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LSU vs. Mississippi State odds, spread, time: 2023 picks, Week 3 college football predictions by proven model

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LSU vs. Mississippi State odds, spread, time: 2023 picks, Week 3 college football predictions by proven model


The 14th-ranked LSU Tigers and unranked Mississippi State Bulldogs open SEC play on Saturday in Starkville, Miss. The Tigers (1-1), who were crushed 45-24 by Florida State in the season opener, rebounded last Saturday with a 72-10 thrashing of Grambling State. The Bulldogs (2-0), meanwhile, opened with a 48-7 win over Southeast Louisiana on Sept. 2, before surviving with a 31-24 overtime win over Arizona a week ago. Zach Arnett has started his Mississippi State career 3-0 as head coach and, with a win over LSU, would become the first coach in program history to start their MSU career with a 4-0 record.

Kickoff from Davis Wade Stadium is set for noon ET. LSU leads the all-time series 77-36-3, including a 17-7-1 edge in games played at Starkville. The Tigers are 9.5-point favorites in the latest LSU vs. Mississippi State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 54.5. Before making any Mississippi State vs. LSU picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the model has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on LSU vs. Mississippi State and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Mississippi State vs. LSU:

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  • LSU vs. Mississippi State spread: LSU -9.5
  • LSU vs. Mississippi State over-under: 54.5 points
  • LSU vs. Mississippi State money line: LSU -371, Mississippi State +288
  • LSU: The Tigers have hit the Over on the team total in nine of their last 13 games
  • MSU: The Bulldogs have won seven of their last eight games at home
  • LSU vs. Mississippi State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why LSU can cover

Senior quarterback Jayden Daniels is off to a fast start to the season. Through the first two games, he has completed 40 of 61 passes (65.6%) for 615 yards and six touchdowns. He has been picked off once, but has a rating of 179.4. He is also the team’s second-leading rusher, carrying a team-high 20 times for 93 yards (4.7 average), including a long run of 40 yards.

Daniels’ favorite target has been junior wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. Thomas, who is in his third year with the program, has a team-high 13 receptions for 220 yards (16.9 average) and three touchdowns. Last Saturday against Grambling State, he caught six passes for 78 yards (13.0 average) and two TDs. He has 72 career receptions for 940 yards (13.1 average) and 10 touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

Why Mississippi State can cover

Senior quarterback Will Rogers has been a big part of the Bulldogs’ success. He has completed 33 of 46 passes (71.7%) for 389 yards and five touchdowns. Despite being sacked three times, he has held up well and not thrown any interceptions while compiling a rating of 178.6. He is in his fourth season at Mississippi State, where he has completed 70.7% of his passes for 11,078 yards and 87 touchdowns, while being intercepted just 24 times.

Also leading the Bulldogs’ offense is senior running back Jo’Quavious Marks. The fourth-year player, who has spent his entire collegiate career at Mississippi State, carried 24 times for 123 yards (5.1 average) and one TD in the win over Arizona. In four seasons with the Bulldogs, Marks has rushed for 1,560 yards and 21 scores. A year ago, he carried 113 times for 582 yards (5.2 average) and nine touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

How to make Mississippi State vs. LSU picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 52 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can see the model’s picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins LSU vs. Mississippi State, and which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of almost $2,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out. 

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Arizona State RB Cam Skattebo ‘disrespected’ by Mississippi State football’s defensive game plan

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Arizona State RB Cam Skattebo ‘disrespected’ by Mississippi State football’s defensive game plan


Cam Skattebo slammed Mississippi State on the football field on Saturday night and also took another jab afterward in his postgame press conference. 

The Arizona State running back, following a 30-23 Sun Devils win at Mountain America Stadium, took exception to MSU only utilizing three defenders on the line of scrimmage. The results were damning. 

Arizona State (2-0) rushed for 346 yards. It was the most allowed by Mississippi State (1-1) in a game since Arkansas in 2016. Skattebo’s 262 rushing yards on 33 carries were the second-most in ASU history. 

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“They couldn’t stop us in that three-down front,” Skattebo said when asked what made ASU’s run game successful. “Honestly, we all felt disrespected with them in a three-down front. You can’t come in here and put five guys in the box and expect to stop six. I don’t know. We took that a little disrespectful, and we rushed for what over 300 yards? Something around there. It is what it is.”

Skattebo, a 5-foot-11, 215-pound junior, also led Arizona State with 35 receiving yards on three catches.

“I knew these dudes were big and heavy,” he said. “We knew going into the game they weren’t as physical as most other teams but they’re heavy. So when they hit you, it hurts, no matter how hard they’re coming — 300 pounds at 10 miles per hour or 16 miles per hour hurts the same. I just kept my feet moving.” 

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Mississippi State trailed 30-3 in the third quarter but scored 20 unanswered points to cut the score to 30-23 with 5:27 to play. The Bulldogs never touched the ball again, with the Sun Devils running out the clock on 12 plays. 

Skattebo had a game-sealing 39-yard rush that allowed ASU to kneel down.

“Until the end, we had our ups and downs there, but that was fun,” he said. “You can ask these guys up front, bullying dudes, grown men that are 300 pounds, that’s fun to us. That’s fun to the front-five, the front-seven and the running back. The quarterback probably hates it. He probably likes watching, but he didn’t complain one time the whole game.”

Sam Sklar is the Mississippi State beat reporter for the Clarion Ledger. Email him at ssklar@gannett.com and follow him on X @sklarsam_.



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Why Mississippi State football loss to Arizona State revealed a strong Jeff Lebby culture

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Why Mississippi State football loss to Arizona State revealed a strong Jeff Lebby culture


It was 11:10 p.m. Saturday in Starkville when Arizona State quarterback Sam Leavitt barreled into the end zone for his second touchdown of the game. 

At that point, it would’ve been fair for Mississippi State football fans to call it a night. The Bulldogs (1-1) trailed 27-3 at ASU in the final minute of the second quarter. They were dominated in just about every statistical category. New coach Jeff Lebby looked like he was headed toward his first loss, and an embarrassing one. 

And even if you gave the second half a chance, eyes just a crack open, that wasn’t encouraging either. Arizona State (2-0) took the opening drive of the third quarter for a field goal while eating 8 minutes, 27 seconds of game time. That just about decided the game before Mississippi State touched the ball in the second half. 

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Wrong. 

Instead, MSU scored touchdowns on three of its next four drives and cut the score to 30-23 with 5:27 to play. The defense, which was torched for 346 rushing yards, needed one more stop to let the offense try to tie it. It would’ve been the largest comeback in program history.  

Mississippi State’s path to a bowl game seems murkier than it was a week ago. But in the long-term, there’s still encouragement after the 30-23 loss. 

“Our guys battled in an incredible way in the second half, and we’re going to hold on to that,” Lebby said in his postgame radio interview. “We’re going to find ways to get back in the building, get back to work and be able to walk into Davis Wade (Stadium) with a ton of confidence and ready to go win a football game.”

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The encouragement from Mississippi State’s comeback effort 

Lebby said after beating Eastern Kentucky 56-7 in Week 1 that there is an abundance of teachable moments in wins, just like losses. 

There is plenty to point to after losing to Arizona State. 

Mississippi State came out incredibly flat. The Sun Devils scored on their first five possessions. The MSU offense had one field goal, two punts, a fumble returned for a touchdown and a turnover-on-downs in the first half. MSU had -13 rushing yards in the first half. 

There were concerns entering the game about the travel distance, late kickoff and high temperature. But let’s be real, Mississippi State was playing so poorly at the start that it was hard to judge if those were factors. 

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“I got to do a better job getting these guys ready to go play out of the gate,” Lebby said. “I thought our energy, our effort and our emotion was really good, but then we did not play clean there in the first quarter, so that part was frustrating.”

The Bulldogs outscored the Sun Devils 20-0 in the final quarter and a half. It was a surprise. Arizona State was rolling. Mississippi State was not. 

MORE: Introducing Sam Sklar, the Clarion Ledger’s new Mississippi State beat reporter

For Lebby, a first-time head coach at any level, let it be a learning moment for him. It was his first time getting pinned in a corner. The Bulldogs adjusted correctly in the second half like good coaches do. 

The rushing offense and defense both need to improve. Badly. Quarterback Blake Shapen has been impressive in his first two Mississippi State games and the wide receiver room is deep and talented as ever, but they can’t be the only answer. 

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That’s just for this season. 

Mississippi State has its first tally in the loss column. But it isn’t a strike against Lebby leading the future of the program.

Sam Sklar is the Mississippi State beat reporter for the Clarion Ledger. Email him at ssklar@gannett.com and follow him on X @sklarsam_.



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Arizona State football turns heads with ‘unreal’ uniforms vs Mississippi State

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Arizona State football turns heads with ‘unreal’ uniforms vs Mississippi State


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The Arizona State football team elevated its play on the field in its 48-7 win over Wyoming in Week 1.

It is elevating its uniform game for Week 2 against Mississippi State.

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ASU football is wearing a gold alternate jersey against the Bulldogs at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe on Saturday night.

The jersey includes maroon “Arizona State” lettering and maroon numbering, along with a noticeable Big 12 logo.

The Sun Devil football team unveiled the uniform last month, with Athletic Director Graham Rossini posting that “you’ll see this on the field early this season.”

On Thursday, ASU football announced that it would be wearing the uniform against Mississippi State with a video that said “Modern shine, with a classic design.”

On Friday, it posted another look at the uniform.

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More: Arizona State vs Mississippi State live score updates, analysis for college football game

ASU vs Mississippi State schedule, TV: How to watch college football game

Promising look: Arizona State football’s 2024 win prediction doubles after Week 1 victory over Wyoming

Social media reacted favorably overall to ASU football’s uniform vs Mississippi State:

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Do you like the look for ASU football?

ASU vs. Mississippi State picks: Who wins Week 2 college football game?

Looking promising: Arizona State football makes huge leap in college football ranking, Big 12 power rankings

Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

Support local journalism: Subscribe to azcentral.com today.

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