The New York Yankees (60-56) and Miami Marlins (60-57) play Game 2 of their 3-game series at loanDepot Park Saturday. First pitch is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Marlins and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since Yankees won all 3 matchups in 2021
The Yankees are 2-2 during their current 9-game road trip after a 9-4 win over the Marlins on Friday night. New York has struggled to score runs on the road, averaging less than 4.5 runs per game. It is 25-28 away from Yankee Stadium on the season.
Miami began its 6-game homestand with Friday’s loss. Despite only scoring 4.14 runs per game at loanDepot Park this season, it is 9 games above .500 at home. The Marlins are 23-16 during interleague play.
Yankees at Marlins projected starters
RHP Michael King vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara
King (3-4, 2.88 ERA) will make his 1st start and 39th appearance. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 59 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-1 victory at Chicago White Sox Tuesday
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-3 home loss vs. Los Angeles Angels June 28, 2021
- 2023 road stats: 1-1, 2.17 ERA (29 IP, 7 ER), .154 OBA in 17 relief appearances
- Never faced Marlins before
Alcantara (4-10, 4.28 ERA) will make his 24th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 149 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 6-0 loss at Texas Rangers Sunday
- 2023 home stats: 1-4, 3.95 ERA (68 1/3 IP, 30 ER), .232 OBA in 10 starts
- Career vs Yankees: 0-0, 1.26 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 2 ER) with 19 K in 2 starts – last faced New York in 2021
Yankees at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:07 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Marlins -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-160) | Marlins -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Yankees at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 5, Yankees 4
Moneyline
AVOID.
This game is tough to handicap, which is why I’m going to avoid the bet completely. I’m giving the Marlins a slight edge but not enough to bet them at -160. Look to the run total in this game.
Run line/Against the spread
SKIP.
I like the Yankees getting the run and a half but not enough to take them at -160, and I am not confident enough in the Marlins to bet them giving the run and a half. I’d stick to the run total in this one.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 7.5 (-105).
I think this line is set too low. I know that Alcantara is the reigning Cy Young winner in the NL but he hasn’t pitched like that this season. Despite King’s terrific numbers on the road, those were in relief appearances. This is his first start since June 2021.
The Yankees have been over this total in 4 of their last 5 — including Friday in Miami — and the Marlins have been over in their last 2.
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