qualified person for the seat, for the campaign, because I have run two statewide elections, and I have the energy and the wherewithal to do it.”
“It’s urgent that I take this on,” Mills added later. “I don’t think I could live with myself if I did not do this.”
Read more from Bridget →
🗞️ Today’s other top stories
- 🏅Kirk fallout: Trump posthumously awarded Charlie Kirk the Presidential Medal of Freedom. Read more →
- ⛔ Shutdown, Day 14: Both parties are bracing for a “long conflict” as the government shutdown hits the two-week mark, making it the fifth-longest in U.S. history. Read more →
- 🌍 Gaza ceasefire: Hamas returned the bodies of four hostages today, according to the Israel Defense Forces, as Trump warned the militant group that they must disarm. Read more →
- ➡️ Deportation agenda: An intensive immigration operation ordered by Trump has quickly transformed Broadview, Illinois, into the beating hot center of the anti-ICE resistance. Read more →
- ⚖️ SCOTUS watch: The Supreme Court rejected conservative conspiracy theorist Alex Jones’ last-ditch attempt to block an almost $1.5 billion defamation judgment he faces over false claims that the 2012 Sandy Hook school shooting was a hoax. Read more →
- 🎤 Pentagon press pushback: Five major broadcast news networks announced that they will not sign the Pentagon’s new press policy, joining several other media organizations that have objected to a set of rules that many journalists consider restrictive. Read more →
- Follow live politics updates →
That’s all From the Politics Desk for now. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Owen Auston-Babcock.
If you have feedback — likes or dislikes — email us at politicsnewsletter@nbcuni.com
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Virginia
Virginia Tech women overcome slow start to rally past Georgia Tech in ACC Tournament opener
DULUTH, Ga. (WDBJ/Hokie Sports) – Sixth-seeded Virginia Tech fought back from a 14-point deficit late in the first quarter, rallying for a 62-54 victory over No. 11 seed Georgia Tech in the second round of the 2026 Ally ACC Women’s Tournament Thursday evening.
The Hokies, who move to 23-8 overall on the season, earned their first ACC Tournament victory in the Megan Duffy era. Tech moves on to the quarterfinal round for the first time since 2024.
HOW IT HAPPENED
Virginia Tech faced a four-point deficit until Leila Wells (7:15) stepped up for a three-pointer to keep the Hokies within reach early. Her triple would be Tech’s only field goal until the final 40 seconds of the opening quarter. Carleigh Wenzel provided a late spark for the Hokies, getting down the lane (0:40) and hitting a basket (0:18) in the final minute to stop the run, but Georgia Tech carried a 17–7 lead into the second quarter.
Playing inspired, the Hokies sprinted out of the break for five straight points with layups from Samyha Suffren (9:50) and Mackenzie Nelson (9:28), along with a make at the stripe from Wenzel, to close to 17-12 at the 8:12 mark. The momentum continued to swing in Tech’s favor as it ripped off 15 straight points, a run ignited by Suffren’s (7:44) fast-break lay-in and capped by a Carys Baker (1:33) triple to give the Hokies a 27-19 lead. Free throws closed out the half for both sides as Virginia Tech headed into the locker room with a 29-23 edge. The Hokies forced six turnovers in the second period, scoring 10 points off the Yellow Jackets’ miscues.
Both sides traded baskets to kick off the second half before Tech knocked down consecutive makes from beyond the arc, the first from Wells (8:31) and the second from Nelson (7:59), to stretch the advantage to double figures, 37-27. It remained a back-and-forth game until Baker’s free throws with 3:35 remaining in the period gave the Hokies their largest lead of the contest at 48-37. Georgia Tech closed out the frame scoring six unanswered as the margin narrowed to 50-46 in favor of Tech at the end of the third.
The Yellow Jackets’ run continued into the fourth quarter as the score moved to 50-48 at the 9:26 mark. Virginia Tech rattled off seven consecutive points, including a three-pointer from Wenzel (7:08), to push ahead by nine with 4:44 remaining, 57-48. Suffren pulled up for a jumper outside the paint with just over a minute left in the contest, but Georgia Tech finished with a layup at the buzzer as Virginia Tech closed out the 62-54 victory.
GAME NOTES
- Virginia Tech won their first game as a six-seed in the ACC Tournament (1-0) and first against Georgia Tech (1-2) in program history
- The Hokies have now won four of their last five opening contests in the conference tournament
- Tech also earned their first ACC Tournament victory in the Megan Duffy era
- Virginia Tech controlled the glass, 41-36
- The Hokies held the Yellow Jackets to six points in the second quarter, matching the fewest by an opponent in a quarter this season (last versus Loyola MD on Nov. 9, 2025)
- Guard Carleigh Wenzel paced Tech in scoring with 15 points for her 15th-straight game in double figures
- Redshirt sophomore Mackenzie Nelson followed with a near double-double of 14 points and a career-high nine rebounds
- Nelson also tallied six assists, two assists, one block, and committed zero turnovers
- Guard Leila Wells put together eight points and a career-best six rebounds in 15 minutes of action
- Samyha Suffren registered her career-best five assists
UP NEXT
Virginia Tech advances to the Quarterfinal Round of the 2026 Ally ACC Women’s Basketball Tournament Friday, March 6 against third-seeded North Carolina at 7:30 p.m. on ACC Network.
Copyright 2026 WDBJ. All rights reserved.
Virginia
Obama calls on voters to help Democrats’ Virginia redistricting ahead of midterm elections
Former President Barack Obama is calling on voters in Virginia to support a ballot measure this spring that would change the commonwealth’s constitution and cause new congressional district boundaries benefiting Democrats to be used in this fall’s midterm elections.
In a video posted to social media on Thursday morning, Obama noted the surge of mid-decade redistricting started last year when Texas Republicans started work to shift five Democratic seats and make them more favorable to Republicans.
Since then, California Democrats were able to redraw the lines involving five GOP-held seats to try and offset Texas’ gerrymander. Republicans in North Carolina and Missouri last year also altered a Democratic-held seat in each of their respective states to try and help the GOP.
“In April, Virginians can respond by making sure your voting power is not diminished by what Republicans are doing in other states,” Obama, a Democrat, said in the video. “This amendment gives you the power to level the playing field in the midterms this fall.”
Republicans hold a narrow majority in the U.S. House and are contending with the prospect of losing control of the chamber this fall when every seat is on the ballot.
Virginia Democrats’ redistricting effort has proven to be a lengthy process, and legal concerns have surrounded much of the work and thrown some uncertainty into the outcome. The commonwealth’s map in place at the moment resulted in six House seats for Democrats in the 2024 election and five for Republicans. Plans offered by elected Democratic leaders this year would try and shift those lines in a way that could result in sending 10 Democrats back to the House and just one Republican.
“Democrats’ illegal gerrymandering power grab is an affront to democracy and rigs our maps to turn Virginia into a one-party state,” the Republican Party of Virginia said last month on social media, adding “It is an intentional effort to silence and disenfranchise half our Commonwealth.”
After the 2020 Census, both Democratic and Republican led states indulged in the well-worn practice of gerrymandering, drawing districts that favored their own parties and lessening the chances of competitive races.
But the series of mid-decade redraws impacting the 2026 midterms essentially represent a break from tradition and have put Democrats in the position of having to backtrack on some of their past messaging on the issue. “For too long, gerrymandering has contributed to stalled progress and warped our representative government,” Obama himself said on social media in 2020.
A statewide vote is set for April 21 on whether to change Virginia’s constitution and give the General Assembly the ability to change the maps just months before general election contests will be held. Early voting is set to start Friday.
Virginia is more of a purple state, and it’s unclear what will happen to the constitutional amendment in the April 21 special election. Republicans widely oppose the effort, and additional congressional redistricting in GOP-led Florida could lessen the impact of any changes made in Virginia.
Virginia
‘Explosions every day’: Virginia woman on her way to a wedding in India is stuck in Qatar
Arlington, Virginia, resident Anjali Sharma — stuck in the Middle Eastern since Saturday — documents her story on social media from a hotel in Doha, Qatar.
“I think it really hit me when I saw black smoke coming from afar on one of the buildings, and it ended up being a missile that got defused, and the debris fell on the ground and caused an explosion,” Sharma said.
She was on her way to a wedding in India and had a layover in Qatar when Iran’s retaliatory strikes began. The airspace in Qatar and several other nearby countries is closed.
Sharma is alone. She says the rest of her family she was supposed to meet with had their flights canceled.
She says it’s incredibly unsettling.
“I hear explosions every day,” Sharma said. “I hear planes going outside. I mean, I still hear military jets, right now. I don’t really know what that means.”
She is one of several thousands of Americans stranded in the Middle East. The State Department said it’s assisted almost 6,500 Americans since the conflict began.
Sharma says she hasn’t been able to get any clear guidance.
“I would just really appreciate it if the U.S. government could get clear guidelines of what they’re going to do to get us out and when that even may be,” she said.
U.S. Rep. Don Beyer, D-Va., has been critical of the Trump administration’s evacuation efforts. He says his office has heard from about 100 families whose loved ones are stranded abroad.
“The primary reason the State Department exists is to serve Americans living abroad, and they’re desperately failing at that, right now,” he said.
The White House said the secretary of state issued Level 4 travel advisories dating to January. But Qatar was not one of the countries given a do-not-travel advisory.
The State Department Wednesday created a new form for stranded citizens to fill out. They say it will provide departure information about available aviation and ground transportation options.
Sharma hopes it’s her ticket out.
“I just want to get out of here safely at this point.”
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