North Carolina
Kamala Harris ties Donald Trump in state he won in 2016 and 2020: Poll
Vice President Kamala Harris has pulled even with former President Donald Trump in North Carolina, a state he carried in both 2016 and 2020, according to a new poll released on Sunday.
The YouGov Blue survey, conducted on behalf of Carolina Forward, shows Harris and Trump deadlocked at 46 percent each among likely voters in the Tar Heel State. The poll, which sampled 802 voters online from August 5 to 9 has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.
This latest poll result represents a significant shift in a state that has been reliably Republican in recent presidential elections. Trump, the GOP’s presidential nominee, won North Carolina by 3.6 percentage points in 2016 against former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and by a narrower 1.3-point margin in 2020 against President Joe Biden. The state’s 16 electoral votes, increased from 15 after the 2020 Census, makes it a crucial battleground amid this year’s election.
The survey comes as Harris, the presumptive Democratic nominee, enters the race following Biden’s withdrawal on July 21. While Trump and Harris are tied among decided voters, they survey shows that 4 percent of respondents remain undecided, with an additional 1 percent undecided among third-party options. This leaves a small, but potentially crucial bloc of voters up for grabs in what could be one of 2024’s most hotly contested states.
Newsweek has contacted Harris’ campaign as well Trump’s spokesperson via email on Saturday for comment.
#New General Election Poll – North Carolina
🔵 Harris 46% YouGov #A (🔵) – 802 RV – 8/9
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 11, 2024
🔴 Trump 46%
Third-party candidates appear to be making minimal impact in North Carolina thus far. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. garnered 2 percent support, while other candidates like Cornel West, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver registered negligible support. This low third-party support contrasts with the 2016 election, where Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson received 2.74 percent of the vote in North Carolina.
North Carolina’s political landscape has been evolving over the past few decades. The state voted almost exclusively Democratic from 1876 through 1964 before shifting to a Republican stronghold beginning in 1968. This shift was part of the broader “Southern Strategy” employed by the Republican Party, which appealed to white conservative voters in the South who were uncomfortable with the civil rights legislation passed in the mid-1960s.
The state briefly went blue in 2008 when former President Barack Obama carried it by a razor-thin margin of about 14,000 votes out of 4.3 million cast (49.7 to 49.4 percent). This was the second closest race of the 2008 election, behind only Missouri. However, North Carolina flipped back to the GOP in 2012, with Mitt Romney defeating Obama by about 2 percent.
North Carolina’s rapidly growing urban areas have been trending Democratic in recent years, while rural regions remain deeply Republican. The suburbs, particularly around major cities like Charlotte, Raleigh, and Durham, could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the 2024 election in the state.
Joe Raedle/Brandon Bell/GETTY
The current poll’s tie between Harris and Trump reflects the state’s position as a true battleground. North Carolina’s demographic changes, including an influx of out-of-state residents to its urban areas and a growing minority population, have gradually shifted its political dynamics.
However, the poll did not provide detailed demographic breakdowns, leaving questions about which groups are driving the current tie between Harris and Trump in the state. Factors such as the urban-rural divide, education levels, and racial demographics have played significant roles in recent North Carolina elections and will likely be key in 2024 as well.
The economy and immigration remain top issues for voters nationwide, and North Carolina is likely no exception. The state’s diverse economy, which includes strong banking, technology, and agricultural sectors, means that economic policies could be a decisive factor for many voters.
What Other Polls Show
While this YouGov Blue poll shows a tie between the two, other recent surveys in North Carolina paint a different picture. A Trafalgar Group poll conducted from August 6 to 8, which surveyed 1,082 likely voters, showed Trump leading with 49 percent to Harris’ 45 percent. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.9 percent. Similarly, a Cygnal poll from August 4 to 5 puts Trump ahead at 47 percent compared to Harris’ 44 percent. That poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percent.
On the national level, Harris appears to have an edge. According to FiveThirtyEight’s poll aggregator, Harris leads with 45.7 percent to Trump’s 43.4 percent as of Sunday afternoon.
North Carolina
Former staffer claims sexual harassment in ethics complaint against NC insurance commissioner
A Forsyth County woman has filed an ethics complaint against North Carolina Insurance Commissioner Mike Causey, alleging that the official sent her what she called inappropriate text messages for years while she worked in the Department of Insurance.
Causey, meanwhile, says he would welcome an investigation into the allegations, telling WRAL News in an interview this week: “The truth will come out.”
Former regulatory analyst April Taylor filed the complaint last week with the State Ethics Commission. The DOI said Wednesday it has received a copy of the complaint.
Taylor is alleging sexual harassment. She also claims Causey campaigned on state time and misused a state vehicle.
Taylor alleged last month that Causey sent her a series of inappropriate text messages during her nine years at the department. She made the allegations in an article published by The News & Observer.
On Wednesday, Taylor shared images of the text messages with WRAL. She characterized her relationship with Causey as “friendly,” citing family ties dating back before she worked there. But the messages reflect a more complicated dynamic.
“Just don’t let me catch you in the room alone,” reads one message.
“I might jump your bones. Watch out!!!” reads another.
The messages made her uncomfortable, she told WRAL News, adding: “At the time, I didn’t know how to respond.”
Taylor told state investigators that she has many more text messages and screenshots to prove Causey was campaigning on state time while at a department office in Archdale. She also said Causey used a state vehicle for personal use, including to attend her great-aunt’s wedding in 2025.
“Although Causey and I had a friendship,” Taylor said in her filing, “he crossed the line many times, leaving me feeling uncomfortable and violated.”
She said she first attempted to raise the concerns
– unrelated to the text messages
– about Causey to the Office of the State Auditor, related to his official capacity as the state’s Insurance Commissioner. She alleged that the auditor’s office expressed little interest in investigating. A spokesperson for State Auditor Dave Boliek challenged her narrative, saying her complaint “draws incorrect conclusions.”
In her complaint, Taylor said: “I am willing to take a polygraph exam and testify before legislatures. Evidence will be furnished upon request.”
In her role as an analyst at the department, Taylor’s job led to frequent communication with Causey.
Taylor, who resides between Greensboro and Winston-Salem, allowed WRAL to read through text messages exchanged with Causey over the years.
Much of the communication observed appeared friendly or work-related. But Taylor says some texts went too far – particularly those that commented on her appearance.
WRAL asked Causey about Taylor’s allegations. He declined to comment, saying it was a personnel matter. He added that he was open to an investigation into the initial allegations.
“We want to make sure everything is clear and transparent,” Causey said, “because we certainly have nothing to hide to the public, to the lawmakers, or to any of my fellow elected officials.”
Causey acknowledged to the N&O that he sent work-related texts to Taylor. But he told the newspaper that he didn’t recall sending comments related to her appearance. Taylor disputes that.
“Throughout the years, I thought they were inappropriate,” Taylor said. “I felt uncomfortable. I responded with laughing emojis because I didn’t know how to respond. What am I supposed to do, respond with mad faces? He may look at it as a form of rejection.”
Taylor said she was in an appointed position. “He could have let me go for any reason,” she said.
Asked why she didn’t push back against the messages, Taylor said: “I just didn’t want to make the situation uncomfortable. Just wanted to laugh it off.”
Several messages sent by Taylor to Causey were flattering in nature, including heart and smiling emojis, as well as references to Causey as a “handsome” man. “I felt the laughing emoji was my way of trying to shut it down,” she said.
A spokesperson for the department declined to comment on the allegations.
“Commissioner Causey and NCDOI will fully comply with any requests by the N.C. State Ethics Commission regarding this or any other matter,” Barry Smith a DOI spokesman, said in a statement.
North Carolina
‘Bonsai in the Blue Ridge’ exhibit brings dozens of displays to North Carolina Arboretum
ASHEVILLE, N.C. (WLOS) — The North Carolina Arboretum will host a bonanza of bonsai this week with “Bonsai in the Blue Ridge,” a limited-time exhibition of more than 50 living sculptures as part of the American Bonsai Society’s Learning Seminar 2026.
Between June 4-7, arboretum visitors can explore the exhibits for a $5 admission fee, along with the arboretum’s regular parking fee. A press release from the arboretum said there will also be opportunities to register for seminars, workshops and tours led by bonsai artists for an additional cost.
GROWING YOUR GARDEN? PLENTY OF PLANTS FOR PURCHASE AT THE ARBORETUM’S SPRING SALE
“The American Bonsai Society brings together people who share a passion for bonsai. Through world-class publications and events such as the Learning Seminars, ABS promotes and educates, sharing techniques that showcase North American artistic expression and encouraging the use of plant species that grow well in the United States, Canada, and Mexico,” ABS Convention Chair Scott Barboza said in a written statement.
FILE IMAGE of a bonsai plant that is part of the North Carolina Arboretum’s Bonsai Exhibition Garden. (Photo: North Carolina Arboretum)
Bonsai is the ancient art of shaping trees over time to create miniature living sculptures. The North Carolina Arboretum is no stranger to the art, having established the Bonsai Exhibition Garden in 2005, which showcases up to 50 specimens of traditional Asian bonsai subjects, tropical plants, American species and plants native to the Blue Ridge region.
IKEBANA INTERNATIONAL ASHEVILLE STAGES FLORAL DESIGN EXHIBITION AT NC ARBORETUM
“Bonsai in the Blue Ridge” takes place 5 to 7 p.m. Thursday, June 4, 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. Friday and Saturday, June 5 and 6, and 9 a.m. to noon Sunday, June 7.
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See a full schedule of events for this week’s seminar at americanbonsaisociety.org.
North Carolina
Greenville Police Department Join Effort Promoting Safe Firearm Storage
The Greenville Police Department joined community leaders in Pitt County this week to promote safe firearm storage as part of North Carolina’s annual NC S.A.F.E. Week of Action, the Greenville Police Department said.
In a statement, the Greenville Police Department thanked NC S.A.F.E. and the North Carolina Department of Public Safety for the opportunity to help educate residents about responsible firearm storage practices.
We want to thank NC S.A.F.E. and the North Carolina Department of Public Safety for allowing us to help relay to the community the importance of safely securing firearms so that we can avoid tragedies in the future!
The local event follows Gov. Josh Stein’s proclamation recognizing June 1-7 as NC S.A.F.E. Week of Action.
According to Gov. Stein’s office, the campaign aims to encourage gun owners to securely store firearms and make safety resources more widely available across North Carolina.
An unlocked gun is a tragedy waiting to happen, and too often, it does,” said Governor Josh Stein. “NC S.A.F.E Week is a reminder to all of us about the measures we can all take to keep ourselves and the people we love safe.
Safe firearm storage is one of the simplest steps we can take to prevent tragedies before they happen,” said North Carolina Department of Public Safety Deputy Secretary William Lassiter Lassiter. “NC S.A.F.E. is increasing awareness around secure firearm storage and making safety resources more accessible to help reduce preventable injuries and build safer communities throughout our state.
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