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Wetter than normal Tennessee winter? What Farmers’ Almanac and weather forecasters predict

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Wetter than normal Tennessee winter? What Farmers’ Almanac and weather forecasters predict


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Instead of a winter wonderland, Tennessee — along with the rest of the United States — is expected to experience a wet whirlwind, according to the 208th edition of the Farmers’ Almanac. The 2024-2025 winter weather outlook calls for a winter season full of rapid-fire storms that will bring both rain and snow for most regions.

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The outlook predicts a cold, wet winter for most locations. Average or above normal temperatures are forecast for New England, the Northeast, the Southern Plains, the Southeast and the Atlantic Coast regions.

“It definitely looks more wet than white in many areas,” Farmers’ Almanac Editor Sandi Duncan told USA TODAY. “Obviously, depending on where you live, there might be more white than wet, but we’re focusing in on the wet winter ahead.”

Here’s what lies ahead regarding winter weather.

What does the Farmers’ Almanac say about the 2024-2025 winter outlook in Tennessee?

As previously reported by USA TODAY, the Farmers’ Almanac predicts that Southeast states (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia and West Virginia) are expected to be “mild and wet” overall.

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“But that doesn’t mean they will escape Old Man Winter,” added Duncan.

Tennessee will experience a hotter and wetter than average winter season, according to the National Weather Service

According to the Climate Prediction Center, Tennessee will experience above average temperatures (33-40%) with parts of the Middle Tennessee region experiencing above average precipitation (33-40%) during December, January and February.

“There is still a 60-67% chance that either near normal or below normal temperatures are experienced, but our best prediction is that we’ll exceed the monthly temperature averages,” said National Weather Service Meteorologist, Ryan Husted.

In December, Nashville experiences average highs of 52, average lows of 33 and an average precipitation of 4.43 inches. In January, the area normally sees highs of 49, lows of 30 and an average precipitation of 4 inches. Then in February, things gradually begin to heat up with average high of 54, lows of 33 and an average precipitation of 4.47 inches.

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Most of the Southeastern United States is typically favored for above normal temperatures, due to La Niña, the periodic cooling of sea-surface temperatures, added Husted.

How will La Niña impact weather weather in Tennessee?

Low pressure systems generally move north of the area during La Niña conditions, which often keeps Tennessee in the area of warmer temperatures, providing fuel for thunderstorms, said Husted.

The probabilities for the Volunteer State to experience a major winter event like snow or ice are lower, however extreme winter events can never be ruled out. For example, the winters of 2022-2023 (a La Niña winter) and 2023-2024 both experienced above normal temperatures yet they still came with a “substantial” cold snap, said Husted.

“We all remember these single winter events but often forget how warm the rest of the winter is,” Husted told the Tennessean in an email. “… We speak in general terms for the season and are unable to predict single weather events and their exact timing until they have formed and are approaching us, usually a few days away.”

Will Nashville receive snow this winter?

It is currently impossible to predict how much snow Nashville will receive this season, said Husted. Based on previous snowfall events, Music City favors normal (4.7 inches) and below normal snowfall during La Niña winters.

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The winters of 2020-2021, 2021-2022, and 2022-2023 were all La Niña winters, and they received 5.2 inches of snow (near normal), 9.5 inches of snow (above normal) and 1.2 inches of snow (below normal), respectively.

How much snow did the Nashville area receive last winter?

In January, Nashville experienced record breaking snowfall, receiving its yearly average of snow in less than 24 hours. On Tuesday, Jan. 16, the weather service confirmed Nashville’s official snowfall accumulation was 7.6 inches, with the majority of it (6.3 inches) falling on Monday alone.

Surrounding areas were covered under an even thicker blanket of snow. Kingston Springs, Gallatin and Hendersonville received eight inches while Belle Meade, Berry HIll and Oak Hill received nine inches.

Record snowfall in Nashville? Music City surpasses yearly average in less than 24 hours

Nashville’s top five snowstorms:

  1. March 16-18, 1892: 17 inches
  2. Feb. 2-3, 1886: 16 inches
  3. Feb. 20-21, 1929: 15 inches
  4. Jan. 29-Feb. 1, 1951: 12 inches
  5. Feb. 6-9, 1979: 11 inches

USA TODAY contributed to this report.

Diana Leyva covers trending news and service journalism for The Tennessean. Contact her at Dleyva@gannett.com or follow her on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, at @_leyvadiana

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Report suggests Tennessee middle class income grew 18% in 10 years

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Report suggests Tennessee middle class income grew 18% in 10 years


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Ethan Mendoza injured as No. 4 Texas loses to Tennessee, 5-1

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Ethan Mendoza injured as No. 4 Texas loses to Tennessee, 5-1


Things went sideways quickly at Lindsey Nelson Stadium on Friday as the No. 4 Texas Longhorns fell into an early hole and never recovered in a 5-1 loss to the Tennessee Volunteers that included another shoulder injury sustained by junior second baseman Ethan Mendoza.

After spending 15 games last year as the designated hitter following a shoulder injury sustained diving for a ground ball, Mendoza left the game in the first inning on a similar play, leaving head coach Jim Schlossnagle without much optimism that the Arizona State transfer will be able to return to action this weekend.

Without Mendoza in the lineup, Texas struggled at the plate against Tennessee ace Tegan Kuhns, who recorded a career-high 15 strikeouts in seven innings. Throwing 113 pitches, Kuhns allowed just four hits and one walk in his scoreless outing as the Horns ultimately struck out 19 times, leaving the bottom of the order without much production — sophomore shortstop Adrian Rodriguez struck out all four times he came to the plate and junior designated hitter Ashton Larson, junior infielder Casey Borba, and freshman center fielder Maddox Monsour all struck out three times apiece.

Junior right fielder Aiden Robbins did have two hits — a double and a solo home run in the eighth inning — but didn’t receive help from the rest of the lineup.

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And sophomore left-hander Dylan Volantis looked human, a rare occurrence in his sterling career in burnt orange and white, allowing RBI doubles in the first and second innings and giving up another second-inning run on a wild pitch. Volantis recovered to throw three scoreless innings before redshirt senior right-hander Cody Howard pitched the final three innings, giving up two runs on two hits.

Texas tries to bounce back on Saturday with first pitch at 5 p.m. Central on SEC Network+.



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Memphis lawmaker renews call for city to secede from Tennessee, form 51st state

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Memphis lawmaker renews call for city to secede from Tennessee, form 51st state


MEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) – State Rep. Antonio Parkinson says Tennessee’s two blue cities, Memphis and Nashville, should break away and form their own state.

“I don’t think the state of Tennessee deserves a Memphis and Shelby County…or a Nashville, Davidson County,” Parkinson said on Action News 5’s A Better Memphis broadcast Friday.

Parkinson proposed creating a new state called West Tennessee, which would span from the eastern border of Nashville’s Davidson County to the Mississippi River.

“I’m not just talking about Memphis, I’m talking about the eastern border of Nashville, Davidson County and everything to the Mississippi River to create a new state called the new state of West Tennessee, the 51st state, West Tennessee,” Parkinson said.

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Proposal follows new congressional map

Parkinson’s secession pitch follows the GOP supermajority approving a new congressional map Thursday that splits Shelby County into three districts, dismantling what was the state’s only majority-Black district.

“So this is about accountability. We’re paying all of this money, yet you remove our voice, so that is taxation without self-determination, taxation without actual representation,” Parkinson said.

Tennessee Speaker of the House Cameron Sexton denies race was a factor when Republicans redrew the map.

“Look, at the end of the day we were able to draw a map based on population and based on politics, we did not use any racial data,” Sexton told Action News 5.

Sexton said Democrats did the same thing in the 1990s when they split Shelby County into three different congressional districts.

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Secession requires state, federal approval

For Memphis to secede, it requires approval from the State of Tennessee and the U.S. Congress.

Parkinson said he’s willing to fight that uphill battle.

“Why should we stay in an abusive relationship where they’ve shown us the pattern over and over and over…where they do not see our value, and do not care about us,” Parkinson said.

This is not the first time Parkinson has suggested Memphis secede from Tennessee. He made the same call in 2018 after the Republican-controlled state legislature punished Memphis, cutting the city’s funding by $250,000, in retaliation for removing two Confederate statutes.

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