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Miami Heat at Orlando Magic odds, picks and predictions

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Miami Heat at Orlando Magic odds, picks and predictions


The Orlando Magic (22-20) welcome the Miami Heat (24-18) to the Kia Center Sunday. Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Magic odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Heat lead 2-0

The Magic lost at home to the Heat 115-106 on Dec. 20, failing to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. They are coming off a 124-109 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers Friday, closing as a 5.5-point underdog. Orlando is a strong 27-15 against the spread (ATS) this season, but is just 2-4 ATS in its last 6. The Magic are led by F Paolo Banchero, who is averaging 22.7 points per game.

The Heat lost to the Atlanta Hawks 109-108 Friday as a 7-point home favorite and have lost 6 of their last 11 games. Miami is 19-22-1 ATS on the season, but just 4-6-1 ATS over its last 11 games. It is 3-2 ATS in its last 5 home games. They are led by G Tyler Herro, who is averaging 22.5 PPG.

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Heat at Magic odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Heat -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Magic -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Heat -1 (-108) | Magic -1 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Heat at Magic key injuries

Heat

  • G Tyler Herro (shoulder) probable

Magic

  • G Gary Harris (calf) out
  • G Franz Wagner (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Heat at Magic picks and predictions

Prediction

Magic 109, Heat 105

Moneyline

BET MAGIC (-104).

The Heat beat the Magic in Orlando by 9 earlier in the season, but Miami shot 52% from deep while Orlando shot just 25%. That likely won’t be repeated Sunday.

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Orlando is 12-6 ATS at home, and with the moneyline and spread so close, that figure should give Magic bettors hope. Orlando is 6-3 straight up as a home underdog, the 3rd-best winning rate in that situation in the NBA. Miami has lost 2 straight and is 2-4 straight up on the road over its last 6 away games.

Back MAGIC (-104).

Against the spread

PASS.

Orlando has been solid at home when an underdog, so back it on the moneyline over the slightly different spread.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 214.5 (-110).

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Neither team plays at a fast pace, and both teams have a strong defense. The Heat have gone Under in 5 straight games and have scored less than 100 points in 3 of those 5. They are 18-24 O/U on the season. The Magic have scored 100 or fewer in 4 of tier last 6 games and are 1-5 O/U in those 6. Orlando is 19-23 O/U on the season.

The Magic rank 5th in defensive rating with Miami 10th. Both teams are in the bottom half of the league in offensive rating. Expect a defensive-minded game. Back UNDER 214.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Miami, FL

Sitting at .500 again, Miami Heat’s struggles have their season at an impasse

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Sitting at .500 again, Miami Heat’s struggles have their season at an impasse


About a week ago, even amid Jimmy Butler rumors, the Miami Heat were enjoying their longest win streak of the season and hoping to maintain their turnaround to challenge in the Eastern Conference.

Now, they enter the holiday week having lost three in a row, with each loss highlighting a different concern. Blowing a 25-point lead against an injury-depleted Orlando Magic team certainly poses worries, even without Butler in the lineup.

Sealing the deal remains the point of the game, though.

Whether it’s closing out close games (1-6 in matchups decided by three or fewer points) or just beating good teams (5-8 against opponents .500 or better), the Heat are struggling to stand out in ways that broaden their margins. Stretches like the last three games have seen them blow an eight-point lead in overtime within two minutes (at the Detroit Pistons last Monday), lose the battle on the glass against one of the league’s worst rebounding teams (Oklahoma City on Friday) and score eight points in the final period against a team missing its two best players (Orlando on Saturday).

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Even with Butler missing most of the last two games, those results aren’t reassuring. Against Detroit, he had a seemingly flawless game, but Miami still lost by one point. Coming close without the cigar is tough business for any team, but especially one capable of resembling playoff form one moment and suddenly collapsing by the next.

Entering Monday, Miami is still sixth in the East, but it’s closer to Play-In territory than consistently resembling teams who have either weathered storms without their best players (Orlando) or resemble new form after slow starts (Milwaukee is 15-12 after starting 2-8).

“Being able to close out games, a lot of that is my responsibility with Jimmy not here,” Tyler Herro said. “So I’ll be better on Monday and going forward.”

The Heat have an NBA-high six losses by one possession this season, which could pose ample regret down the stretch if the team remains on the outside looking in for postseason hopes. But beyond playing for the playoffs, rumors about Butler’s future make it even tougher to envision this team’s identity beyond this season. Miami has enjoyed great success since acquiring the six-time All-Star in 2019, but stretches like this past weekend illustrate the fine margins it must thrive with, with or without its star player.

On the season, Miami’s net rating swings by plus-8.7 points depending on Butler’s presence. The difference between him being on the court (plus-6.2 net rating) or on the bench (minus-2.5) is that of Miami being either seventh in the NBA or closer to 20th. But coach Erik Spoelstra won’t blame one variable for any loss, even if that variable has star power behind it.

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Whether Butler is injured, ill or (rumored to be) traded, Spoelstra doesn’t dwell on narratives when it comes to wins or losses.

“I’m not thinking any other thought. If guys say they can go, we’re going right now,” Spoelstra said after Friday’s loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder, during which Butler played only seven minutes.

From examining depth (hello, extended Kel’el Ware minutes on Saturday!) to simply staying afloat until the team is fully healthy, the Heat will need to succeed at the edges to remain viable in the East playoff picture. No matter how the Butler saga shakes out, Miami will still be relying on Herro and Bam Adebayo to hold things down as Spoelstra remains focused on how to maximize his roster, possessions and, ultimately, the team’s season.

Matchups against teams like the Brooklyn Nets (11-17) can be chances for Miami to start another win streak or simply play its best game of the season, but it would still be only one win against a relative sea of confounding defeats. At this point, how well the Heat carries things from one game to the next will determine their season, but the real test will be how well they carry things from one quarter to the next.

One night, the Heat can beat the team with the NBA’s best record (Cleveland Cavaliers), and on others, they lose two road matchups by a combined three points to a team with Play-In ambitions (Detroit). Now at .500 again, Miami’s identity this season might be stuck somewhere in the middle. No matter how strong its glimpses of potential may seem, inexplicable lapses can only make it harder to maximize a path upward in the East standings or assess how to best retool for the future.

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At this point, the best case for the team (and fans) is to simply take it all one day at a time.

(Photo of Tyler Herro and Duncan Robinson: Fernando Medina / Getty Images )



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Miami Heat’s Erik Spoelstra hosts first-ever “Coach Spo’s 5K” to help kids

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Miami Heat’s Erik Spoelstra hosts first-ever “Coach Spo’s 5K” to help kids


Miami Heat’s Erik Spoelstra hosts first-ever “Coach Spo’s 5K” to help kids – CBS Miami

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The new running event benefits Nicklaus Children’s Hospital and the Miami Heat Charitable Fund.

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Miami Police lieutenant arrested on domestic violence charge

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Miami Police lieutenant arrested on domestic violence charge


A Miami Police lieutenant has been arrested on a domestic violence charge after he allegedly spit at and slapped his wife.

Lt. Thomas L. Carroll, 47, was arrested Saturday on a battery – domestic violence charge, an arrest report said.


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Miami-Dade Corrections

Thomas Carroll

According to the report, Carroll and his wife were involved in an argument when Carroll allegedly spit at her around 10 times.

He also allegedly slapped her twice in the face, the report said.

The wife ran out of the house and called police. The report said she didn’t have visible injuries but added that two witnesses corroborated her allegations.

Thomas was booked into jail and later released. Attorney information wasn’t available.

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In a statement, Assistant Chief of Police Armando Aguilar said Carroll was relieved of duty pending further investigation.

“The Miami Police Department is committed to serving victims of domestic violence and holding the perpetrators of such crimes accountable for their actions. When acts of domestic violence are perpetrated by law enforcement officers, they are especially disheartening, as they represent a breach of the sacred trust placed in us by the people we serve,” Aguilar said in a statement. “We wish to thank the victim and witnesses in this case for coming forward. We are committed to ensuring that a thorough investigation is conducted and that the victim receives all necessary support throughout this process.”

Aguilar said Carroll was at one point an assistant chief of police but has been a lieutenant in the field operations division since 2023.



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