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NC political scientist: Young voters could be the difference in November — if they show up • NC Newsline

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NC political scientist: Young voters could be the difference in November — if they show up • NC Newsline


If the nation’s young voters show up Nov. 5, they could be game changers in the General Election, according to Michael Bitzer, the Leonard Chair of Political Science and professor of politics and history at Catawba College.

Bitzer, who holds forth regularly on North Carolina politics at the website Old North State Politics, said students often complain that politicians and others aren’t addressing their concerns, which includes such issues as housing affordability, student loan debt and other challenges that 18–22-year-olds face.

Michael Bitzer, a professor of political science at Catawba College, speaks on Friday at the North Carolina Housing Conference in Raleigh. (Photo: Greg Childress)

The political apathy, Bitzer said, tends to follow them into full adulthood.

“I think what the normal pattern that political science knows is that as you age into your life cycle, you do become more engaged, you do understand the dynamics, you do see the importance of showing up to things like voting,” Bitzer said. “The millennials, however, aren’t necessarily tracking the same dynamic as we’ve seen in previous generations, so those voter turnout rates where those millennials who are now into adulthood, who are now establishing families, now have what we think of as secure jobs and employment, they’re still not showing up necessarily, at least not in this state at the rates that they should be.”

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Bitzer made his remarks Friday on the final day of the North Carolina Affordable Housing Conference held at the Raleigh Convention Center. The conference brought together more than 1,300 housing advocates, developers, bankers and others in the housing industry to discuss challenges of producing affordable housing and to celebrate successes.

The disturbing trend of young voters sitting out elections could change with Vice President Kamala Harris replacing President Joe Biden atop the Democratic ticket, Bitzer said.

“We’re seeing enthusiasm and [an increased] energy level and basically a realignment of youth vote back to what we normally expect, but we’ll just have to wait and see how November 5 comes along,” Bitzer said.

He shared charts showing that 62% of registered millennials voted in the 2020 election and 61% of Gen Z voters. Those number dipped dramatically in the 2022 mid-term elections when just 35% of millennials and 24% of Gen Z voters went to the polls.

“If you take both Gen Z and millennials as percentage of the voter registration pool, that’s a plurality right there,” Bitzer said. “But, getting them to be invested and to recognize what they can do, I think is a continuing struggle.”

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Bitzer told conference attendees that he expects another tight election in North Carolina, which former President Donald Trump won in 2020 by about 75,000 votes.

He said 97% of the state’s voters are evenly divided between voting for candidates of one of the major parties with a 3% set of potential swing voters.

“So little movements within North Carolina’s electorate can have huge effects,” Bitzer said. “All politics ain’t local in all deference to former Speaker Tip O’Neill.”



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North Carolina

North Carolina QB Max Johnson says he will return for 2025 season

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North Carolina QB Max Johnson says he will return for 2025 season


Max Johnson’s 2024 season reached a swift end after suffering a broken leg in North Carolina’s Week 1 win over Minnesota. Yet the senior intends to return to the Tar Heels to play one more season, he told ESPN’s Pete Thamel on Friday.

“These last eight days have been a serious grind and it has taken a lot to get to [the] other side and start the recovery process,” Johnson said in a statement sent to ESPN. “I want to thank Dr. Templeman and his team, the nurses and support staff at Hennepin County Medical Center who took amazing care of me.”

“It will be hard to sit on the sidelines, but I have a lot of football left in me and know I will be back out there next year,” he added after thanking University of Minnesota doctors, UNC head coach Mack Brown and his staff, athletic trainers, family and friends. “In the meantime, I’ll be there every day supporting my teammates and helping out as much as I can. I appreciate all the love and support from the fans — #GoHeels.”

Johnson had surgery on Aug. 30, following the game the day prior, and has remained in Minneapolis while recovering. According to Brown, Johnson will participate in team activities once he returns to Chapel Hill and is able to travel with the team to be on the sideline when medically cleared.

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Conner Harrell takes over as the Tar Heels’ starter after getting beat out by Johnson. As the backup to Drake Maye last season, he appeared in five games (including starting the Duke’s Mayo Bowl against West Virginia) and threw for 278 yards and two touchdowns on 67% passing.

Next season will be Johnson’s sixth in college football. He played his first two years at LSU before transferring to Texas A&M. After a coaching change in College Station, Johnson moved on to North Carolina with two years of eligibility remaining. Whether or not he petitions for a seventh year of eligibility may depend on how next season goes for him.

During his college career, Johnson has thrown for 5,923 yards and 47 touchdowns to 13 interceptions, while completing 61% of his passes.

North Carolina (1–0) hosts Charlotte (0–1) for its Week 2 matchup with kickoff from Chapel Hill at 3:30 p.m. ET.



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State leaders applaud North Carolina’s record-breaking $36B tourism industry

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State leaders applaud North Carolina’s record-breaking B tourism industry


As the fifth most visited state in the nation, travel spending within North Carolina’s tourism industry reached a record-breaking $36 million in 2023 as the state welcomed roughly 43 million visitors. The tourism industry generates nearly $2.6 billion in state and local tax revenues.



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Harris, Trump statistically even in North Carolina: Poll – Washington Examiner

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Harris, Trump statistically even in North Carolina: Poll – Washington Examiner


(The Center Square) – Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are in a statistical dead heat in the battleground of North Carolina, a new poll released just days ahead of absentee by mail ballots going out says.

With margin of error at +/- 3%, the Harris-Tim Walz ticket for Democrats leads Republicans’ Trump-J.D. Vance 48%-47%. The poll from the ECU Center for Survey Research has just 3% undecided, and a poll question on vice president picks shows selections of the Minnesota governor or the Ohio senator, respectively, was not detrimental with voters and if anything, more than affirmed their choice.

Mailing of absentee ballots was scheduled for Friday; a judge’s order may delay it in relation to litigation filed by former presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

“Kamala Harris has shaken up the presidential election,” said Dr. Peter Francia, director of the poll at East Carolina University. “When Donald Trump’s opponent was Joe Biden, it seemed very likely that North Carolina’s electoral college votes would go again to the Republican presidential candidate for the fourth consecutive time. Now, that seems significantly less certain. The nomination of Kamala Harris as the Democratic candidate has moved North Carolina squarely into the category of toss-up states.”

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Throughout the campaign, from Biden to Harris, the Old North State has been lodged with six others as a consensus battleground. The seven states represent 93 electoral college votes among them. Pennsylvania has 19, North Carolina and Georgia 16 each, Michigan 15, Arizona 11, Wisconsin 10 and Nevada six.

Harris is trying to do more than break a four-cycle run in North Carolina. Since Democrat Lyndon B. Johnson carried the state and won the presidency in 1964, the 14 cycles since have had just two others from the party carry the state. And neither Jimmy Carter (1976) or Barack Obama (2008) could do it again four years later, with Carter ultimately becoming a one-term president and Obama surviving the setback to finish eight years in the White House.

Trump, scheduled to be in Charlotte on Friday to address the National Fraternal Order of Police, has won the state twice. In 2016 he beat Hillary Clinton 49.8%-46.2% and in 2020 he beat President Joe Biden 49.9%-48.6%. Former President Gerald Ford and Sen. John McCain are the dubious names of the last 60 years he’s trying to avoid joining.

On vice president choices, Trump supporters were 96% more likely to vote for him or the selection had no impact; for Harris supporters, 97% said they were more likely to vote for her or the selection had no impact.

On the matter of results accurately reflecting votes cast, 78% chose either “a lot of confidence” or “some confidence.”

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The poll was conducted Aug. 26-28, the week after the Democratic National Convention. Sampling was of 920 likely voters, and the pollster says confidence level of results is 95%.

The tight presidential race is of no surprise, nor is the confirmation of separation by gubernatorial candidate Josh Stein against Mark Robinson. The Democratic attorney general began to lead and pull away in the summer, and Tuesday’s poll release has him up 47%-41% on the Republican lieutenant governor closely tied to Trump. Undecided is 11%, same as a June poll from ECU.

The poll asked about the most important issue in deciding votes. As has been the case all calendar year, money is the winner. The poll had 30% say inflation and the overall cost of living, and 22% said the economy in general. Abortion was third at 14%, a tick above border security (13%). Health care (4%) led the rest of the responses.



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