The Orlando Magic (22-20) welcome the Miami Heat (24-18) to the Kia Center Sunday. Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Magic odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Heat lead 2-0
The Magic lost at home to the Heat 115-106 on Dec. 20, failing to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. They are coming off a 124-109 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers Friday, closing as a 5.5-point underdog. Orlando is a strong 27-15 against the spread (ATS) this season, but is just 2-4 ATS in its last 6. The Magic are led by F Paolo Banchero, who is averaging 22.7 points per game.
The Heat lost to the Atlanta Hawks 109-108 Friday as a 7-point home favorite and have lost 6 of their last 11 games. Miami is 19-22-1 ATS on the season, but just 4-6-1 ATS over its last 11 games. It is 3-2 ATS in its last 5 home games. They are led by G Tyler Herro, who is averaging 22.5 PPG.
Heat at Magic odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Magic -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -1 (-108) | Magic -1 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Magic key injuries
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (shoulder) probable
Magic
- G Gary Harris (calf) out
- G Franz Wagner (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Magic picks and predictions
Prediction
Magic 109, Heat 105
Moneyline
BET MAGIC (-104).
The Heat beat the Magic in Orlando by 9 earlier in the season, but Miami shot 52% from deep while Orlando shot just 25%. That likely won’t be repeated Sunday.
Orlando is 12-6 ATS at home, and with the moneyline and spread so close, that figure should give Magic bettors hope. Orlando is 6-3 straight up as a home underdog, the 3rd-best winning rate in that situation in the NBA. Miami has lost 2 straight and is 2-4 straight up on the road over its last 6 away games.
Back MAGIC (-104).
Against the spread
PASS.
Orlando has been solid at home when an underdog, so back it on the moneyline over the slightly different spread.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 214.5 (-110).
Neither team plays at a fast pace, and both teams have a strong defense. The Heat have gone Under in 5 straight games and have scored less than 100 points in 3 of those 5. They are 18-24 O/U on the season. The Magic have scored 100 or fewer in 4 of tier last 6 games and are 1-5 O/U in those 6. Orlando is 19-23 O/U on the season.
The Magic rank 5th in defensive rating with Miami 10th. Both teams are in the bottom half of the league in offensive rating. Expect a defensive-minded game. Back UNDER 214.5 (-110).
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