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Potential Tropical Cyclone One expected to strengthen before landfall. See spaghetti models

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Potential Tropical Cyclone One expected to strengthen before landfall. See spaghetti models



The system is expected to become tropical storm before landfall Wednesday

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  • Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to become Tropical Storm Alberto.
  • Landfall is expected late Wednesday.
  • The system is very large, with tropical-storm-force winds extending 290 miles northeast of the center.

Tropical storm warnings have been issued for parts of the Texas coast ahead of Potential Tropical Cyclone One, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

The system is expected to strengthen and is likely to become a tropical storm by Wednesday before approaching the western Gulf Coast late Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area by Wednesday.

If it does become a tropical storm, it’ll become the first named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, Alberto.

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➤ Excessive rainfall forecast

The National Hurricane Center warned the system is very large: with tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to 290 miles to the northeast of the center.

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Heavy rain is forecast to extend well north of the center of the storm, spreading into portions of central Texas, according to AccuWeather.

Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to bring 5 to 10 inches of rain across South Texas and into northeastern Mexico, with up to 15 inches possible, NHC forecasters said.

AccuWeather is predicting over half a foot of rain across parts of the Texas and Louisiana coasts, with up to 30 inches possible in the hardest-hit areas.

“Very warm waters in this area of the Gulf, as well as low wind shear will make this a conducive environment for the tropical rainstorm to strengthen,” said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski.

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Potential Tropical Cyclone One: What you need to know

  • Location: 420 miles southeast of Brownsville, Texas
  • Maximum sustained winds: 40 mph
  • Movement: north at 6 mph
  • Pressure: 999 mb
  • Next advisory: 8 a.m.

Watches, warnings issued across Florida, Texas, Gulf Coast

For an explanation of what the watches and warnings mean, scroll to the bottom of this story.

  • Tropical storm warning: The Texas coast from Port O’Connor southward to the mouth of the Rio Grande.
  • Tropical storm watch: The northeastern coast of Mexico south of the mouth of the Rio Grande to Puerto de Altamira.

How strong is Potential Tropical Cyclone One and where is it going?

At 5 a.m. EDT, Potential Tropical Cyclone One was located about 420 miles southeast of Brownsville, Texas, or 350 miles east-southeast of La Pesca, Mexico. Latitude 21.3 North, longitude 93.0 West.

The system is moving toward the north near 6 mph. A gradual turn toward the west-northwest and west is expected is expected Tuesday night and Wednesday, and the system is likely to approach the western Gulf Coast late Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph, with higher gusts. Some increase in strength is likely during the next 36 hours, and the disturbance is forecast to become a tropical storm by Wednesday.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours: high, 80 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days: high, 80 percent.

The disturbance is quite large with tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to 290 miles to the northeast of the center, the National Hurricane Center said.

Spaghetti models for Potential Tropical Cyclone One

Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. 

➤ Track Potential Tropical Cyclone One

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Key messages from the National Hurricane Center: What you need to know about Potential Tropical Cyclone One

  1. Users are reminded not to focus on the exact forecast track of this system. The disturbance is very large with rainfall, coastal flooding, and wind impacts likely to occur far from the center along the coasts of Texas and northeastern Mexico.
  2. Rainfall associated with Potential Tropical Cyclone One will impact large regions of Central America, northeastern Mexico and South Texas. This rainfall will likely produce considerable flash and urban flooding along with new and renewed river flooding. Mudslides are also possible in areas of higher terrain across Central America into northeast Mexico.
  3. Moderate coastal flooding is likely along much of the Texas Coast beginning Tuesday morning and continuing through midweek.
  4. Tropical storm conditions are expected beginning Wednesday over portions of the Texas coast south of Port O’Connor, where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect, and over portions of northeastern Mexico.

Current forecast: Where is Potential Tropical Cyclone One going and how strong could it get?

  • 12 hours: 40 mph
  • 24 hours: 45 mph. Would be a tropical storm.
  • 36 hours: 50 mph
  • 48 hours: 50 mph as it moves inland.
  • 60 hours: 35 mph

What impact could Potential Tropical Cyclone One have and what areas could be affected?

  • Storm surge: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide:
    • Sargent, Texas, to Sabine Pass, Texas: 2-4 feet
    • Galveston Bay: 2-4 feet
    • Mouth of the Rio Grande, Texas, to Sargent, Texas: 1-3 feet
    • Sabine Pass, Texas, to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, Louisiana: 1-3 feet
  • The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the north of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
  • Rainfall: Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to produce rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches across northeast Mexico into South Texas, with maximum totals of 15 inches possible. This rainfall will likely produce flash and urban flooding along with new and renewed river flooding. Mudslides are also possible in areas of higher terrain across northeast Mexico.
  • Wind: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area by Wednesday.

Interactive map: What tropical storms, hurricanes have impacted your area in the past?

What do tropical storm watches, warnings from NHC mean?

What is storm surge? Graphics explain the deadly weather event

Tropical storm warning: A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Tropical storm watch: An announcement that sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph are possible within the specified area within 48 hours in association with a tropical, subtropical, or post-tropical cyclone.



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Texas

Majority of Texas’ SEC Opponents Have Relied on Backup QBs

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Majority of Texas’ SEC Opponents Have Relied on Backup QBs


With a tumultuous nonconference season officially in the books, the Texas Longhorns turn their attention to their SEC slate ahead.

They will kick things off against the Florida Gators on the road, which will be followed by their annual Red River Rivalry game against the Oklahoma Sooners in Dallas.

The quarterback on each of these opposing teams are currently dealing with injuries, making them questionable to appear in their matchups against the Longhorns. Texas faced backup quarterbacks in many of its SEC matchups last year, and it looks like they could start 2025 the same way.

Florida Gators quarterback DJ Lagwa

Sep 20, 2025; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Florida Gators quarterback DJ Lagway (2) passes the football against the Miami Hurricanes during the second quarter at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images / Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Sooners quarterback John Mateer made headlines earlier this week after the team revealed that he must undergo hand surgery to help repair a broken bone in his throwing hand. He broke the bone in the first quarter of Oklahoma’s game against the Auburn Tigers last Saturday.

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He played through the injury to help his team earn a 24-17 victory, but the quarterback is now looking at at least three weeks on the sideline. Healing in time for Dallas doesn’t seem to be entirely ruled out, but it seems like the indefinite injury timeline could mean that the current Heisman Trophy favorite won’t be back until later in the conference season.

In the event that he is unable to play, sophomore quarterback Michael Hawkins Jr. will take the field instead. 

As far as Florida quarterback DJ Lagway’s health goes, he was wearing a walking boot this week. but there’s not nearly as much concern as with Mateer.

If Lagway were to reaggravate the injury leading into the Texas game, true freshman quarterback Tramell Jones Jr. would take his place. Should this happen, this would be the second consecutive year Texas faced a Florida team forced to resort to its backup quarterback. 

Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooner

Oklahoma’s Caleb Williams (13) drops back to pass during the Red River Showdown college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the University of Texas (UT) Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Saturday, Oct. 9, 2021. Oklahoma won 55-48.

Ou Vs Texas

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Syndication The Oklahoman / BRYAN TERRY/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK

Including the SEC Championship, the Longhorns played nine conference games last season. Depending on how one looks at it, between four and five of these matchups took place against backup quarterbacks. 

Here are those players from last season:

– Michael Van Buren Jr., Mississippi State
– Michael Hawkins Jr., Oklahoma
– Aidan Warner, Florida
– Cutter Boley, Kentucky (replaced Brock Vandagriff mid-game)
– Gunner Stockton, Georgia (replaced Carson Beck mid-game)

A discrepancy exists when deciding whether or not the second matchup against Georgia in the SEC Championship last season can fully be considered to be against a backup, given that starting quarterback Carson Beck played the first half before suffering an elbow injury. He was replaced by Gunner Stockton, who led the Bulldogs to a win in overtime.

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Either way, Texas has fared well in terms of facing backup quarterbacks since their entrance into the SEC ahead of the 2024 season. 

The Longhorns’ already daunting defense has been let off the hook in this way against several impressive teams, and depending on how Mateer heals, their lucky streak could continue in the weeks to come. 



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Texas emergency response officials gather in College Station to take on healthcare issues

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Texas emergency response officials gather in College Station to take on healthcare issues


COLLEGE STATION, Texas (KBTX) – Emergency services leaders from across the State of Texas are in College Station this week to share and learn about best practices.

Officials with emergency services agencies from the Texas-New Mexico border down to Beaumont are in College Station for the Texas EMS Alliance conference.

It’s a three-day conference where EMS agencies ask questions and learn from one another, then take the knowledge back home with them.

EMS agencies across the state of Texas gathered in College Station for the Texas EMS Alliance Conference.(kbtx)

Officials say collaboration of this level is essential for the growth of EMS agencies across the state of Texas.

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Adam Gallagher, EMS Chief with Robertson County EST, said the conference is jam-packed with opportunities to learn, network, bounce ideas, and problem-solve.

“We feel like we’re kind of running into the same problems, but we didn’t know we were until we all got together in the same group to be able to discuss and go, ‘yeah, I’m seeing that problem too. Let’s figure out how to fix it.’ And this program- this organization, this conference- does that for us,” he explained.

A significant issue for agencies across the state, according to Gallagher, is rural healthcare funding. That’s why they are being taught how to best push for advocacy.

He added that there hasn’t been a hospital with an emergency room in all of Robertson County since before the year 2000.

Emergency service officials across Texas gather to solve shared challenges and bring life-saving ideas back to their communities.

Butch Oberhoff, president of the Texas EMS Alliance, said this makes it more challenging for EMS officers to provide life-saving care. That’s why collaboration is key.

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“‘What can we do to save more lives in Texas?’ And the ‘Whole Blood Initiative’ sort of was produced from that, and now Texas leads the nation in providing whole blood in the pre-hospital environment. We’re saving lives, we’re saving health care dollars, believe it or not,” said Oberhoff.

The Whole Blood Initiative is a program that supplies EMS agencies with life-saving blood for emergency trauma care. It’s a resource especially needed for rural healthcare agencies that lack the resources available in bigger cities.

The Whole Blood Initiative aims to equip EMS agencies with the necessary life-saving blood.
The Whole Blood Initiative aims to equip EMS agencies with the necessary life-saving blood.(kbtx)

“Rural healthcare is especially challenging in any rural part of Texas. But by having a voice and working with other EMS agencies, we can bring resources back to those communities,” Oberhoff furthered.

It’s an issue we’re also seeing in Robertson and Leon counties.

“We’re not a fancy service. We’re not flashy, but there’s things that we do that take the taxpayers into consideration, and that’s why it’s important that we don’t put the burden on them; that we come here and we talk and we advocate, and we go to the state and we say we need federal funding for these things,” added Gallagher.

Texas House Representative Tom Oliverson (R-District 130) made an appearance as a keynote speaker, honing in on the importance of rural health care funding across Texas.

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Gallagher told KBTX a portion of the $50 billion from the Trump administration’s Big Beautiful Bill will be allocated toward funding rural healthcare.



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ASU football report card: Sun Devils regroup with big win over Texas State

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ASU football report card: Sun Devils regroup with big win over Texas State


The Arizona State Sun Devils were pushed by Texas State last season, but led from start to finish when the teams squared off on Sept. 13 in Tempe. ASU prevailed 34-15 in front of a sellout crowd at Mountain America Stadium.

ASU (2-1) led 20-3 at the half, then scored on its first possession of the third quarter to take a 27-3 lead that was never in jeopardy.

“Establishing the run was huge, and a couple of the first early drives, we were trying to figure it out,” ASU coach Kenny Dillingham said. “Running the ball is one of those things that you have to be dedicated to because of the move in the game.

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“Everybody moves a little differently on the defensive line. You have got to figure it out. So once we got to figure it out, our guys did a good job, and then we simplified the plan. We probably cut our play sheet down by about 25-30%, if not a little more. We really made sure that our guys were all dialed in and all on the same page, and it showed.”

What went right

More pass catchers involved: Much has been made of the reliance on junior WR Jordyn Tyson in the first two games. Dillingham said he was going to get more players “involved,” using that word as many as seven times in answering that question early in the week. Against Texas State, five players had catches and two others were targeted, with tight end Chamon Metayer recording a career-high six catches.

Defensive line pressured the passer: The Sun Devils totaled five sacks, the most in a game since a 2023 contest against Colorado, when they also had five. There were several other occasions when QB Brad Jackson was hurried. Jackson only ended up going 25-for-36 for 184 yards, after coming in averaging 250. He also had a fumble.

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Running game set the tone: Raleek Brown ran for a career-high 144 yards — highlighted by a sparkling 75-yard touchdown run — on just 12 carries. Leavitt scrambled for 59. Five players factored in the rushing total as Dillingham pulled his starters late in the fourth quarter.

Jumped out to an early lead: Last week, ASU allowed Mississippi State to jump out to a 17-0 lead, and it was an uphill climb after that. The first drive ended with a failed fourth-down try at the Texas State 35, and the Sun Devils settled for a field goal on the second, but got rolling after that and were never really challenged.

Got a momentum-changing takeaway: Up 10-3, ASU got a fumble recovery by Myles Rowser and turned that into a touchdown that gave the host team a 17-3 lead. The Sun Devils were sixth in the country in turnover margin last season, but managed only one in the first two games, and it wasn’t an impactful one.

What went wrong

Offensive line still struggling: Leavitt was sacked three times, and there were a handful of other occasions where he had to escape the pocket or get off a throw earlier than he would have liked.

Third-down conversions need to be better: This was a major problem in the first two games as ASU converted only five of 24. It did slightly better, going 5-for-13, but that number still should be better.

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Plays called back: ASU only had five penalties for 40 yards, so that was a positive, but once again, a touchdown was wiped off the board. This time, it was a 98-yard kickoff return for an apparent touchdown by Jaren Hamilton that was nullified by a holding call on Alfred Smith. ASU ended up scoring on the possession anyway.

Grades

Offense (B): ASU totaled 433 yards, exceeding its season average of 395.5. That consisted of 245 on the ground and 188 through the air. ASU worked to establish the run early, unlike in previous weeks when they leaned more toward throwing the ball. ASU averaged 6.5 yards per play. Tyson had six catches for 105 yards.

Defense (B): ASU held Texas State to 303 yards and did not give up big plays. The longest play it allowed was a 24-yard run by the quarterback. It had five sacks and got a takeaway. The Sun Devils also got two fourth-down stops. LB Jordan Crook had 12 tackles, 3.5 for a loss, while S Myles Rowser had 10 and a fumble recovery. Keyshaun Elliott and Adrian Wilson each had seven tackles.

Special Teams (D): Matt McKenzie averaged 35.5 on two kicks. He was subbing for the injured Kanyon Floyd and is new to the position. His first was for just 33 yards. It gave the Bobcats good enough field position that they were able to try a field goal on the last play of the first half, although it was short. Jesus Gomez made his lone try from 47 yards. The grade is also docked a bit because of the holding penalty that nullified a touchdown return.

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Personnel notes

RB Kyson Brown, WR Jalen Moss, DL Zac Swanson, S Xavion Alford and P Kanyon Floyd were out with injuries. That was in addition to the players lost for the season in DB Plas Johnson (knee) and DL MyKeil Gardner (foot). Adrian “Boogie” Wilson got his first ASU start in place of Alford while Australian newcomer Matt McKenzie subbed for Floyd.

They said it

“I was grateful with what happened at Mississippi State. If we had come out of there with a W, we wouldn’t have attacked the week the way we did. Little issues would have gotten blown over, so those came to show and we honed in on those things and were able to band together as a team. That second half against Mississippi State carried over into this game. We have to figure out how to build upon this and keep the same mojo.” — Leavitt

“It means a lot. I’ve been working for like two years, or a year and a half. I’ve been working a lot. I just thank coaches and everybody who believed in me to play running back and just keep going. It meant a lot.”

ASU RB Raleek Brown on his big game after missing last season due to injury

“That was definitely our focus all week. With the second half of last week, we kind of saw who we were. I think once we realized that, all week the focus was to come out here and get back to playing our type of ball. And I feel like we went out there and did that tonight.”

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ASU LB Jordan Crook, on needing a convincing win

Up next

ASU hits the road for its Big 12 conference opener at Baylor (2-1). Baylor’s lone loss was its season opener against Auburn.



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