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Kamala Harris ties Donald Trump in state he won in 2016 and 2020: Poll

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Kamala Harris ties Donald Trump in state he won in 2016 and 2020: Poll


Vice President Kamala Harris has pulled even with former President Donald Trump in North Carolina, a state he carried in both 2016 and 2020, according to a new poll released on Sunday.

The YouGov Blue survey, conducted on behalf of Carolina Forward, shows Harris and Trump deadlocked at 46 percent each among likely voters in the Tar Heel State. The poll, which sampled 802 voters online from August 5 to 9 has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

This latest poll result represents a significant shift in a state that has been reliably Republican in recent presidential elections. Trump, the GOP’s presidential nominee, won North Carolina by 3.6 percentage points in 2016 against former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and by a narrower 1.3-point margin in 2020 against President Joe Biden. The state’s 16 electoral votes, increased from 15 after the 2020 Census, makes it a crucial battleground amid this year’s election.

The survey comes as Harris, the presumptive Democratic nominee, enters the race following Biden’s withdrawal on July 21. While Trump and Harris are tied among decided voters, they survey shows that 4 percent of respondents remain undecided, with an additional 1 percent undecided among third-party options. This leaves a small, but potentially crucial bloc of voters up for grabs in what could be one of 2024’s most hotly contested states.

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Newsweek has contacted Harris’ campaign as well Trump’s spokesperson via email on Saturday for comment.

Third-party candidates appear to be making minimal impact in North Carolina thus far. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. garnered 2 percent support, while other candidates like Cornel West, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver registered negligible support. This low third-party support contrasts with the 2016 election, where Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson received 2.74 percent of the vote in North Carolina.

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North Carolina’s political landscape has been evolving over the past few decades. The state voted almost exclusively Democratic from 1876 through 1964 before shifting to a Republican stronghold beginning in 1968. This shift was part of the broader “Southern Strategy” employed by the Republican Party, which appealed to white conservative voters in the South who were uncomfortable with the civil rights legislation passed in the mid-1960s.

The state briefly went blue in 2008 when former President Barack Obama carried it by a razor-thin margin of about 14,000 votes out of 4.3 million cast (49.7 to 49.4 percent). This was the second closest race of the 2008 election, behind only Missouri. However, North Carolina flipped back to the GOP in 2012, with Mitt Romney defeating Obama by about 2 percent.

North Carolina’s rapidly growing urban areas have been trending Democratic in recent years, while rural regions remain deeply Republican. The suburbs, particularly around major cities like Charlotte, Raleigh, and Durham, could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the 2024 election in the state.

Former President Donald Trump is seen on August 3 in Atlanta. Vice President Kamala Harris is seen on July 31 in Houston. Harris has pulled even with Trump in North Carolina, a state he carried…


Joe Raedle/Brandon Bell/GETTY

The current poll’s tie between Harris and Trump reflects the state’s position as a true battleground. North Carolina’s demographic changes, including an influx of out-of-state residents to its urban areas and a growing minority population, have gradually shifted its political dynamics.

However, the poll did not provide detailed demographic breakdowns, leaving questions about which groups are driving the current tie between Harris and Trump in the state. Factors such as the urban-rural divide, education levels, and racial demographics have played significant roles in recent North Carolina elections and will likely be key in 2024 as well.

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The economy and immigration remain top issues for voters nationwide, and North Carolina is likely no exception. The state’s diverse economy, which includes strong banking, technology, and agricultural sectors, means that economic policies could be a decisive factor for many voters.

What Other Polls Show

While this YouGov Blue poll shows a tie between the two, other recent surveys in North Carolina paint a different picture. A Trafalgar Group poll conducted from August 6 to 8, which surveyed 1,082 likely voters, showed Trump leading with 49 percent to Harris’ 45 percent. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.9 percent. Similarly, a Cygnal poll from August 4 to 5 puts Trump ahead at 47 percent compared to Harris’ 44 percent. That poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percent.

On the national level, Harris appears to have an edge. According to FiveThirtyEight’s poll aggregator, Harris leads with 45.7 percent to Trump’s 43.4 percent as of Sunday afternoon.





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Police: North Carolina man charged after high-speed chase in Erie County, arrested in the Town of Perry

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Police: North Carolina man charged after high-speed chase in Erie County, arrested in the Town of Perry


PERRY, N.Y. — A North Carolina man is in custody after a chase that started in Erie County and ended with an arrest in Perry.

Wyoming County Sheriff’s deputies say Ericson Vasquez-Moran, 22, rammed a Border Patrol vehicle in Erie County around 11:30 p.m. Tuesday before taking off. The suspect was spotted in Warsaw on Route 20A, but a chase was called off due to high speeds.

Then around 2:30 a.m. Wednesday, deputies say Vasquez-Moran called 911 from Perry to surrender.

He’s charged with speeding, failure to keep right, unlawful fleeing a police officer, reckless driving, and reckless endangerment in the second degree.

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Vasquez-Moran was given an appearance ticket for the Village of Warsaw Court and was released to the custody of the United States Border Patrol.



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Asheville City Council unanimously rejects 100-unit affordable housing project

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Asheville City Council unanimously rejects 100-unit affordable housing project


After nearly two hours of public comment, the Asheville City Council unanimously denied a proposed affordable housing complex off Caribou Road—despite the city’s ongoing housing crisis.

The proposal, submitted by developer Pennrose, would have brought 100 affordable housing units to a nearly 10-acre site in the Shiloh neighborhood.

“I’m going to vote against affordable housing tonight, and that’s not a norm for me,” said Asheville City Councilmember Sage Turner.

AFFORDABLE HOUSING PROJECTS MOVE FORWARD ACROSS WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA

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News 13 asked Vice Mayor Antanette Mosely why the city would deny this project amid a housing crisis in Asheville.

She said, in a statement, “I absolutely believe Asheville needs more affordable housing, and I have consistently supported housing projects across the city. But not every site is appropriate for every project.”

Residents who opposed the project said they were not against affordable housing itself, but believed the development was too large for the area.

MAY 13, 2026 – The Asheville City Council unanimously denied a proposed affordable housing complex off Caribou Road—despite the city’s ongoing housing crisis. (Photo credit: WLOS Staff)

“The access is too narrow, there was only one access point, the streets are too narrow, we’ve got a big problem with traffic here,” said Shiloh resident Scott Raines.

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“Perhaps the only thing that I consider as a dead stop for affordable housing is if people are going to be injured or possibly die from the traffic that’s created,” Michael Boses, another resident, said.

ASHEVILLE PROPOSES PROPERTY TAX RATE INCREASE TO CLOSE $8.9M BUDGET GAP

The Shiloh neighborhood, established in 1870, is one of Asheville’s last historically Black communities. Several council members said preserving the area’s legacy factored into their decision.

“My vote for no is because I feel hyper protective of our legacy neighborhoods, I feel hyper protective of Shiloh,” Turner said.

Pennrose responded to the denial in a statement, saying: “While we are disappointed in the Council’s decision concerning the rezoning application at Caribou Road, we respect the community’s interest in preserving the character of legacy neighborhoods.”

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Asheville only funded 8 Helene homes repairs. That could change soon

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Asheville only funded 8 Helene homes repairs. That could change soon


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ASHEVILLE – The city will consider shifting $19.2 million of its Tropical Storm Helene recovery funding to repair single-family housing after its initial plan would only repair about eight homes.

Across Western North Carolina, contracts for the repair, reconstruction or rehabilitation of single-family homes damaged by Helene have come in at an average cost of $276,285, according to slides presented to the Governor’s Advisory Committee on Western North Carolina Recovery on April 20. The repair program, managed through RenewNC, is funded by a $1.4 billion Community Development Block Grant delivered to North Carolina from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

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In 2024, the North Carolina Office of Budget and Management estimated that over 70,000 homes were damaged by the storm, which caused an estimated $60 billion in damages and killed over 100 in the state.

After the city received its own $225 million grant from HUD, City Council unanimously voted to only allocated $31 million to housing for both multi-family projects and single-family home repairs. Of that $31 million pot, it only allocated $3 million to the single-family home repair program. During a May 5 Housing and Community Development Committee meeting, the city projected costs for just single-family home repairs at $30 million to $40 million.

In late 2025 and early 2026, city staff had suggested moving millions into the single-family home program to meet rising demand, the Citizen Times reported. During an April 1 Helene Housing Recovery Meeting, Director of Renew NC’s Single-Family Housing Program Maggie Battaglin estimated the $3 million in funding would only cover around eight homes.

Under the city’s agreement with the state, Asheville is not able to access the additional $807 million allocated to the single-family home repair program, meaning remaining applicants in Asheville would not be served. The agreement was first reported by Blue Ridge Public Radio.

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Staff are now suggesting reallocating $19.2 million from other areas of its CDBG plan to fund the single-family repair program. The reallocation, which would require an amendment to the city’s plan, would pull $9.2 million from its multi-family housing program and $10 million from its CDBG-DR Infrastructure Program, where the city would pull from the funds from a project at the North Fork Water Treatment Plant. The reallocation would set aside $22.2 million for the program and will serve 55-65 households, according to state estimates presented by city of Asheville staff.

As of May 5, 285 applications for the program were filed in Asheville with 132 being considered “active” and eight being “under review.” Of the city’s applicants, 124 households have been deemed eligible for the RenewNC program.

The reallocation would set aside $22.2 million for the program and serve roughly 55-65 households, the city’s CDBG-DR Program Manager Elma King said during City Council’s May 7 Agenda Briefing. It’s still not enough to serve everyone, though, King said.

“Additional CDBG-DR programs, outside of infrastructure, may need to be re-evaluated to support single-family home repair,” King said.

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As Western North Carolina continues to recover from Helene, lawmakers and regional leaders have pushed for more funding from the federal government. Despite high damages, Congress and FEMA have only distributed roughly $7 billion to the state, according to estimates from the Governor’s Office for Western North Carolina Recovery. Gov. Josh Stein has requested an additional $13.5 billion in federal aid, which would go through HUD’s CDBG-DR program.

Estimated damages in Asheville from Helene are far above the $225 million provided by the federal government, City Council member Kim Roney noted during the May 7 meeting.

“I keep coming back to the point that we don’t have enough funding, because $225 million sounds like a lot but it’s not $1.1 billion,” Roney said.

City Council will vote on the $19.2 million reallocation on June 23.

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Will Hofmann is the Growth and Development Reporter for the Asheville Citizen Times, part of the USA Today Network. Got a tip? Email him at WHofmann@citizentimes.com or message will_hofmann.01 on Signal.



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