A snowy signal is beginning to show up on long-range weather models, and local forecasters are taking notice. NBC4 Meteorologist Doug Kammerer shared an update indicating that European ensemble guidance is showing a meaningful signal for snowfall across the Mid-Atlantic over the next two weeks.
The map he shared represents the average of many different model runs, not a final snowfall forecast, but it suggests the overall pattern is becoming more favorable for snow. Kammerer emphasized that the map does not show what will actually fall in any one storm. Instead, it offers a big-picture look at whether snow is even on the table. Right now, that signal is clearly present.
According to Kammerer, the best window to watch appears to be next weekend. While details are still far from locked in, he noted there is a legitimate chance that the system could end up being a larger storm if conditions continue to trend in the right direction.
This kind of early signal often shows up days or even weeks before a specific storm can be forecast. At this range, changes in storm track, temperature, and timing can dramatically affect outcomes, especially in the DC and Montgomery County area where rain-versus-snow lines are often razor thin.
Still, the appearance of a consistent snowy signal on ensemble guidance is something snow lovers look for this time of year. It suggests the atmosphere may be lining up for opportunities rather than a warm, storm-free pattern.
As always, confidence will increase as the potential window gets closer. For now, it is a development worth watching rather than a forecast to plan around.
