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Maryland
York County is 35 miles from Baltimore — and on another political planet
YORK, Pa. — Tanya Carter had lived in the Baltimore area her whole life, but a few years ago she started to feel stuck.
She was living in the rowhome in Oliver where she grew up, and her oldest daughter, Tobi, had just died. Carter was looking for a fresh start.
While searching for housing on Google, she stumbled across New Freedom, Pennsylvania, a small community in southern York County. She made the roughly 45-minute drive and within minutes fell in love. In 2022, she moved to an apartment where from her balcony she can see cows and horses.
“There was no trash. It was quiet. It was peaceful,” said Carter, 52, a communications supervisor in the Baltimore City Sheriff’s Office. “I could breathe. My chest wasn’t aching anymore.”
From downtown Baltimore, York County is about 35 miles up Interstate 83, just north of the Mason-Dixon Line, where it borders Baltimore, Harford and Carroll counties. The political landscape, to put it mildly, is a lot different — think Ford F-150s flying flags in support of former President Donald Trump.
Carter, a Democrat, noted that she’s from East Baltimore and can handle her own.
For generations, York County has been a place where Baltimore-area government employees, including police officers and firefighters, live and commute to work. The community generally offers a lower cost of living and more tranquil lifestyle. And the political makeup of Pennsylvania — it’s much more Republican than Maryland and in many places deep red — is a better fit for some.
These Maryland expats now have a front row seat to one of the most dramatic battlegrounds in the presidential election. Four years ago, President Joe Biden won Pennsylvania by just 80,555 votes. And four years earlier, Trump topped Hillary Clinton by a scant 44,292 votes out of more than 6 million cast.
Both Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris have made multiple appearances in Pennsylvania, and their campaigns have robust ground games. And because Maryland is so reliably blue, local Democrats are making the trip up to York County to campaign in this deeply Republican area. Every vote, they believe, could make a difference.
“It’s the swingiest of swing states,” said Del. Lorig Charkoudian, a Democrat from Montgomery County who has organized canvassing efforts in York County. “It’s the one we need to win.”
A Republican hotbed
In 2020, York County — that haven for Baltimoreans, population 464,640 — delivered Trump his largest margin of victory in all of Pennsylvania. The county is 87% white, 8% Black and 9.9% Hispanic or Latino, according to the most recent population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau.
Every countywide elected official is a Republican — except for York County Commissioner Doug Hoke. That’s because one of those three positions must go to a member of the minority political party under the law.
“It is a Republican county. It has been for a long time. And hopefully, it doesn’t change,” said Darryl Albright, vice chair of the East Manchester Township Board of Supervisors and a retired local police chief.
The city of York, the county seat, served as the fourth capital of the United States — not, despite a dubious claim, the first — and it’s where the Second Continental Congress in 1777 adopted the Articles of Confederation.
Besides government buildings, the city is home to a number of boutiques, restaurants and craft breweries.
But York has faced persistent challenges including tax-exempt properties, concentrated poverty and crime, though homicides from 2022 to 2023 dropped more than 65%. Some people who live in the county fear visiting the city and fret after every shooting that it has become a smaller version of Baltimore.
Some of York County’s best-known cultural exports are Utz, Snyder’s of Hanover and the York Peppermint Pattie. Natives include the artist Jeff Koons and the multi-platinum-selling rock band Live, which in 1994 released the album “Throwing Copper” that contains the song “Lightning Crashes.”
York Barbell was founded in 1932, and its headquarters off I-83 features the Weightlifting Hall of Fame as well as an oversized rotating model lunging into an overhead press. The county has a proud heritage of manufacturing. Local industries banded together to share workers and underutilized machinery to secure large defense contracts during World War II in an effort known as the York Plan.
These days, locals line up to collect free spring water from a pipe on the side of Seven Valleys Road. People celebrate when new chain restaurants open, and there’s a shoe-shaped house off U.S. Route 30 that serves as an Airbnb.
York County has also landed in the national spotlight for cultural war issues.
Two decades ago, a school board adopted a policy to mention intelligent design in biology class to make students aware of “gaps/problems” in Charles Darwin’s theory of evolution. The ACLU of Pennsylvania and other groups sued, and a federal judge ruled that intelligent design is not science. The school district was ordered to pay $1 million in legal fees.
Last year, the Hanover Borough Police chief visited a store that gives tarot readings to educate the owner about an 1861 law that criminalizes fortune telling, leading to another federal lawsuit. And earlier this year, a different school district drew fire for cutting windows into the gender-inclusive bathrooms at a middle school, citing student safety concerns.
The state’s mixed politics mean it has a closely watched U.S. Senate matchup and down-ballot fights including for Pennsylvania attorney general — a race that features Dave Sunday, the Republican York County district attorney, and Eugene DePasquale, a Democrat who once served as a state representative and the director of economic development for York.
Baltimore commuters
Most people who travel for work stay in York County. But more than 25,000 people commute to Maryland, including 11,507 to Baltimore County and 4,854 to Baltimore, according to 2020 data from the York County Planning Commission and York County Economic Alliance.
In particular, York County is home to more than 1,400 people who work for Baltimore or Baltimore County. That includes 362 employees of the Baltimore Police Department and 243 employees of the Baltimore City Fire Department, according to data obtained through a Maryland Public Information Act request.
The figures are not complete. For instance, they do not include people who work for either school system.
Jim Rommel used to be one of those commuters.
Rommel, 61, of Penn Township, worked for the Baltimore County Police Department for 35 years, retiring in 2019 as a corporal. He’s now a security officer for the Hanover Public School District.
He was born and raised in Baltimore County. But Rommel said he was policing in the same community where he lived and witnessed it “going downhill.” So, he said, it was “time to move.”
A lot of his colleagues, he said, were buying houses in Harford County. But he was attracted to the Hanover area after visiting a coworker there and realizing that he could buy a home for $40,000-$50,000 less.
He bought his home in 1996. The area was quiet. And the schools, he said, also had a good reputation.
On his commute back home, Rommel said, he could decompress.
“You’re not facing the same stuff you just left,” Rommel said. “You’re not rolling into your driveway to hear your neighbors going crazy next door, or crime going on down the street.”
Rommel said he plans to vote for Trump for the third election in a row, citing issues including the economy, illegal immigration and what he views as the federal government’s inadequate response to natural disasters such as Hurricane Helene.
Another Maryland transplant, Mike Loban, has been volunteering to help elect Harris, saying he is frightened about the prospect of a second Trump presidency.
Loban grew up on Frederick Avenue in Southwest Baltimore and retired in 2017 from Baltimore City Public Schools after 43 years. He had worked with students who could not attend school because of medical, physical or emotional conditions.
In the early 2000s, he moved to Hopewell Township, about 30 minutes south of York. Politically, he said he thought, “this is not friendly territory.”
Loban, 75, now of Springfield Township, about 20 minutes south of York, said that while many Democrats in local races don’t have strong prospects, any increase in their turnout can help influence statewide and national elections.
“From a political point of view, my culture shock is done,” Loban said. “I’ve adapted to the realities, and I try to focus on ‘What little bit can I do?’”
As a competitive state with a narrow Democratic registration advantage that’s continued to diminish, Pennsylvania is “truly up for grabs,” said Berwood Yost, director of the Franklin & Marshall College Poll.
“What happens in a county like York — while it doesn’t seem like it’s all that important because it’s a forgone conclusion Trump will win — what is important is ‘Is the margin 30 points? Or 25 points?’” Yost said. “That could make a difference.”
The Maryland canvass crew
That’s why several Democratic and progressive organizations from across Maryland have focused their energy on Pennsylvania.
“Thankfully, most of the Maryland elections, they may be close, but they are expected to go Democratic,” said Dori Cantor Paster, leader of Silver Spring Progressive Action, a group of activists based in Montgomery County that works to tip tight elections. “We have the luxury of being able to work in neighboring states.”
On a recent Sunday morning, more than a dozen volunteers with another group from Maryland, Allies for Democracy, convened across from the Graul’s Market in the Hereford Shopping Center before making the drive up to York County.
Their aim was to hit the doors of known or likely supporters of Harris and make sure that they had a plan to vote.
At the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 229 hall, they grabbed a manila folder that contained their turf and downloaded it on an app that provided them with specific addresses as well as voter information including name, age and party affiliation.
Del. Mike Rogers, a Democrat from Anne Arundel County, also was at the union hall with his wife, Tonya, and others to do their own canvassing.
Rogers said he campaigned in 2020 for the Biden-Harris ticket in York County, where he discovered that fellow Democrats were surprised to see another member of their party. They committed to voting.
“It was that prompting,” Rogers said. “It was that personal connection at the door, which I believe, makes a difference.”
York County, he said, is also home to part of a swing district: Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District. The Cook Political Report recently shifted its rating in the race to toss-up.
Democrat Janelle Stelson, a former local TV anchor, is taking on Republican U.S. Rep. Scott Perry, a staunch Trump ally and former chair of the House Freedom Caucus.
Geography also helps lure political volunteers.
People can campaign in York County and return home to Maryland at a reasonable time, Rogers said, adding that he wasn’t looking to travel to Pittsburgh.
Two volunteers with Allies for Democracy, Liz Entwisle and Malissa Ruffner, knocked on doors in West Manchester Township, a community of more than 19,000 outside York.
Entwisle, 72, a retired environmental attorney who lives in Baltimore County, is one of the original co-organizers of Allies for Democracy, while Ruffner, 69, a genealogist who lives in Northeast Baltimore, was canvassing for the first time.
Ruffner said she previously wrote letters and postcards but that time had passed in the campaign. So she decided to heed the words of former first lady Michelle Obama and “do something.”
With cellphones in hand to update their progress on the app, Entwisle and Ruffner walked the quiet subdivision of Colonial-style homes.
For the most part, neighbors warmly greeted them. “You don’t have to come in, sweetie,” one woman said after answering the door. “I’m straight Democrat.”
Carter, the communications supervisor in the Baltimore City Sheriff’s Office, doesn’t need a reminder to vote.
On Election Day, Carter said, she’s planning to meet up with five people who also moved from Baltimore to York County to cast their ballots.
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Maryland
Iowa at Maryland Best Bet: Odds, Predictions, Recent Stats, and Trends for November 23rd
Iowa Hawkeyes (6-4, 4-3 Big Ten) vs. Maryland Terrapins (4-6, 1-6 Big Ten) Preview:
The 6-4 Iowa Hawkeyes travel to College Park, Maryland, to take on the 4-6 Terrapins.
Some may think Iowa’s six wins at this point of the season is bad. However, the Hawkeyes should not be discouraged. This was a season in which they had to replace key members on the defense and implement an entirely new offensive system.
They have had some bright moments, including their road win in Minnesota and a thumping of Washington, Wisconsin, and Northwestern.
They will also be looking to bounce back from their road loss to UCLA prior to last week’s bye.
With their success, there must be some discussion about Kaleb Johnson. The junior running back has moved higher on draft boards with great play this season. The Ohio native has rushed for 1,328 yards and 20 touchdowns. His 1,328 yards lead the Big Ten, and the closest player to him is still nearly 300 yards away.
The season for Maryland was always going to be a challenge replacing the production of Taulia Tagovailoa. Billy Edwards Jr has been good in his stead. He’s thrown for 2,855 yards and 15 touchdowns.
The issue for Maryland this season has been on the defensive side of the ball. They will need to sure up their defense if they wish to pick up their second Big Ten win of the season.
Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insights weekdays at 6 AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.
Game Details & How to Watch Iowa vs. Maryland:
- Date: Saturday, November 23, 2024
- Time: 12:00 PM EST
- Site: Capital One Field at Maryland Stadium (Byrd Stadium)
- City: College Park, MD
- TV/Streaming: Big Ten Network
Game Odds for Iowa at Maryland via BetMGM:
- Moneyline: Iowa (-230), Maryland (+195)
- Spread: Iowa -6.5
- Total Over/Under: 45.5
BetMGM College Football Insights: Odds to make Playoffs
Line movement (Open to Now)
- Indiana +15000 to -500
- Tennessee +180 to -135
- Colorado +2000 to -120
Betting Insights and Predictions
NBC Sports Bet’s Brad Thomas is leaning towards Over 45.5 points…
Thomas: “Auto betting the under on Iowa is a thing of the past. They are scoring more this season, and their defense is noticeably worse. It’s likely hard to believe, but Iowa is 8-2 to the over this season. Maryland is 7-3. These teams both give up too many points. The over will consistently be in play.
Names to Know for Iowa vs. Maryland:
- Iowa Hawkeyes: RB Kaleb Johnson—Johnson, one of the top running backs in this upcoming NFL Draft, has been the offense for the Iowa Hawkeyes. He has a Big Ten-leading 1,328 yards. Johnson averages 7.1 yards per carry and has found the endzone 21 times.
- Maryland Terrapins: QB Billy Edwards Jr. – Edwards Jr. has thrown for 2,885 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions.
Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest player news from the NFL and MLB. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!
Betting Trends & Insights Ahead of Iowa at Maryland:
- Iowa is 8-2 to the OVER this season
- Maryland is 7-3 to the OVER this season
- Maryland has covered in its last 3 games as a home underdog
- Iowa has lost 4 of its last 5 on the road
For more betting analysis and insights, follow our experts on social media:
– Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
– Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
Maryland
November 21 Colder Winds Bring Snow To Central Maryland And Winter Storm Warning In The Mountains – Just In Weather
November 21, 2024
Thursday Morning Report
The squall line last night validated and even overachieved expectations. Winds gusted over 50 mph in many areas AND much needed rainfall added up to 0.94” in Baltimore through midnight. More was added afterward.
Colder air and a large upper-level trough will settle in Pennsylvania on Friday. This will bring in a taste of winter. The expectations for snow have now expanded to Central Maryland, and yes, it might be cold enough for some stickage on grassy areas.
A Winter Storm Warning is in place for the high mountains of far Western Maryland and West Virginia. Snow is still expected to reach 1-foot accumulation along with 50 mph winds.
Let’s take a look……
Morning Surface Weather
Storm 1, which brought us rain and wind, is moving away and sending much-needed rain to the drought areas of Metro New York and New England.
Storm 2 is the main event that will pivot from the Great Lakes and nearly stall in Pennsylvania on Friday. This will include a strong upper-level source of cold air and instability. Snow will spread our way and enhance over the Appalachian mountains.
Weather Preview
Storm Animation Today through Saturday Night
Watch the main storm spin in PA and pivot the next wave of energy that will enhance the snow on Friday, then pull away this weekend.
Jet Stream Friday Morning
The core of the cold air will be over our region. There is a trough swinging through the Southeast US with enough enhanced energy to develop snow.
Snow and Rain Mix Friday
Notice the blue shading (snow) into metro Baltimore. A closer look is below.
TODAY
Wind Forecast 7 AM to 7 PM
Wind Gusts at Noon
The stronger winds will be moving east, so it will be less windy this afternoon.
Radar Simulation: Noon to Midnight
There will be some showers with rain and maybe flakes after dark.
Heavy snow will get going in the mountains.
Afternoon Temperatures
Radar Simulation Tonight
7 PM Wed to 7 AM Thu
CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
TODAY November 21
Sunrise at 6:57 AM
Sunset at 4:48 PM
Normal Low in Baltimore: 35ºF
Record 16ºF in 1951
Normal High in Baltimore: 55ºF
Record 79ºF 1900
Baltimore Drought Update
- 0.94” of rain fell Thursday… The updated deficit:
- 6.66 inches BELOW AVERAGE rainfall since September 1st
- 7.12 inches BELOW AVERAGE rainfall since January 1st
- THE BURN BAN REMAINS IN PLACE
FRIDAY NOVEMBER 22
Turning colder with developing snow from the North, and it will reach the northern suburbs during the morning.
Snow will mix with rain near and south of Baltimore.
Heavy snow will be raging in the mountains.
Morning Temperatures
Morning Radar Simulation
Radar Forecast 7 AM to Midnight
Winds At Noon
Afternoon Radar
Afternoon Temperatures
WINTER STORM WARNING
This includes Garrett County, MD, and the high mountains of PA and WV.
Snow 6 to 12+ inches with wind gusts to 50 mph.
Note this is over the extreme drought region and is much needed.
Snow Roads Profile
Snow Forecast Models
There is a lot of agreement between the GFS and ECMWF.
Yes, I see a dusting or more on the grassy areas north of Baltimore.
GFS
ECMWF
NAM 3Km
In Case You Missed It
My Winter Outlook Report
7 Day Forecast
- Colder air will continue to spill in through Saturday.
- Some rain showers later today with a mix of flakes.
- Heavy snow develops in the mountains.
- Snow and mixed showers will expand into Central Maryland on Friday.
- Briefly mild early next week. Then, rain on Wednesday may set up a colder Thanksgiving storm.
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SCHEDULE A WEATHER BASED STEM ASSEMBLY
Severe Weather: Storm Smart October and next spring
Winter Weather FITF (Faith in the Flakes): November To March
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THANK YOU:
Baltimore Magazine Readers Choice Best Of Baltimore
Maryland Trek 11 Day 7 Completed Sat August 10
We raised OVER $104,000 for Just In Power Kids – AND Still Collecting More
The annual event: Hiking and biking 329 miles in 7 days between The Summit of Wisp to Ocean City.
Each day, we honor a kid and their family’s cancer journey.
Fundraising is for Just In Power Kids: Funding Free Holistic Programs. I never have and never will take a penny. It is all for our nonprofit to operate.
Click here or the image to donate:
RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional other glitches. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer glitches I may miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out during my second year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree and being the first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.
One of my professors told me that I had made it that far without knowing and to not let it be a crutch going forward. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely correct! I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. I also can make mistakes in forecasting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There has been no editor who can check my work while writing and to have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me… It’s part of my charm. #FITF
Maryland
Damp and cold end to Maryland’s week
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