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Miami Marlins at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

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Miami Marlins at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions


The Texas Rangers (64-46) welcome the Miami Marlins (58-53) to Globe Life Field Saturday. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Texas leads 1-0

The Marlins lost the series opener 6-2 Friday, marking their 4th loss in their last 5 games. Miami is 2-5 over its last 7 games and 24-29 on the road this season, sitting 3rd in the NL East — 14 games behind the division-leading Atlanta Braves.

The Rangers swept the Chicago White Sox in a 3-game series to start the week and enter on a 4-game win streak. They are 38-20 at home this season but just 5-5 over their last 10 games overall, although 6 of those outings were on the road. Texas leads the AL West, 1 1/2 games ahead of the Houston Astros.

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Marlins at Rangers projected starters

RHP George Soriano vs. RHP Jon Gray

Soriano (0-0, 1.98 ERA) makes his 1st career start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 27 1/3 IP.

  • Last appearance: No-decision, 1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K in relief in 8-6 home win vs. Detroit Tigers Sunday
  • 2023 away stats: 0-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER) in 4 relief appearances

Gray (6-5, 3.66 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 108 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 10-9 road loss at Houston Astros on July 24
  • 2023 home stats: 2-3, 4.13 ERA (56 2/3 IP, 26 ER) in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Marlins: 4-3, 52 2/3 IP, 21 ER, 55 H, 8 BB, 55 K in 9 starts

Marlins at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Rangers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-125) | Rangers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Marlins 2

Moneyline

PASS.

Betting against the Rangers at home this season hasn’t been wise, and that trend should continue Saturday. They had a strong start to the series as OF Adolis Garcia got a hit in each at-bat and finished with 2 RBIs.

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Texas has the 2nd-best home record in the majors, only behind the Tampa Bay Rays. That strength makes the Marlins a pass, but Texas (-190) is far too expensive as an outright play.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RANGERS -1.5 (+105).

The Marlins will be starting Soriano, who likely won’t go more than 3 innings. They don’t have a strong bullpen, sitting 17th in the league in reliever ERA (4.12).

Texas has been the best team in the MLB on the run line at home, posting a strong 37-21 record. It is also the best in the majors as a favorite (40-31). On the flip side, Miami is just 26-27 on the run line on the road (the 5th-worst covering rate in MLB).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9 (-115).

The Under has been a strong play for the Rangers as of late. They have gone Under in 6 of their last 7 games, having allowed just 6 runs throughout their last 4 games.

Miami is 51-56-4 O/U on the season and has gone Under in 4 of its last 5 games as well. Its bats have been a problem as of late, scoring 2 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 5 games.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Miami, FL

Penn State transfer portal target, Pa. native commits to Miami

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Penn State transfer portal target, Pa. native commits to Miami


Penn State had a successful Saturday, beating SMU in the College Football Playoff first round in convincing fashion. But not everything went the Nittany Lions’ way.

David Blay, one of Penn State’s top targets in the transfer portal, committed to Miami. The news was reported by on3 on Saturday afternoon.

In addition to Penn State and Miami, Blay was also being pursued by Florida State, Illinois, Oklahoma, USC, Wisconsin, Mississippi State and Arkansas.

Blay, a standout at Louisiana Tech who visited last weekend, was a top target for the Nittany Lions as they look to add depth and talent to their defensive line for the 2025 season.

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Blay is a Levittown native who played at Harry S. Truman High School outside Philadelphia before going to West Chester to play at the Division II level in 2021 and 2022. Blay transferred to Louisiana Tech, where he was a first-team All-Conference USA selection this year.

Blay finished the 2024 season with 46 tackles, 10 1/2 tackles for loss and 6 1/2 sacks.

Penn State has addressed a couple needs in the portal so far in the winter window, earning commitments from USC wide receiver Kyron Hudson and Texas A&M defensive end Enai White. But the Nittany Lions would love to add a defensive tackle or two.



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Miami, FL

Miami Heat Sharpshooter Could be Perfect Fit for OKC Thunder

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Miami Heat Sharpshooter Could be Perfect Fit for OKC Thunder


Throughout the season, Oklahoma City has had struggles shooting from outside, and a fix could come through the trade route.

On Friday, the Thunder won their seventh straight regular season game with a 104-97 victory in Miami. The Thunder improved to 22-5 and had one of their best 3-point shooting nights of the season, shooting 14-of-34 from outside. 

On the other side, the Thunder might have played against someone who could be a seamless fit. Heat forward Duncan Robinson had a rough shooting night against the Thunder, as most players in the league do, but kept firing for a 3-of-11 night from beyond the arc.

A career 39.7% 3-point shooter, Robinson has hit near that mark again this season while taking well over six attempts per game. Although his defense has been criticized throughout his career, he has shown he can play well enough to stay on the floor and contribute, as seen by his roles in Miami’s 2020 and 2023 Finals runs.

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As far as the trade block, the Thunder have already been linked to Brooklyn’s Cam Johnson. While he and Robinson have a similar contract, Johnson has one more year on his deal and makes a bit more money. 

While Johnson’s added production makes him clearly the better player and potential target, the Thunder might be able to get Robinson for a much lower price, especially if the Heat begin to shift gears and go through with a Jimmy Butler trade.

In any case, the Thunder would have to send out someone in the rotation. Given what Robinson could bring to the Thunder, players on newly signed extensions, such as Isaiah Joe or Aaron Wiggins, could be the perfect centerpiece of a deal alongside another small contract.

Given their youth, skillsets, and long-term security, either could be a solid piece for the Heat. Meanwhile, this would be a win-now move for the Thunder, losing one of the young wings they’ve developed for a proven playoff performer. 

Perhaps the Thunder would be hesitant to make such a deal after the Gordon Hayward trade went south last season. However, Robinson has been in and out of the Heat’s rotation throughout his time with Erik Spoelstra and could adapt to any role the Thunder throw at him.

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There might not be a perfect trade for the Thunder, but Robinson could solve some problems and push the Thunder’s shooting into a championship tier.

Want to join the discussion? Like Thunder on SI on Facebook and follow us on Twitter to stay up to date on all the latest Thunder news. You can also meet the team behind the coverage.



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Video: Miami QB commit Dereon Coleman comments on loyalty to Canes

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Video: Miami QB commit Dereon Coleman comments on loyalty to Canes


Miami 2026 quarterback commit Dereon Coleman comments on alpha mentality, his relationship with offensive coordinator Shannon Dawson, and why he remains committed to the Hurricanes after DEFCON 7-on-7 Showcase (try-outs) in Fort Lauderdale, FL.

Talk with Miami fans on Canes Talk, Inside Canes Hoops, and Canes on the Diamond

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