Oklahoma
Oklahoma vs. Iowa State Predictions & Picks – Women's Big 12 Tournament
Monday’s game between the No. 19 Oklahoma Sooners (22-8) and the Iowa State Cyclones (19-10) at T-Mobile Center has a projected final score of 74-70 based on our computer prediction, with Oklahoma securing the victory. Game time is at 2:30 PM ET on March 11.
The Sooners came out on top in their most recent outing 69-53 against TCU on Saturday.
The Sooners head into this matchup following a 69-53 win against TCU on Saturday. The Cyclones enter this game following a 67-62 win over Baylor on Saturday. Sahara Williams’ team-leading 17 points led the Sooners in the win. Audi Crooks’ team-high 23 points paced the Cyclones in the win.
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Oklahoma vs. Iowa State Game Info
- When: Monday, March 11, 2024 at 2:30 PM ET
- Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
- How to Watch on TV: ESPN2
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Oklahoma vs. Iowa State Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Oklahoma 74, Iowa State 70
Top 25 Predictions
Oklahoma Schedule Analysis
- The Sooners’ best win this season came against the Texas Longhorns, a team ranked inside the AP’s Top 25 (No. 6). The Sooners secured the 91-87 win on the road on January 24.
- The Sooners have eight Quadrant 1 wins, tied for the eighth-most in the country. But they also have seven Quadrant 1 losses, tied for the 50th-most.
- Oklahoma has seven wins against Quadrant 2 teams, tied for the 10th-most in the country.
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Oklahoma 2023-24 Best Wins
- 91-87 on the road over Texas (No. 6/AP Poll) on January 24
- 71-70 at home over Texas (No. 6/AP Poll) on February 28
- 66-63 at home over Kansas State (No. 16/AP Poll) on January 31
- 84-73 at home over Baylor (No. 17/AP Poll) on February 14
- 80-70 on the road over Ole Miss (No. 29) on November 9
Iowa State Schedule Analysis
- When the Cyclones beat the Kansas State Wildcats (No. 16 in the AP’s Top 25) on February 14 by a score of 96-93, it was their best win of the season so far.
- The Cyclones have six Quadrant 1 wins, tied for the 18th-most in the country. But they also have seven Quadrant 1 losses, tied for the 50th-most.
- Against Quadrant 2 teams, Iowa State is 4-3 (.571%) — tied for the 41st-most wins.
- Based on the RPI, the Sooners have four wins over Quadrant 3 opponents, tied for the 120th-most in Division 1.
Iowa State 2023-24 Best Wins
- 96-93 at home over Kansas State (No. 16/AP Poll) on February 14
- 82-76 on the road over Kansas State (No. 16/AP Poll) on February 28
- 67-62 over Baylor (No. 17/AP Poll) on March 9
- 66-63 at home over Baylor (No. 17/AP Poll) on January 13
- 74-64 at home over West Virginia (No. 21) on January 10
Oklahoma Leaders
- Skylar Vann: 14.8 PTS, 7.2 REB, 1.1 STL, 46.1 FG%, 29.6 3PT% (34-for-115)
- Payton Verhulst: 12.4 PTS, 1.2 STL, 39.9 FG%, 35.2 3PT% (50-for-142)
- Nevaeh Tot: 6.8 PTS, 1.3 STL, 36.8 FG%, 31.6 3PT% (37-for-117)
- Lexy Keys: 8.9 PTS, 1.6 STL, 45 FG%, 39.7 3PT% (56-for-141)
- Williams: 9.9 PTS, 45.4 FG%, 19.7 3PT% (13-for-66)
Iowa State Leaders
- Addy Brown: 13.4 PTS, 8.4 REB, 47.3 FG%, 37.3 3PT% (44-for-118)
- Crooks: 18.4 PTS, 7.5 REB, 58.3 FG%, 33.3 3PT% (4-for-12)
- Emily Ryan: 10.3 PTS, 6.5 AST, 1.2 STL, 47.6 FG%, 34.8 3PT% (16-for-46)
- Hannah Belanger: 9.4 PTS, 38.4 FG%, 37.4 3PT% (65-for-174)
- Kelsey Joens: 5.3 PTS, 36.5 FG%, 37.2 3PT% (35-for-94)
Oklahoma Performance Insights
- The Sooners average 77.1 points per game (24th in college basketball) while giving up 68.3 per outing (265th in college basketball). They have a +264 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 8.8 points per game.
- In conference tilts, Oklahoma tallies fewer points per contest (75.5) than its season average (77.1).
- The Sooners are putting up 79.9 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 1.9 more points than they’re averaging in road games (78).
- In 2023-24, Oklahoma is giving up 64.7 points per game at home. In away games, it is allowing 73.8.
- The Sooners have seen an increase in scoring recently, putting up 78.9 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.8 points more than the 77.1 they’ve scored this season.
Iowa State Performance Insights
- The Cyclones’ +205 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 75 points per game (36th in college basketball) while giving up 67.9 per contest (258th in college basketball).
- In conference action, Iowa State is scoring fewer points (73.2 per game) than it is overall (75) in 2023-24.
- The Cyclones average 79.3 points per game at home, and 72.5 away.
- At home Iowa State is conceding 65.3 points per game, 5.5 fewer points than it is away (70.8).
- The Cyclones are scoring 74.7 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer points than their average for the season (75).
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Oklahoma
What Oklahoma Does Better Than Texas and Why It Matters
During Oklahoma’s Lincoln Riley era, the Sooners dominated Texas. Riley went 6–1 against the Longhorns, including a victory in the Big 12 Championship Game on Dec. 1, 2018. However, things have been different over the last half-decade.
Brent Venables took over as the Sooners’ head coach in 2022, one year after Steve Sarkisian became the Longhorns’ lead man. Texas is 3–1 since Venables was appointed, with an average margin of victory over the Longhorns’ three wins of 32.3 points.
Texas is looking to extend its winning streak to three games for the first time since 1997–99. Oklahoma has one clear advantage, and while it has not mattered in previous matchups, it could define the 2026 edition.
Oklahoma’s Defense Could Cause Texas-Sized Problems
When Oklahoma’s defense lines up against the Texas offense, the two best units in the game will be on the field at the same time.
When it comes to the Red River Rivalry, it often feels as though preconceived notions about the team are irrelevant. The intensity and familiarity set both teams back to the basics. However, the matchup of the Longhorns’ offense and the Sooners’ defense will likely define this season’s rivalry game.
Last season, Oklahoma was carried by its defense to the College Football Playoff, with its offense doing just enough to get the job done. The Sooners were 79th in points per game (26.2) while allowing the seventh-fewest points per game (15.5).
There is optimism that Oklahoma’s offense will improve. Quarterback John Mateer could take the next step with Parker Livingstone and Trell Harris coming in to catch passes. However, the Sooners’ defense has been among the best in the country during Venables’ tenure and has come to characterize the program — a far cry from the Riley era.
Under Venables, Oklahoma has ranked inside the top 20 in each of the last three seasons in adjusted EPA per play allowed. Last season, it ranked second behind only Texas Tech, according to GameOnPaper. This includes top-three finishes in yards allowed per rush attempt (2.4, second) and sacks (45, third).
The Longhorns were productive on defense last season, ranking in the top 30 in points allowed per game. The defense was particularly impactful against the Sooners, dominating in all four quarters. In nearly every metric, though, Oklahoma outperformed its rival defensively last season.
|
Stat |
Texas Longhorns’ Defense (Rank) |
Oklahoma Sooners’ Defense (Rank) |
|---|---|---|
|
Rushing Yards Allowed per Attempt |
3.1 (12th) |
2.4 (2nd) |
|
EPA per Rush |
-0.05 (27th) |
-0.21 (2nd) |
|
Passing Yards Allowed per Attempt |
6.6 (38th) |
6.2 (22nd) |
|
EPA per Dropback |
-0.06 (33rd) |
-0.17 (9th) |
Over the last four matchups, however, this defensive production has been mostly meaningless. Texas is averaging 34 points per game and outpacing the Sooners’ season averages.
|
Season |
Oklahoma PPG Allowed |
Points Allowed vs. Texas |
Oklahoma YPG Allowed |
Yards Allowed vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2022 |
30.0 |
49 |
461.0 |
585 |
|
2023 |
23.5 |
30 |
389.4 |
527 |
|
2024 |
21.5 |
34 |
318.2 |
406 |
|
2025 |
15.5 |
23 |
272.5 |
302 |
While this has been the case every season since Venables took over for OU, the Sooners have also steadily improved defensively. This has decreased the margin for error on the Longhorns’ side. Texas needs to take advantage of every opportunity it gets.
Last season, Texas missed multiple field goals. The Longhorns avoided disaster, though, by winning the turnover battle 3–0 and getting relentless pressure on Mateer. This season, they may not be as fortunate, as the Sooners will test the new-look Longhorns offense
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Oklahoma
Oklahoma data center boom sparks backlash as Yukon leaders, residents raise concerns
A contentious debate over water and growth is intensifying in Yukon as residents and city leaders grapple with the long-term costs of supplying major industrial projects, including a data center that uses up to 3 million gallons a day.
The discussion spilled into another packed Yukon City Council meeting, where residents learned how strained and expensive the city’s water outlook could be over the next 25 years.
Emotions ran high, with one resident comparing city leadership to a Nazi regime.
Yukon’s water supply plan examines eight options, including five aquifers, non-potable reuse water, direct potable reuse water, and purchasing 2 million gallons a day from Oklahoma City.
Projected costs exceed $200 million, with millions more expected over the next 25 years for operations and maintenance.
The data center was part of the conversation from the start of the water study, which began in late 2024.
The facility uses up to 3 million gallons a day to cool its servers. One option discussed for meeting that demand is a non-potable supply providing 3 million gallons a day, with $55.9 million in capital costs and a required 18-inch pipe stretching 3.5 miles.
The option is recommended to meet great industrial demands, including a data center.
Council member Rick Cacini said his focus is on residents’ needs rather than industrial users. Cacini said, “We had water problems 8 years ago when I started, and we have water problems today.”
Another council member raised the idea of taking cost out of the equation when considering whether to supply water to the data center.
Residents spoke out one after another against the data center after hearing details of the water plan and costs.
One resident referenced Piedmont, where two data center proposals were tabled on Monday. Another resident said, “It’s not a good deal for us, and the other cities know it already.”
Some residents escalated their criticism of city leadership. One resident said, “I voted for Pillmore, and I regret that vote more than anything probably I’ve ever done in my life because this feels like some nazi regime.”
Others called for city leaders to be recalled. “We will collect those signatures within 30 days, and we’re gonna remove you.”
Concerns also grew over the data center agreement, centered on the purchaser having an “out” while the seller does not.
The city manager was said to have gotten something wrong in August.
The meeting ended with Cacini threatening to sue Mayor Brian Pillmore over comments made in an early May meeting.
Pillmore was not at the meeting, saying he was on vacation with his family.
Oklahoma
Oklahoma AG files petition to block proposed smelting project in Inola
INOLA, Okla. — Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond has filed a petition in Rogers County seeking to block a proposed aluminum-smelting facility in Inola.
According to Drummond, Emirates Global Aluminum holds a 60% controlling interest in the project. The company is based in the United Arab Emirates.
Century Aluminum, a company headquartered in Chicago, owns the remaining 40%.
If completed, Oklahoma Primary Aluminum would be the largest primary aluminum production plant in the United States. However, the facility would produce hazardous waste, which has raised concerns in both the Inola community and across the state. Billboards have been spotted along Highway 412 in Inola, warning others about the proposal.
The facility would also draw more than 1,000 megawatts of continuous energy.
“A primary aluminum smelter does not belong in a community’s backyard, and its emissions do not respect property lines,” Drummond said, adding that winds could carry pollutants into the surrounding northeastern Oklahoma communities. “The injury is imminent, it is grave, and it is irreparable.”
However, Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt has criticized Drummond’s actions, saying the facility would be one of the state’s largest economic development projects in history.
It is important to note that Drummond is currently running for Governor.
“As soon as President Trump made his endorsement in the governor’s race, Drummond dropped the act and showed his true colors,” said Stitt. “Now he is turning his machine against one of President Trump’s top priorities, once again weaponizing his office to settle scores instead of serving Oklahomans. President Trump’s aluminum project in Inola will rapidly grow Oklahoma’s economy and strengthen America’s supply chain for generations, while Drummond turns his back on our state in favor of cheap political gimmicks and personal gain.”
President Trump has endorsed Mike Mazzei in Oklahoma’s gubernatorial race. The Republican primary is scheduled for June 16.
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