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Oklahoma vs. Tennessee picks, predictions, Week 4 college football odds, lines

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Oklahoma vs. Tennessee picks, predictions, Week 4 college football odds, lines


College football returns to action this weekend with a marquee SEC opener brought to us by conference realignment, as No. 15 Oklahoma plays host to No. 6 Tennessee on Saturday night.

Oklahoma is perfect through 3 games but still facing questions on an offensive line featuring new faces and going through some early struggles protecting young quarterback Jackson Arnold.

That line will face a challenge against Tennessee’s strong front seven, and the Vols’ boast a superb offensive attack led by Nico Iamaleava at quarterback that ranks 1st nationally in scoring production.

Looking ahead to this week’s matchup, let’s check out the latest college football predictions from the Football Power Index computer projection model.

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The model simulates every NCAA college football game 20,000 times and uses key analytics from both teams to predict outcomes based on a projected scoring margin per game.

The models are siding pretty strongly with the road team this weekend.

Tennessee comes out as the projected winner in the majority 71 percent of the computer’s simulations, or 14,200 of the machine’s predictions.

That leaves Oklahoma coming out as the expected winner in the remaining 29 percent of sims.

Despite the bigger chance of victory, the computer still expects a close game.

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The model projects that Tennessee will be 8.4 points better than Oklahoma on the same field.

That would be enough to cover the spread this week.

Tennessee is a 7 point favorite against Oklahoma, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook, which set the total at 57.5 points for the game.

FanDuel lists the moneyline odds for Tennessee at -275 and for OU at +225.

Tennessee ranks third among SEC teams with a 71.9 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, and is expected to win 10.3 games this season, according to the index.

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That model expects Oklahoma to win 7 games and make the playoff with 14.9 percent likelihood, sitting seventh in the SEC on that score.

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance. 

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

First-place votes in parentheses

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  1. Texas (35)
  2. Georgia (23)
  3. Ohio State (5)
  4. Alabama
  5. Ole Miss
  6. Tennessee
  7. Missouri
  8. Miami
  9. Oregon
  10. Penn State
  11. USC
  12. Utah
  13. Kansas State
  14. Oklahoma State
  15. Oklahoma
  16. LSU
  17. Notre Dame
  18. Michigan
  19. Louisville
  20. Iowa State
  21. Clemson
  22. Nebraska
  23. Northern Illinois
  24. Illinois
  25. Texas A&M

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks

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100 violations, $3.1M fine issued in Tennessee plant blast that killed 16

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100 violations, .1M fine issued in Tennessee plant blast that killed 16


The Tennessee Occupational Safety and Health Administration has issued 100 safety citations and more than $3.1 million in penalties following its investigation into a 2025 explosion at an Accurate Energetic Systems munitions plant that killed 16 people.

State officials said Tuesday the citations stem from a six-month investigation into the Oct. 10 blast at the facility near Bucksnort, Tennessee. The agency described the case as the largest investigation in its history and the highest total penalty it has ever assessed.

Of the 100 violations, 59 were classified as willful, 32 as serious, four as repeat-serious, and five as other-than-serious.

The total assessed penalty is $3,133,900.

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TOSHA said willful violations indicate “an employer’s intentional disregard for the requirements of the TOSH Act or plain indifference to employee safety and health,” though not necessarily malicious intent.

RELATED COVERAGE | No sprinklers in building where 16 died in AES plant blast in McEwen, according to CSB

The agency hand-delivered the citations to company legal counsel in Nashville on Tuesday and also provided documentation to the victims’ families.

According to TOSHA, penalties are calculated using a standardized formula designed to ensure consistency and do not factor in the number of fatalities.

The agency noted its previous largest penalty was about $380,000 following a 2001 explosion at a military flare manufacturing facility that resulted in one death.

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TOSHA emphasized that its role is to determine whether workplace safety violations occurred, not to establish the cause of an accident or assign fault.

Accurate Energetic Systems has 20 calendar days to request an informal conference or formally contest the citations.

AES’s CEO provided FOX 17 News with the following statement, saying that they believe that TOSHA’s findings “do not represent the standard of safety the company strives for.”

“Accurate Energetic Systems (AES) is carefully reviewing the compliance findings issued today by the Tennessee Occupational Safety and Health Administration (TOSHA). We have 20 days to respond to the findings and will also meet with TOSHA within that time period. We believe that TOSHA’s findings do not represent the standard of safety we strive to achieve every day, nor our commitment to the wellbeing of our team members and their loved ones.

AES continues to investigate and assist government investigators following the tragedy of October 10. Those we lost embodied the very heart of our community. They were our friends and family, and we suffer from their loss. We miss them, love them, and will always cherish our memories of them.

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As we closely assess these compliance findings alongside ongoing investigations, including our own, into what caused the explosion, our top priority will remain our employees, their families, and our neighbors. We will continue providing long-term care and resources through the AES Families Support Fund as well as Helping Hands of Hickman County, Centerstone, and through the support of thousands of our friends, neighbors, parishioners and partners.

We are grateful beyond words for the outpouring of support we have received, not just from these invaluable organizations and people, but from around the world.”

Read the full TOSHA statement below.



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Tennessee Basketball Loses A Freshman Guard To The Transfer Portal | Rocky Top Insider

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Tennessee Basketball Loses A Freshman Guard To The Transfer Portal | Rocky Top Insider


Photo via Tennessee Athletics

Tennessee combo guard Troy Henderson is entering the transfer portal after spending just one season inside the Volunteer program, On3’s Joe Tipton first reported and Henderson posted on his Instagram.

Henderson played in 28 games during his freshman season at Tennessee, averaging 1.8 points and 1.1 assists in seven minutes per game. The combo guard proved to be a solid three-pointer, making 15 triples at a 34% clip over the course of the season. He made just a pair of two-pointers during the season.

The 6-foot-1 guard competed with Ethan Burg for Tennessee’s backup point guard spot behind Ja’Kobi Gillespie. At points throughout the season, Henderson was the Vols’ backup point guard. However, Burg ended up winning that job down the course of the season with Henderson playing just four minutes in Tennessee’s final five games played.

Henderson suffered a left shoulder injury and played through it the back half of his freshman. Tennessee head coach Rick Barnes that Henderson would have to undergo shoulder surgery this offseason.

More From RTI: Where Tennessee Basketball Lands In ESPN’s Way-Too-Early Rankings

The best moment of Henderson’s freshman season came early in SEC play when he scored eight points and hit two crucial late game three-pointers in Tennessee’s 87-82 double overtime win against Texas A&M at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center.

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Henderson was a late addition to Tennessee’s 2025 recruiting class. He originally signed with Fordham but requested a release from his NLI after the Rams fired head coach Keith Urgo. Tennessee brought in Henderson for a visit between the 2025 Round of 32 and Sweet 16 and he committed to Barnes and his staff after the thought.

Point guard is perhaps the biggest question for Tennessee this offseason. Gillespie is out of eligibility and Tennessee will look for another starting point guard in the transfer portal to replace him. The only point guard currently on the Vols roster next season is three-star signee Marquis Clark.

Henderson is the sixth Tennessee player to enter the transfer portal this offseason, joining Cade Phillips, Clarence Massamba, J.P. Estrella, Bishop Boswell and Jaylen Carey.

Tennessee has four incoming players including Belmont transfer sharpshooter Tyler Lundblade. The Vols currently have six scholarships to work with in the transfer portal and it will be seven if Nate Ament declares for the NBA Draft as expected.

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Report: ICE arrests decline in Tennessee

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Report: ICE arrests decline in Tennessee


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